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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

AUD/USD: Bullish Momentum Amid RBA SupportThe AUD/USD currency pair has showcased a notable bullish momentum over the past three days, reflecting a growing confidence among traders in the Australian Dollar's strength. However, as the London session commenced today, the pair has experienced a slight retracement, drawing attention to its position within a significant demand zone. This area is not only crucial for potential price reversals but also indicates that traders are actively watching for signs of a possible trend continuation. Central to the pair's performance is the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) hawkish monetary policy stance. Recent developments from the RBA have painted a picture of cautious optimism regarding the Australian economy. Specifically, the minutes released from the RBA's November meeting on Tuesday underscored the board's alertness to the risks of rising inflation. The minutes affirmed the RBA's belief that monetary policy must remain firmly restrictive to combat these inflationary pressures, which has significant implications for the AUD/USD pair. This hawkish outlook from the RBA may serve to bolster the Australian Dollar, as it implies that interest rates could remain elevated or potentially rise further. Such a stance tends to attract investors seeking higher returns, which can lead to increased demand for the AUD. Consequently, this may deter traders from making aggressive bearish bets against the Australian Dollar, providing a supportive environment for the currency pair. In terms of technical analysis, we are observing key indicators that suggest a potential price surge. Historical price patterns, combined with recent market movements, indicate that the pair could be poised for a rebound. Additionally, the latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report supports this outlook, as it reveals positioning trends among institutional traders that align with our bullish expectations. Overall, the combination of a supportive fundamental backdrop, characterized by the RBA's vigilant stance on inflation, alongside favorable technical signals, suggests that the AUD/USD pair is likely to regain upward momentum in the near term. Traders will want to keep a close watch on upcoming economic data and central bank communications, as they could further influence market sentiment and the direction of the pair in the coming days. ✅ Please share your thoughts about AUD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
3
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Recovers - More Gains Ahead?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Recovers - More Gains Ahead? AUD/USD is attempting a recovery wave from 0.6440. Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar found support near 0.6440 and is now recovering against the US Dollar. - There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6480 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair dipped from the 0.6685 resistance zone. The Aussie Dollar declined below 0.6500, but the bulls were active near 0.6440 against the US Dollar. A low was formed near 0.6439 and the pair is now correcting losses. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the 0.6685 swing high to the 0.6439 low. There was also a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6480. The pair is now above 0.6500 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the 0.6685 swing high to the 0.6439 low at 0.6560. The first major resistance is near 0.6630. A clear upside break above 0.6630 could send the pair toward 0.6685. The next major resistance on the AUD/USD chart is near 0.6720, above which the price could rise toward 0.6750. Any more gains might send the pair toward 0.6800. On the downside, initial support is near 0.6500 or the 50-hour simple moving average. The next support could be the 0.6480 zone. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.6440 support. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
AUDUSD - Trump continues to influence the dollar!The AUDUSD currency pair is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. In case of an upward correction due to the release of economic data this week, we can see the supply zone and sell within those limits with the appropriate risk reward. As long as the drawn upward trend line is maintained, the target of this corrective movement will be the ceiling of the descending channel. The recent U.S. elections have sparked two contrasting narratives about the country’s economic future. One emphasizes economic growth through tax and regulatory cuts, while the other highlights downside risks stemming from tariffs and overall policy uncertainty. However, the business cycle’s strong performance to date remains a key consideration. Forecasts suggest that U.S. economic growth will slightly slow to 2% in 2025, with unemployment rising modestly to 4.5%. Additionally, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (Core PCE) index is expected to decrease by 0.5% next year, settling at 2.3%. The Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December and reduce them further to 3.75% by the end of Q3 2025. On the trade policy front, significant tariff increases on China are anticipated, though no major changes are expected elsewhere. These tariffs could reduce trade volumes and raise import prices. According to a recent Federal Reserve Bank of New York report, credit application rejection rates in 2024 are projected to be significantly higher than in 2019. The report also indicates that households are expected to be less inclined to apply for credit next year. Rejection rates for mortgage refinancing and auto loans have reached record highs in the survey’s history. Furthermore, the share of Americans refraining from applying for credit due to discouragement is on the rise. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs has revised its 2025 economic growth forecast for Australia downward, citing potential negative spillovers from the expected increase in U.S. tariffs on China. In its 2025 Australia and New Zealand Outlook report, Goldman now predicts a 1.8% rise in Australia’s GDP for next year, down from its earlier 2% forecast. This adjustment reflects the anticipated impact of tariffs on Australia’s exports, given that China is its largest trading partner. President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to impose a 60% tariff on Chinese exports, aiming to protect American businesses and jobs. In response, Chinese President Xi Jinping has remarked that China-Australia relations have maintained a positive trajectory of growth. He emphasized the need for enhanced coordination and cooperation between the two nations, stating that there are no fundamental conflicts of interest between them. Xi also called on Australia to create fairer trade conditions, announcing China’s readiness to increase imports of high-quality Australian products and encourage Chinese companies to invest in the country.
Short
by Ali_PSND
AUDUSD InsightHello, subscribers! Great to see you all. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - For the first time since the war in Ukraine began, U.S.-approved long-range missiles were fired into Russian territory. In response, Russia hinted at revising its nuclear doctrine, suggesting a possible use of nuclear weapons. - Despite this, both Russia and Ukraine appear to be avoiding further escalation, and the U.S. shows little intention of deeper involvement, which suggests the situation may not pose a major risk. - Risk appetite for assets is expected to strengthen after NVIDIA announces its Q3 earnings on November 21. Key Economic Indicators Schedule - November 20: U.K. October CPI - November 22: Japan October CPI AUD/USD Chart Analysis AUD/USD has shown support near the recent lows and has broken through the 0.65200 level, which was a key resistance area. Based on the current trend, further gains toward the 0.66000 level are expected. If it manages to break through the 0.66000 level, a rally toward the 0.69000 level could follow. However, if a downtrend occurs near the 0.66000 level, it may be necessary to reassess the recent lows. In that case, a new strategy will be promptly developed.
Long
by shawntime_academy
AUD/USD: Seeking dips for move to 66cAUD/USD has risen for a thirds day from its multi-week low, and shows the potential to head for 66c It is the second day in a row the market closed just off its daily high and the daily RSI (2) is not yet overbought. However, the October high makes a likely interim resistance level which could spark a pullback before dip buyers return. Bulls could seek dips down towards the weekly pivot near 0.6500 in anticipation of its next leg higher, with 0.6560, 0.6584 (November VPOC) and the 0.6600 handle coming into focus.
Long
by CityIndex
AUD /USD BUY POTENTIAL IS THERE TO GRAB!! DESCRIPTION - On a daily swing we can clearly identify the overall momentum is bearish , and same applies in 4hr as well , however we can identify a large bullish engulfing candle formed up ( now complete and breaking the overall fractal structure and showing us there is a potential of IBOS ( INTERNAL BREAK OF STRUCTURE ) . So , whenever we see IBOS it is very likely that there will be swing pull back about to start or in end on in these case as of now it seems to start. - Nothing is being pulled yet as I will be patiently monitoring for the price to come down to the area of 4hr supply or least the fractal area ( wick ) to be touched , to see any potential good entries to be made on lower TF either in 15m or 1hr TF. - Will be monitoring the trade on London and NY session for 19th November 2024. Potential Trade type - pull Back Trading Methods Strategies' - Market Structure - Liquidity - Supply and demand - Experience - Premium and discount
Long
by rubinGrg
4
AUD/USD bull is about to enter the marketIn 31st Oct, the candle has been form a hammer candle on the orange resistance rectangle, which means there is a possibility of changing direction from downside to upside. Stoch RSI is crossed, which means the buying momentum is about to pump. Buy entry is in. SL: 0.6525, TP 0.681. The reason of TP @0.6810 is seemed going to form head and shoulders pattern. Usually, left shoulder is the same level on the right shoulder. Therefore, this price point is the best for TP. This swing trade could take 3-4 weeks to play out. Remember the rule only risk 1% and reward 3-6%. Good luck with trading and have a good weekend.
Long
by RedPanda_Trader
1
4-hr AUD/USD: A Pullback Is Taking PlaceThe AUD/USD pair remains entrenched in a clear downtrend, reflecting ongoing bearish market sentiment. This trend was reinforced by the emergence of a strong sell signal, known as the Death Cross, where the 20-period moving average (MA) crossed below the 60-period moving average. This technical event typically signals continued downside potential in the currency pair. Despite the prevailing downtrend, the pair is currently experiencing a pullback. This retracement has been driven by short-term buyers stepping in, attracted by the oversold conditions and the potential for a brief recovery. As a result, the AUD/USD has climbed back above the 23% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting some temporary stabilization. The pair now appears poised to retest the 0.6560 region, which aligns closely with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. This area is likely to act as a potential resistance point, offering traders an attractive entry opportunity to sell and align with the dominant bearish trend. For sellers, this level represents a better risk-to-reward setup, allowing them to capitalize on the broader downtrend while minimizing exposure to short-term fluctuations.
Short
by Trendsharks