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AUDUSD trade ideas

Bearish drop off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has rejected off the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance, and could drop to the 1st support, which has been identified as an overlap support. Pivot: 0.6550 1st Support: 0.6492 1st Resistance: 0.6590 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
AUDUSD Cautiously Bullish As US PI Data Looms This is the Weekly FOREX Forecast for the week of July 14 - 18th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: AUDUSD The AUDUSD has been grinding higher for weeks. Only Friday closed with a hint of a pullback starting. The RBA is looking for the US CPI Data to post. If the inflation numbers are a bit hot, this will strengthen the USD against the AUD. A soft CPI should see the market pricing back in higher chances of a third cut by year-end and weigh on the US dollar. We'll see how the market reacts on Tuesday. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
by RT_Money
AUDUSD ENTRY CHARTOn this pair, we are still BEARISH, First we have our trend still on the a DOWNTREND, also on the Hourly, we got a strong KEY LEVELs+ INDUCEMENT/IMBALANCE,we got our confirmation on the LTF already, we are waiting for Price to get us IN, we also have other additional confluence on this PAIR, So if this matches with your IDEA, you can look to join us with a good risk, also note that we have got STRONG INFLATION RATE NEWS on the DOLLAR, so be watchful. THANK YOU>
Short
by LOVEGODFX2
AUDUSD good structure for higher bullish OANDA:AUDUSD whats next, we are have DESCENDING CHANNEL breaked, its followed by bullish push, but its not make to much in my op, at end price is make revers, its stop at end on strong sup zone (0.64900). We are have in last day-two RBA and RBNZ today, price is start pushing looks like zone 0.64900 can be taked for valid zone, from which now expecting higher bullish push in next periods. SUP zone: 0.65100 RES zone: 0.66300, 0.66600
Long
by DepaTrading
AUDUSD Will Move Lower! Short! Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.653. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.649 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
AUDUSDAUD/USD is currently forming an impulsive Wave 3 — one of the strongest and most profitable phases in Elliott Wave theory. 🚀📊 The structure suggests strong bullish momentum is building. We've already entered our first BUY position and are patiently waiting for a pullback to add more. Wave 3 is typically the longest and most powerful wave, so we’re locking in early and planning to scale in on confirmation. Stay sharp, manage your risk, and ride the trend. #AUDUSD #ForexSignals #ElliottWave #Wave3 #BuyTheDip #ForexTradingStrategy
by ew_17i
AUDUSD – The Spring Is Loading!AUDUSD has just pulled off an impressive rebound from the 0.6460 support zone, bouncing cleanly off the ascending trendline — like a compressed spring ready to launch. The repeated appearance of Fair Value Gaps after recent upward moves reveals a critical clue: smart money is stepping back in, and this time, they want control. The price is now testing the familiar resistance at 0.6616 — a zone that has previously rejected several bullish attempts. But this time feels different. The US dollar is clearly losing steam after softer CPI data, pushing bond yields lower and giving AUD a tactical edge. If the 0.6520 support holds strong, the next breakout won’t just be about overcoming resistance — it could be the spark for a new bullish wave. And when that wave hits... it won’t go unnoticed.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
Australian dollar eyes China GDPThe Australian dollar has edged lower on Monday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6555, down 0.32% on the day. The Aussie took advantage of US dollar weakness last week as it touched a high of 0.6593, its highest level since November 2024. China's economy is expected to have grown by 5.1% in the second quarter, after back-to-back quarters of gains of 5.4%. The government's annual growth target is around 5.0%, and policymakers won't complain if this target is exceeded for a third consecutive quarter. China's exports were up 5.8% y/y in June, above the consensus of 5.0% and well above the May gain of 4.8%. The jump in exports was driven by a trade truce with the US that lowered tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 55%. Still, the economic picture is uncertain as the tariff truce ends in August. China will also release industrial production and retail sales for June, with the markets forecasting weaker numbers. Industrial production, which has been decelerating in recent months, is expected to ease to 5.6% from 5.8%, while retail sales are expected to fall to 5.6%, down from 6 .4% in May, which was the strongest level since December 2023. Australia releases Westpac Consumer Sentiment on Tuesday, with a forecast of a 0.4% gain for July . This follows a 0.4% gain in June. Consumers remain cautious, despite the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate cut in May and lower inflation. The RBA shocked the markets last week when it maintained the cash rate at 3.85%, as all signs appeared to point to a quarter-point cut. The RBA meets next on August 12. AUD/USD is testing support at 0.6562. Below, there is support at 0.6550 There is resistance at 0.6570 and 0.6582
by OANDA
AUD/USD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! We are now examining the AUD/USD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 0.652 level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
AUD/USD Struggles at ResistanceAUD/USD is now nearly 1.6% off the highs with the weekly opening-range taking shape just below Fibonacci resistance- looking for a potential breakout in the days ahead. A look at Aussie price action shows AUD/USD reversing pitchfork resistance with the weekly opening-range taking shape just below resistance at the 61.8% retracement of the 2024 decline / weekly open at 6550/53- looking for a reaction off this mark. A top-side breach of the weekly opening-range exposes the upper parallel again, currently near ~6600. Ultimately, a close above the September low at 6622 is needed to fuel the next major leg of the advance with subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the 2019 low at 6671 and the 78.6% retracement near 6723. Initial support rests with the June low-day close (LDC) at 6458- note that the 75% parallel converges on this threshold into the close of the week and a break / close below would threaten a larger Aussie pullback. Subsequent support objectives rest at the 200-day moving average (currently ~6411) and 6332/62- a region defined by the 38.2% retracement of the yearly range, the April / August 2024 lows, and the May swing low. Losses beyond this threshold would suggest a more significant high is in place / larger reversal is underway. Bottom line: The Aussie rally failed into the trendline resistance with the monthly opening-range taking shape just below. While the broader outlook is still constructive, the advance remains vulnerable here and the immediate focus is on a breakout of the weekly range (6486-6553) for guidance. From a trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to 6458 IF Aussie is heading for a breakout on this stretch with a close above 6622 needed to mark uptrend resumption. -MB
by FOREXcom
AUD/USD Long Setup – 1H Demand to 4H Supply 🧠 Trade Breakdown: Price tapped into a clear 1H demand zone and showed bullish reaction. The setup is targeting a 4H supply zone above. This is a classic demand-to-supply flow with room for clean upside. ⸻ 📍 Key Confluences: • Strong 1H demand (reaction zone clearly respected) • Clear bullish structure: Higher highs + higher lows • 4H supply zone above as natural target zone • Momentum supported by clean bullish candles on the way up • Entry aligns with a pullback to demand zone wick rejection ⸻ 📈 Trade Setup: • Pair: AUD/USD • Entry: 0.65881 • Stop Loss: 0.65570 (below demand wick) • Take Profit: 0.66583 (4H supply zone) • Risk-to-Reward (RR): ~1:6 ⸻ 🧠 Mindset: Let this setup breathe — it’s demand into higher timeframe supply. No need to panic on minor retracements. Trust your bias. Let the setup develop. Protect your capital, but don’t micromanage the trade. “Trade Simple. Live Lavish.”
Long
by QuilLavish
China's PPI slides, Australian dollar steadyThe Australian dollar is almost unchanged on Wednesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6532, up 0.03% on the day. China's producer price index surprised on the downside in June, with a steep 3.6% y/y decline. TThe soft PPI report was driven by weak domestic demand and the continuing uncertainty over US tariffs. The lack of consumer demand was reflected in the weak CPI reading of 0.1% y /y, the first gain in four months. Monthly, CPI declined by 0.1%, following a 0.2% drop in May. There was a silver lining as core CPI rose 0.7% y/y, the fastest pace in 14 months. The uncertainty over US President Trump's tariff policy continues to perplex the financial markets. Trump had promised a new round of tariffs against a host of countries on July 9 but he has delayed that deadline until August 1. China, the world's second-largest economy after the US, has taken a hit from US tariffs, as China's exports to the US are down 9.7% this year, However, China has mitigated much of the damage as China's exports to the rest of the world are up 6%. There is a trade truce in effect between the two countries but the bruising trade war will continue to dampen US-China trade. With no tier-1 events out of the US today, the FOMC minutes of the June meeting will be on center stage. The Fed held rates at that meeting and Fed Chair Powell, who has taken a lot of heat from Donald Trump to cut rates, defended his wait-and-see-attitude, citing the uncertainty that Trump's tariffs are having on US growth and inflation forecasts.his was below the May decline of 3.3% and the consensus of -3.2%. China has posted producer deflation for 33 successive months and the June figure marked the steepest slide since July 2023. Monthly, PPI declined by 0.4%, unchanged over the past three months.
by OANDA
AUDUSD trend reversal to the upside!!!# AUD/USD Long Trading Plan ## Setup - **Pair**: AUD/USD - **Direction**: LONG - **Reason**: Breakout above major resistance indicating bullish trend. ## Entry - Enter on confirmed break above resistance - OR enter on retest on smaller time frame like 4h, 1h ## Stop Loss - Below the broken resistance level - Risk: 1-2% of account ## Take Profit - **TP1**: Next resistance level (partial close) at 0.66825 - **TP2**: Extended target based on fib 1.618 at 0.68944 - **Risk:Reward**: Minimum 1:2 ## Trade Management - Move stop to breakeven after TP1 hit - Trail stop as price moves in favor - proper risk and reward
Long
by aryoTraderX
AUDUSD Today July 8th 2025, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is widely expected to announce a 25 basis point cut in the official cash rate, lowering it from 3.85% to 3.60%. This would be the third rate cut in 2025, reflecting easing inflation and a slowing economy. Key Details for July 8, 2025: 2:30 AM WAT: Release of NAB Business Confidence data for Australia. 5:30 AM WAT: Announcement of the RBA Cash Rate decision, expected to be cut to 3.60% from 3.85%. Release of the RBA Rate Statement, outlining the rationale behind the decision. RBA Press Conference follows, providing further insights and answering questions. Market Expectations and Impact: Major banks including Westpac, Commonwealth Bank, NAB, and ANZ unanimously forecast this 25 bps cut due to softer inflation and subdued economic growth. The rate cut is expected to ease borrowing costs, potentially saving mortgage holders . The RBA aims to balance supporting growth while maintaining inflation within its 2–3% target band. Summary Timeline (WAT) Time Event Expected Outcome 2:30 AM NAB Business Confidence Indicator of business sentiment 5:30 AM RBA Cash Rate Announcement Cut from 3.85% to 3.60% 5:30 AM RBA Rate Statement Explanation of decision 5:30 AM RBA Press Conference Q&A and further guidance This rate cut is part of a broader easing cycle, with markets pricing in multiple cuts through the rest of 2025 as inflation remains manageable but economic growth slows. 2. 10-Year Government Bond Yields Australia 10-Year Bond Yield: Has been falling in 2025 alongside expectations of RBA rate cuts, AU10Y=4.232% OCR=3.85% TO TRIM IT TO 3.60% TODAY. US10Y=4.383% USD IRT=4.25%-4.5% 3. Interest Rates Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Cash Rate: Recently cut from 3.85% to 3.60% in July 2025, with expectations of further easing (potentially down to ~3.6% by year-end). US Federal Reserve Rate: Held steady at 4.25%–4.50% as of mid-2025, with a slower pace of cuts compared to Australia. 4. Interest Rate Differential and Impact on AUD/USD The interest rate differential (US rate minus Australian rate) currently favors the US by approximately 0.65–0.9 percentage points (Fed rate ~4.25–4.50% vs. RBA ~3.60%). This narrowing differential from earlier wider gaps has weighed on the AUD, as higher US rates attract capital flows, supporting the USD. However, the recent RBA rate cuts and easing inflation in Australia have softened the differential, giving some support to the AUD. Other factors influencing AUD/USD include US tariffs, China’s economic outlook (as Australia’s key trading partner), and global risk sentiment. The AUD/USD is expected to remain sensitive to the interest rate differential and central bank policies. Further RBA cuts could weaken the AUD if the US Fed maintains higher rates. Conversely, any signs of US rate cuts or easing trade tensions could boost the AUD. Inflation trends, China’s economic health, and geopolitical factors will also play key roles. In essence: The interest rate differential between the US and Australia currently favors the US, supporting the USD over the AUD, but recent RBA easing and falling Australian bond yields have narrowed this gap, providing some support to the AUD/USD pair . Traders closely watch upcoming economic data and central bank decisions for direction. #AUDUSD #RBA #FEDS #BONDS #AU10Y #US10Y
Short
by Shavyfxhub
AUD/USD - Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn AUD/USD, it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 0.65470. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated. I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again. Strong S/R zone from the past and Volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go short on this trade. Happy trading, Dale
by Trader_Dale
1
AUDUSD SHORT & LONG FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25AUDUSD SHORT & LONG FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25 It’s Fun Coupon Friday! 💸🔥 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD Selling Trading IdeaHello Traders In This Chart AUDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today AUDUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on AUDUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
Short
by ForexMasters2000