AUD_USD LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅AUD_USD is trading along
The rising support line
And as the pair will soon retest it
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels above 0.6460
LONG🚀
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AUDUSD trade ideas
Time to buy some Aussie Dollars The weekly chart shows that the worst may be over for the Aussie dollars after suffering a huge sell down on 31/03/25, going down below 0.60, revisiting the low of 20/4/20 candle.
I am more in favour of catching the up or downtrend but not necessarily the beginning of it since that is more of a luck than skill, imo. So, with a good risk/reward ratio, the US dollar losing its value , people are dumping US bonds , spiking yields to 5% and possibly higher , it is ripe to go LONG on the Aussie dollars.
Best of luck and see you at 0.67 level.
As usual, please DYODD
🇦🇺 AUDUSD 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis🇦🇺 AUDUSD 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The Australian dollar continues to show strength, On the 4H chart, AUDUSD has confirmed a bullish market structure. We observed a breakout above the previous major resistance at 0.63500, which now serves as a key support level.
After this breakout, a Change of Character (CHOCH) was confirmed, followed by multiple retests of the 0.63500 level and a clean rally toward the minor resistance at 0.65200.
We’re currently monitoring for accumulation and a possible liquidity sweep below the minor key zone. This is a typical setup for institutions to trigger stop losses before the next move higher.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 0.65290
🛡 Stop-Loss (Risk Perspective): 0.64770 (just below liquidity zone)
🎯 Target Profit (Structure-Based): 0.66900 (next minor resistance zone)
Meanwhile, Australia’s resilience, rising commodity prices, and a hawkish central bank continue to support the AUD’s bullish outlook.
Fundamental Outlook:
Labor Market Strength
Australia’s employment data remains solid, with consistent job gains and low unemployment, reinforcing confidence in the country’s economic stability.
RBA Hawkish Tone
The Reserve Bank of Australia has maintained a firm stance on inflation, leaving the door open for possible rate hikes. This hawkish outlook adds upward pressure on AUD.
Commodity Price Recovery
As a key exporter, Australia benefits from rising prices in gold, iron ore, and copper—particularly driven by China’s demand recovery.
Weakening USD
The U.S. dollar is under pressure due to dovish Fed expectations, fiscal uncertainty, and a rise in speculative short positions, boosting AUD/USD.
(Source: Bloomberg, Reuters)
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
Aussie H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.6464 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 0.6377 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.6556 which is a resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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AUDUSD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.650.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.653.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Australian inflation higher than expected, Aussie extends lossesThe Australian dollar has extended its losses on Wednesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6415 in the North American session, down 0.44% on the day.
Australia's inflation rate remained unchanged in April at 2.4% y/y for a third straight month, matching the lowest rate since Nov. 2024. The reading was slightly higher than the market estimate of 2.3% but remained within the central bank's inflation target of 2%-3%. Trimmed mean inflation, the central bank's preferred indicator for underlying inflation, edged up to 2.8% from 2.7% in March.
The inflation report was mildly disappointing in that inflation was hotter than expected. Underlying inflation has proven to be persistent which could see the Reserve Bank of Australia delay any rate cuts.
The markets have responded by lowering the probability of a rate cut in July to 62%, compared to 78% a day ago, according to the ASX RBA rate tracker. A key factor in the July decision will be the second-quarter inflation report in late July, ahead of the August meeting.
The Reserve Bank lowered rates last week by a quarter-point to 3.85%, a two-year low. The central bank left the door open to further cuts, as global trade uncertainties are expected to lower domestic growth and inflation.
The Federal Reserve releases the minutes of its May 7 meeting later today. At the meeting, the Fed stressed that it wasn't planning to lower rates anytime soon and the minutes are expected to confirm the Fed's wait-and-see stance.
US President Trump has been zig-zagging on trade policy, imposing and then cancelling tariffs on China and the European Union. Fed Chair Powell said at the May meeting that the economic uncertainty due to tariffs means that the appropriate rate path is unclear and that message could be reiterated in the Fed minutes.
AUDUSD Bearish Signal | Technical + Custom Algo Smart Trend Signal | Technical Analysis + Custom Algorithm
This signal is the result of a combination of classic technical trend analysis and a proprietary software I personally developed.
The system first identifies market trends purely based on technical indicators — no emotions, no subjective analysis.
Then, a custom-built intelligent algorithm evaluates potential entry and exit points and issues the signal.
This means: a fully data-driven signal, with no guesswork or bias.
📌 Note: This signal is for educational and analytical purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.
AUDUSD READY FOR MARJOR BREAKDOWN ? The Aussie dollar is trading right below a major supply zone (0.64796 area) and showing signs of exhaustion after multiple failed attempts to break higher. This is a textbook distribution phase, often preceding a significant drop.
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Supply Zone: 0.64796 (Heavy rejection seen multiple times)
🔹 Mid-Level Support: 0.62210
🔹 Major Demand Zone: 0.59468 – 0.60000 (POI + high volume node)
🔻 Bearish Outlook: If price fails to reclaim the supply zone, we may see a move to:
1. 0.62210 – minor support, likely to break on high momentum
2. 0.59468 – high-interest demand area + visible range support
📉 Confluence Factors:
Price trapped in a range under supply
Weak bullish momentum after previous rally
Red arrows suggest next bearish impulse targets
Demand visible via LuxAlgo’s Volume Profile + Order Block
USD strength likely from upcoming U.S. data (NFP, CPI news ahead 📅)
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🎯 Trading Plan:
🧨 Break & Retest below 0.64000 = Sell confirmation
🎯 TP1: 0.62210
🎯 TP2: 0.59468
🚫 SL: Above 0.64800 zone
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📌 Risk Management is key – wait for confirmations like strong bearish candle close or volume spike on breakdown. Don’t rush entries.
💬 What do you think? Will the bears take control or will bulls defend this zone again?
📊 Drop your analysis below and don’t forget to like & follow for more FX setups!
#AUDUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #ForexTrading #LuxAlgo #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #BearishSetup
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump stated that “he received reports that the EU has reached out to quickly schedule talks,” calling it “a positive development.”
- The Japanese yen strengthened as speculation grows that the Ministry of Finance may reduce the issuance of long-term government bonds.
- The U.S. CB Consumer Confidence Index came in at 98, significantly beating market expectations of 87.1.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ May 28: FOMC Meeting Minutes
+ May 29: U.S. Q1 GDP
+ May 30: U.S. April Core PCE Price Index
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
The pair is currently showing limited movement between the 0.64000–0.65000 range, suggesting a wait-and-see market stance. However, as higher lows are being formed, a potential upward trend appears likely. The projected resistance level is around 0.69000. Unless the price breaks below the support line at 0.63000, we will continue to view the outlook as bullish.
AUDUSD - Structure Trading Using Candlestick CluesWHAT I'M LOOKING FOR
Price action has broken out to the upside & is currently holding at a previous level of structure resistance here on the $AUDUSD.
MY PREDICTION
Based on the candlesticks that have been produced at this level I'm predicting a brief period of relief which opens up the opportunity for a bearish counter-trend structure trade. If we do reverse at this level I would predict price to retest the previous (inside) level of structure resistance that should now act as potential support
HOW TO GET INVOLVED
Price has currently put in 2 Doji candles followed by a lower low & a lower close candle. This in itself is a good (and aggressive) reason for entry. The only concern that I have (in my personal trading) is that I am unable to get a quality risk reward.
If you have any questions, comments, or just want to share your views, please do so below!
Akil
Looking forward to entry confirmation on this setup 📉 AUD/USD Short Setup in Focus
Currently watching AUD/USD as price approaches a key resistance zone. Momentum looks stretched, and I’m looking for confirmation to enter a short position. Waiting for a clear signal before jumping in — patience is part of the plan. 👀✍️ #AUDUSD #ForexSetup #ShortTrade #PriceAction