AUD/USD Triangle Breakout (19.2.25)The AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.6391
2nd Resistance – 0.6404
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AUDUSD trade ideas
AUD/USD breaks to a new weekly highFollowing the RBA’s hawkish rate cut supports, we are continuing to see bullish AUD/USD price action.
Earlier this week, the RBA provided no clear easing bias, citing risks on both sides of the inflation outlook. While it acknowledged that the disinflationary process is progressing, a strong labour market has kept policymakers cautious. The central bank’s governor Bullock highlighted risks to inflation, saying we cannot declare victory on inflation yet.
Overnight, we had some strong labour market data that further supported the Aussie dollar, and just now we have seen rates break to a new weekly high.
From a technical standpoint, the trend has been bullish on the AUD/USD ever since forming a hammer candle around the 0.6130 area a couple of weeks ago. Since then, it has consistently printed bullish price action, keeping buyers in control.
Previous resistance at 0.6330 has now turned into support, keeping the path of least resistance to the upside. This has potentially paved the way for a run toward the 0.6500 handle in the next few days.
Ahead of that, the 38.2% Fibo level comes into focus as 0.6415 next.
On the downside, the 21-day exponential moving average at around 0.6280 serves as the next support in the event of a breakdown below the abovementioned 0.6330 level.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
AUDUSD Bullish break-out signalThe AUDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern for the whole month of February and since yesterday it is making a bounce on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
Today it broke above the previous High and this is a bullish break-out signal. The previous Bullish Leg that rebounded on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and broke above its previous High, targeted the 1.382 Fibonacci extension.
With the presence of an Inner Higher Highs trend-line, we expect the pair to hit the 1.382 Fib at 0.64250.
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Lingrid | AUDUSD capitalizing on the BULLISH ContinuationFX:AUDUSD market continues to make higher highs, indicating that bulls are in control. The price has formed a range zone near last week's high, and there is a chance it may break above and reach higher levels. The market formed a small pause before continuing, as the price closed above the psychological level of 0.63000. On the daily timeframe, the price took liquidity below the previous day's low, and the subsequent move higher demonstrates bullish dominance. I expect the price to move toward the upper border of the channel. My goal is resistance zone around 0.64380
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AUD/USD - Bullish Engulfing at Support for Long Entry📈 Trade Idea: Long AUD/USD
Analysis:
Price formed a bullish engulfing candle off the 0.6360 support zone, signaling strong buyer interest. This level was previously a resistance zone, now acting as support. The engulfing pattern confirms momentum shift, making it a strong entry trigger.
Trade Plan (Based on Chart Setup):
🔹 Entry: 0.6361 (Bullish engulfing confirmation)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.6346 (Below support and engulfing low)
🔹 Take Profit: Fixed at 2R
Risk/Reward:
✅ Stop Loss: ~15 pips
✅ Take Profit: ~30 pips (2R target)
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2
Why this trade?
✔️ Bullish engulfing at key support
✔️ Break and retest confirmation
✔️ Strong momentum shift in favor of buyers
📌 Looking for price to hold above 0.6360 to maintain bullish momentum.
AUDUSD Long Setup 2/19/25 (Smart Money)Smart money trading is the method I use.
It utilizes market structure, liquidity, and supply/demand zones. From my image you can see the steps before a long setup possibly in NY session tomorrow.
Liquidity was taken and momentum has went for the upside, looking for a long setup at my 7th step.
AUDUSD InsightHello, dear subscribers!
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Key Points
- The U.S. is engaged in one-on-one negotiations with Russia regarding an end to the war in Ukraine, while tensions with Ukraine and the European Union continue to rise. U.S. President Donald Trump criticized Ukrainian President Zelensky on Truth Social, calling him a “moderately successful comedian” and a “dictator who never held an election.”
- ECB Executive Board Member Isabel Schnabel stated that the time is approaching for the ECB to either pause or completely halt rate cuts. She explained that inflation in the Eurozone remains high due to new shocks in energy prices and persistent wage growth.
- The FOMC meeting minutes indicated that, given the debt ceiling dynamics, there could be significant fluctuations in reserves over the coming months. Several participants mentioned that it might be appropriate to pause or slow down the balance sheet reduction until the debt ceiling issue is resolved.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ February 21: U.S. February Manufacturing PMI, February Services PMI
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
AUDUSD has successfully broken through the 0.63000 resistance level and continues its upward trend. However, there is overlapping resistance at the 0.64000 level, making further upward movement challenging. A significant pullback is likely, with 0.60000 being the most probable support level. Given this setup, the bias remains bearish.
If AUDUSD breaks above 0.64000, the next target would be 0.66000. In that case, we will adjust our strategy accordingly.
AUDUSD Analysis: Follow The Price BreakoutAUDUSD Analysis: Contracting Triangle Pattern
The AUDUSD is currently creating a "Contracting Triangle pattern." Typically, this is a bullish
or bearish continuation pattern, but in this scenario, AUDUSD is presenting both bullish and bearish trading opportunities due to ongoing tariff issues.
Later today, the FOMC Minutes will be in focus, which could further impact the market.
On Tuesday, U.S. President Donald Trump announced his intention to impose auto tariffs "in the neighborhood of 25%" and similar duties on semiconductors and pharmaceutical imports. This is the latest in a series of measures that could significantly disrupt international trade
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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#AUDUSD 1DAYAUDUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has been in a downtrend but has now broken above the downtrend resistance, signaling a potential shift in market direction. A breakout from this level suggests that buyers are gaining strength, possibly leading to further bullish movement.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise as the breakout indicates a change in trend. Waiting for a retest of the breakout level for confirmation can provide a stronger entry point.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a successful breakout and retest of the previous resistance as support.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the breakout level to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target key resistance zones where price may face selling pressure.
Market Sentiment:
The breakout of the downtrend resistance suggests that bullish momentum is increasing. A confirmed retest with strong price action can provide better confirmation for an upward move.
Australian Dollar holds up after RBA rate cut | FX ResearchEarlier today, the Reserve Bank of Australia cut rates by 25 basis points as widely expected. The accompanying communication leaned to the hawkish side with respect to the outlook on future rate cuts, which kept the Australian dollar propped up. As for Fed rate expectations, the market is currently pricing in 40 basis points of cuts in 2025. Meanwhile, risk sentiment has been improving in recent days due to an alleviation of stress around tariffs and a potential peace deal between Russia and Ukraine.
Key standouts on Tuesday's calendar include UK employment data, a speech from BOE Governor Bailey, German and Eurozone ZEW sentiment, Canada inflation data, New York Empire manufacturing, NAHB housing, and Fed speak. That's all for now.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6304
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6254
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6375
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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