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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

Potential Counter Trend Trade for a possible longFX:AUDUSD has been on a steady drop looking at it on the monthly time frame. However it has come to a major Monthly support area and showing some significant slow down in momentum. It is very more than likely to see price bounce off that area and start a bullish move. I will however wait for a break of an immediate structure on the H4 TF retest the area before taking a trade. I recommend proper risk management if considering this trade. Past results does not guarantee future results
Long
by Mbjoey
AUD/USD at Support into 2025 OpenAUD/USD is testing downtrend support here into the start of the month / year at the lower parallel. The focus is on possible inflection off the 2022 low / yearly open at 6170/88 over he next few days. Bottom line: Rallies would need to be limited to 6348/62 IF price is heading lower here with a close below this pivot zone exposing the 61.8% extension of the 2021 high / 78.6% retracement of he 2020 advance at 6022/45. Published a more in-depth review of this AUD/USD setup earlier today. MB
by FOREXcom
AUD/USD at a Key Support Level on the Weekly ChartThe AUD/USD pair has experienced a significant decline of nearly 11% without any substantial pullbacks since September 2024. It has now reached a crucial support level on the weekly chart at 0.6200. This recent downward movement has been influenced, in part, by Donald Trump's return to the US presidency. His administration has traditionally prioritised a “putting America first” stance, pledging to reinvigorate the economy and support American industry. Now, the pressing question is: Will the AUD/USD break through this support and continue its fall, or will it experience a bullish pullback in the coming days? The AUD/USD is currently situated in a decisive region. A break below the support could pave the way for further declines, while a successful breach of the downtrend line could initiate a more significant upward movement. Possible Bullish Scenario The AUD/USD could enter a bullish trend if the price breaks above the high of the December 31 candle, approximately 0.6240. Possible Target : The target could be set in the vicinity of the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, around 0.6470 (approximately 220 pips above the entry point). Stop Loss : A suitable stop loss may be placed just below the support level on the weekly chart, at about 0.6150 (approximately 90 pips from the entry). Alternative Scenario: Breakdown of Support Conversely, if the price breaks below the support level on the weekly chart, it could signal a continuation of the downtrend, potentially driving the AUD/USD down to the 0.6000 mark within a few days. Key Considerations Investors should remain vigilant regarding upcoming macroeconomic data releases from both the US and Australia, as well as any initial decisions made by President Donald Trump following his return to office. These factors could significantly influence the direction of the AUD/USD pair in the near term. Disclaimer 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Consider whether you understand how CFDs work and if you can afford the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investment values may fluctuate, and you may not recover your initial investment. This content is not intended for residents of the UK.
Long
by Marketscom
AUDUSD Clear cut triangle, extended move in the waitingThis beggining of the year it seems triangles are shaping up and extended moves following breakout are in the waiting. Following yesterday's idea, this one is similar but now on AUDUSD. A clear cut triangle appeared in the 1H chart and the breakout should be happening in the next 24 hours. Better to wait for the breakout to be confirmed in the 4H or ideally in the daily. Then, it is up to you how to play it. I have put a FIB retracement ranging between the main weekly support and resistance, starting from the 2020 low and the 2021 high. The FIB levels match very well the price action and offer good guidance.
by Taguspt
AUD/USD POSSIBLE LONG MOVE! Certainly! Here's the analysis in English: AUD/USD Long Trading Setup Analysis Trade Entry: The price of AUD/USD shows signs of stabilizing, as it has failed to break through lower levels. Recent price action suggests a potential rebound, making the long position an attractive option. The market has not yet broken any significant support levels, indicating that an upward movement is more likely than continued downward pressure. Technical Analysis: From a technical standpoint, the support level around the current price seems to be holding steady. The market has failed to break the bottom, suggesting a potential bounce from this level. This presents a good opportunity to enter a long position. Risk-Reward Ratio: This setup offers a good risk-reward ratio (R:R). For a successful trade, it's recommended to maintain a ratio of at least 1:2, meaning for every unit of risk, we aim for a minimum of two units of profit. This provides reasonable security with significant profit potential. Stop Loss and Risk Management: Remember to place a stop loss at a reasonable distance from the current price level to limit potential losses in case of unexpected market moves. The stop loss should be set at a level that indicates the market has reversed its direction, should a key support level be broken. Effective risk management is crucial for successful trades. Conclusion: Based on the current technical indicators and the stability of the support level, it seems that a long position is a favorable choice at this point. The risk-reward ratio is solid, and with proper risk management and following the strategy, there is potential for profit. Good luck to all traders!
Long
by MoneyMavenFX
1
AUDUSD ANALYSIS The Australian Dollar rises as the Financial Times reported that the PBoC is signaling potential rate cuts this year. The AUD recovered from two-year lows as stronger commodity prices provided support, particularly Oil and Gold. The US Dollar Index corrects downwards from a new multi-year high of 109.56 reached on Thursday. AUD/USD trades near 0.6210 on Thursday, maintaining a bearish outlook as it remains within a descending channel on the daily chart. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has bounced back above the 30 level, suggesting the potential for a near-term upward correction despite the prevailing downtrend. The AUD/USD pair may find immediate resistance at the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6220, with the next obstacle at the 14-day EMA at 0.6244. A key resistance level is the descending channel’s upper boundary, around the psychological mark of 0.6300.
Short
by KingForex078
2
AUDUSD Trade SetupHello, Trend-Based Analysis. Buy the Dips, Sell The Rallies, Also Following the Trend. Let's see where the Price Action takes us, Riding the wave. Potential trade setups based on trend momentum. Technical analysis based on trend identification and momentum, Looking for high-probability setups within the prevailing trend. Analyzing the current market trend and potential future price movement. Focusing on risk management and reward-to-risk ratios. Details is Mentioned in Chart, Read carefully.. .
Long
by OptionCallPro
AUDUSD InsightHello, subscribers! Great to see you all. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - The euro has plunged amid concerns over Eurozone growth and the suspension of natural gas inflows via Ukraine. - The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model lowered its Q4 growth forecast from 3.1% to 2.6%, citing a downgrade in the real private investment growth rate. - U.S. weekly initial jobless claims came in at 211,000, down 9,000 from the previous week, falling short of market expectations. - Tesla's stock price plunged as its annual deliveries slowed for the first time in a decade. This weakened investor sentiment and drove safe-haven demand, boosting the U.S. dollar index. Key Economic Event + January 3: U.S. December ISM Manufacturing PMI AUD/USD Chart Analysis After breaking below the 0.63500 level, the pair dropped to the 0.62000 level for the first time since October 2022. This area near the previous low presents an opportunity for a potential rebound. If a rebound succeeds, a swift short-term rise to the 0.63500 level is expected. However, if the rebound fails, there is a high likelihood of further decline toward the 0.60000 level.
Long
by shawntime_academy
🦘🦘 Aussie Kangaroo Returns Home In The OutbackThe Australian dollar has been taking a bath. It’s gone from buying 71 US cents at the beginning of the year to netting you just 63.3 US cents against the benchmark greenback. The dollar is down over the last year against most currencies, and down over the past few weeks against almost every currency. The humble Aussie dollar is suffering in particular against European currencies: Pound Sterling, the Swiss Franc and the Euro. However, even in Japan where the AUD is up over the year so far, it is down in recent weeks. What’s going on? The answer is two-fold. 👉 America’s economy is stronger than expected. And China is weaker, so Chinese yuan has little to no chance of dethroning the US dollar, even as global de-dollarization happens. 👉 Australia gets hit on both of those trades. Difference between 10-Year United States and Australian Govt Debt becomes lower Technical graph for FX:AUDUSD indicates that Aussie has a lot down to deliver.
by Pandorra
2
AUDUSD to continue in the downward move?AUDUSD - 24h expiry Broken out of the channel formation to the downside. Trades at the lowest level in 26-months. Buying posted in Asia. Bespoke resistance is located at 0.6246. The previous swing high is located at 0.6246. We look to Sell at 0.6246 (stop at 0.6276) Our profit targets will be 0.6166 and 0.6146 Resistance: 0.6246 / 0.6271 / 0.6275 Support: 0.6179 / 0.6150 / 0.6130 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
Is AUDUSD Over Extended?I think the price is over extended with strong evidence of Divergence on the daily chart. I have also overlayed one period higher RSI on each panel 4hr (with daily RSI) and Daily (with weekly RSI) to visualize how the rsi line is related to the 100sma bollinger bands. On the weekly you could notice that the RSI line is below the lower band and might see a pullback reaction. On the Price chart 4hour I have marked the ltf resistance and trend line to see if there will be a shift of Price action. Also notice there is a daily support at 2022 level which market might also test so we cannot ignore that. Overall price action is super bearish with price below the daily 200sma . Indicators Daily chart sma 50 BB 200sma RSI WITH 100SMA BB RSI (defaulted to weekly) with 100SMA BB
by Junmadayag
Aussie H4 | Bearish downturn to extend further?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. The presence of the red Ichimoku Cloud adds further significance to the strength of the bearish momentum. Sell entry is at 0.6242 which is a swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 0.6284 which is a level that sits above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 0.6184 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 0.6200 1st Support: 0.6181 1st Resistance: 0.6232 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
2
Weekly CLS with 1 inside week, 50% HTF KL, Model 1Weekly CLS with 1 inside week, 50% HTF KL, Model 1 you are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion. What is CLS? This company is trading for the biggest investment banks and central banks. They trade over 6.5 trillion daily volume. They are smart money of the all markets. CLS operates in the specific times which will give you huge advantage and precisions to you entries. Focus on that. Its accuracy is amazing. Good luck and I hope this educational post helps to become better trader “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave FX Hunter ⚔
Long
by Dave-Hunter
7