correctionIt is expected that the corrective trend will continue to form until the specified support level, then there is a possibility of a trend change.
If the price crosses the 78.6% level, the continuation of the downward trend will be likely.
AUDUSD trade ideas
Bullish continuation?The Aussie (AUD/USD0 is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.6376
1st Support: 0.6331
1st Resistance: 0.6449
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDUSD SELL ANALYSIS RISING WEDGE PATTERN Here on Audusd price form a rising wedge and is likely to continue moving down if line line 0.63255 so trader should go for short with expect profit target of 0.62066 and 0.60692 . Use money management
3RR Trade on AUDUSD Long Using Banks StrategyBased on my trading algorithms which are using banks strategy, this set up will give a 3RR
AUDUSD Waiting For Sell On 4hr TimeframeMonthly & weekly trending the same direction
Price currently heading toward weekly resistance at 0.65153
Next target will be monthly resistance at 0.66228
AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most re cent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe,
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.65100 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bullish trend., driven by several key factors.
💨 Fundamental Analysis
The AUD/USD pair is struggling due to dismal Goods Trade Balance data from Australia, a modest US Dollar uptick, February RBA rate cut bets, and US-China trade war fears. Australia's trade surplus has shrunk to a three-month low, and the latest Q4 Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures showed that headline inflation rose by 2.5% YoY, down from 2.8% in the previous quarter.
💨 Macro Economics
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept interest rates at record highs, while the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has trimmed the benchmark interest rate by 100 bps through 2024 and aims to slow the pace of cuts in 2025 . The Australian economy is expected to be affected by the US-China trade war, as China is its biggest export market.
💨 COT Analysis
Large speculators and asset managers remain net-long the US dollar index, although the latter has a more convincing bullish view . The Australian Dollar COT Index represents the positioning of large non-commercial (speculator) net positions minus large commercial (hedger) net positions.
💨 Key Takeaways
The AUD/USD pair is bearish due to weak Australian data, US Dollar strength, and trade war fears.
The RBA is expected to cut interest rates in February, while the Fed is slowing the pace of rate cuts.
Large speculators and asset managers remain net-long the US dollar index.
💨 Bullish Factors
RBA Rate Cut Priced In: Markets have already priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the RBA, which could limit the downside potential for AUD/USD.
China's Economy Showing Signs of Recovery: China's latest economic data, including the Caixin Services PMI, has shown signs of recovery, which could boost demand for Australian exports and support the AUD.
Iron Ore Prices Rising: Iron ore prices have been rising due to supply disruptions and strong demand from China, which could support the AUD.
AUD/USD Oversold: The AUD/USD pair is currently oversold, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below 30, which could lead to a technical bounce.
US Dollar Overbought: The US Dollar is currently overbought, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) above 98, which could lead to a correction and support the AUD.
Positive Australian Data: Australia's latest economic data, including the Q4 Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the January employment report, has been positive, which could support the AUD.
Technical Support: The AUD/USD pair has technical support at 0.6200, which could limit the downside potential.
💨 Bullish Scenarios
AUD/USD breaks above 0.6300: A break above 0.6300 could lead to a rally towards 0.6400.
RBA surprises with no rate cut: If the RBA surprises markets with no rate cut, the AUD could rally towards 0.6500.
China's economy continues to recover: If China's economy continues to show signs of recovery, the AUD could benefit from increased demand for Australian exports.
💨 Market sentiment for AUD/USD is currently bullish, with 76% of traders holding long positions ¹. This is also reflected in IG's client sentiment data, which shows that 78% of client accounts are long on this market
However, it's essential to note that market sentiment can change rapidly, and it's crucial to consider other factors, such as technical analysis and fundamental data, when making trading decisions.
From a technical perspective, AUD/USD is struggling to capitalize on its recent recovery move from a multi-year low, dropping toward 0.6250 due to dismal Goods Trade Balance data from Australia
Fundamentally, the Australian economy is expected to be affected by the US-China trade war, as China is its biggest export market. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept interest rates at record highs, while the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has trimmed the benchmark interest rate by 100 bps through 2024 and aims to slow the pace of cuts in 2025
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Bullish rise?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.6313
1st Support: 0.6144
1st Resistance: 0.6448
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDUSDHere's how the anticipated Australian economic data releases may affect the AUD/USD trade directional bias today by 4;30am
Key Data Releases and Potential Impacts:
(1)Cash Rate (Forecast 4.10%, Previous 4.35%):
Lower than Forecast (AUD Negative): If the actual cash rate is lower than the forecast of 4.10%, it would indicate a more dovish stance by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), suggesting concerns about economic growth. This would likely weaken the AUD, leading to a potential decline in the AUD/USD.
As Expected (Neutral to Slightly AUD Negative): If the cash rate matches the forecast of 4.10%, the impact might be neutral, but the AUD could still face some downward pressure because it confirms the RBA is easing monetary policy.
Higher than Forecast (AUD Positive): An unexpected hold or increase in the cash rate would signal a hawkish RBA, strengthening the AUD and potentially leading to an increase in the AUD/USD.
(2)RBA Monetary Policy Statement & RBA Rate Statement:
These statements provide context and reasoning behind the RBA's interest rate decisions and offer insights into the central bank's economic outlook and future policy intentions.
Dovish Statements (AUD Negative): If the statements express concerns about economic growth, highlight downside risks, or signal further rate cuts, the AUD would likely weaken, pushing the AUD/USD lower.
Hawkish Statements (AUD Positive): If the statements convey confidence in the economy, emphasize inflation control, or suggest a willingness to raise rates if needed, the AUD would likely strengthen, potentially leading to an increase in the AUD/USD.
(3)Factors Influencing AUD/USD Directional Bias:
Interest Rate Differentials: The difference between the interest rates set by the RBA and the US Federal Reserve influences the AUD/USD. If the Federal Reserve were to increase the interest rate, money may flow into the US strengthening the US dollar, and consequently weakening the AUD/USD rate.
(4)US Economic Data and Fed Policy: The anticipation is that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will adopt a more cautious stance on cutting interest rates going forward.
(5)China's Economic Conditions: China's weaker-than-expected reports fuel global growth concerns and limit the demand of "risk" currencies like the Aussie.
(6)Commodity Prices: AUD/USD is behaving like a cyclical risk asset, showing relationships with crude oil
Potential Scenarios and Trade Implications:
Dovish RBA, Hawkish Fed: This scenario could create a bearish backdrop for AUD/USD.
Technical Considerations: AUD/USD is finding support from a major area of interest at 0.61451 support,it may see enough demand to revisit the the supply roof aand if it breaks it to the moon,
Long IdeaBullish - possible higher timeframe reversal. Waiting for a small re-tracement to zone before initiating buys - with confirmation - for potential higher prices.
Safe and happy trading week.
AUDUSD Bullish break-out signalThe AUDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern for the whole month of February and since yesterday it is making a bounce on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
Today it broke above the previous High and this is a bullish break-out signal. The previous Bullish Leg that rebounded on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and broke above its previous High, targeted the 1.382 Fibonacci extension.
With the presence of an Inner Higher Highs trend-line, we expect the pair to hit the 1.382 Fib at 0.64250.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
AUD/USDd trend at the beginning of the weekAUD/USD news:
🔆The Australian dollar climbed to 0.6370 on Monday following China’s release of its 2025 annual policy statement on Sunday. The statement outlined plans to advance rural reforms and drive comprehensive rural revitalization, boosting optimism about China’s economic outlook. Given China’s significance as Australia’s key trading partner, these stimulus measures could further support the AUD.
🔆Additionally, the AUD/USD pair gained traction as US President Donald Trump signaled potential progress in trade talks with China, easing concerns over tariffs. Investors will remain attentive to any new tariff-related updates from Trump.
🔆Last week, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 4.10%, marking its first rate reduction in four years. RBA Governor Michele Bullock acknowledged the burden of high interest rates but warned that inflation was still a concern. She highlighted the resilience of the labor market and clarified that future rate cuts are not guaranteed, despite market expectations.
🔆The Australian dollar continued to strengthen as the US dollar weakened, following disappointing US economic data.
Personal opinion:
🔆AUD will increase in the short term after considering the recent good news, but then there will be a technical adjustment at the 0.6420 area.
Technical analysis:
🔆Based on important support - resistance levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell AUDUSD 0.6420 – 0.6435
❌SL: 0.6480 | ✅TP: 0.6390 – 0.6350 – 0.6300
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
AUDUSD - NEW BREAKOUT !Hello Traders !
The AUDUSD failed to break the support level (0.62040 - 0.61702).
Currently, The resistance level (0.62705 - 0.63308) is broken 🔥
This key level becomes a new support level !
So, I expect a bullish move📈
_____________
TARGET: 0.64700🎯
AUDUSD LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs DH
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejectiion at AOi
Previous Structure point Dally
Around Psychological Level 0.63500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.36
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
AUDUSD BUY SETUP🔵 BUY TRADE SETUP (Bullish Institutional Plan)
✅ Entry Zone: 0.6360-0.6340 (Refined institutional execution).
✅ Stop Loss: 0.6315 (below OB, avoiding stop hunts).
✅ Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 0.6400 (First liquidity target).
TP2: 0.6420 (Main buy-side liquidity zone).
TP3: 0.6450 (Final liquidity sweep).
✅ Trade Type: Intra-day / Swing (depends on reaction at OB).
✅ Confidence Level: High (Strong confluence with liquidity & structure).
📌 Final Institutional Execution Decision –
🔥 Best Play for Smart Money Execution:
🚫 Do NOT buy at current highs (0.6389-0.6400).
✅ Wait for a retracement to 0.6360-0.6340 before executing a buy.
🔎 Monitor for Smart Money confirmations (liquidity grab, bullish rejection, BOS).
📢 Final Verdict: WAIT for retracement to 0.6360-0.6340, then execute a buy trade with institutional precision. 🎯🚀
AudUsd, rising or falling ?I expect price to test the previous day's low, 0.63300 zone to pick liquidity before heading higher, the previous day's candle was a full day's breakout. risk to reward is 1:6 trade with caution, see chart for more details
AUDUSD H4AUDUSD TF H4
The price is still moving in an uptrend and is currently starting to form a new swing low. You can take advantage of the buy opportunity with the setup:
SL: 0.63496
TP: 0.64436
Disclaimer ON!
Remember to keep setting risk limits and maintaining money management.
AUD/USD NEXT MOVESell after bearish candle stick pattern, buy after bullish candle stick pattern....
Best bullish pattern , engulfing candle or green hammer
Best bearish pattern , engulfing candle or red shooting star
NOTE: IF YOU CAN'T SEE ANY OF TOP PATTERN IN THE ZONE DO NOT ENTER
Stop lost before pattern
R/R %1/%3
Trade in 5 Min Timeframe, use signals for scalping
AUDUSD H4 | Bearish DropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 0.6406, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibo extension and the 61.8% Fibo projection, indicating a strong resistance level.
Our take profit will be at 0.6369, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.6460, which is an overlap resistance level.
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AUDUSD Analysis: Follow The Price BreakoutAUDUSD Analysis: Contracting Triangle Pattern
The AUDUSD is currently creating a "Contracting Triangle pattern." Typically, this is a bullish
or bearish continuation pattern, but in this scenario, AUDUSD is presenting both bullish and bearish trading opportunities due to ongoing tariff issues.
Later today, the FOMC Minutes will be in focus, which could further impact the market.
On Tuesday, U.S. President Donald Trump announced his intention to impose auto tariffs "in the neighborhood of 25%" and similar duties on semiconductors and pharmaceutical imports. This is the latest in a series of measures that could significantly disrupt international trade
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Buy AUDUSDPrice pulled back to the trendline and has rejected it. Bullish momentum no apparent on the 4hr candle
Mon 24th Feb 2025 AUD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a AUD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
AUDUSD Intra Day SetupAUDUSD has confirmed bullish momentum on the higher timeframes, with an intraday setup targeting the next 4-hour high.
