AUDUSD trade ideas
AUD-USD Potential Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD is trading in a
Local uptrend and the pair
Will soon hit a horizontal
Support level of 0.6311
From where we will be
Expecting a local
Bullish rebound
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Aussie H4 | Downward momentum accelerating?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6243 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.6285 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.6177 which is a multi-swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
17-02-2025 _ Short Term Bullish Idea _ AUDUSD H41- Bullish Divergence followed by False Breakout.
2- Break of the Last High.
3- No Divergence against.
4- Anticipated ABCD Pattern.
AUD/USD Trend This Week – Retest and Continue Falling?AUD/USD news:
🔆Investors view President Trump’s $4.5 trillion tax cut bill as supportive of economic growth and likely to drive inflation higher. This expectation could prompt Federal Reserve (Fed) officials to keep monetary policy restrictive for an extended period, strengthening the US dollar.
🔆At the same time, the Australian Dollar (AUD) has lagged behind its peers due to weaker-than-expected growth in Australia’s Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January. The CPI increased by 2.5% year-over-year, slightly below the forecast of 2.6% but maintaining the same pace as in December.
🔆Last week, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) reaffirmed that inflation remains a concern after cutting interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.1%.
🔆Looking ahead, concerns over Trump’s tariff policies could keep pressure on the Aussie Dollar. So far, Trump has imposed a 10% tariff on Chinese imports and has threatened a 100% levy on BRICS nations if they attempt to challenge the US dollar’s dominance.
Personal opinion:
🔆Due to the impact of the news, the AUD is a risk-sensitive currency to the USD market and there is no positive sign from the Australian central bank (RBA), so the AUD/USD pair will still maintain a downtrend in the short term
Analysis:
🔆Based on the trend line and important Fibonacci levels combined with fundamental news to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy AUD/USD 0.6320 - 0.6330
❌SL: 0.6365 | ✅TP: 0.6280 – 0.6250 – 0.6200
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
I WAS WRONG FOR U.S DOLLAR AUDUSD - Based on performance i had two players to trade this week , Japanese Yen for buy and U.S Dollar for sell. U.S Dollar proved me wrong and it had very good performance with some pairs. The most clear pair for buy U.S Dollar is AUDUSD, as we can see the price is on very strong demand zone if the price will reject this zone we can make profit between the zones.
AUD/USD Trade Setup: Long from Key SupportAUD/USD is testing a major support zone around 0.632, where buyers could step in for a potential bounce. However, if support breaks, I might close early to avoid downside risk.
🔹 Trade Setup:
✅ Entry: Near 0.632 - 0.631 (Support Zone)
🎯 Profit Target (Blue Zone): 0.640 - 0.641
🛑 Stop-Loss (Yellow Zone): Below 0.631
🔹 Market Outlook:
📊 Bullish Bias (Conditional) – Price is at a historically strong support zone. A clear breakout above the downward trendline could push AUD/USD higher.
⚠️ Early Exit Plan – If price fails to hold 0.631, I’ll close the trade early and reassess.
Guide for Execution:
✅ No Martingale Strategy: Keeping position sizes equal for risk management.
✅ Monitor Breakout Behavior: If price shows weakness at support, I won’t hold unnecessarily.
Will this support hold and trigger a reversal, or is AUD/USD about to break lower? Let me know your thoughts! 👇
AUDUSD InsightGreetings to all subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- Friedrich Merz, leader of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and a potential candidate for German Chancellor, held a 1.5-hour meeting with Chancellor Olaf Scholz. During the discussion, they explored ways to bypass strict national debt limits and increase defense spending.
- The U.S. February CB Consumer Confidence Index fell by 7 points from the previous month to 98.3, raising concerns about stagflation as it coincided with a sharp rise in 12-month inflation expectations.
- ECB Executive Board Member Isabel Schnabel stated, "We can no longer confidently say that our policy is restrictive."
Key Economic Events This Week
+ February 27: U.S. Q4 GDP
+ February 28: Germany February CPI, U.S. January PCE Price Index
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
As anticipated last week, after surpassing the 0.63000 level, AUDUSD climbed to the 0.64000 resistance area, where it is now facing downward pressure. If this decline is short-term, the 0.63000 level should hold. However, if it fails to do so, a further drop toward the 0.60000 level is likely.
On the other hand, if an upward move breaks through the 0.64000 level, the pair may establish a new high around 0.66000.
Sell AUDTrade Setup for AUD/USD
Trade Bias: Bearish with Caution
The broader trend remains bearish based on the 4H chart showing a clear downtrend from late February. However, I notice potential bullish divergence forming as price makes a temporary bottom around 0.6155-0.6160.
Entry Price: 0.6215
Looking at the current price (0.6156), I recommend waiting for a retracement to around 0.6215 for a better entry, which aligns with previous support that should now act as resistance.
Stop Loss: 0.6245
Place stop loss above the recent swing high on the 1H chart to protect against false breakouts while giving sufficient breathing room.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit
Primary TP: 0.6140 (previous swing low support)
Extended TP: 0.6100 (psychological level and projected support)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
Primary target: 1:2.5 (30 pips risk for 75 pips reward)
Extended target: 1:3.8 (30 pips risk for 115 pips reward)
Trade Rationale:
The 4H chart confirms the strong bearish trend since Feb 21st, where price fell from 0.6400 to current levels
Multiple timeframes align in showing a downtrend, though we're seeing short-term consolidation
The 1H timeframe shows we're near support with some buying interest, suggesting a potential short-term bounce before continuation
Major cryptocurrencies showing bearish pressure (visible in the sidebar) typically correlates with risk-off sentiment affecting AUD
The higher timeframe resistance around 0.6215-0.6220 provides a clear zone for selling opportunities
Additional Considerations:
Consider splitting your position: 50% at primary target and let 50% run for extended target
Monitor price action at 0.6215 for rejection patterns (bearish engulfing, evening star, etc.) to confirm entry
The upcoming RBA interest rate decision or US economic data could impact this pair, so be aware of fundamental catalysts
If price breaks above 0.6245 with conviction, be prepared to reassess the bearish bias
AUD - looks to shortHello traders, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is Stop Loss set when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. My 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
great RRNeed to wait and see how this last 4H bar will close
and what will be the Price Action around the pivot line
but maybe I will buy
Ghost's AUD/USD Long Setup (Shorter Term Targets)AUD/USD has now seen a 350+ rally off the lows with no substantial pullback. A lot of the time this kind of price action occurs on AU, it tends to extend a lot further than most traders predict but also not to the overly bullish targets retail traders will spout off like 70+ cents.
While I think a revisit to the lows before a long-term bullrun can be seen for AU is likely, I'm aware that price is indicating it's looking for a healthy correction before target the .65 zone, which is the POC for the higher time frames we broke down from weeks ago with no retest.
For these reason and the general understanding of price action and market structure I see a lot on AUD/USD, I'm bullish in the short-term if we can get a steeper pullback to the .629 area after taking profits on my shorts for 50+ pips around .635.
Best of luck team, Ghost Traders FX now for the year of 2025 has 25 wins in a row, almost 500+ pips gained, 0 losses, improving our overall core strategy results to 135 Wins, 18 Breakevens, 7 losses pulling our WR back to 95%+
Feel good to be trading at my best agian.
AUD/USD: Bearish Continuation in PlayThe AUD/USD pair has confirmed a bearish breakout, breaking below its ascending trendline and shifting momentum downward. Previously, the pair moved within an uptrend channel, encountering multiple sideways consolidations before reaching a peak at 0.64035. However, once the price rejected the resistance zone and broke the trendline, selling pressure took over.
Currently, AUD/USD is trading around 0.62149, with a possible short-term retracement toward the 0.6274 - 0.6299 Fibonacci retracement zone before continuing its decline. If sellers defend this resistance, the next major target lies at 0.61156, aligning with the previous low and key support area.
AUDUSD LONGS, Long term trade Daily Break of Structure 4 hour confirmation of a Double bottom, we could see great push to upside great strength in Aussie as we have another 4 hour breaker higher high.
We could potentially scale in at every 4 hour pull backs.
AUDUSD SHORTPrice has breakout support and retrace. looking for sell signal from this CCY pair.
waiting at 50% & 75% fibo level and will wait for a 2nd signal.
if the price go before 2nd signal it will consider as miss trade.
dont worry wait for another setup as my mentor always says there will be always a next time.
AUDUSD: Is There Any Option Other Than Further Decline?In the previous analysis, we mentioned the possibility of further decline for this currency pair, and after touching 0.61, we saw some upward movement. On the daily timeframe, after reaching the supply zone and resistance at 0.64, a renewed decline is now occurring. The expected scenario is a break of the 0.61 support and a drop to the historic 0.60 support level.
AUDUSD can Move DownAUDUSD Seems Bearish Right Now.
Disclaimer:
Trading involves risk, and this analysis is for educational purposes only. Traders should perform their own due diligence and risk assessment before executing any trades.
AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 27 February 2025
- AUDUSD falling inside wave b
- Likely to fall support level 0.6200
AUDUSD currency pair continues to fall inside the b-wave which started earlier from the major resistance level 0.6400 (former strong support from April and August of 2024).
The resistance level 0.6400 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band and by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from last October.
Given the strongly bullish US dollar sentiment and strong daily downtrend, AUDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.6200, the target price for the completion of the active wave b.
AU SELL my pa on au, bearish bias sending price to below all the liquidity . here are my hows and whys .
AUDUSD What Next? BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on AUDUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.6361 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.6376
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
quant zones and planning for Fridaytoday (friday's dynamics favour potential usd recovery)
zones for gbpusd also shared
Check out our socials for some nice insights.
Let us know if there're any pair you like to see or if this is something you like.
Do ask if you have any question
Not as refined as our direct trade setups. More for advanced active traders.
information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice!
NOT financial advice
AUDUSD ENTRY CHARTOn this Pair, we are expecting a continuation of trend to the upside, from the H4, price is hitting an area of structure which is in align with the D1 trend, also on the DXY, we expect more push to the downside, as the trend on the DXY is still BEARISH,we got a lower TF entry within the structure and we took the trade, Update will be giving in the UPDATE SESSION. Thank YOU.
Aud/UsdLooking at the chart, we can see that this pair is losing momentum and it's preparing to fall even further. sentiment is neutral medium term, on the 4h chart though it has broken and fallen below its trendline which is bearish. Watch the chart carefully and prepare to short were possible.
