Australian dollar stabilizes after RBA's surpriseThe Australian dollar is in positive territory after a three-day skid, declining 1.5%. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6532, up 0.50% on the day. The Australian dollar rose as much as 0.95% earlier before retreating.
The Reserve Bank of Australia blindslided the markets on Tuesday as the central bank held the cash rate at 3.85%. The markets had priced in a quarter-point cut at 96%, but the RBA had the last laugh. For the first time, the RBA published the vote tally, which was 6-3 in favor of maintaining the rate.
The rate statement was cautious, as members said "there are uncertainties about the outlook for domestic economic activity and inflation".
Governor Bullock tried to calm the markets, saying that the decision was about "timing rather than direction" and that the Bank would "wait a few weeks" to confirm that inflation was on track to ease and remain sustainably around 2.5%. Bullock said that "we don't want to end up having to fight inflation again".
Inflation is moving in the right direction but the RBA wants to see the second-quarter inflation report on July 30, ahead of the rate decision on Aug. 12. Headline CPI in May eased to 2.1% y/y from 2.4% in April. The core rate dropped to 2.8% from 2.4% in April, the lowest rate since early 2022.
The RBA will be hoping that waiting till August will provide some clarity with regard to US tariff policy. President Trump has pledged new tariffs against various countries but this move is not expected to have much impact on Australia's economy.
AUD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6513. Above, there is resistance at 0.6541
There is support at 0.6463 and 0.6435
AUDUSD trade ideas
AUDUSD trend reversal to the upside!!!# AUD/USD Long Trading Plan
## Setup
- **Pair**: AUD/USD
- **Direction**: LONG
- **Reason**: Breakout above major resistance indicating bullish trend.
## Entry
- Enter on confirmed break above resistance
- OR enter on retest on smaller time frame like 4h, 1h
## Stop Loss
- Below the broken resistance level
- Risk: 1-2% of account
## Take Profit
- **TP1**: Next resistance level (partial close) at 0.66825
- **TP2**: Extended target based on fib 1.618 at 0.68944
- **Risk:Reward**: Minimum 1:2
## Trade Management
- Move stop to breakeven after TP1 hit
- Trail stop as price moves in favor
- proper risk and reward
AUDUSDOverall bearish market structure in the higher time frames
- High wicks exhausting the buyers ( sellers stepping in? )
- RSI crossing over ( potential for a market direction change )
- Testing Supply zone but failing to break through
- Tested Major Fib levels and currently consolidation and unable to break through
- Currently in the 30 minute time frame is this the retracement to then fall towards the downsides
- Stop Loss is placed from the ATR number which was 32.
- Take Profit at next demand zone
Any questions or wanting to follow more of my trades, don't hesitate to drop me a message
Surprise halt by the RBA. A positive for the AUD.After a surprise halt by the RBA, where the Bank kept the cash rate unchanged, MARKETSCOM:AUDUSD reversed sharply higher. Where it may go next? Let's dig in.
FX_IDC:AUDUSD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
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AUDUSD long positionThe AUD/USD 2-hour chart shows a strong buy opportunity as price reacts to a key support zone. Multiple rejections with long lower wicks signal strong buyer interest, suggesting a potential bullish reversal. The setup offers a great risk-to-reward ratio, with a tight stop below support and a wide target above. If price breaks above the 50 EMA, it would further confirm bullish momentum.
AUD/USD30 Mins Frame
🧠 Technical Overview:
The pair is moving in a clear downtrend, as confirmed by the descending trendline connecting multiple lower highs.
Every bullish attempt has been rejected at this trendline, showing strong seller pressure.
🧩 Key Technical Elements:
1. Downtrend Line:
Accurately drawn across descending highs.
Price has tested and rejected from this line multiple times, confirming its strength as a dynamic resistance.
2. Supply Zone:
Highlighted in red between 0.6565 and 0.6575.
Price entered this zone and was immediately rejected, reinforcing bearish sentiment.
3. Entry Point:
Sell at 0.6560, after price failed to break above both the supply zone and trendline resistance.
4. Stop Loss:
0.65850, placed just above the supply zone and the previous high — a safe level to exit if the setup fails.
5. Target Levels:
First Target: 0.65365 – a minor support level and reasonable short-term target.
Major Target: 0.65157 – a stronger previous support and potential reversal point.
📉 Expected Price Action:
As long as the price stays below the trendline and supply zone, further downside is expected.
The most recent price action shows a false breakout above resistance followed by a sharp drop, typical behavior in a downtrend.
🔥 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R):
First Target:
Risk: 0.65850 – 0.6560 = 25 pips
Reward: 0.6560 – 0.65365 = 23.5 pips
→ R:R ≈ 1:1
Major Target:
Reward: 0.6560 – 0.65157 = 44.3 pips
→ R:R ≈ 1.8:1
✅ Solid R:R ratio especially toward the major target.
✅ Conclusion:
This is a technically sound short setup in line with the dominant downtrend.
The rejection from both the supply zone and trendline strengthens the bearish case.
Suitable for short- to medium-term traders, with clearly defined risk management.
AUDUSD – bullish momentum returns, ready for a breakout?AUDUSD is showing clear strength after rebounding from a key support zone. The bullish structure remains intact with a series of higher lows, and the ascending trendline continues to hold. The recent pullback appears to be a healthy retracement before the market gathers momentum for the next leg up.
On the news front, the pair is supported by strong Australian employment data and expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates steady. This has slightly weakened the US dollar, giving AUD room to recover.
If buying pressure holds, AUDUSD could break through the overhead resistance and enter a new bullish phase. Now is the time for traders to watch price action closely and wait for a clear confirmation signal!
AUD USD long to close out the week? With the S&P pushing new highs, the VIX below 17 and recent dovish comments from WALLER. I feel the stage could be set for a positive end to the week. The WALLER comments having moved the needle towards USD weakness into the weekend.
I've left the JPY alone due to potentially strange movent ahead of weekend elections.
The trade is a 20 pip stop loss with a 25 pip profit target.
I've chosen the AUD to long because at the time of placing the trade, it's the currency that has momentum against the other currencies.
It sounds simple but the risk to the trade is USD strength.
If it's ongoing, I will close the trade before end of day to avoid weekend risk.
The only key levels you need - DITCH THE INDICATORS- Previous day high/Low
- Weekly high/low
- Session high/low
- Closing Price
In this specific example on OANDA:AUDUSD we have a day 3 Tuesday breakout fail reversal setup on the backside of a previous weeks expansion.
Fridays closing price was plotted going into Monday day 2 on the backside of a new week. Once the initial high low was set on day 2 below the previous weeks high and closing price we than look for short opportunities going into day 3 Tuesday.
In this case day 2 Ny session high acted as the reversal point staying below Friday closing price below the high of the previous week. The Asia/London session printed a beautiful high/low range reversing at near the midpoint of the previous days range (50% retrace.)
A great opportunity for a projected range expansion presented with confluence at a previous days low giving a solid set and forget trade with little to no stress or heat. This parabolic opportunity took place in the NY session below Fridays closing price to a previous weeks LOD level.
- Mondays High (Stop)
- NY session High, Fridays Close (Entry)
- Wed Low, Range expansion (Target)
KEY NOTES:
It is very important to keep your trading simple. As a newer trader I filled my chart with as many indicators as possible trying to find a "signal" because I lacked the patience for the market to give me a setup over multiple days. Now as a more experienced trader I sit back on higher time frames (1H/15M) TO WAIT FOR THE DAILY LEVELS TO PRINT. Avoiding trading inside a range on a low time frame. Lower time frames are only to decrease risk and increase position accuracy already derived from higher time frames. It is key to understand when higher time frame traders are triggered into a market and to understand there are only two main plays from key levels. Keep it simple, find the scalable setups, AND PUT THE SIZE ON WITH CONFIDENCE.
CITYSTAR | AUDUSD ; SELL ANALYSE AUDUSD New Forecast👨💻👨💻
This is my personal trade and not in anyway a mandatory setup.
Note:
Follow proper risk management rules. Never risk more then 2% of your total capital. Money management is the key of success in this business...... Set your own SL & TP.
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AUDUSD(20250715)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Sources said that after Trump's latest trade tax threat, the European Central Bank will discuss a more negative scenario next week than expected in June. The ECB is still expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting on July 24. Discussions on rate cuts are still postponed to September.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6557
Support and resistance levels:
0.6602
0.6585
0.6574
0.6539
0.6528
0.6511
Trading strategy:
If it breaks through 0.6557, consider buying in, the first target price is 0.6574
If it breaks through 0.6539, consider selling in, the first target price is 0.6528
AUDUSD 4Hour TF - July 13th,2025AUDUSD 7/13/2025
AUDUSD 4hour Bullish idea
Monthly - Bearish
Weekly - Bearish
Dailly - Bullish
4hour - Bullish
We’re looking like we’re back to bullish after last week. The 4Hour timeframe has been moving up nicely and as of last week we’re sitting just below 0.65800. Going into this week we’re looking mainly bullish but we are still going to mark up two potential scenarios:
Bullish Continuation - This is looking like the most likely scenario. Ideally, price action pushes above 0.65800 then retests as support and confirms the next higher low. I’d be interested in positions as the higher low is forming and as I can spot bullish conviction to enter long on.
Bearish Reversal - Even though it’s likely we will continue bullish, a reversal is still possible as nothing is definite. For us to consider bearish setups we would need to see a break below 0.65500 with a retest of that zone as new resistance. Look for a lower high to short on below 0.65500.
AUDUSD Long TradeOANDA:AUDUSD Long trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
This is good trade, don't overload your risk like greedy, be disciplined trader, this is good trade.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
AUDUSD - bullish market is in bull trend and have formed first HH and HL. bullish divergence and double bottom adds weight to the bull
we anticipate market to remain bullish, and entry is taken instantly and sl below the LH. take profits are with R:R of 1:1 and 1:2.
we can also trade on the break of neck line of flag cont. pattern.