AUDUSD - Sell Setup at Key Supply ZoneOANDA:AUDUSD has reached a key resistance level, marked by significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reaction if sellers step in again.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance level, there is a high probability of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 0.63650 level, which serves as a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
AUDUSD trade ideas
AUD/USD) Technical Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC-Trading Point update
Technical analysis of the AUD/USD currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's the idea behind the analysis:
Key Elements:
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance zone: Around 0.64350–0.64450
Support zone: Around 0.63450–0.63550
2. EMA (200):
The price is currently below the 200 EMA (0.64259), indicating bearish momentum.
3. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is around 50, indicating neutral momentum, but recently crossed down, hinting potential bearish continuation.
4. Two Scenarios Proposed:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above the resistance zone (~0.64400), a bullish rally toward the upper target at 0.65139 is expected.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price gets rejected from the resistance and breaks below the current support zone, a bearish move toward 0.63461 is expected.
5. Current Bias:
Slight bearish bias as the price is below both the resistance zone and the 200 EMA, with a possible setup for a breakdown.
Mr SMC Trading point
Conclusion:
This is a classic breakout or breakdown setup. The price is near a decision point, and the next move will likely depend on whether it breaks above the resistance or below the support zone.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow
AUDUSD: Short-Term Trading SetupAUDUSD: Short-Term Trading Setup
Yesterday, during the FOMC meeting, Powell made positive remarks about the U.S. economy but gave no hint about future rate cuts.
Today’s progress on tariffs between the UK and the U.S. is also boosting USD strength.
AUDUSD has broken below a small support zone at 0.6418 and may continue downward, as seen on the chart.
The price could decline further in the coming hours, targeting 0.6380 and 0.6350.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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AUDUSD Bearish Breakout – Macro and Technicals AlignAUDUSD has broken below a rising wedge formation on the 4H chart, signaling a bearish continuation. With the Reserve Bank of Australia pausing rates and weak local data weighing on sentiment, while the Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish hold due to sticky labor costs, this trade sets up well both technically and fundamentally. I'm watching for downside continuation toward 0.6379 and potentially 0.6350. The bearish bias is invalidated on a move above 0.6475.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Structure: Price broke down from a rising wedge and continues forming bear flags — each followed by further selling pressure.
Current Price Action:
Rejected sharply at ~0.6475 (last swing high)
Confirmed breakout with downside momentum
Key Support Levels:
0.6379 – minor structural support
0.6350 – major support zone from April
Resistance / Invalidation:
Above 0.6475 – would break the bearish structure and negate the setup
Bias: Bearish — clean structure, breakout momentum, and sustained lower highs
🌏 Fundamental Context
🇦🇺 Bearish AUD Drivers:
Weak domestic data:
Building Approvals: -8.8% vs -1.7% forecast
RBA on hold:
No rate hike in sight; cautious due to housing and China concerns
China slow-down:
PBOC cut rates and reduced reserve requirements — signals broader economic softness
🇺🇸 Bullish USD Drivers:
Fed holding firm:
Benchmark rate held at 4.25–4.50%
Labor costs surged +5.3% q/q
Productivity dropped -0.4%, reinforcing inflation concerns
Market repricing rate cuts:
Cuts now expected later in 2025 or even 2026
Political pressure from Trump:
Despite attacks on Jerome Powell, Fed appears unmoved
Trump teasing a “major trade deal” — potentially USD-positive if credible
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry Area: Watching 0.6420–0.6435 as a pullback zone for potential shorts
Target Levels:
First target: 0.6379
Second target: 0.6350
Stop Loss: Placed above 0.6475 (last swing high) to protect against false breakouts
Trade Thesis:
Technical structure supports downside continuation
Macro fundamentals favor USD strength and AUD weakness
Clean reward-to-risk if structure holds
🧭 Conclusion
AUDUSD setup is supported by a strong confluence of technical breakdown and macro divergence. With the Fed staying firm and the RBA cautious amid weak data, the fundamentals validate the bearish trend. As long as price stays below 0.6475, the outlook remains bearish, with 0.6379 and 0.6350 as the next logical levels. Caution around U.S. data releases or trade deal news is advised, but the path of least resistance remains downward.
AUDUSD: Channel Down aiming higher.AUDUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.946, MACD = 0.004, ADX = 53.336) trading between the 1D MA200 and 1D MA50. It is now on the middle (0.5 Fibonacci level) of the long term Channel Down and every bullish wave touched at least the 0.236 Fib. The trade is long, TP = 0.66200.
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Potential bearish drop?AUD/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6431
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6349
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6349
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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AUDUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of AUD-USD with you.
Looking at the AUD-USD chart, I expect a slight price decline towards the 50% Fibonacci level, around 0.61138. After this price drop, I anticipate a price increase to around 0.63000.
📉 Expectation:
Bearish Scenario: A slight decline towards 0.61138 (50% Fibonacci level).
Bullish Scenario: After reaching 0.61138, expect a rise to 0.63000.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 0.61138
Resistance: 0.63000
💬 What are your thoughts on AUD-USD this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Bank Money Heist (Bullish)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the Crossing previous high (0.64900) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
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📍 Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (0.6400) Day trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 0.65800
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💰💵💸AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Bank Money Heist is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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Market Analysis: AUD/USD Ready to Climb AgainMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Ready to Climb Again
AUD/USD is attempting a fresh increase from the 0.6370 support.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar found support at 0.6370 and recovered higher against the US Dollar.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6410 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair formed a base above 0.6420. The Aussie Dollar started a decent increase above the 0.6450 resistance against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the previous analysis.
The pair even cleared 0.6500 before there was a minor pullback. The recent low was formed at 0.6370 and the pair is again rising. The bulls pushed the pair above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6514 swing high to the 0.6370 low.
Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6410. The pair is now consolidating above the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near the 0.6440 zone.
The first major resistance might be 0.6460 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6514 swing high to the 0.6370 low. An upside break above the 0.6460 resistance might send the pair further higher. The next major resistance is near the 0.6515 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6550 resistance zone.
If not, the pair might correct lower. Immediate support sits near the 0.6410 level. The next support could be 0.6370. If there is a downside break below the 0.6370 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6320 zone. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6300.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AUDUSD Short on this trade AUDUSD has been moving to the downside where we saw price breaking the daily high and pushing back to the downside.
where we started to see price creating an impulsive move to the downside on the 4hour timeframe and a three touch ascending channel first touch second touch which is the middle section waiting for the last touch to complete the channel.
now we wait for price to sweep the $ hour timeframe hook point and take a short position
or wait for a push flag either 1 hour or 15min flag stop loss in place 0.40% would be better to move price to the downside.
AUD/USD: Bearish Momentum Loading !!AUD/USD: Bearish Momentum Loading !!
Hey Traders,
Price is now on a major level that was rejected multiple times
We expect price to :
Target : 0.63713
(Not financial advice)
#AUDUSD #Forex #FXTrading #PriceAction #ChoCH #BearishSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #AustralianDollar #USDollar #TradeIdeas
Bearish reversal for the Aussie?The price is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6536
1st Support: 0.6407
1st Resistance: 0.6619
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long-Term Buy On The AussieThe most straightforward interpretation is that the down move that started back in February 2021 (red rectangle) was a correction of the previous rally (green rectangle) and ended at 0.5914. If this is correct, then we are in the early stages of a large upward move on the Aussie in the long-term that should reach at least the previous highs of 2021. This view will be in jeopardy if we break back below the previously mentioned support and will be completely negated on a break of the 2020 lows at 0.5510.
Lingrid | AUDUSD bullish CONTINUATION PotentialFX:AUDUSD is currently respecting an upward trendline after bouncing off the local bottom. The pair broke out of the consolidation range and formed a higher high, signaling bullish continuation. A pullback is now testing the trendline and support zone — a bounce here could lead to a rally toward the upper resistance.
📌 Key Levels
Support Zone: 0.64391 – 0.64450
Breakout Target: 0.65000
Invalidation Level: 0.63934 (below trendline + structural break)
⚠️ Risks
Failure to hold the support zone could lead to a trendline break and deeper drop toward 0.63934.
Low liquidity or fakeouts near 0.65000 may trigger reversals.
Unexpected macro news may distort short-term technicals.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Bullish continuation?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6331
1st Support: 0.6266
1st Resistance: 0.6497
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop for the Aussie?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6468
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6487
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6433
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD0 is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 0.6446
1st Support: 0.6393
1st Resistance: 0.6468
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is also an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 0.6359
1st Support: 0.6293
1st Resistance: 0.6440
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce for the Aussi?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st, pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6352
1st Support: 0.6292
1st Resistance: 0.6502
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.