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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

Trump or Harris? Markets Awaits Outcome Trump or Harris? Markets Awaits Outcome This week, the U.S. presidential election will command everyone's attention. Market watchers will be focused on a handful of pivotal swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Pennsylvania is potentially the most critical. Yet, the results may not be immediate. In 2020, for instance, the Associated Press declared Biden the official winner about three and a half days after polls closed. This time around, a win by Trump could strengthen the dollar, driven by the possibility of heightened tariffs that may also weigh on currencies closely linked to China, such as the Australian dollar. With daily MACD in negative territory, AUD/USD appears on track to test the next support at 0.6490, aligned with a trend line since October 2023 In contrast, Newsquawk suggests that a Harris victory could pressure the dollar, with potential gains in commodities and the euro.
by BlackBull_Markets
Potential bullish rise?AUD/USD has reacting off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6582 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6535 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 0.6649 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Lingrid | AUDUSD Possible CHANNEL Breakout: Buying OPPORTUNITY FX:AUDUSD showed bullish momentum after bouncing off the support level, following a bullish divergence at that point. The market's recent move upward, particularly after taking liquidity below the 0.65500 level, suggests a short-term shift in sentiment. I expect that the market may be forming an ABC pattern heading toward the resistance zone, which could lead to a breakout of the channel. Additionally, the TVC:DXY has formed a bearish long-tailed bar at its resistance zone and is currently showing signs of moving down. This development is likely to support further bullish movement in the AUDUSD market. My goal is resistance zone around 0.66100 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
13
AUDUSD buying Trading IdeaHello Traders In This Chart AUDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today AUDUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity onAUDCAD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
Long
by ForexMasters2000
AUD/USD Decline: Aligning for a Potential Dip to 0.65By combining these fundamental and technical factors, traders might consider shorting AUD/USD with a target of 0.65, aiming to capitalize on both economic and market sentiment-driven movements. Interest Rate Differential: If the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is perceived as dovish compared to the U.S. Federal Reserve, which might be maintaining or increasing rates to combat inflation, this interest rate differential can make the USD more attractive to investors, leading to a depreciation of the AUD/USD pair. Geopolitical Risks: Heightened geopolitical tensions in the Asia-Pacific region or adverse trade policies affecting Australia could undermine investor confidence in the AUD, making short positions more attractive.
Short
by FtradeFXArabic
AUD/USD Analysis – 31 October 2024Following yesterday's U.S. elections, AUD/USD reached new monthly lows, touching 0.65132 after an extended bearish trend. On the 4-hour timeframe, the pair has formed a double-bottom pattern, a potential reversal signal, indicating that bullish momentum may be building. Given the current political landscape post-election, the USD could experience fluctuations as markets digest potential shifts in U.S. fiscal policy. This environment could create an opening for AUD/USD to pivot upward. With the technical setup and supportive conditions, AUD/USD appears poised for a potential rally in the coming days. Traders should monitor resistance levels closely and keep risk management strategies in place, as post-election sentiment can lead to rapid market adjustments.
Long
by TeptForex
Another update to existing positionAnother update not live call out, so focus on management. First Fundamental reasoning. 1. Monetary Policy Divergence - **Federal Reserve**: The Fed remains relatively hawkish, prioritising high rates to control inflation. The strength of the U.S. economy has allowed the Fed to maintain or potentially even raise rates further, enhancing USD’s appeal compared to currencies from countries with more accommodative policies. -Reserve Bank of Australia : The RBA has adopted a more cautious approach, recently pausing on rate hikes due to concerns about slowing domestic growth and the impact of high rates on household debt. This divergence between the Fed's high-rate policy and the RBA’s reluctance to hike makes the AUD less attractive against the USD. 2. Economic Data Disparities The U.S. economy continues to show resilience, with strong employment data and steady consumer spending supporting USD strength. As economic fundamentals remain solid, investor confidence in USD assets is sustained, putting further pressure on AUD/USD. Australia’s economic indicators suggest a slowdown, particularly in consumer spending and business confidence. With inflation showing signs of moderating and wage growth remaining contained, the RBA has limited scope to increase rates without risking a significant economic slowdown. This weakens the AUD as it signals limited support from domestic fundamentals. 3. Commodity Demand and China’s Economic Slowdown. Australia’s economy is heavily reliant on commodity exports, particularly to China. With China’s growth decelerating amid property sector challenges and lower global demand, the demand for Australian exports such as iron ore and coal has weakened, exerting downward pressure on the AUD. Commodity Price Vulnerability. The slowing Chinese economy not only reduces demand for Australian commodities but also adds to the AUD’s vulnerability given its correlation with global commodity cycles. 4. Risk Sentiment and Safe Haven Flows Global Risk Aversion. In periods of increased risk aversion, such as recent geopolitical tensions and global economic uncertainties, the USD is favored over the AUD due to its status as a safe-haven currency. The AUD, being a risk-sensitive currency, tends to underperform against the USD during such times. 5. Market Sentiment and Positioning Bearish Positioning on AUD Current market sentiment shows a bearish bias toward AUD/USD, reflecting global investors’ preference for the USD amid broader economic concerns. Sentiment indicators and COT data also show increasing short positions on the AUD, further justifying a short position. Technical analysis, my confidence rank was still mid 80s, LTF did have good bear strength display plus the overall Dollar strength justified early entry. This week conclusion on technical side confidence above 90% so it is with the fundamentals. Updates will follow as the next events unfold
Short
by JureBrumen
SasanSeifi| Will the Price Continue Its Short-Term Rise?In the 4-hour timeframe, as observed, the price entered a consolidation (range) phase after correcting around the 0.65500 price zone. It then broke previous highs at 0.65950. Following this structural break, the price returned to the gap zone and, supported at the 0.65800 level, experienced positive fluctuations with slight growth, currently trading at the 0.66000 level. In the short term, it’s expected that the price could reach levels of 0.66250, 0.66450, and 0.66500, continuing this short-term upward trend toward these target zones. A possible scenario for the next price movement is that if it consolidates above 0.66000, the price may move upward in the short term towards the mentioned areas and supply zones. To assess the continuation of this uptrend and anticipate future price behaviour, it’s essential to closely monitor price reactions at these levels. Key support areas in the 4-hour timeframe include 0.65800 and 0.65650. 💢This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
Long
by SasanSeifi
Trade 5: AUD/USD - 3.89 RR Ratio - TP Hit(Similar to Trade 4) : Possibly due to same currency in the pair Longer Time Frame: 1D 1. A Bullish Engulfing candle was formed on 7th Nov, breaking the structure of downward trend 2. Pulling fib retracement from pivot low to pivot high, we can see the price is currently in between 0 and 0.236 levels of fib Shorter Time Frame: 30min,15min,5min 1. At point "1" we can see that price took resistance, however the 30min and 15min, the shorter HMA was still above the medium HMA 2. We waited until the medium HMA crosses over shorter HMA in 15min timeframe Bias: Short Since there was an bullish engulfing candle in longer time frame, we are expecting a pullback to retest the bullish trend. Even in the shorter time frame, we see a double top being formed. Entry: 1. The next cross under of shorter EMA with medium EMA when the medium HMA crossed over shorter HMA 2. Waited in 15min timeframe to observe the EMA cross under 3. Dint wait for FVG, entered at the open of next candle of break out Target: 1. 0.236 level of Fib (Achieved) 2. If 0.236 is broken, can be pushed to 0.382 level SL: Above the EMA cross under in 5min time frame
Short
by MyWayofLookingThings
AUDUSD H1 -AUD Strongest Currency Against USD Weakest=UpTrend(2)This indicates which currencies are GAINING value and which currencies are LOSING value. As a result, we see which pairs to trade. By trading the currency gaining the most value against the currency losing the most value = We aspire to ride the strongest trends, obtain the highest performance, be in the safest trades and to avoid the choppy chaotic charts. --- This layout displays the Value, Performance and Pressure behind each currency. Let's break it down by panel. -- In the top panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Performance All 8 Currencies. We see the performance of all 8 major currencies. Most recent bars: AUD (Orange line) is the strongest currency. USD (Red line) is the weakest currency. So, we bought the AUDUSD pair because both currencies are going opposite ways (AUD going up / USD going down). -- In the second panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Pair Performance. We see the Performance of the 2 currencies of the pair on chart. The AUD (Orange line) and the USD (Red line) + the Pressure of the Pair in the background. The brighter the color in background = The higher is the performance for the pair on chart. -- In the 3rd panel: Indicator: The 'Template'. (Over 10 years in R&D to paint the chart perfectly.) Resistance was broken and retested. Resistance became support. -- In the 4th panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Pressure. We see the Pressure behind each currencies of the pair on chart. The Higher is the line = More Upside pressure. The Lower is the line = More Downside pressure. -- 5th panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Value of the Base currency (AUD). Displays the Value of the AUD + Intensity Background (Up/Down) 6th panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Value of the Quote currency (USD). Displays the Value of the USD + Intensity Background (Up/Down) Strategy for 5th and 6th panels: Blue Background (One Currency Gaining Value) AGAINST Red Background (One Currency Losing Value) = Pair Trending. (If you want to learn more about this, we have recorded a video. Comment 'Video'.)
Long
by ascension