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AUDUSD trade ideas

AUDUSD | Rising Channel Rejection at Resistance Zone (4H AnalysiAUDUSD has been respecting a rising channel since February, but price is now stalling near the top of the structure, just below a strong resistance zone. • Bearish Rejection: Price has tested this blue resistance box multiple times with wicks showing rejection. • Key Levels: • Resistance Zone: 0.64000 - 0.64100 • Support Line: Lower boundary of the rising channel • If price breaks below the channel, we could see a correction toward 0.63580 and potentially lower. This setup is ideal for watching bearish confirmation or breakout retest entries. Bullish momentum would need to break and close above the resistance zone for continuation.
Short
by charliee93
4
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?AUD/USD is falling towards a support level, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, and could bounce from this level toward our take-profit target. Entry: 0.6418 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6394 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.6466 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
AUD/USD Looks Set for a PullbackThe V-bottom on AUD/USD certainly delivered for bulls, considering its low was printed amid a flurry of panicked headlines with the Aussie was on the brink of falling below 59c. But we're yet to see a pullback, even though it has been teasing one for a few weeks. But given AUD/USD formed its most bearish day since April 4 on Wednesday, with a bearish engulfing candle which saw a false break of 65c before closing beneath its 200-day SMA, perhaps a pullback is imminent. Also note the bearish divergence on the RSI (2). Bears could seek to fade into moves towards the 200-day SMA, and retain a bearish bias while prices remain beneath Wednesday's high. A retest of the April VPOC at 0.6371 seems feasible, and a break beneath the 0.6344 low assumes a much larger correction is underway. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Short
by CityIndex
AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W19 D7 Y25AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W19 D7 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly 50 EMA ✅Intraday 15' order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure to be confirmed 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBP/JPY Short, GBP/USD Short, AUD/CAD Short and AUD/USD ShortGBP/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it. GBP/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Corrective tap into area of value. • 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles. Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. AUD/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. AUD/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Short
by StewySongs
The VWAP Blueprint: Your Gateway to Smart Money MovesVWAP: Volume Weighted Average Price What is VWAP? VWAP stands for Volume Weighted Average Price. It’s a trading benchmark that gives the average price an asset has traded at throughout the day, weighted by volume. This makes it more accurate than a simple moving average, especially for intraday analysis. Unlike regular moving averages that treat every price equally, VWAP emphasizes price levels where heavier trading occurred, providing a realistic snapshot of the true average market price institutions and algorithms are interacting with. The VWAP Bounce + Rejection Entry Strategy helps you enter trades at optimal zones of value using the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP). This dynamic line acts as a magnet for price and often becomes a bounce zone when volume aligns. Instead of guessing support or resistance levels, this strategy lets you use VWAP as a real- time value guide, waiting for price to pull into it, show rejection, and bounce away with momentum. How VWAP Works The VWAP is calculated cumulatively from the market open: VWAP = (Cumulative Price × Volume) / Cumulative Volume With each tick or candle: Multiply the price by volume. Add it to the previous cumulative total. Divide by the total volume so far. This means VWAP resets daily and builds throughout the session, offering real-time insight Into what traders are willing to pay based on volume-weighted interest. Why VWAP Matters When price pulls back into VWAP and bounces with rejection, it signals that traders are defending value. Smart money often uses VWAP as a tool for entries or exits. When you align with that behavior and combine it with a clean rejection candle, you get a high-probability trade setup that’s based on logic and flow, not emotion. 1. Institutional Benchmark Institutions and smart money often aim to buy below VWAP (to secure a better-than-average price) and sell above VWAP. So the line often acts as a magnet or barrier where decisions cluster. 2. Intraday Bias Gauge Price above VWAP: Buyers dominate; bullish bias. Price below VWAP: Sellers control; bearish bias. 3. Support/Resistance & Mean Reversion VWAP behaves like a dynamic equilibrium level. Price frequently: Pulls back to VWAP during trends Here's a clear down trend 50 and 200 ma cross over. Await a pull back to trend or ma for continuation. Reverts to VWAP in consolidations Finds support/resistance at or around VWAP How to Use VWAP in Trading 1. Trend Confirmation Use VWAP as a bias filter: if price is cleanly above, favor longs if below, favor shorts. Combine it with higher highs/lows (or lower highs/lows) to validate trend strength. 2. Entry Opportunities In an uptrend: look for pullbacks to VWAP as a buy zone In a downtrend: look for retests of VWAP as a short opportunity. 3. Mean Reversion Strategy If price is far extended from VWAP, and volume shows divergence or exhaustion, consider fading the move with a target toward VWAP (especially in range-bound sessions). 4. Anchored VWAP You can anchor VWAP to specific candles, like a major high, low, or news release, to gauge value zones within a custom context. Best Timeframes for VWAP Intraday trading (1min to 15min): Ideal for scalpers and day traders. VWAP resets daily it’s not designed for swing trading unless you're using anchored VWAP. Pro Tips Don’t use VWAP in isolation pair it with: Market structure (HH/LL, BOS/CHoCH) Volume spikes or divergence Liquidity zones (order blocks, FVGs, imbalance) Session opens (London/NY open confluence) Use VWAP for confluence with other tools, not as a single trigger. VWAP is more than just a line it's a window into the heartbeat of the market. It shows where real money is positioned and whether you’re trading with or against that flow. Used with structure and context, VWAP becomes a weapon for precision entries, smart risk, and clean execution. Vwap entry types 1. VWAP Bounce (Mean Reversion Entry) Best for: Range-bound or early in the session. Entry: Price pulls back to VWAP and shows signs of rejection (e.g., pin bar, engulfing candle). Confirmation: Look for confluence with support/resistance, order blocks, or volume spikes. Stop: Below the recent swing low (if long). Target: Prior high or key level. 2. VWAP Break and Retest (Trend Continuation) Best for: Trending markets. Entry: Price breaks above VWAP with momentum and retests it from the other side. Confirmation: Lower time frame bullish structure, bullish candle on retest. Stop: Below VWAP or structure low. Target: pivot levels or structure high, fib levels. 3. VWAP Reclaim (Reversal Entry) Best for: Capturing a shift in momentum. Entry: Price moves below VWAP, then reclaims it (closes back above with strength). Confirmation: Break of market structure + volume surge Stop: Below reclaim candle. Target: Range high or key fib levels. 4. VWAP Confluence with Other Indicators Combine with: Moving Averages: e.g., 9, 50 and 200 SMA OR EMA Fibonacci retracement levels Order blocks / Liquidity zones Pivot points Use VWAP as a dynamic support/resistance level and enter when multiple signals align. Vwap examples
Education
by samstoobad
AUDUSD – Buy Limit Setup (Intraday Idea)Expires: 08/05/2025 06:00 Trade Summary Type: Buy Limit Entry: 0.6450 Target: 0.6510 Stop Loss: 0.6435 Risk/Reward Ratio: ~4:1 Duration: Intraday Technical View Medium-term bias remains bullish, suggesting the overall trend supports higher prices. We anticipate a temporary dip, offering an opportunity to enter at more favourable levels. Bespoke support at 0.6450 aligns with the Buy Limit entry, providing a strong technical foundation. Despite some bearish divergence, short-term corrections are expected to be limited. A move above 0.6500 may reaffirm the bullish momentum. Upcoming US Events to Watch 07/05 15:30: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report 07/05 19:00: U.S. Interest Rate Decision Key Technical Levels Support: 0.6450 / 0.6430 / 0.6405 Resistance: 0.6500 / 0.6530 / 0.6550 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by Signal_Centre1
MarketBreakdown | AUDUSD, EURAUD, US100, CHFJPY Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ #AUDUSD daily time frame 🇦🇺🇺🇸 The pair has completed a bullish accumulation and violated a resistance line of a horizontal range on a daily. A new higher high higher close confirms a strong bullish sentiment and a highly probably continuation of an uptrend. 2️⃣ #EURAUD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇦🇺 The price has recently violated a significant daily support cluster. After a breakout, the price dropped but did not manage to reach any important demand zone so far. The closest one is based on 1.742 level. It will most likely be the next goal for the sellers. 3️⃣ #US100 daily time frame The market is currently retesting a recently broken massive daily demand cluster. I believe that the growth will resume soon and the price will reach 20300. 4️⃣ #CHFJPY daily time frame 🇨🇭🇯🇵 The pair is currently testing a critical contracting demand zone based on a rising trend line and a horizontal support. I will expect a strong bullish reaction to that. Do you agree with my market breakdown? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
AUDUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off 61.8% Fibo Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 0.6417, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 0.6488, a swing high resistance. The stop loss is placed at 0.6355, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
My Thoughts #003 I can see that the pair pushed higher. Invalidating my last post. But I still see sells and here is how? As you can see the pair made a high and you can see it took out the most recent low that made that high signalling that the pair has choch and I am enter based on this confluence. 1: A choch and Breakout of the trendline. 2: the market went to the most recent supply zone and cleared the equal highs. The market can invalidate the set up so use proper risk management Let's do the most.
Short
by Ramokaelo
Australian core CPI falls within the RBA target, Aussie shrugsThe Australian dollar has been showing strong movement this week but is calm on Wednesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6391, up 0.14% on the day. Australia released the CPI report for the first quarter. The Australian dollar didn't show much reaction, but the data could point to another rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia. Headline CPI remained unchanged at 2.4% y/y, just above the market estimate of 2.3%. The significant news was that RBA Trimmed Mean CPI, the key core inflation indicator, dropped to 2.9% y/y from a revised 3.3% gain in Q4 2024. This is the first time in three years that core CPI is back within the RBA's target band of between 1-3%. The drop in core inflation is good news for the government, with the national election on Saturday. Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers jumped on the news, stating that the market expects four or five rate additional rate cuts this year, which would save households with mortgages "hundreds of dollars". The Reserve Bank is expected to lower rates at its next meeting on May 20, which would mark only the second rate cut this year. After cutting rates in February, the central bank has stayed on the sidelines as US President Trump's tariffs have escalated trade tensions and sent the financial markets on a roller-coaster ride. In the US, the markets are bracing for some weak data later today. ADP employment is expected to slip to 108 thousand, compared to 155 thousand in the previous release. ADP is not considered a reliable gauge for Friday's nonfarm payrolls, but a weak reading will only increase the anxiety of the nervous markets. US first-estimate GDP for Q1 is expected to slide to just 0.4% q/q, after a 2.4% gain in Q3. If there is a surprise reading from GDP, we could see a strong reaction from the US dollar after the release. AUD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6403. Above, there is resistance at 0.6431 0.6357 and 0.6329 are the next support levels
by OANDA
AUDUSD BEARISH(SELL) TECHNICAL SCENARIO.AUD/USD Market Analysis Scenario Pair: AUD/USD Bias: Bearish Entry Consideration: Upon confirmation of rejection or reversal near the resistance zone. Key Levels Resistance: 0.64960 (critical supply zone) 1st Target: 0.64200 Final Target: 0.63800 Technical Scenario The AUD/USD pair is currently trading below a strong resistance at 0.64960, which has acted as a key reversal zone in the recent past. Price action near this level indicates a potential bearish reversal pattern, such as a bearish engulfing, double top, or rejection wicks on higher time frames (H4 or D1). If the pair fails to break above 0.64960, we can expect a downward movement toward the first support target at 0.64200, where minor demand might provide temporary consolidation. If bearish momentum continues, the pair could head further down to the final target at 0.63800, a previous swing low and stronger demand area.
Short
by Zickey_11
1
AUD/USD, Are Bull Set for a Breakout ?This analysis dates from the 3rd of May, this is in no way financial advice and should be taken into account in an objective way. Make your own opinion about it, don't take it for granted. - AUD/USD is trading around the 0.64000 area on the daily chart, it has been consolidating around that area since April 21st following a 7 consecutive bull rally. Where it is heading to next still needs to be determined. Nevertheless, there is a clear Expanding Triangle dating since the start of 2025. (see image attached),(13th January, 03rd of Feb, 09th of April for the lower bar and 27 January, 20th Feb, 17th March, 23rd of April for the upside channel). - This expanding triangle is similar to the one identified on NZD/USD which had an upside breakout and is now consolidating around the 0.59200. - Whether there is an upcoming BO on Aussie Dollar is still TBT, but odds slightly favor the bulls following the strong rally in the first half of April. Nevertheless, it has been trading in a trading range since April 21st and there are no confirmed breakout yet. Needs to be closely watched in the coming days!! If bulls manage to get consecutive strong bull bars, this could set the stage for an measured move up for at a minimum a test of the 0.66000 area (downside channel from Feb 2021 to Nov 2024 on the Monthly). - The Bear reversal case is harder to argue for, as they only managed to get one strong bear bar (04th April), with no follow through selling, The market has been trading for longer on the upper bracket of the extending triangle which means the market participant agree more on higher prices. Stay tuned for further updates !! Peace.
by Baudoouin