AUDUSD - Fake BreakoutHello Traders !
The AUDUSD failed to break the resistance level (0.63142 - 0.63449).
The higher low is broken (change of character).
So, I expect a bearish move📉
_______________
TARGET: 0.62100🎯
AUDUSD trade ideas
AUDUSD I Weekly CLS, Monthly FVG, Model1 to 50%AUDUSD I Weekly CLS, Monthly FVG, Model1 to 50%
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Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
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#035 Trust The Process AUDUSD Buy 1021SGT 26022025Backlog post
Buying. Price at the support level of the down channel, so, I am buying.
2221SGT 26022025
Aussie H4 | Downward momentum accelerating?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6243 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.6285 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.6177 which is a multi-swing-low support.
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"AUD/USD Bullish Setup: Key Levels to Watch"🔹 Technical Analysis of AUD/USD (4H Chart)
🔹 Market Structure & Trend Analysis
▪️ The price is currently in an uptrend, respecting a rising trendline that has acted as dynamic support.
▪️ Multiple rejections from the trendline indicate strong bullish sentiment.
▪️ The market has broken past key resistance zones, turning them into support.
🔹 Key Support & Resistance Levels
▪️ Support Zones:
▪️ Point of Interest (POI) at 0.62900: A significant demand area where price is expected to react.
▪️ Lower Support at 0.62500: Potential fallback level if the POI fails to hold.
▪️ Resistance Zones:
- 1st Target at 0.64411: Next major resistance where sellers might step in.
- 2nd Target at 0.64972: A higher resistance level for extended bullish targets.
🔹 Price Action & Gaps
- A previous gap in price was filled, confirming strong bullish momentum.
- Retests of previous breakout zones suggest market structure is holding.
🔹 Expected Market Movement
▪️ Bullish Scenario:
- A potential pullback to the trendline & POI is expected before a continuation upward.
- If support holds, price may rally towards 0.64411 (1st Target) and then 0.64972 (2nd Target).
▪️ Bearish Scenario:
- If the price breaks below the trendline, a move towards 0.62500 support may occur.
- Further downside could invalidate the bullish bias.
🔹 Conclusion
▪️ Overall bias remains bullish unless the price breaks below the trendline support.
▪️ Watching the POI zone reaction will be crucial for potential buy opportunities.
▪️ Targets remain at 0.64411 and 0.64972 if bullish momentum continues.
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AUD/USDd trend at the beginning of the weekAUD/USD news:
🔆The Australian dollar climbed to 0.6370 on Monday following China’s release of its 2025 annual policy statement on Sunday. The statement outlined plans to advance rural reforms and drive comprehensive rural revitalization, boosting optimism about China’s economic outlook. Given China’s significance as Australia’s key trading partner, these stimulus measures could further support the AUD.
🔆Additionally, the AUD/USD pair gained traction as US President Donald Trump signaled potential progress in trade talks with China, easing concerns over tariffs. Investors will remain attentive to any new tariff-related updates from Trump.
🔆Last week, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 4.10%, marking its first rate reduction in four years. RBA Governor Michele Bullock acknowledged the burden of high interest rates but warned that inflation was still a concern. She highlighted the resilience of the labor market and clarified that future rate cuts are not guaranteed, despite market expectations.
🔆The Australian dollar continued to strengthen as the US dollar weakened, following disappointing US economic data.
Personal opinion:
🔆AUD will increase in the short term after considering the recent good news, but then there will be a technical adjustment at the 0.6420 area.
Technical analysis:
🔆Based on important support - resistance levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell AUDUSD 0.6420 – 0.6435
❌SL: 0.6480 | ✅TP: 0.6390 – 0.6350 – 0.6300
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
AUD/USD Trend This Week – Retest and Continue Falling?AUD/USD news:
🔆Investors view President Trump’s $4.5 trillion tax cut bill as supportive of economic growth and likely to drive inflation higher. This expectation could prompt Federal Reserve (Fed) officials to keep monetary policy restrictive for an extended period, strengthening the US dollar.
🔆At the same time, the Australian Dollar (AUD) has lagged behind its peers due to weaker-than-expected growth in Australia’s Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January. The CPI increased by 2.5% year-over-year, slightly below the forecast of 2.6% but maintaining the same pace as in December.
🔆Last week, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) reaffirmed that inflation remains a concern after cutting interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.1%.
🔆Looking ahead, concerns over Trump’s tariff policies could keep pressure on the Aussie Dollar. So far, Trump has imposed a 10% tariff on Chinese imports and has threatened a 100% levy on BRICS nations if they attempt to challenge the US dollar’s dominance.
Personal opinion:
🔆Due to the impact of the news, the AUD is a risk-sensitive currency to the USD market and there is no positive sign from the Australian central bank (RBA), so the AUD/USD pair will still maintain a downtrend in the short term
Analysis:
🔆Based on the trend line and important Fibonacci levels combined with fundamental news to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy AUD/USD 0.6320 - 0.6330
❌SL: 0.6365 | ✅TP: 0.6280 – 0.6250 – 0.6200
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
aud friday quant zonesCheck out our socials for some nice insights.
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I WAS WRONG FOR U.S DOLLAR AUDUSD - Based on performance i had two players to trade this week , Japanese Yen for buy and U.S Dollar for sell. U.S Dollar proved me wrong and it had very good performance with some pairs. The most clear pair for buy U.S Dollar is AUDUSD, as we can see the price is on very strong demand zone if the price will reject this zone we can make profit between the zones.
AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 27 February 2025
- AUDUSD falling inside wave b
- Likely to fall support level 0.6200
AUDUSD currency pair continues to fall inside the b-wave which started earlier from the major resistance level 0.6400 (former strong support from April and August of 2024).
The resistance level 0.6400 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band and by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from last October.
Given the strongly bullish US dollar sentiment and strong daily downtrend, AUDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.6200, the target price for the completion of the active wave b.
AUDUSD at Key Demand Zone – Potential Rebound?OANDA:AUDUSD has reached a significant demand zone, marked by historical price reactions and strong buying pressure. The recent decline has brought the price into this key support area, increasing the likelihood of a potential bullish reaction.
If buyers step in and confirm support within this zone, we could see a rebound toward the 0.63260 level, aligning with a corrective move after the recent sell-off. However, a break below this demand zone would invalidate the bullish bias and could signal further downside continuation.
Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing patterns, or increased buying volume before considering long positions.
Do you agree with this analysis? Let me know your thoughts!
AUD/USD Confirms Bearish Wedge PatternAUD/USD Confirms Bearish Wedge Pattern
The AUD/USD pair has confirmed a bearish wedge pattern, suggesting that USD dominance may grow further as focus shifts back to peace talks between Ukraine and Russia. Let's hope for a positive outcome this time. This renewed focus is supporting the strength of the USD.
Additionally, lingering tariff issues continue to make the USD volatile, pushing it up and down, although overall, the US economy is performing well. Given the relatively empty economic calendar, AUD/USD may correct within its current zone before potentially moving down to the 0.6300 and 0.6250 levels.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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AUDUSD STRONG FALL SOON OPPORTUNITY 1. Breakout Above Resistance
The analysis assumes a rejection at the resistance zone, leading to a downtrend. However, if bullish momentum builds, the price could break above resistance, invalidating the sell-off expectation.
2. Support Might Not Hold
The marked support zone might be weak if there is strong bearish sentiment, leading to a potential breakdown rather than a reversal from that level.
3. Range-bound Market
Instead of a clear breakout or breakdown, AUD/USD might stay within a sideways range, consolidating between support and resistance rather than making a decisive move.
4. Fundamental Factors
Economic data releases, central bank policies, or geopolitical events could override this technical setup, causing unexpected price movements in either direction.
Shorting AUDaily chart showing shift in order flow and last candle showing strong bearish candle.
4h is not really showing clear narrative but 1h provided liquidity purge, divergence with NU and entry was above opening price
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 26/02/2025Last week the Judas Swing strategy had another action-packed week! As we took four trades across our selected currency pairs ( FX:GBPUSD , FX:AUDUSD , FX:EURUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD ), securing two wins and two losses, but still closing the week with a solid 2% gain.
Given the strategy’s consistency over the past few weeks and months, we were eager to see how it would perform this week. On Monday, we waited for a setup on FX:EURUSD , but it fell just a few pipettes short of meeting all the criteria on our checklist. Since one key requirement wasn’t met, we stayed disciplined and skipped the trade. Now, here’s the important part—although that trade ended up being a winner, it didn’t bother us. Why? Because it didn’t align with our strategy, and we don’t risk our hard-earned money on trades that don’t check all the boxes. If you find yourself entering random trades, it’s time to create a checklist and stick to it. Discipline is what separates consistent traders from gamblers.
Fast forward to Wednesday, we spotted a promising setup on FX:AUDUSD and we were eager to see how the session would unfold. After a sweep of liquidity at the lows, our focus immediately shifted to potential buying opportunities. Once we got a break of structure to the upside, all that was left was a retrace into the FVG before executing the trade. But patience was key—we reminded ourselves of Monday’s setup, where a similar scenario played out, yet the retrace never came. That trade had to be left behind, and we weren’t about to force an entry this time either
Finally, price retraced into the FVG, and as soon as that candle closed, we were ready to execute the trade. We risk 1% per trade with the goal of securing a 2% return ensuring our wins outweigh our losses over time. With this strategy’s win rate hovering around 50%, sticking to our rules keeps us on the path to long-term profitability
After entering the trade, we experienced a slight drawdown for less than five minutes, dipping just 2 pips nothing out of the ordinary. Our entry candle had closed in our intended direction, so we stayed patient. Soon after, price moved decisively in our favor, hitting our target in just 1 hour and 10 minutes. Our patience paid off this time with a solid 2% return on a trade where we had only risked 1%.
AUDUSD Buy zone. After Market structure shift in 4H and Daily shift now price is taking a way down to the point of interest (liquidity zone) in this zone there is 4H liquidity engineer as well as five minute Liquidity Engineer.
The price is predicted to tap into liquidity engeneer and move to the bullish direction.
The trade can be taken directly, or one can wait for change of structure in lower time frame and enter.
I wish you all the best.
Aud/Usd Buy IdeaAud Usd is in a uptrend on the daily time frame. So we need to find a entry on the earlier time frames to buy it so that we can follow the trend.
We have a buy signal on the min 5 time frame.
So we should buy aud/usd and hold it.
final take profit is 0.65000
great RRNeed to wait and see how this last 4H bar will close
and what will be the Price Action around the pivot line
but maybe I will buy
AU SELL my pa on au, bearish bias sending price to below all the liquidity . here are my hows and whys .
AUD/USD dip could be nearing its inflection pointAfter a 3-week rally which stalled around the 64c handle with a shooting star candle, a pullback was almost inevitable. but we have already seen AUD/USD fall for four consecutive days, and recent history shows its bearish streaks tend to max out at five down days. Given support is nearby and the AU-US 2-year yield is rising, I am now seeking a swing low around the 0.62750 - 0.6300 area for at least a minor bounce.
But if the recent swing low on the US dollar index gives way, perhaps something much bigger.
A break above 0.6420 opens up a run to 0.6500.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6324
1st Support: 0.6259
1st Resistance: 0.6367
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AUDUSD - The downward trend continuesGiven the CHoCH on the daily timeframe and the bearish order flow on the lower timeframe, the price could move towards 0.63103 to fill the FVG on the daily timeframe.
