AUDUSD trade ideas
AUDUSD ENTRY CHARTOn this Pair, we are expecting a continuation of trend to the upside, from the H4, price is hitting an area of structure which is in align with the D1 trend, also on the DXY, we expect more push to the downside, as the trend on the DXY is still BEARISH,we got a lower TF entry within the structure and we took the trade, Update will be giving in the UPDATE SESSION. Thank YOU.
AUDUSD: How to Draw Quarter's Theory LevelsThe Quarter’s Theory , popularized by Ilian Yotov, is based on the idea that the market moves in predictable 25, 50, and 100-pip increments. When applied to AUD/USD, these psychological price levels become crucial for identifying potential reversals and breakouts.
Current Market Outlook
AUD/USD is currently trading near a key quarter level, indicating a potential reaction zone. The pair is hovering around 0.6500, a psychological price barrier that often serves as support or resistance. If buyers step in, the next upside target is 0.6750, while a break lower could send prices to 0.6250.
How to Trade It
Aggressive traders can look for confirmations near quarter levels and enter trades with tight stops.
Conservative traders might wait for a breakout and retest before committing.
Combining Quarter’s Theory with Renko charts can help filter out noise and confirm strong trends.
Will AUD/USD Hold or Break?
Quarter’s Theory gives traders a structured way to navigate price movements. Whether AUD/USD holds or breaks through the current quarter level will determine the next significant move. Are you watching these levels? Drop your thoughts below!
AUD/USD NEXT MOVESell after bearish candle stick pattern, buy after bullish candle stick pattern....
Best bullish pattern , engulfing candle or green hammer
Best bearish pattern , engulfing candle or red shooting star
NOTE: IF YOU CAN'T SEE ANY OF TOP PATTERN IN THE ZONE DO NOT ENTER
Stop lost before pattern
R/R %1/%3
Trade in 5 Min Timeframe, use signals for scalping
AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most re cent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe,
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.65100 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bullish trend., driven by several key factors.
💨 Fundamental Analysis
The AUD/USD pair is struggling due to dismal Goods Trade Balance data from Australia, a modest US Dollar uptick, February RBA rate cut bets, and US-China trade war fears. Australia's trade surplus has shrunk to a three-month low, and the latest Q4 Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures showed that headline inflation rose by 2.5% YoY, down from 2.8% in the previous quarter.
💨 Macro Economics
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept interest rates at record highs, while the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has trimmed the benchmark interest rate by 100 bps through 2024 and aims to slow the pace of cuts in 2025 . The Australian economy is expected to be affected by the US-China trade war, as China is its biggest export market.
💨 COT Analysis
Large speculators and asset managers remain net-long the US dollar index, although the latter has a more convincing bullish view . The Australian Dollar COT Index represents the positioning of large non-commercial (speculator) net positions minus large commercial (hedger) net positions.
💨 Key Takeaways
The AUD/USD pair is bearish due to weak Australian data, US Dollar strength, and trade war fears.
The RBA is expected to cut interest rates in February, while the Fed is slowing the pace of rate cuts.
Large speculators and asset managers remain net-long the US dollar index.
💨 Bullish Factors
RBA Rate Cut Priced In: Markets have already priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the RBA, which could limit the downside potential for AUD/USD.
China's Economy Showing Signs of Recovery: China's latest economic data, including the Caixin Services PMI, has shown signs of recovery, which could boost demand for Australian exports and support the AUD.
Iron Ore Prices Rising: Iron ore prices have been rising due to supply disruptions and strong demand from China, which could support the AUD.
AUD/USD Oversold: The AUD/USD pair is currently oversold, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below 30, which could lead to a technical bounce.
US Dollar Overbought: The US Dollar is currently overbought, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) above 98, which could lead to a correction and support the AUD.
Positive Australian Data: Australia's latest economic data, including the Q4 Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the January employment report, has been positive, which could support the AUD.
Technical Support: The AUD/USD pair has technical support at 0.6200, which could limit the downside potential.
💨 Bullish Scenarios
AUD/USD breaks above 0.6300: A break above 0.6300 could lead to a rally towards 0.6400.
RBA surprises with no rate cut: If the RBA surprises markets with no rate cut, the AUD could rally towards 0.6500.
China's economy continues to recover: If China's economy continues to show signs of recovery, the AUD could benefit from increased demand for Australian exports.
💨 Market sentiment for AUD/USD is currently bullish, with 76% of traders holding long positions ¹. This is also reflected in IG's client sentiment data, which shows that 78% of client accounts are long on this market
However, it's essential to note that market sentiment can change rapidly, and it's crucial to consider other factors, such as technical analysis and fundamental data, when making trading decisions.
From a technical perspective, AUD/USD is struggling to capitalize on its recent recovery move from a multi-year low, dropping toward 0.6250 due to dismal Goods Trade Balance data from Australia
Fundamentally, the Australian economy is expected to be affected by the US-China trade war, as China is its biggest export market. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept interest rates at record highs, while the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has trimmed the benchmark interest rate by 100 bps through 2024 and aims to slow the pace of cuts in 2025
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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Market Analysis: AUD/USD Holds Strong—Are More Gains Ahead?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Holds Strong—Are More Gains Ahead?
AUD/USD is attempting a fresh increase from the 0.6350 support.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar found support at 0.6300 and recovered higher against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6365 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair formed a base above 0.6300. The Aussie Dollar started a decent increase above the 0.6350 resistance against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the previous analysis.
The pair even cleared 0.6400 before there was a minor pullback. The recent low was formed at 0.6351 and the pair is again rising. The bulls pushed the pair above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6408 swing high to the 0.6351 low.
However, the pair is still below the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near the 0.6385 zone. It is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6408 swing high to the 0.6351 low.
The first major resistance might be 0.6395. An upside break above the 0.6395 resistance might send the pair further higher. The next major resistance is near the 0.6410 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6450 resistance zone.
If not, the pair might correct lower. Immediate support sits near the 0.6365 level. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6365.
The next support could be 0.6350. If there is a downside break below the 0.6350 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6330 zone. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6300.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AUD/USD NEXT MOVESell after bearish candle stick pattern, buy after bullish candle stick pattern....
Best bullish pattern , engulfing candle or green hammer
Best bearish pattern , engulfing candle or red shooting star
NOTE: IF YOU CAN'T SEE ANY OF TOP PATTERN IN THE ZONE DO NOT ENTER
Stop lost before pattern
R/R %1/%3
Trade in 5 Min Timeframe, use signals for scalping
AUDUSD BUY SETUP🔵 BUY TRADE SETUP (Bullish Institutional Plan)
✅ Entry Zone: 0.6360-0.6340 (Refined institutional execution).
✅ Stop Loss: 0.6315 (below OB, avoiding stop hunts).
✅ Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 0.6400 (First liquidity target).
TP2: 0.6420 (Main buy-side liquidity zone).
TP3: 0.6450 (Final liquidity sweep).
✅ Trade Type: Intra-day / Swing (depends on reaction at OB).
✅ Confidence Level: High (Strong confluence with liquidity & structure).
📌 Final Institutional Execution Decision –
🔥 Best Play for Smart Money Execution:
🚫 Do NOT buy at current highs (0.6389-0.6400).
✅ Wait for a retracement to 0.6360-0.6340 before executing a buy.
🔎 Monitor for Smart Money confirmations (liquidity grab, bullish rejection, BOS).
📢 Final Verdict: WAIT for retracement to 0.6360-0.6340, then execute a buy trade with institutional precision. 🎯🚀
audusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Bullish rise?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.6313
1st Support: 0.6144
1st Resistance: 0.6448
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Mon 24th Feb 2025 AUD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a AUD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
AUDUSD Uptrend at Risk? Higher Timeframes Taking ControlAUDUSD's short-term uptrend may be on the verge of failing as higher timeframes exert pressure. With a big wick hanging below, price action suggests a possible pullback to test those lower levels. Is this the beginning of a deeper drop, or will buyers step in? Watch closely!
Ghost's AUD/USD Long Setup (Shorter Term Targets)AUD/USD has now seen a 350+ rally off the lows with no substantial pullback. A lot of the time this kind of price action occurs on AU, it tends to extend a lot further than most traders predict but also not to the overly bullish targets retail traders will spout off like 70+ cents.
While I think a revisit to the lows before a long-term bullrun can be seen for AU is likely, I'm aware that price is indicating it's looking for a healthy correction before target the .65 zone, which is the POC for the higher time frames we broke down from weeks ago with no retest.
For these reason and the general understanding of price action and market structure I see a lot on AUD/USD, I'm bullish in the short-term if we can get a steeper pullback to the .629 area after taking profits on my shorts for 50+ pips around .635.
Best of luck team, Ghost Traders FX now for the year of 2025 has 25 wins in a row, almost 500+ pips gained, 0 losses, improving our overall core strategy results to 135 Wins, 18 Breakevens, 7 losses pulling our WR back to 95%+
Feel good to be trading at my best agian.
AUDUSDThe head of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is Michele Bullock, who has been serving as Governor since September 18, 2023. She is the first female Governor of the RBA and plays a crucial role in setting monetary policy for Australia.
As Governor, Michele Bullock chairs both the Reserve Bank Board and the Payments System Board, overseeing key decisions on interest rates and financial stability. Her tenure has seen significant economic challenges, including managing inflation pressures while supporting economic growth.
The Upcoming AUD/USD Fundamental Data Prints and Their Impact on Trade Directional Bias.
Several key economic indicators are set to influence the AUD/USD currency pair in the coming period. These include:
1. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Interest Rate Decisions
Impact: The RBA is expected to cut interest rates, which could weaken the Australian dollar against the U.S. dollar if not already priced into markets.
Bias: A rate cut might initially lead to a sell bias for AUD/USD, but if it aligns with market expectations, its impact could be muted.
2. Australian Economic Indicators
Inflation Data (CPI): Higher inflation figures can lead to expectations of less aggressive rate cuts by the RBA.
Impact: Stronger inflation data might support a buy bias for AUD/USD.
Employment Figures: Positive employment data can indicate economic resilience.
Impact: This could support a buy bias for AUD/USD.
3. U.S. Economic Indicators
Building Permits and Housing Starts: Stronger-than-expected figures can boost USD strength.
Impact: This might apply downward pressure on AUD/USD, leading to a sell bias.
4. Global Trade Tensions
The ongoing situation with tariffs under Donald Trump's administration may indirectly affect Australia through its trade relations with China.
Current Market Sentiment
The recent rally in AUD/USD has been supported by a weaker USD and positive technical signals However, overbought conditions suggest potential corrections or reversals if key resistance levels are not breached convincingly
Potential Trade Scenarios:
Buy Bias:If Australian economic indicators show resilience (e.g., strong CPI or employment data), and global trade tensions ease further reducing risks for Australia’s economy.
Technical breaches above key resistance levels like on monthly timeframe , the RSI divergent giving me a break of supply roof ,if we close the month on break of structure and its confirmed as a break of structure scenario ,it might return on retest as demand floor and reject to test the long term descending trendline connecting 2012 to 2024
Sell Bias:
If U.S. economic indicators surprise positively (e.g., strong housing starts), supporting USD strength against other currencies including AUD.
A confirmed break below demand floor would likely reinforce this scenario.
AUDUSD: One More Bullish Wave Ahead 🇦🇺🇺🇸
I strongly believe that AUDUSD will resume growth soon.
2 recent strong bullish breakouts of key resistances on a daily
confirm the strength of a current uptrend.
The price is going to reach 0.642 resistance soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️