Turn or Burn Deep retracement within this current TR. Volume price analysis suggest manipulation as price is rising but demand volume is declining, Either supply is deeply diminished allowing ease of movement or is this slow profit taking by larger interest.
In a bullish scenario price creates momentum to push, close, and maintain above .64080. In what my opinion is more favorable based on market conditions, price takes out one of the previous highs in this range near .64000 where liquidity rest and resumes the htf downtrend. Catalyst being AUD unemployment rates and Fed Powell Speech, FOMO would likely induce a buy trap / false breakout.
AUDUSD trade ideas
AUD-USD BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅AUD_USD will soon retest a key resistance level of 0.6409
So I think that the pair will make a pullback
And go down to retest the demand level below at 0.6318
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bearish drop off multi swing high resistance?AUD/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a multi swing high resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6386
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing high resistance.
Stop loss: 0.6447
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6265
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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AUDUSD Short Setup Based on DXY AnalysisHello traders!
After closely analyzing the Dollar Index (DXY), I've spotted a key development that has shaped my bearish bias on AUDUSD. The DXY recently broke below a higher timeframe low, rejecting strongly off the July 2023 low after sweeping liquidity on the Weekly chart. This kind of price action signals potential bullish momentum on the dollar in the coming days.
As a result, I’m anticipating weakness across major USD pairs, AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD, and NZDUSD included.
Here’s my trade setup for AUDUSD:
Entry: 0.63550
Target 1: 0.62748
Target 2: 0.62061
Target 3: 0.61506
Target 4: 0.60951
Stop Loss: 0.64020
I’m expecting a move to the downside if the resistance level at 0.6355 continues to hold, especially with DXY looking primed for further upside.
📈 This idea is based on a combination of liquidity grabs, higher timeframe structure, and DXY confluence, a powerful trio when it comes to swing setups.
If this analysis resonates with your view or adds value to your trading, a boost would be greatly appreciated! 🙌
Stay sharp and trade safe! 💰
DXY (Dollar Index) on Weekly Timeframe
AUDUSD keeps surging upwardFrom a technical analysis perspective, the moving average system presents a typical bullish arrangement pattern. The 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average are continuously rising and diverging 🚀, providing a solid support foundation for the exchange rate of the Australian dollar against the US dollar. At the moment, the MACD indicator is above the zero axis, and its histogram bars are also continuously expanding 📈, which clearly indicates that the bullish momentum is in a strong state 💪. At the same time, although the KDJ indicator is in the overbought area, there has been no significant sign of a turn, which means that the current upward trend is highly likely to continue 😎.
In terms of fundamentals, Australia's recent economic data has been rather remarkable 🌟. For example, Australia's employment data has shown a good growth trend, and the unemployment rate has decreased, indicating that the vitality of Australia's labor market is increasing 💪, which in turn provides strong positive support for the Australian dollar 😃. In addition, Australia's commodity export data is also quite excellent. As a resource-exporting country, the stable increase in commodity prices and the growth in export volume have greatly promoted Australia's economic development 🚀 and further enhanced the attractiveness of the Australian dollar 😍. In contrast, there is a certain degree of uncertainty in the economic policies of the United States. Especially, the progress of the fiscal stimulus plan has been slow, which has somewhat weakened the market's confidence in the US dollar 😕. Based on considerations of risk, investors have started to gradually shift their funds to other currencies, including the Australian dollar, injecting strong impetus into the rise of AUDUSD 💥.
💰💰💰 GBPUSD💰💰💰
🎯 Buy@1.3200 - 1.3230
🎯 TP 1.3300 - 1.3350
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
👇The accuracy rate of our daily signals has remained above 98% within a month! 📈 We sincerely welcome you to join our channel and share in the success with us! 👉
AUDUSD ShortI noticed we have a bearish structure on the 15m, and the entire push was created from the 15m Orderblock we're currently in. We've had a bearish reaction from there (1m BOS), and now I'm waiting to see if the price will revisit the OB left behind for a potential continuation to the downside.
My first target is 1:3 (30pips) and overall i expect price to fill previous Asia.
AUD/USD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 9H timeframe the pair is going down too. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 0.622 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold 2H Chart Insight: Awaiting RetracementAfter analysing the 2-hour chart, we observe that the price is currently trading just below a key resistance level without any significant correction following its recent move. This lack of retracement, combined with the resistance overhead, suggests that a pullback is likely. We anticipate the price to retrace toward the potential target highlighted on the chart.
⚠️ Please remember:
Every trade carries risk. Protecting your capital should always be the top priority.
Wishing you a successful and green trading week!
AUD/USD is Overbought: Awaiting CorrectionFenzoFx—AUD/USD is in a strong bullish run, nearing the $0.6407 resistance. The Stochastic Oscillator signals overbought conditions, indicating the Australian dollar is overpriced in the short term.
While the trend remains bullish, consolidation may follow, with potential support at $0.6276.
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AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D15 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D15 Y25
Good Morning Traders!
A very similar setup to what was forecast yesterday! Take a look.
We are sitting in varies higher time frame order blocks with confluence stacking.
We have had a move off the point of interest identified yesterday and a 15' order block was created on the bearish move.
Let price action gravitate to our 15' order block in London for a continued short.
FRGNT X
AUD/USD Bullish Breakout Setup – RBR Zone StrategyAUD/USD 1H Chart Analysis
1. Trend Shift Identified
⚡ CHoCH (Change of Character) detected!
Price broke above a previous high → Potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
🔸 Bearish → Bullish Shift!
2. Key Zone: RBR Zone
🔵 RBR (Rally-Base-Rally) Zone!
This is a strong demand zone where buyers stepped in.
Price is expected to return here before continuing upward.
⬇️ Price retracement
⬆️ Reentry opportunity!
3. Trade Setup
📍 Entry: In the blue RBR zone
🛑 Stop Loss: Below zone at 0.61002
🎯 Target: At 0.63307
Trade Idea:
Risk: 🔻 Small (below RBR zone)
Reward: 🔺 Big (up to previous structure)
R:R Ratio = 3:1 ✔️
4. EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
📈 9 EMA is trending upward
Price is above the EMA → Bullish momentum confirmed
Summary
Buy setup forming after trend reversal
Watch for price reaction in the RBR zone
If support holds → 🚀 to the target!
AUDUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇦🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for AUDUSD
for this week.
Resistance 1: 0.6385 - 0.6430 area
Resistance 2: 0.6455 - 0.6470 area
Resistance 3: 0.6518 - 0.6560 area
Support 1: 0.6078 - 0.6135 area
Support 2: 0.5914 - 0.5954 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading!
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Sellers Trapped! AUD/USD Flips Structure to BullishAustralian Dollar / U.S. Dollar (AUD/USD)
📆 Timeframe: 1-Day (1D)
📈 Technical Breakdown:
1. Sideways Consolidation Zone
The price has been consolidating within a clear horizontal range.
This range is defined by upper resistance and lower support zones, with several rejections confirming the boundaries.
2. Downtrend Resistance Line Broken
A long-standing resistance trendline has been breached to the upside.
This breakout suggests a potential trend reversal or continuation rally if price holds above.
3. Seller Trap Identified
There was a strong liquidity sweep below the support zone, labeled “Sellers Got Trapped.”
This is a classic liquidity grab, where shorts were likely triggered before price reversed sharply upward.
4. EMA 50 as Dynamic Support
Price has reclaimed the 50 EMA (0.62701), indicating a shift in short-term momentum towards the bulls.
If the price remains above this moving average, it could act as a dynamic support in the near term.
5. RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 57.62
RSI is in bullish neutral territory, suggesting there’s still room for upward momentum before overbought levels (>70).
No bearish divergence is currently visible.
✅ Bullish Outlook:
Breakout above resistance trendline ✅
Recovery above EMA 50 ✅
Seller trap below range ✅
RSI supports further move ✅
AUD/USD - Bullish SetupDaily View - We can actknowedlge that price is currently consolidation within a Large supply zone from where we saw last weeks news.. I would like to see us return into the Demand further down as we will be getting close to being over sold. From there we can notice smaller amounts of Sell side Liquidity to test before powering into Buy side Highs.
Currently we are also testing a Resistance zone which is still currently strong so that tells me price will need to really push through with volume to invalidate this level.
Smaller Time frames suggest a break and retest from this supply zone. If we get a Bearish break and retest I would consider this a fadeout for the favour of resting Liquidity sitting lower to collect as mentioned before.
Please follow for any questions
AUDUSD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.6314
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.6202
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDUSD INTRADAY key resistance retest at 0.6390 AUDUSD maintains a bullish bias, supported by the prevailing upward trend. Recent intraday movement indicates a corrective pullback toward a key consolidation zone, offering a potential setup for trend continuation.
Key Support Level: 0.6266 – previous consolidation range and pivotal support
Upside Targets:
0.6390 – initial resistance
0.6420 and 0.6550 – extended bullish targets on higher timeframes
A bullish breakout from 0.6390 would suggest continuation of the uptrend, confirming buying momentum.
However, a decisive reversal and daily close below 0.6390 would invalidate the bullish structure, opening the door for further retracement toward 0.6266, with additional support at 0.6100 and 0.6030.
Conclusion
AUDUSD remains bullish above 0.6390. A bounce from this level supports further gains. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 14 April 2025- AUDUSD reversed from the long-term support level 0.5945
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.6400
AUDUSD currency pair recently reversed up from the support area between the major long-term support level 0.5945 (which started the sharp weekly uptrend in 2020) and the lower weekly Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support area created the weekly Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Bullish Engulfing – strong buy signal for AUDUSD .
Given the clear bullish divergence on the weekly Stochastic indicator and the strongly bearish US dollar sentiment, AUDUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.6400.
AUD/USD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the AUD/USD with the target of 0.621 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDUSD – Back From the Brink Below 0.6000, But What Next?Last week, AUDUSD was one of the main beneficiaries of the shift from despair, over Donald Trump's seemingly relentless tariff onslaught at the start of the week, to sheer relief into the Friday close, as the US President paused the tariff start date for 90 days. This move saw AUDUSD rally an impressive 5% from opening levels on Monday at 0.5992 to close the week at 0.6290.
Of course, there was a lot for traders to digest across the week, which included headlines regarding the potential for a fresh round of stimulus from Australia's most important trading partner China, to help support its economy through the escalating trade war with the US. Throw in the fact that traders were short AUDUSD and had to rush to cover these positions in response to the China news, as well as adjusting them again once the narrative shifted to a sell dollar story mid week, and you can see why a 5% rally occurred.
That explains last week's move, but where next for AUDUSD in the week ahead?
Traders again could have a lot to consider, including scheduled events, like the release of the RBA minutes at 0230 BST on Tuesday, which may help to give more context to why the Australian central bank decided to leave interest rates unchanged at the start of April.
China GDP, Industrial Production and Retail Sales are released at 0300 BST on Wednesday. The strength of this data could determine whether a more expansive package of stimulus measures are rolled out to support the economy.
Then it may be back to a dollar focus when US Retail Sales are released at 1330 BST on Wednesday. US consumer sentiment has collapsed at the start of 2025 as inflation and job security concerns dominate their outlook. This release may provide an insight into whether weak sentiment is leading to a pullback in spending, which could be bad news for the US economy and corporate earnings later in the year.
On the unscheduled side of things, tariff news may well be important again as traders try and digest further updates from the US and China, as well as news surrounding potential trade deals that are being negotiated between the US and allies.
Technical Outlook: Back To Important Resistance
While on April 9th AUDUSD posted a new correction low at 0.5914, which was the currency pairs lowest level since the March 2020 covid spike low, the balance of the week saw a sharp recovery in price. This rally, while impressive, only appears to have taken prices back to what might potentially be a strong resistance focus for traders in the week ahead.
Fibonacci retracements calculated on previous declines in price can reflect possible important resistance areas to consider when a price recovery is seen. As such, 0.6308, which is equal to the 38.2% retracement of the weakness seen between September 30th 2024 to April 9th 2025, may be a level to monitor.
As the chart above shows, this morning is seeing this 0.6308 resistance level tested, and how this level is defended on a closing basis in the week ahead could be important.
We also know previous highs in AUDUSD can potentially act as resistance levels. This suggests the 3 price failure highs at 0.6389 (April 3rd), 0.6391 (March 17th) and 0.6408 (February 21st) could be important and may possibly add to the strength of resistance just above current levels.
The next possible directional price moves may depend on how the 0.6308 to 0.6408 resistance range is defended on a closing basis.
What if The Resistance Area is Broken?
Of course, resistance up to the 0.6408 level currently remains intact and further significant buying may be required to prompt a successful upside closing break, however, while not a guarantee of future price strength, closes above 0.6408 might be an indication that potential is turning towards further attempts at upside, in which case the next resistance might then be 0.6549, which is equal to the higher 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
What if The Resistance Area Caps the Upside?
While the 0.6308/0.6408 resistance area remains intact, it’s possible it can turn directional risks lower again. If AUDUSD prices do turn down it might be that closing breaks of support at 0.6161, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of latest strength, are required to suggest a deeper phase of price weakness.
Such activity while not confirming a more extended decline in price, might lead to tests of 0.6114, even deeper corrections towards 0.6067, the respective 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
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