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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

AUDUSD tries to claw back ahead of Jobs release25 minutes until AU jobs data drops: The market is looking for +25k jobs and for the U/R to remain at 4.1%. #AUDUSD is trading at .6492/94, trying to claw its way higher after closing at an almost seven-month low. The risks there appear to be a test of multi-week support in the .6360/50 area. The AU rates market is pricing in just a 10% chance of a rate cut for December and has pushed back expectations of a first full 25bp RBA rate cut until August 2025.
by IG_com
AUD/USD "Aussie" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bearish Side.Ola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰 This is our master plan to Heist AUD/USD "Aussie" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich 💰. Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe, Recent / Nearest High Point. Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 3h timeframe Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Short side, If you've got a money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
Short
by Thief_Trader
AUDUSD Channel Down aiming for a bearish break out.AUDUSD is trading inside a Channel Down since September 19th. The price is currently under the MA50 (4h) and the bullish wave of the Channel Down is about to end. So far this is similar to the first bullish wave (Megaphone) that made a bearish break out on October 3rd. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price. Targets: 1. 0.64565 (Fibonacci 1.5 extension). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) double topped and is trading under its MA. Sell signal as well. Please like, follow and comment!!
Short
by TradingBrokersView
3
AUD/USD bull is about to enter the marketIn 31st Oct, the candle has been form a hammer candle on the orange resistance rectangle, which means there is a possibility of changing direction from downside to upside. Stoch RSI is crossed, which means the buying momentum is about to pump. Buy entry is in. SL: 0.6525, TP 0.681. The reason of TP @0.6810 is seemed going to form head and shoulders pattern. Usually, left shoulder is the same level on the right shoulder. Therefore, this price point is the best for TP. This swing trade could take 3-4 weeks to play out. Remember the rule only risk 1% and reward 3-6%. Good luck with trading and have a good weekend.
Long
by RedPanda_Trader
1
AUD/USD ! November 13 ! Support H4 buy now AUDUSD trend forecast November 13, 2024 The Australian Dollar (AUD) continues to weaken against the US Dollar (USD) for the fourth day in a row on Wednesday, pressured by disappointing Australia Wage Price Index data and optimism around "Trump trades." Despite this, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock’s hawkish stance following last week’s interest rate hold, with a focus on restrictive policy due to persistent inflation and a strong job market, likely helped limit further losses for the AUD. Price analysis: Support H4 -very solid USD - DXY: correction soon /// BUY AUDUSD : zone 0.65300 - 0.65000 SL: 0.64500 TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (0.68000) Safe and profitable trading
Long
by Moon-ForexAcademy
1
AUDUSD Sell the dead cat bounce.The AUDUSD pair gave us an excellent sell opportunity last time on our bearish signal (September 18, see chart below) as it got rejected marginally above the 1.5 year Resistance Zone and broke below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line): This is so far consistent with all three previous sell sequences that reached the 1D RSI oversold (30.00) barrier. If the symmetry continues to hold, then we should be expecting at least a +2.62% counter-trend rebound and then another rejection towards the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we remain bearish on AUDUSD but need to move our Target a bit higher at 0.64500 (despite the gravity of the 2-year Higher Lows trend-line and the Support Zone) in order to match the 1.382 Fib. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
AUD/USD Extends Losses Amid Mounting Bearish DynamicsTechnical Analysis On the 4-hour chart, AUD/USD has maintained its downward trajectory, decisively breaking below the weekly support level at 0.65579. This break has paved the way for further declines, with the next immediate support target at 0.65470. Should bearish control persist, the subsequent downside objectives are at 0.65331, 0.65178, and 0.65012. Each support level represents a critical inflection point, where a breach could accelerate the bearish continuation. Momentum indicators further substantiate the bearish outlook. In an alternative scenario, if buyers manage to regain control and push the price above 0.65579, the immediate focus would shift to the resistance level at 0.65980. A breakout above this level could signal a potential shift in momentum, suggesting a possible reversal of the current bearish trend. Key Events to Monitor Traders should closely monitor upcoming speeches by Federal Reserve members Thomas Barkin and Neel Kashkari, as these may provide further clarity on the Fed's future policy direction. However, the primary market-moving event for AUD/USD remains the release of U.S. inflation data on Wednesday. Given the current bearish sentiment, any surprises in the inflation report could trigger significant volatility in the U.S. dollar, directly impacting AUD/USD dynamics.
Short
by Errante
Potential bullish bounce for the Aussie?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6544 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6508 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 0.6597 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Another update to existing positionAnother update not live call out, so focus on management. First Fundamental reasoning. 1. Monetary Policy Divergence - **Federal Reserve**: The Fed remains relatively hawkish, prioritising high rates to control inflation. The strength of the U.S. economy has allowed the Fed to maintain or potentially even raise rates further, enhancing USD’s appeal compared to currencies from countries with more accommodative policies. -Reserve Bank of Australia : The RBA has adopted a more cautious approach, recently pausing on rate hikes due to concerns about slowing domestic growth and the impact of high rates on household debt. This divergence between the Fed's high-rate policy and the RBA’s reluctance to hike makes the AUD less attractive against the USD. 2. Economic Data Disparities The U.S. economy continues to show resilience, with strong employment data and steady consumer spending supporting USD strength. As economic fundamentals remain solid, investor confidence in USD assets is sustained, putting further pressure on AUD/USD. Australia’s economic indicators suggest a slowdown, particularly in consumer spending and business confidence. With inflation showing signs of moderating and wage growth remaining contained, the RBA has limited scope to increase rates without risking a significant economic slowdown. This weakens the AUD as it signals limited support from domestic fundamentals. 3. Commodity Demand and China’s Economic Slowdown. Australia’s economy is heavily reliant on commodity exports, particularly to China. With China’s growth decelerating amid property sector challenges and lower global demand, the demand for Australian exports such as iron ore and coal has weakened, exerting downward pressure on the AUD. Commodity Price Vulnerability. The slowing Chinese economy not only reduces demand for Australian commodities but also adds to the AUD’s vulnerability given its correlation with global commodity cycles. 4. Risk Sentiment and Safe Haven Flows Global Risk Aversion. In periods of increased risk aversion, such as recent geopolitical tensions and global economic uncertainties, the USD is favored over the AUD due to its status as a safe-haven currency. The AUD, being a risk-sensitive currency, tends to underperform against the USD during such times. 5. Market Sentiment and Positioning Bearish Positioning on AUD Current market sentiment shows a bearish bias toward AUD/USD, reflecting global investors’ preference for the USD amid broader economic concerns. Sentiment indicators and COT data also show increasing short positions on the AUD, further justifying a short position. Technical analysis, my confidence rank was still mid 80s, LTF did have good bear strength display plus the overall Dollar strength justified early entry. This week conclusion on technical side confidence above 90% so it is with the fundamentals. Updates will follow as the next events unfold
Short
by JureBrumen