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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

Potential bearish drop?AUD/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6431 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6349 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 0.6349 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
1
AUDUSD Bearish Breakout – Macro and Technicals AlignAUDUSD has broken below a rising wedge formation on the 4H chart, signaling a bearish continuation. With the Reserve Bank of Australia pausing rates and weak local data weighing on sentiment, while the Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish hold due to sticky labor costs, this trade sets up well both technically and fundamentally. I'm watching for downside continuation toward 0.6379 and potentially 0.6350. The bearish bias is invalidated on a move above 0.6475. 🔍 Technical Analysis Structure: Price broke down from a rising wedge and continues forming bear flags — each followed by further selling pressure. Current Price Action: Rejected sharply at ~0.6475 (last swing high) Confirmed breakout with downside momentum Key Support Levels: 0.6379 – minor structural support 0.6350 – major support zone from April Resistance / Invalidation: Above 0.6475 – would break the bearish structure and negate the setup Bias: Bearish — clean structure, breakout momentum, and sustained lower highs 🌏 Fundamental Context 🇦🇺 Bearish AUD Drivers: Weak domestic data: Building Approvals: -8.8% vs -1.7% forecast RBA on hold: No rate hike in sight; cautious due to housing and China concerns China slow-down: PBOC cut rates and reduced reserve requirements — signals broader economic softness 🇺🇸 Bullish USD Drivers: Fed holding firm: Benchmark rate held at 4.25–4.50% Labor costs surged +5.3% q/q Productivity dropped -0.4%, reinforcing inflation concerns Market repricing rate cuts: Cuts now expected later in 2025 or even 2026 Political pressure from Trump: Despite attacks on Jerome Powell, Fed appears unmoved Trump teasing a “major trade deal” — potentially USD-positive if credible 🎯 Trade Setup Entry Area: Watching 0.6420–0.6435 as a pullback zone for potential shorts Target Levels: First target: 0.6379 Second target: 0.6350 Stop Loss: Placed above 0.6475 (last swing high) to protect against false breakouts Trade Thesis: Technical structure supports downside continuation Macro fundamentals favor USD strength and AUD weakness Clean reward-to-risk if structure holds 🧭 Conclusion AUDUSD setup is supported by a strong confluence of technical breakdown and macro divergence. With the Fed staying firm and the RBA cautious amid weak data, the fundamentals validate the bearish trend. As long as price stays below 0.6475, the outlook remains bearish, with 0.6379 and 0.6350 as the next logical levels. Caution around U.S. data releases or trade deal news is advised, but the path of least resistance remains downward.
Short
by ultreosforex
3
AUDUSD Buy Trade IdeaOverview: AUDUSD has broken above a key weekly resistance level and is now holding above it, turning the level into support. This suggests a potential shift in higher timeframe structure. Daily Chart: The daily chart shows a clear breakout above the weekly resistance zone, followed by a healthy retracement back to retest the new support. Price action is respecting this level so far, reinforcing bullish bias. 4H Chart: Despite the higher timeframe bullish structure, the 4H chart remains in a short-term downtrend. However, selling momentum is showing signs of exhaustion—with smaller candles, wicks to the downside, and slowing RSI/MACD signals. I will wait for a trendline break or a higher low formation to confirm the end of this pullback before entering a buy. Plan: ✅ Bias: Bullish 🔍 Entry: After confirmation of 4H downtrend break 🎯 Targets: Next resistance zones on daily 📉 Invalidation: If price closes back below weekly support
Long
by Amitrading
AUDUSD BEARISH(SELL) TECHNICAL SCENARIO.AUD/USD Market Analysis Scenario Pair: AUD/USD Bias: Bearish Entry Consideration: Upon confirmation of rejection or reversal near the resistance zone. Key Levels Resistance: 0.64960 (critical supply zone) 1st Target: 0.64200 Final Target: 0.63800 Technical Scenario The AUD/USD pair is currently trading below a strong resistance at 0.64960, which has acted as a key reversal zone in the recent past. Price action near this level indicates a potential bearish reversal pattern, such as a bearish engulfing, double top, or rejection wicks on higher time frames (H4 or D1). If the pair fails to break above 0.64960, we can expect a downward movement toward the first support target at 0.64200, where minor demand might provide temporary consolidation. If bearish momentum continues, the pair could head further down to the final target at 0.63800, a previous swing low and stronger demand area.
Short
by Zickey_11
1
AUD/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! Previous week’s green candle means that for us the AUD/USD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 0.641. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
Aussie H4 | Swing-high resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6451 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 0.6524 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.6336 which is an overlap support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
AUDUSD: Short-Term Trading SetupAUDUSD: Short-Term Trading Setup Yesterday, during the FOMC meeting, Powell made positive remarks about the U.S. economy but gave no hint about future rate cuts. Today’s progress on tariffs between the UK and the U.S. is also boosting USD strength. AUDUSD has broken below a small support zone at 0.6418 and may continue downward, as seen on the chart. The price could decline further in the coming hours, targeting 0.6380 and 0.6350. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
12
Bullish bounce off overlap support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is also an overlap resistance. Pivot: 0.6359 1st Support: 0.6293 1st Resistance: 0.6440 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
AUDUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of AUD-USD with you. Looking at the AUD-USD chart, I expect a slight price decline towards the 50% Fibonacci level, around 0.61138. After this price drop, I anticipate a price increase to around 0.63000. 📉 Expectation: Bearish Scenario: A slight decline towards 0.61138 (50% Fibonacci level). Bullish Scenario: After reaching 0.61138, expect a rise to 0.63000. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Support: 0.61138 Resistance: 0.63000 💬 What are your thoughts on AUD-USD this week? Let me know in the comments! Trade safe
Long
by PouyanTradeFX
3
AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Bank Money Heist (Bullish)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Bank Heist. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk MA Line Zone. It's a Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the Crossing previous high (0.64900) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries. 📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊." 📍 Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (0.6400) Day trade basis. 📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 0.65800 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 💰💵💸AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Bank Money Heist is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝ 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets with overall score... go ahead to check👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰🗞️🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
6
AUDUSD Breakdown Incoming? Major Supply Zone Rejection + 3 Key LAUD/USD just got rejected hard from a major supply zone (0.6450–0.6415), as shown by the visible range and supply indicators (LuxAlgo). Price failed to hold above 0.6415 and has now broken below minor support at 0.6408. Why this matters: Strong supply zone at the top indicates aggressive sellers. Volume Profile shows heavy activity around 0.6408 — now turning into resistance. We’re seeing bearish momentum, and three key demand zones below could be the next targets: Key Bearish Targets: 1. 0.6221 – Past consolidation & breakout level. 2. 0.6013 – Major demand + volume cluster. 3. 0.5900 – Monthly low and long-term demand zone. Bearish Outlook: If momentum holds below 0.6408, expect downside acceleration. Confirmation comes with a close below 0.6221. A clean break here opens the door to a 200+ pip move toward 0.6013. How I'm trading it: Short bias under 0.6415 TP1: 0.6220 TP2: 0.6015 SL: 0.6450 (above supply) News to Watch: Upcoming AUD employment and CPI data could spike volatility. Stay alert. Do you think AUDUSD hits 0.60 next? Comment below! #AUDUSD #Forex #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakdown #PriceAction #VolumeProfile
Short
by FrankFx14