AUDUSD Distribution pt.2I haven't been active for the last 2 days, which probably caused me to miss out on the best setups in months. There where so many setups that just completed, but anyway.
The model 1 i was looking for turned out into a model 1 which gets completed with a model 2 as 2nd deviation. Since the technical target is the range low i will look for valid entrys that complete this distribution.(I don't like the supply above the range, but that should be saved for later if this model is intended to play out)
AUDUSD trade ideas
AUDUSD Will Fall! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.650.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.647 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUD/USD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly falling on the 15m timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 0.651 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W25 D16 Y25AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W25 D16 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation & breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 🔥
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅4H Order block identified
✅1H Order block identified
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDUSD H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward buy entry level at 0.6456, an overlap support.
Our take profit is set at 0.6493, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.6429, a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Potential bearish drop?AUD/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6498
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.6519
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6468
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD - Medium term prediction - 16/06/25For AUD/USD here (0.6487) I’d peg the odds roughly at:
Rally above 0.6943 first ~60%
Drop below 0.6031 first ~40%
Why a tilt to the upside?
Higher-low structure: Since last year’s low near 0.594, price has formed progressively higher retracements (0.620 → 0.635 → 0.648).
Momentum: Daily candles have been predominantly bullish with shallow pullbacks, and there’s room before any clear overbought signals.
Mid‐range flip: The 0.6031 zone has held as support and the current range midpoint (~0.649) has been reclaimed on a sustained basis—suggesting buyers are in control through the mid‐band.
AUDUSD Coiling Near Key Resistance, Big Move Ahead?After a long period of sideways chop, AUD/USD is finally showing signs of strength. Price has been pressing against the key resistance zone, and we’re now seeing a tightening wedge breakout structure forming just beneath it.
A key moment on the chart is where sellers got trapped during that sharp downside wick. Since then, price has been recovering in a steady, controlled manner.
Now, with higher lows forming and momentum building near resistance, a parabolic move could be on the horizon if price manages to break out cleanly.
This is a classic setup where patience could pay off, the structure is bullish, and breakout confirmation may unlock strong upside potential.
DYOR, NFA
AUDUSD: Market Sentiment & Price Action
Looking at the chart of AUDUSD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move up seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
AUD/USD at Critical Resistance — Bearish Outlook Below 0.65381. Major Resistance Zone: 0.65380
Price is currently testing a strong horizontal resistance level at 0.65380, a level that has been tested multiple times (as shown by the pink circles).
This level has acted as a historical turning point, which increases its significance.
2. Price Structure: Lower Highs and Equal Highs
The chart reveals a potential double top or distribution pattern, forming under the 0.65380 resistance.
This suggests weakening bullish momentum and increases the probability of a bearish reversal.
3. Projected Bearish Path (White Dotted Lines):
If price fails to break above 0.65380 decisively, the expected move is a stepwise decline.
The projected path targets several support levels:
0.65003
0.64647
0.64213
0.63957
Final target: 0.63627, a key support from early May.
4. Support & Resistance Zones:
Resistance Levels:
0.65380 (Major)
0.65003
Support Levels (Sequential Targets):
0.64647
0.64213
0.63957
0.63627
5. Confluence with Fundamentals:
U.S. economic events (highlighted at the bottom with calendar icons) may act as volatility triggers, potentially accelerating this move.
✅ Summary & Trading Implications:
Bias: Bearish below 0.65380
Trade Idea: Watch for rejection at resistance or break below 0.65003 for confirmation.
Bearish Targets: Gradual move toward 0.63627 with key pauses at intermediate support levels.
Invalidation: Daily close above 0.65380 would negate the bearish setup and open potential for new highs.
AUDUSDDOLLAR INDEX on a dramatic twist of reversal on friday june 13th 00;00 time asian session at demand floor 97.621.
dollar reclaims 98.360 by londom session putting pressures on EURUSD,AUDUSD ,USDJPY,GBPUSD ,NZDUSD.
3:00pm
USD
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
53.5 52.2
USD
Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
6.6%
The University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations data will influence the US Dollar Index (DXY) and Federal Reserve policy expectations based on whether the prints exceed or miss forecasts.
Scenario 1: Better-Than-Expected Data
Consumer Sentiment greater than 53.5 and Inflation Expectations > 6.6%:
DXY Reaction: Likely to rise as stronger sentiment and sticky inflation expectations reduce odds of near-term Fed rate cuts. Traders may price out dovish bets, supporting the dollar.
Fed Implications: Elevated inflation expectations (above 6.6%) would reinforce the Fed’s cautious stance, delaying rate cuts until late 2025 or 2026.
Key Levels: DXY could retest 99.206 –99.00 resistance.
Scenario 2: Worse-Than-Expected Data
Consumer Sentiment less than 53.5 and Inflation Expectations < 6.6%:
DXY Reaction: Likely to decline as softer sentiment and easing inflation fears boost bets on Fed rate cuts. Markets could price in a September cut more aggressively.
Fed Implications: Lower inflation expectations (e.g., 6.0–6.5%) would align with recent CPI/PPI cooling, giving the Fed confidence to ease policy sooner.
Key Levels: DXY may drop toward 97.954
Scenario 3: Mixed Data
Sentiment beats, inflation misses (or vice versa):
DXY Reaction: Range-bound or choppy. For example, higher sentiment but lower inflation could offset, keeping DXY in a range bound
Fed Implications: The Fed would emphasize the inflation component over sentiment, as price expectations directly influence policy.
Contextual Factors
Recent Trends: May’s UoM sentiment hit a 2025 low (50.8), while 1-year inflation expectations spiked to 7.3% (later revised to 6.6%). June’s data will test whether inflation fears are easing.
Fed’s Focus: The Fed views inflation expectations as critical to actual inflation trends. A sustained rise above 6% could delay cuts despite softer CPI/PPI.
Broader Risks: Trade tensions (Trump’s tariffs) and political pressure on the Fed add volatility to dollar dynamics.
Conclusion
The dollar’s reaction hinges most critically on inflation expectations. A print above 6.6% would signal lingering price pressures, bolstering the Fed’s hawkish resolve and supporting DXY. Conversely, a drop below 6.0% could accelerate dollar selling as markets bet on earlier easing. Traders should also watch for revisions to May’s inflation expectations (previously revised down from 7.3% to 6.6%), which could amplify volatility.
#audusd
Audusd 1h📅 June 11, 2025
📣 Forex Signal – AUD/USD
🧭 Timeframe, Setup & Zone:
1h (analysis), 30m (confirmation)
Price is testing a strong supply zone that has historically triggered sharp bearish reversals. This area aligns with the 88.6% Fibonacci retracement, often signaling exhaustion of bullish momentum. Candlestick structure shows weakening buying pressure, with upper shadows and diminishing volume. This sell limit setup targets a high-probability reversal zone with attractive risk-reward potential.
🎯 Setup:
Entry 0.65248
SL 0.65348 (−10.0 pips)
TP1 0.65103 (+14.5 pips) – scalping
TP2 0.64935 (+31.3 pips) – primary
TP3 0.64771 (+47.7 pips) – intraday
TP4 0.64586 (+66.2 pips) – swing
TP5 0.63945 (+130.3 pips) – extended
(RR: 1:1.4 / 3.1 / 4.8 / 6.6 / 13.0)
📊 Indicators (30m):
• RSI shows momentum flattening near the overbought zone, signaling potential reversal
• Stochastic is in overbought territory, preparing a bearish crossover – early signal of seller dominance
📰 Fundamentals & Sentiment:
• AUD remains under pressure from weak export data and concerns over China’s economic slowdown
• USD is steady ahead of tonight’s US CPI release – stronger inflation could boost USD demand
• Short-term sentiment favors USD strength, especially with supportive data
📌 Summary:
The entry zone is a key technical supply area, backed by bearish signals from both price action and indicators. With market sentiment leaning toward USD strength, this setup is ideal for a calculated sell limit strategy targeting both intraday and swing potential.
⚙️ Risk Management:
• Entry is active only upon touching 0.65248
• Max risk: 1–2% of total account balance
• Consider partial profit-taking starting at TP2
#audusd #sell
AUDUSD → Correction after a false breakout before growthFX:XAUUSD continues to rise amid uncertainty surrounding the dollar, which continues to consolidate. The currency pair is preparing to test resistance at 0.6537
The dollar is stuck in place due to market uncertainty. At the same time, the Australian dollar is strengthening and is ready to test the liquidity zone
Within the current trend, the currency pair is heading towards resistance and the liquidity zone. We opened far away, and as we move towards the target, the potential for further growth may end. A false breakout of 0.6537 could trigger a correction
Resistance levels: 0.6537
Support levels: 0.6509, 0.6479
A sharp move towards resistance without the possibility of further growth could cause a false breakout of 0.6537. Price consolidation below this level could trigger a correction before growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!