Week of 3/30/25: AUDUSD Weekly AnalysisWeekly analysis this week, price has been congesting and tightening the last 2 weeks, expecting hopefully a good move this week to breakout of consolidation.
Starting the week with a bearish bias.
Major News: NFP Friday
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AUDUSD trade ideas
AUDUSD POSSIBLE BUY When price came to our POI on the M30 it wasn't respected instead we got a sweep of liquidity of that leg, nonetheless the demand zone on the M30 was seen on the 1H which makes it invalidated. After the sweep we got a push up, well price has been ranging for awhile. On the Hourly we're seeing a clear price action so in summary since we've seen a BOS on the hourly and liquidity below before POI, my expectation is if price respects our POI I'll be looking for long.
Is This the Calm Before the Storm on AUD/USD?The AUD/USD pair is currently consolidating within a sideways range, indicating indecision in the market. Price is fluctuating between key horizontal support near 0.6150 and resistance around 0.6450.
A rising trendline is providing strong dynamic support, keeping the pair from breaking lower, while a descending resistance line continues to limit upside momentum. As long as the pair remains within this range, no clear trend is confirmed.
A breakout above resistance could signal a bullish shift, while a breakdown below the trendline may open the door for further downside.
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AUD/USD 1H – Testing Demand Zone for a Potential Reversal?The pair is currently retesting a strong demand zone, with multiple rejections seen in this area. A Break of Structure (BoS) indicates bullish potential, but price needs to confirm a reversal before a strong upside move.
📊 Key Observations:
✔ Break of Structure (BoS): Bullish intent was confirmed earlier.
✔ Swing Structure Support (SSS): Holding for now, but a deeper test of demand is possible.
✔ Demand Zone Reaction: If price holds above 0.6270–0.6255, a bullish reversal is likely.
🔎 Trade Idea: Looking for bullish confirmations within the demand zone. A clean rejection could offer long opportunities toward recent highs.
AUDUSD | APRIL 2025 FORECAST| This Next Move will be Massive!AUD/USD is shaping up for a critical month, with price action hovering around a key support zone near . The pair has been reacting to , influencing both bullish and bearish momentum.
🔹 Trend Analysis: The pair remains in a on the higher timeframe, with acting as dynamic support/resistance.
🔹 Key Levels: Support at , resistance at .
🔹 Momentum & Structure: A break above could trigger bullish continuation, while failure to hold may lead to a deeper retracement.
With fundamentals aligning with technicals, this month could present solid trading opportunities. Will AUD/USD push higher, or are we in for a reversal? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀📊 #AUDUSD
AUDUSD: Bears Will Push Lower
The price of AUDUSD will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
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Master the Market with These 5 Wave Trading RulesHello,
In any business, rules are the backbone of success, providing the structure and discipline needed to thrive. Trading and investing are no exceptions—they must be treated with the same seriousness and rigor as any entrepreneurial venture.
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Understanding Wave Trading
Markets don’t move randomly—they ebb and flow in predictable waves. According to Elliott Wave Theory (a type of wave theory), trends unfold in a series of five waves (known as impulses) followed by three waves (corrections). Mastering this rhythm allows you to anticipate where the market is headed next, giving you a strategic edge.
Our Trading Rules
Here’s a breakdown of the essential rules I follow as a wave trader, designed to guide you through the process with clarity and precision:
Identify Impulse & Correction
Impulse: A robust, directional price surge made up of five sub-waves, signaling the dominant trend.
Correction: A smaller, counter-trend move consisting of three sub-waves, acting as a pause or pullback.
Recognizing these phases reveals the market’s underlying structure. For example, spotting a five-wave impulse upward suggests a bullish trend, while a three-wave correction might signal a temporary dip—perfect for planning your next move.
Identify the Pattern Formations
Look for patterns that can help you anticipate the next moves e.g. the expanding triangle, Bullish flag or even reversal patterns.
Identify Entry Points
Timing is everything. Pinpoint the perfect moment to enter a trade based on your wave and pattern analysis.
Wait for confirmations like a breakout above a flag pattern or a signal from indicators such as moving averages or MACD that align with your wave count.
Look for Targets
Set clear profit targets to stay disciplined and secure gains.
Wave projections, like the expected end of wave 5 in an impulse.
Look for Exits in Case the Trade Doesn’t Go Your Way
Not every trade is a winner, and that’s okay. Protect your capital with stop-losses placed at logical levels.
Where to set them: Choose points that invalidate your analysis—like below a key support level or a wave pattern’s critical threshold. If the market breaks that level, your trade idea’s likely wrong, so exit calmly.
This removes emotion from the equation, safeguarding your account for the long haul.
The Power of Discipline
These rules aren’t just guidelines—they’re your shield against the emotional rollercoaster of trading. Write them down, pin them up, or keep them handy on your trading desk. Reviewing them before every trade reinforces your commitment to a systematic, objective approach. Discipline turns good strategies into great results.
Wishing you success on your trading journey!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD/USD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
AUD/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 0.629
Target Level: 0.631
Stop Loss: 0.627
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Continue to be bullish.Economic Fundamentals
Australia: Its economic growth, inflation and export prices affect the Aussie. Growth aids appreciation; inflation undermines it. Higher resource prices boost the currency.
US: Strong US data strengthens the dollar, weakening AUD/USD; weak data has the opposite effect.
Market & Geopolitical Factors
High risk appetite benefits the Aussie; low appetite favors the dollar. Geopolitical tensions prompt a flight to the dollar, hurting the Aussie.
💎💎💎 AUDUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@0.62500 - 0.62800
🎁 TP 0.63500 - 0.64000
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We’re bullish on AUDUSDTechnical Analysis
AUDUSD lies below 50 - period SMA (0.6324, declining) and 100 - day SMA (0.6512, falling), indicating a downward trend yet short - term upside potential. January 2025 RSI bullish divergence shows weakening downward momentum. Break above 0.6340 could push it to 0.6400; otherwise, it may range 0.6131 - 0.6302.
Economic Fundamentals
Australia: Its economic growth, inflation and export prices affect the Aussie. Growth aids appreciation; inflation undermines it. Higher resource prices boost the currency.
US: Strong US data strengthens the dollar, weakening AUD/USD; weak data has the opposite effect.
Market & Geopolitical Factors
High risk appetite benefits the Aussie; low appetite favors the dollar. Geopolitical tensions prompt a flight to the dollar, hurting the Aussie.
💎💎💎 AUDUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@0.62500 - 0.62800
🎁 TP 0.63500 - 0.64000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
AUDUSD 110 buy setup!!The current market structure shows a strong alignment for a potential upward movement, forming a double bottom at a significant support level. This pattern respects both the structural levels and Fibonacci retracement levels. With important news scheduled for release today at 8 PM, particularly positive developments for the dollar could influence market direction. Given the risk-to-reward ratio, it appears favorable to consider positioning for an upward trend.
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AUD/USD at a Crossroads: The Battle of Breakouts and SupportsTrade frictions remain a headwind in the market. US trade measures have triggered concerns, and the Australian economy, which is dependent on exports to China, may be impacted. Meanwhile, inflation triggered by tariffs conflicts with concerns about a slowdown in the US economy. The Federal Reserve has maintained the interest rate unchanged and adjusted its economic forecasts.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut interest rates in February, and future actions will depend on inflation data. Employment positions decreased in February while the unemployment rate remained stable. The upcoming release of the monthly CPI indicator for February is of great concern. The net short - positions of the Australian dollar have increased, and market sentiment is bearish.
Technically, if the AUD/USD breaks through key levels, there is upward potential. If the bears dominate, there are multiple support levels. Momentum indicators show mixed performance.
AUDUSD
sell@0.63500-0.63000
tp:0.62500-0.62000
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AUDUSD(20250327)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6298
Support and resistance levels:
0.6350
0.6331
0.6318
0.6278
0.6265
0.6246
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6298, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6318
If the price breaks through 0.6278, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6265