#AUDUSD 1DAYAUDUSD (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has successfully broken above the trendline resistance, indicating a potential shift towards bullish momentum. This breakout suggests that buyers are gaining strength and further upward movement can be expected.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise as long as the price sustains above the broken trendline, confirming the breakout.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Consider a buy position after a successful retest of the broken trendline or upon confirmation of bullish momentum.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the retest level or recent swing low to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Targeting key resistance levels based on historical price action.
Market Sentiment:
The breakout above the trendline resistance signals a positive market sentiment. A retest and sustained move above the breakout level can strengthen the bullish outlook.
AUDUSD trade ideas
Bearish drop?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which his a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6331
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6372
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6262
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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AUDUSD on its way to retest the weekly high. Looking at AU chart for the past week price broke the Mayor Level ( 0.62500 ) where after the break, price gave us a nice Key Level that price rejected after attempting to go lower, meanwhile rejecting the Key Level price started to make Higher Lows and Broke Structure to the upside, Currently price is retracing giving us a nice FIB to look for an entry and the 27ext. lines up with the weekly high ( 0.64000 ). I do believe price is either gonna retest the demand zone ( 0.62750 ) where price confirmed the reversal to the upside or price is gonna start pushing at the 0.63000 level because i can see price is exhausting and wanting to start pushing up.
AUD/USD BullishAUD/USD Weekly Forecast-Bullish Outlook with Key Levels Identified.
Based on my technical analysis for the upcoming week, I anticipate a bullish move in AUD/USD. Despite the expected retracement trades, my primary focus remains on the larger trend.
Technical Analysis.
-timeframe:H4
-key support level (S level): 0.62501
-POI/Target level: 0.63653
-Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.4%
Market Structure & Entry plan.
-The market is currently showing signs of respecting the S level at 0.62501, supported by CHoCH. Although there remains unswept liquidity below this level, I am positioning my entry at 0.62501 with the expectation of a bullish reaction.
Before this move unfolds , R level that could trigger a retracement . This retracement will likely occur to grab liquidity around 0.62708 and 0.62668 before price moves toward our QML . Once the liquidity has been collected , I anticipate price to push toward our entry zone , setting up a strong bullish trade.
Trade Expectations
-entry price: 0.62501
-liquidity grab at : 0.62708 and 0.62668
-expected reaction: After liquidity is taken, price should move toward the QML and then confirm the bullish move toward our target 0.63653
-estimated trade duration: Approximately 2 days.
AUDUSD Bearish Flag Formation: Potential for a Strong Downtrend
AUDUSD is currently trading around 0.63, forming a bearish flag pattern, which is a strong continuation signal for a potential drop in price. The market structure suggests that after a brief consolidation phase, the pair may break downward, targeting the 0.61 level. A confirmed breakout below the flag formation could accelerate selling pressure, leading to a sharp decline. Traders should monitor key support levels and bearish confirmations before entering short positions.
Fundamentally, the U.S. dollar remains strong amid expectations of continued Federal Reserve hawkishness. Recent economic data and risk-off sentiment in global markets have provided further support for USD strength, weighing heavily on AUDUSD. If market sentiment remains risk-averse, the pair could see additional downside pressure, making 0.61 a highly probable target.
From a technical perspective, maintaining a cautious approach is crucial. If AUDUSD breaks below the lower boundary of the flag pattern with strong volume, it could confirm further downside momentum. Traders should look for key resistance at 0.6350, as any rejection from this level could strengthen the bearish outlook. Keeping an eye on upcoming fundamental catalysts such as U.S. economic data and Australian trade reports will be crucial in determining the next move.
AUDUSD 4DThe price has reacted positively to a key support level. Additionally, the MACD moving averages have crossed in the 4-day timeframe.
It is likely that the price will retest the 0.62000 area once more this week before an upward trend begins.
This is just a trading idea and not a buy or sell signal. You should enter a trade based on your own analysis.
AUDUSD - Wyckoff Up-Thrust on Fib 78.6 - Speed Index readingThis is how you can use Speed Index and Plutus signal to confirm a Wyckoff Up-Thrust
The methodology:
1. Location: if 61.8 Fib does not provide resistance 78.6 is stronger
2. It all started with a Fast Up wave (FU) with Speed Index 0.5F (fake move)
3. The down wave followed with an Abnormal Speed Index of 2.0S (first Push Down) which means that we could have sellers coming in.
4. On next up wave look at bottom indicator PVR where as price increases volume increases = more sellers coming at the top (SI:1.8)
5. Finally Plutus shows the entry with a WU signal (Wyckoff Up-Thrust)
Enjoy
AUDUSD: Wait for AB=CD pattern to get completed before buying! AUDUSD is currently making AB=CD pattern where AB pattern already formed, however, for CD pattern to be completed we need to wait NFP data to be published which will give inside data of future trend.
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Aussie H4 | Approaching overlap resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6356 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.6420 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.6247 which is an overlap support that aligns close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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BlkRk Says Buy USD on Dips... AUD sell with TRAILING STOP!!!The view from fund managers is still very bullish USD, and this Aussie rally gives a great opportunity to sell the Aussie dollar at a relatively high price to recent trading.
This trade has a potentially fantastic risk to reward. We're looking to trail the stop, and secure 50% of the position at a 1:1 risk reward.
Please note that using a trailing stop loss has been proven to be a winning strategy of itself - adding your own analysis can add further edge.
Here' we're looking at a recent bearish structure break combined with trading below the 1H 21 period moving average.
For more follow!
AUDUSD → Retest of the imbalance zone before growth FX:AUDUSD on the back of strong dollar decline has all chances for further growth, but today, Friday, the risks are quite high, as NFP is ahead...
The currency pair is forming a local uptrend, in tandem with the falling dollar the Aussie may continue its strengthening course.
On the 4H a local correction to the imbalance zone is forming, where a rather strong support line 0.63 is just passing. The price is forming a false breakout and after capturing liquidity is trying to consolidate higher. If the bulls can keep the defense above 0.63 - 0.633, the price will be able to continue the growth phase in the short and medium term.
Support levels: 0.63, 0.6255
Resistance levels: 0.633, 0.6363
Consolidation above 0.63, subsequent rise and consolidation above 0.633 is an ideal scenario that could confirm the bulls' intentions to go higher. But, NFP and other news are ahead. Risks are rising and we should expect high volatility in the markets
Regards R. Linda!
AUDUSD - Potential SHORT to take advantage of AUD weaknessHigher timeframe trend = down
Retail traders = long
Therefore bias = down
NOTE : Not in yet - Entry order set below the structure that is forming currently. We are at a resistance turned support zone (marked with white rectangle) and have seen a reaction which may entice buyers to get involved - at which point we can get involved if their stops get taken out.
Target is close to the low that was recently created (marked with white dotted horizontal ray).
Stops where my personal backtesting has suggested they be placed to invalidate the trade. If price gets to stops before triggering in, entry order is cancelled.
Please keep in mind that there is another layer of analysis that goes into this that is part of my personal plan.