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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

AUD/USD Chart Analysis: Anticipating a Bullish TrendAfter a thorough analysis of the AUD/USD currency pair, the current indicators suggest a potential shift towards a bullish trend. Market patterns and technical signals indicate that the Australian dollar may strengthen against the US dollar in the near future. I have identified key support levels that reinforce this bullish outlook, along with positive momentum from relevant economic data and geopolitical factors that may favor an upward movement. To manage risk effectively, I have set a stop-loss order to mitigate potential losses should the market behave contrary to expectations. The buy rate has been strategically positioned based on chart analysis and market conditions, allowing for an entry point that capitalizes on anticipated price movements while safeguarding my investment. Continued monitoring of economic releases and technical indicators will be crucial as we move forward. Overall, I am poised for what appears to be an opportune moment in trading AUD/USD, with plans in place to adjust my strategy as new data emerges or market conditions evolve.
Long
by Mohammad_Zain01
AUD/USD Downtrend Testing Post-COVID LowsChart Analysis: The AUD/USD pair remains in a persistent downtrend, with prices recently testing a critical horizontal support level near 0.6170. 1️⃣ Downtrend Line: A steep descending trendline (red line) highlights sustained bearish momentum. Price has yet to break above this line, signaling continued pressure on the downside. 2️⃣ Key Support Level: Horizontal support at 0.6170 has held so far, forming a potential base for near-term consolidation or bounce attempts. 3️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): Trending downward at 0.6386, reinforcing the bearish bias. 200-day SMA (red): Declining at 0.6589, confirming a longer-term downtrend. 4️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 35, approaching oversold territory but not yet signaling a reversal. MACD: Bearish momentum persists as the MACD line stays negative, though slightly stabilizing. What to Watch: A decisive close below 0.6170 could trigger further downside, potentially targeting 0.6100. Conversely, a break above the descending trendline would challenge the bearish structure and open the door for recovery toward the 50-day SMA. Watch for signs of momentum divergence on the RSI as the pair nears critical support. AUD/USD remains vulnerable within its prevailing downtrend. However, the horizontal support at 0.6170 offers a focal point for traders monitoring potential breakout or breakdown scenarios. -MW
by FOREXcom
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and cold drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 0.6203 1st Support: 0.6162 1st Resistance: 0.6222 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
AUDUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H1 chart, price could make a bullish bounce off the pivot at 0.6160, which is a pullback support near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. This level is expected to act as a key reversal point in the bullish setup. Our take profit is set at 0.6221, targeting the next significant resistance level, just above the recent swing high. The stop loss is set at 0.6130, below a swing low support, allowing room for price fluctuations while maintaining protection against an invalidation of the bullish bias. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
1
#50 Audusd possible wave 3 opportunityCurrent Market Analysis: The downtrend has lost momentum, leading to a consolidation phase. A new Higher High (HH) has formed. This suggests the possibility of a developing bullish structure. Wave Analysis: The focus is on identifying the end of Wave 2, which is currently in progress. Entry Strategy: Safest Approach: Draw a trendline on Wave 2. Wait for its Lower High (LH) to be exceeded before entering the trade. Alternative Approach (for those unable to monitor the chart): Set up a buy limit order. Ensure the Stop Loss (SL) is placed appropriately, with a margin of 60 pips on, considering this is 60 pips of SL Rgrds #Happypips
Long
by jogeek
1
Analysis of the AUD/USD Chart 15 MAnalysis of the AUD/USD Chart This chart highlights price action over a shorter timeframe (15-minute candles), showcasing a clear structure indicative of **accumulation**, **breakout**, and transition into a **markup phase**. Here's the detailed breakdown: --- **Market Cycle Stage**: **Early Markup Phase** - The price has broken out of a prolonged **accumulation range** (yellow box), confirmed by the surge in volume and bullish price action, marking the beginning of the markup. --- **Key Observations** #### 1. **Accumulation Zone** - The range-bound movement between **0.6130** and **0.6158** indicates a classic Wyckoff accumulation structure: - The **spring** (false break below support near **0.6130**) confirmed demand as buyers entered strongly. - Subsequent consolidation above **0.6158** created a base for the breakout. 2. **Breakout and Markup** - A significant breakout occurred above **0.6165**, aligned with rising volume, signaling strong institutional buying activity. - The price is now testing the **1.618 Fibonacci extension level (0.6187)** with momentum suggesting a continuation towards the next targets: - **2.618 (0.6205)** and potentially **4.236 (0.6247)**. 3. **Volume Analysis** - Volume increased significantly during the breakout, validating the upward momentum. - Current volume is tapering slightly but remains steady, showing sustained interest in the rally. 4. **Fibonacci Levels** - The price retraced to the **0.618 Fibonacci level (0.6173)** before resuming its upward move. This aligns with the expected bullish trend structure. 5. **Latest 5 Candles and Wick Behavior** - The last 5 candles are predominantly bullish, with minor wicks to the downside, reflecting strong buying pressure. - Minimal upper wicks indicate that sellers have not regained control, confirming the dominance of buyers. 6. **Support and Resistance Levels** - **Support**: - Immediate: **0.6173** (Fibonacci retracement level). - Stronger: **0.6158** (previous breakout point and resistance turned support). - **Resistance**: - Immediate: **0.6187** (current test level). - Key targets: **0.6205 (2.618)** and **0.6247 (4.236)**. --- **Conclusion** The AUD/USD pair is in the **early stages of a markup phase**, with price action and volume confirming strong bullish sentiment. If momentum holds, expect the price to target **0.6205** and possibly higher levels like **0.6247**. A pullback to **0.6173** or even **0.6158** would provide opportunities for re-entry before further continuation.
Long
by HoratiuBogdan
2
Potential bullish rise?AUD/USD has reacted off the support level which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6141 Why we like it: There is a support level at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 0.6102 Why we like it: There is a support level at the 1612.8% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 0.6198 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
AUDUSD: RSI moves into oversold levelsThe AUDUSD has experienced a consistent decline of over 3% in the past month. This is primarily due to the growing strength of the U.S. dollar as the next Fed decision approaches (January 29), where interest rates are expected to remain stable at 4.5%. Bearish Channel: Since October 4, 2024, a solid bearish channel has been maintained, with the price reaching a low of 0.61308. However, to further confirm bearish momentum, it is almost essential to break through the next key support level at 0.60151. RSI: Currently, the RSI line is oscillating below the 30 level , indicating significant oversold conditions, where bearish momentum has taken over the market with greater intensity. Additionally, higher lows on the RSI and lower lows on the price have created a bullish divergence. Both events in the indicator may signal the emergence of potential short-term bullish corrections as short positions ease near support zones. Key Levels: 0.62369: A nearby resistance level that has acted as a point of neutrality in recent oscillations and coincides with the upper boundary of the current bearish channel. Breaks above this level could bring back buying momentum and challenge the current bearish formation on the chart. This level is crucial to monitor for potential short-term bullish corrections. 0.60151: A key support level and the closest barrier for bearish positions. Breaks below this level could mark a new price low and further consolidate the strength of the current bearish channel. By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
AUD/USD stabilizes after post-NFP slideThe Australian dollar has started the week quietly. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6151, up 0.07% at the time of writing.  Earlier, the Australian dollar fell as low as 0.6130, its lowest level since April 2020. It was another rough week for the Australian dollar, which declined 1.7% last week. The Aussie can't find its footing and has plunged 10.4% in the past three months. Strong US nonfarm payrolls sends Aussie tumbling The week ended with a surprisingly strong US jobs report. In December, the economy added 256 thousand jobs, the most since March 2024. This followed a downwardly revised 212 thousand in November and easily beat the market estimate of 160 thousand. The unemployment rate eased to 4.1%, down from 4.2% in November. Wage growth also ticked lower, from 4% y/y to 3.9% and from 0.4% to 0.3% monthly. The upshot of the jobs report is that the US labor market remains solid and is cooling slowly. For the Federal Reserve, this means there isn't much pressure to lower interest rates in the next few months. That will suit Fed policy makers just fine as it awaits Donald Trump, who has pledged tariffs against US trading partners and mass deportations of illegal immigrants. Either of those policies could increase inflation and the Fed will try to get a read of the Trump administration before cutting rates again. The latest Fed forecast calls for only two rate cuts in 2025 but that could change, depending on inflation and the strength of the labor market. The strong employment numbers boosted the US dollar against most of the majors on Friday and the Australian dollar took it on the chin, falling 0.8%, its worst one-day showing in three weeks. With interest rates likely on hold in the near-term and and high tensions in the Middle East, the safe-haven US dollar should remain attractive to investors in the coming months. AUD/USD tested resistance at 0.6163 earlier. Above, there is resistance at 0.6188 0.6121 and 0.6096 are providing support
by yesfish
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Under Fire, Deeper Losses Ahead?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Under Fire, Deeper Losses Ahead? AUD/USD declined below the 0.6350 and 0.6250 support levels. Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above the 0.6300 level against the US Dollar. - There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6175 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 0.6300 zone. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below the 0.6250 support against the US Dollar. The pair even settled below 0.6220 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move below 0.6200. A low was formed at 0.6139 and the pair is now consolidating losses. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the 0.6175 level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6175. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6288 swing high to the 0.6139 low. The next major resistance is near the 0.6210 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6288 swing high to the 0.6139 low, above which the price could rise toward 0.6290. Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.6320 resistance. A close above the 0.6320 level could start another steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance on the AUD/USD chart could be 0.6400. On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6140 zone. The next support sits at 0.6120. If there is a downside break below 0.6120, the pair could extend its decline. The next support could be 0.6050. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.6000 support. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2