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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

Trade Recaps: USDJPY-LONG, AUDUSD-SHORT, 30/10/2024UJ Bias Analysis: Price corrected deeper into the 1H range discount, entering a 1H OB and confluent 1-sded FVG. The deeper retracement protracted lower at London open, sweeping Tuesday's low as it mitigated the KI areas before entry confirmation was received. Grade: High Quality Valid AU Bias Analysis: Price distributed higher aggressively at London open. This distribution was misinterpreted as a protraction which was sweeping 1H TBL, where it was actually shifting structure to the upside. Price traded higher into a 4H OB, where entry confirmation was received and a short position was executed. This was an invalid trade as the shift of structure to the upside violated my trade parameters which require the entry to be in alignment with the 1H range. Grade: Invalid What I did well or could've done better: - Executed aggressively on the setups during my forecasting session despite a shorter day at work. Focus was good. - Managed the trades according to the plan. - Misread the distribution AU as a protraction, when it actually shifted 1H structure long which did not align with my trade parameters - Took a trade that violated my plan as the UJ loss closed out today, which meant I only had 1 trade I could execute on instead of 2. - I did not identify what would've lead me to be risk off on a setup and was only focusing on execution characteristics. - I had a strong bias towards Dollar strength today, which led to marrying my bias and resulted in an invalid trade.
Short
by The_Modern_Day_Trader
Looks Like Someone's Prepping for a Rocket Launch in AUD!Alright, alright, it seems like someone has seriously geared up for a rocket launch in the Australian dollar, and it’s happening in the next few days. Looks like we might get some news dropped right after everything goes down, or maybe I’m just out of the loop. A super aggressive portfolio, a Call Spread, popped up yesterday, and it looks like they’re still pouring in options today. Targets for the futures are set at 0.68-0.6825. It’s like a rocket ready to go...))
Long
by ClashChartsTeam
1
AUDUSD Buy Setup [15m]Today, we will analyze AUDUSD Specific explanations are provided for each zone and movement on the chart. If you have any opinions, feel free to share them in the comments section. Please note that this analysis is not intended as financial advice. Each individual should assume responsibility for their own trades. The purpose of this post is to provide ideas and inspiration, encouraging readers to view the chart from different perspectives. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
Long
by Biaxar
AUDUSD - Inflation in Australia, under control?!The AUDUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term bearish channel. In case of an upward correction due to the release of today's economic data, we can see a supply zone and sell within that zone with a suitable risk reward. Yesterday, China urged the United States to change its stance on Taiwan’s independence, asking it to clearly state “we oppose Taiwan independence” instead of “we do not support Taiwan independence.” The United States, however, refused to make this change and continues to maintain informal relations with Taiwan, providing support and military supplies to the island. Additionally, reports indicate that China’s top legislative body is reviewing a new financial package valued at over 10 trillion yuan, likely to be announced on November 8. China plans to raise 10 trillion yuan in new debt over the coming years through special treasury and local government bonds. This financial package includes 6 trillion yuan to mitigate local government debt risks and up to 4 trillion yuan for purchasing idle lands and properties. Should Donald Trump win the U.S. presidential election, China may unveil an even stronger financial package. Moreover, China is planning to issue over $1.4 trillion in additional debt in the coming years. A poll by Ipsos shows that the popularity gap between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump among registered voters has narrowed to one percentage point, with Harris at 44% support, just one percent ahead of Trump at 43%. BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has predicted that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at least once more in 2024. He also remarked that the decline in U.S. interest rates will be less than people expect. Australia’s inflation data largely met expectations and was insufficient to prompt any change in the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) rate decision. Annual inflation for the third quarter stood at 2.8%, slightly below the expected 2.9%. The monthly rate was 2.1%, with the total inflation at 2.8%. This annual inflation rate is the lowest since early 2021; however, core inflation remains above the RBA’s 2-3% target. The reduction in annual inflation is mainly due to government subsidies and lower gasoline prices, although service inflation remains high. The RBA will hold a meeting on November 4-5, and given these figures, no rate cut is expected during this session. The final meeting will be on December 9-10, and no rate cut is anticipated for that session either. February remains the anticipated timeframe for analysts, though if the labor market remains strong and core inflation is high, a rate cut may be delayed until April or May.
Short
by Ali_PSND
AUDUSD BEARISH CONTINUATIONThe strong bearish indicators on AUD/USD 4h Tf presents a bearish outlook. The Q3 CPI figure of 139.1 and the monthly CPI indicator at 2.1% indicate that inflation is trending higher than expected, which may lead to a stronger Australian in the long term dollar as it suggests that the Reserve Bank of Australia might consider tightening monetary policy in response to rising inflation. If price pulls back to the 0.6550 or 0.6600 resistance area, it could provide an opportunity to enter a short position. Around 0.6400 Support area we may consider an entry opportunity.
Short
by Horazio
AUDUSD - My Long Setup Example20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Your interest motivates me: If you find my analysis helpful, please boost and follow me for future analysis at your service. How I see it: This is my long setup using FIB levels. Limit orders are not best practice for me, FYI. I will wait for price to come to me and monitor reaction, rejection, candle stick confirmations etc. My Stop Loss is below structure support which allow for fake outs. Price might not even reach my first order in this case, but you get the idea, I'm sure. KEYNOTE: This is NFP Week, make sure you check your calendar before each session always! I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
Long
by ANROC
AUDUSD H4 | Bullish bounce off 127.2%?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 0.6537, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibo extension Our take profit will be at 0.6587, a pullback resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 0.6473, which is a support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
1
AUDUSD InsightPlease feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments, and don’t forget to like and subscribe. Key Points - Weakening yen as Japan’s ruling LDP suffers a defeat in the general election. - Betting markets currently place former President Trump’s chances of winning the upcoming election at 60%. - According to The Hill and election site DDHQ, Trump has a 54% chance of victory. - Continued “Trump Trade” effect strengthens the Dollar Index. - CB Consumer Confidence Index shows the current conditions index at 138, with the expectations index at 89.1, both up from the previous month. - Ceasefire discussions between Israel and Lebanon are ongoing. - Australia’s September unemployment rate is 4.1%, with labor force participation at 67.2%. The likelihood of a rate cut by year-end has been adjusted down from 46% to 20%. Key Economic Indicators Schedule - October 30: Australia’s Q3 CPI, U.S. Q3 GDP, Germany’s October CPI - October 31: Bank of Japan rate decision, Eurozone October CPI, U.S. September PCE price index - November 1: U.S. October nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rate AUD/USD Chart Analysis Despite the lower likelihood of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia, the AUD/USD is trending downward due to the steep rise of the U.S. dollar. The support level at 0.66000, where a rebound was anticipated, has been broken, and further decline towards 0.64000 is expected. However, as this may not yet be a bottom, a rebound around 0.64000 remains possible. We’ll adjust our strategy quickly if there are unexpected movements.
Short
by shawntime_academy
AUDUSD - 4hrs ( Sell Trade After Break Target Range 150 PIP ) 🟢 Pair Name : AUD/USD Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close Scale Type : Large Scale ------ spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons We seek to spread understanding rather than make money 🟢 Key Technical / Direction ( Short ) After Break Out Type : Mid Term Swing ——————————— Bearish Break 0.66600 Reasons - Major Turn level / D - Visible range hvn - 3 Bounce Trend Break - Week low Break - Fixed range Value Bullish Reversal 0.65500 Area Reasons - Major Turn level / M - Visible Range Hvn - Fixed range Hvn - Choch Zone - Fibo Golden / Reversal
Short
by GoldenEngine
2