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AUDUSD trade ideas

Lingrid | AUDUSD sideways Market POTENTIAL Short EntryThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:AUDUSD facing resistance near the 0.6450–0.6460 area, marked by a lower high under the descending red trendline. After a breakout from the triangle pattern, price showed strength but failed to sustain above the swap zone. Now it's forming a potential lower high setup, suggesting weakening momentum. If price fails to clear resistance, it could rotate back toward 0.6412 support and below. 📉 Key Levels Sell trigger: rejection near 0.6450 Buy zone: 0.6412 Target: 0.6368 Buy trigger: reclaim of 0.6460 with strong bullish candles 💡 Risks A break above the descending trendline would shift structure bullish. U.S. dollar weakness could invalidate the bearish thesis. Data surprises may cause sharp volatility spikes. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
5
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 0.6433 1st Support: 0.6391 1st Resistance: 0.6458 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
2
AUDUSD Is Very Bullish! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 30m Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 0.640. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 0.641 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
3
AUD/USD Analysis TodayAustralia's Unemployment Rate Remained Stable in April 📊 May 15 — Data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that after seasonal adjustment, Australia's unemployment rate stayed steady at 4.1% in April 2025 👏. The trend-based unemployment rate also held firm at 4.1%, matching the adjusted figure from March 📈. Meanwhile, the AUD/USD is currently showing a strong upward trend 🔥, with continued bullish sentiment and a target price of 0.64800 🎯 ⚡️⚡️⚡️ AUDUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@ 0.64400 - 0.64500 🚀 TP 0.64750 - 0.64800 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Long
by Sovereign-
1
AUDUSD Long Setup | Price Action and SMC concepts.🔍 Market Structure & Price Action: After a clear Break of Structure (BoS) to the upside, AUDUSD is currently retracing back into a Bullish Order Block and sitting above a strong Support Zone and an ascending Trend Line. Previous Bearish Momentum has shifted into Bullish Momentum, suggesting a potential upside continuation from discounted pricing. 📈 Trade Plan: 🎯 Entry: 0.64025 (inside Bullish OB & near support) 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.63870 (below Bullish OB & Support Zone) ✅ Take Profit: 0.64520 (before Bearish OB & inside premium zone) 🧱 Zones to Watch: 🔵 Bullish Order Block: 0.64025 - 0.63947 (entry aligned) 🔴 Bearish Order Block: 0.64585 - 0.64526 (profit booking area) 🟠 Support Zone: 0.63878 - 0.63956 (strong rejection area) 🟢 Resistance Zone: 0.64693 - 0.64605 (final premium structure) 📊 Confluences: Trendline support + Bullish OB + Support zone + Bullish momentum shift = High-probability buy setup. RR Ratio: Approx. 3.2:1 📐 🗺️ Expectation: Price may first wick into the OB/support zone (0.6400 area), then rally towards the bearish OB (0.645x), with potential partials before major resistance.
Long
by PraveenTrader1
2
AUDUSD 4HFollowing our previous analysis, buyers failed to sustain momentum, leading to a confirmed bearish move. The market is now progressing toward the predefined mathematical targets: 0.6356 0.6290 Main target 0.6250 potential final target The zone around 0.6250 is a key area where we will re-evaluate the price action for a possible reversal, depending on updated market structure and data. As always, we rely on geometric principles and calculated movement — not guesswork. Let the market confirm the math.
Short
by GreyFX-NDS
1
AUDUSDThe interest rate differential between the U.S. and Australia is a key driver of the AUD/USD exchange rate, influencing capital flows, investor demand, and currency valuation. Here’s how it impacts AUD/USD: How Interest Rate Differential Affects AUD/USD Higher Australian Rates vs. U.S. Rates Strengthen AUD: When the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) sets interest rates higher than the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), the yield advantage attracts global investors seeking better returns. This leads to increased demand for the Australian dollar, causing AUD/USD to rise as investors sell USD to buy AUD. This phenomenon is often called the "carry trade." Higher U.S. Rates vs. Australian Rates Strengthen USD: Conversely, when the Fed’s rates are higher than the RBA’s, investors shift capital into U.S. assets for better yields, boosting the USD and weakening AUD/USD. Since 2022, Fed rate hikes relative to the RBA have correlated with AUD weakness. Capital Flows and Market Expectations: The interest rate differential influences international capital flows. Expectations of future rate changes by either central bank, reflected in futures markets and rate trackers, can cause AUD/USD to move ahead of actual policy shifts. For example, anticipated RBA cuts or Fed hikes typically weaken the AUD/USD. Trade and Economic Context: The impact of interest rate differentials is moderated by other factors such as commodity prices (Australia’s major exports), trade relations, and global risk sentiment. For instance, U.S. tariffs on China and other countries indirectly pressure the AUD by affecting Australia’s trade environment. Summary Scenario AUD/USD Impact Explanation RBA rates higher than Fed rates AUD/USD rises Higher Australian yields attract capital Fed rates higher than RBA rates AUD/USD falls Higher U.S. yields attract capital Market expects RBA cuts AUD/USD falls Anticipated lower yields reduce AUD appeal Market expects Fed hikes AUD/USD falls Anticipated higher yields boost USD In essence: The interest rate differential between Australia and the U.S. is a fundamental determinant of AUD/USD movements. A wider gap favoring the U.S. dollar tends to weaken the AUD/USD pair, while a narrowing or reversal in this gap can support AUD gains. Traders closely should monitor central bank policies, inflation data, and rate expectations to anticipate shifts in this differential and its effect on the currency pair.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
2
AudUsd Trade IdeaAudUsd is currently BULLISH on all higher time frames. Price came back down into a higher time frame HL with structures flipping back bullish on the 15m time frame supporting the overall bullish trend. I've decided to go long on this pair with price giving a bullish engulfing candle after retesting the structure flip. If all goes well price could tap back into the higher time frames high and potentially create a new high. I'll be looking for a 1:3rr on this set up. We'll see how price moves.
Long
by OfficialJ23
1
AUD/USD trade with TP + SLOn AUD/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 0.60300. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. Rejection of lower prices and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
by Trader_Dale
Bearish drop for the Aussie?The price is reacting off the resistace level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could potentially drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6457 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 132.6% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 0.6469 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 0.6418 Why we lik eit: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
AUDUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my AUDUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
Bullish bounce for the Aussie?The price has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6386 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Stop loss: 0.6356 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 0.6436 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
AUDUSD Daily Squeeze – Breakout LoadingAUDUSD is pressing against descending trendline resistance, forming a bullish continuation wedge just above the 0.6420–0.6450 support zone (50% Fib level). Price has been consolidating tightly, suggesting a potential breakout setup is developing. Key Levels: Resistance: 0.6500 – 0.6547 (wedge top and 61.8% Fib) Support: 0.6420 (local structure), 0.6300 (deeper demand zone) Bullish Target: 0.6718 → 0.6900 → 0.6950 Invalidation: Daily close below 0.6410 Scenarios: 🔹 Bullish Breakout Clean break above wedge resistance Momentum push toward 0.6700–0.6900 zone Confirmation = daily close above 0.6547 (Fib confluence) 🔹 Fakeout + Pullback Temporary rejection leads to retest of 0.6420–0.6400 Holds support = high-probability long setup for second wave up Outlook: Bias: Bullish AUDUSD is building bullish pressure after defending key support. Wedge structure favors breakout continuation, especially if global risk sentiment remains firm and USD softens.
by ultreosforex
1
AUDUSD Sell Setup- look for EU buy - enter only if entry setup given - refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if you have the strategy A Message To Traders: I’ll be sharing high-quality trade setups for a period time. No bullshit, no fluff, no complicated nonsense — just real, actionable forecast the algorithm is executing. If you’re struggling with trading and desperate for better results, follow my posts closely. Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results. "I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s It."
Short
by Vincent-DA
AUD/USD gearing up for a breakout ahead of RBAThe AUD/USD has been coiling in the last few weeks after making a v-shaped recovery following the tariffs announcement plunge. Is it now ready to finally resume higher? From a purely technical point of view, the price action looks bullish as it the consolidation below the 200-day moving average and key resistance in the 0.6500 handle suggests price is gearing up for a potentially big breakout. The only issue is that the AUD usually falls when stocks decline, and it is for that reason that we are seeing a bit of hesitation by the by the bulls here. The other reason could be because of the upcoming rate decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia in the early hours of Tuesday. Ahead of the RBA rate decision, strong Aussie April job data last week added complexity to the policy outlook with the economy adding 89,000 jobs—well above forecasts—while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Despite this, analysts still anticipate another rate cut, following February’s 25 basis point reduction. With inflation stuck at 2.4%, just above the RBA’s 2% target, the bank faces a tricky balancing act. Meanwhile, the US dollar weakened in early trading after Moody’s downgraded the US credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, reigniting concerns about the country's fiscal stability. The downgrade triggered a market reaction: haven assets rallied, long-term Treasury yields surged past 5%, and equity futures slipped. Interestingly, the AUD/USD rose despite higher US yields, as investors focused more on the growing risks around America’s ballooning debt. Moody’s projects US deficits could reach nearly 9% of GDP by 2035, driven by rising interest payments, entitlement costs, and stagnant revenue—factors compounded by political uncertainty and proposed unfunded tax cuts. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
THERE IS POTENTIAL - AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D23 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D23 Y25 BE SMART- AWAIT A BREAK OF STRUCTURE FIRST! Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅4H Order Block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅15' order block identified ✅Weekly 50 EMA forecasting rejection ✅Daily 50 EMA target 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT