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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 0.6433 1st Support: 0.6391 1st Resistance: 0.6458 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
2
AUD/USD Struggles at Resistance- Moment of Truth for the BullsAussie has held below resistance for nearly five-weeks now with multiple breakout attempts failing at the 52-week moving average. Weekly resistance now stands with the 2025 high-close / 50% retracement of the September decline at 6429/45 and is backed again by the yearly moving average, currently near ~6485. Critical resistance is eyed with the July close low / 61.8% retracement at 6511/50 and a breach / close above this threshold is needed to fuel the next leg of the advance towards the 2019 low at 6671. Weekly support rests with the 38.2% retracement of the yearly range / 2025 low-week close at 6286/91. Note that the median-line converges on this zone over the next few weeks and a weekly close below would be needed to suggest a more significant high is in place. Subsequent support seen at 6143/79- a region defined by the 61.8% retracement and the 2024/2022 swing lows. Bottom line : The Australian Dollar rally has been halted at resistance and the focus is on a breakout of this multi-week range just below. From a trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to 6285 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above the 52-week moving average needed to fuel the next leg of the advance. -MB
by FOREXcom
AUDUSD Rejected From Supply Zone – Bearish Slide Incoming?The Aussie dollar (AUDUSD) is showing signs of weakness after repeated rejections at the 0.6470 supply zone. Price has struggled to break this area, forming a solid distribution pattern on the 1H chart. With momentum fading, the pair now looks poised for a potential downside move. Technical Overview: Strong Supply Zone: 0.6470 (marked by heavy distribution and LuxAlgo’s visible range) Current Price: 0.6412 First Target (Support): 0.6221 Second Target (Demand Zone): 0.5986–0.5900 Bias: Bearish unless price breaks and closes above 0.6470 with strength Confluences Supporting Bearish Outlook: Prolonged sideways structure near supply = likely distribution Multiple failed breakout attempts above 0.6470 AUD under pressure from commodity softness + stronger USD Clean downside levels: 0.6221 (minor support), 0.5986 (major demand) Trade Setup Idea: Entry Zone: 0.6410–0.6440 (on rejection candles or breakdown) Stop Loss: Above 0.6480 Targets: 1. TP1 – 0.6221 2. TP2 – 0.5986 R:R Potential: ~3R if both targets hit Macro Watch: Upcoming US data releases could fuel USD strength (FOMC, CPI) Aussie impacted by China economic data and commodity demand outlook --- Will AUDUSD collapse from here or surprise us with a breakout? Let me know your outlook in the comments! --- #AUDUSD #Forex #BearishSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #LuxAlgo #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #TrendReversal #SwingTrading #VolumeProfile #USDEvents #ShortTrade
Short
by FrankFx14
Aussie H4 | Falling toward an overlap supportThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 0.6336 which is an overlap support. Stop loss is at 0.6255 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 0.6499 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.6426 1st Support: 0.6398 1st Resistance: 0.6468 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Aussie Turns Bullish — All Eyes on RBACMCMARKETS:AUDUSD AUD/USD trades near 0.6448 ahead of the RBA rate decision, where a 25bps cut to 3.85% is widely expected. Technically, a breakout above the falling trendline suggests a potential bullish reversal. Immediate support lies at 0.6422–0.6406. A rejection near minor resistance at 0.6456 could trigger a pullback, while a sustained break above that level may open room for gains beyond 0.6500. Market direction hinges on RBA’s tone and Governor Bullock’s guidance on future easing. Resistance : 0.6456 , 0.6500 Support : 0.6422 , 0.6406
Short
by ATFX_Global
Bearish drop for the Aussie?The price is reacting off the resistace level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could potentially drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6457 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 132.6% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 0.6469 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 0.6418 Why we lik eit: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
AUD/USD Analysis TodayAustralia's Unemployment Rate Remained Stable in April 📊 May 15 — Data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that after seasonal adjustment, Australia's unemployment rate stayed steady at 4.1% in April 2025 👏. The trend-based unemployment rate also held firm at 4.1%, matching the adjusted figure from March 📈. Meanwhile, the AUD/USD is currently showing a strong upward trend 🔥, with continued bullish sentiment and a target price of 0.64800 🎯 ⚡️⚡️⚡️ AUDUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@ 0.64400 - 0.64500 🚀 TP 0.64750 - 0.64800 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Long
by Sovereign-
1
AUD/USD gearing up for a breakout ahead of RBAThe AUD/USD has been coiling in the last few weeks after making a v-shaped recovery following the tariffs announcement plunge. Is it now ready to finally resume higher? From a purely technical point of view, the price action looks bullish as it the consolidation below the 200-day moving average and key resistance in the 0.6500 handle suggests price is gearing up for a potentially big breakout. The only issue is that the AUD usually falls when stocks decline, and it is for that reason that we are seeing a bit of hesitation by the by the bulls here. The other reason could be because of the upcoming rate decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia in the early hours of Tuesday. Ahead of the RBA rate decision, strong Aussie April job data last week added complexity to the policy outlook with the economy adding 89,000 jobs—well above forecasts—while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Despite this, analysts still anticipate another rate cut, following February’s 25 basis point reduction. With inflation stuck at 2.4%, just above the RBA’s 2% target, the bank faces a tricky balancing act. Meanwhile, the US dollar weakened in early trading after Moody’s downgraded the US credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, reigniting concerns about the country's fiscal stability. The downgrade triggered a market reaction: haven assets rallied, long-term Treasury yields surged past 5%, and equity futures slipped. Interestingly, the AUD/USD rose despite higher US yields, as investors focused more on the growing risks around America’s ballooning debt. Moody’s projects US deficits could reach nearly 9% of GDP by 2035, driven by rising interest payments, entitlement costs, and stagnant revenue—factors compounded by political uncertainty and proposed unfunded tax cuts. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
RBA to Cut 0.25% as AUDUSD Tests Key ResistanceAUDUSD is trading in a very support/resistance-heavy area ahead of tomorrow’s RBA decision. The RBA is widely expected to cut rates by 0.25%. The central bank is likely to factor in the government's extended electricity subsidies, and combined with weak GDP data, a rate cut appears almost certain. Since 2000, Australia's average quarterly GDP growth has been 0.7%. However, since Q3 2022, the figures have consistently come in below average, pointing to prolonged economic weakness. That said, recent data has shown some improvement. The most recent GDP came in at 0.6%, marking four consecutive quarters of growth in GDP. CPI held steady at 2.4%, beating the 2.2% forecast. Quarterly wage growth rose to 0.9% from 0.7%, and employment increased by 89k — nearly quadruple the forecast and triple the previous month’s figure. Despite the positive shifts, the combination of persistent weakness, electricity subsidies, and already high interest rates suggests the RBA will need to act. The market currently expects three cuts this year, including the one anticipated tomorrow. AUDUSD is caught between a weak U.S. dollar and a weak Aussie dollar, and the degree of dovishness from the RBA will be critical this week. A broad resistance zone is currently capping gains. The 0.6450–0.6550 range is key, as it has seen significant volume since August 2023, with multiple tops and bottoms forming within this area. If a breakout occurs, the longer-term trend channel (yellow line) could become the next upside target. On the downside, watch the 0.6350 support level and the area surrounding it for potential reactions or a clear break with following downward reaction.
by ftdsystem
AUDUSD Is Very Bullish! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 30m Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 0.640. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 0.641 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
3
AUD/USD trade with TP + SLOn AUD/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 0.60300. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. Rejection of lower prices and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
by Trader_Dale