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AUDUSD trade ideas

AUD vs Majors: Diverging Paths in a Tumultuous Cycle (2019–2025)The Australian Dollar (AUD) has significantly diverged in performance across major currency pairs since 2019. The AUD/JPY (yellow line) stands out with a strong +14.01% gain, reflecting both risk-on sentiment and yen weakness. Meanwhile, AUD/USD and AUD/CAD have both suffered steep declines of -10.24% and -8.85%, respectively, underlining AUD’s vulnerability to global tightening cycles and commodity-related headwinds. Notably, AUD/NZD has remained relatively flat, highlighting the tight correlation between the two regional economies. This divergence suggests that AUD’s performance is being increasingly shaped by its counterpart's macro narrative—whether it's U.S. monetary policy, Japanese yield control, or New Zealand's economic synchronization.
by COLOMBINI-TRADING
AUDUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off 61.8% Fibo Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 0.6417, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 0.6488, a swing high resistance. The stop loss is placed at 0.6355, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Australian dollar hits five-month high after Australian electionThe Australian dollar continues to impress and has posted strong gains on Monday. European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6491, up 0.72% on the day and its highest level since early December 2025. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese cruised to a resounding victory in Saturday's national election. Albanese' centre-left Labor Party increased its majority and thumped the Liberal Party opposition. The coalition's defeat was marked by its leader, Peter Dutton losing his own seat. The long shadow of US President Donald Trump was a factor in the election. Dutton adopted right-wing policies such as promising tougher immigration laws and establishing a platform to reduce the waste of public funds. The similarities between Dutton and Trump hurt the Liberal leader as many voters were upset with Trump's 10% tariffs on Australia. At the start of the year, Albanese was trailing badly in the opinion polls. However, he struck a receptive chord among voters on domestic issues such as health care and housing, and benefited from the anti-Trump sentiment, which proved to be a winning recipe. US nonfarm payrolls, a key gauge of the US labor market, dipped slightly to 177 thousand in April, down from a revised 185 thousand in March. This easily beat the market estimate of 130 thousand. The positive unemployment report points to a resilient labor market which remains strong despite the US economy declining in the first quarter. The markets have responded by lowering the odds of a rate hike in June to 33%, down sharply from 60% a week ago, according to the CME's FedWatch. The Federal Reserve meets on Wednesday and is virtually certain to maintain the benchmark rate of 4.25%-4.5%.
by OANDA
GBP/JPY Short, GBP/USD Short, AUD/CAD Short and AUD/USD ShortGBP/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it. GBP/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Corrective tap into area of value. • 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles. Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. AUD/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. AUD/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Short
by StewySongs
AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25 AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly 50 EMA ✅Intraday 15' order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure to be confirmed 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?AUD/USD is falling towards a support level, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, and could bounce from this level toward our take-profit target. Entry: 0.6418 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6394 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.6466 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
The trend next weekJudging from the price trend presented in the chart, the current market is clearly in a bearish state 📉. Previously, after the price reached the key resistance level of 0.64500, it failed to break through effectively and continue the upward trend. Instead, it entered a consolidation pattern 📊. This indicates that the bullish forces encountered strong resistance near this price level and found it difficult to push the price higher 👎. It is expected that in the coming period, without significant positive news stimuli, the price is highly likely to continue its downward trend 📉. Investors should closely monitor whether the support level of 0.63340 holds 👀. If this support level is broken, they may consider selling short on rallies ⏬. ⚡⚡⚡ AUDUSD ⚡⚡⚡ 🚀 Sell@0.6500 - 0.6450 🚀 TP 0.6350 - 0.6300 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Short
by Sovereign-
AUD/USD Opening Trends and Trading Strategies Next WeekThe AUD/USD has been in a range - bound fluctuation recently. 📈 In the short term, if the price can stay above the support level of 0.63340 and market risk - appetite sentiment rises, the AUD/USD is expected to challenge the target level of 0.64500. 🎯 However, if it breaks below the support level, it may trigger further downward adjustments. 📉 ⚡⚡⚡ AUDUSD ⚡⚡⚡ 🚀 Buy@0.6350 - 0.6380 🚀 TP 0.6400 - 0.6450 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Long
by Sovereign-
1
AUDUSD(20250516)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed Chairman Powell: The Fed is adjusting its overall policy-making framework. Zero interest rate is no longer a basic situation. The wording of underemployment and average inflation rate needs to be reconsidered. PCE is expected to drop to 2.2% in April. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 0.6416 Support and resistance levels: 0.6484 0.6458 0.6442 0.6391 0.6375 0.6349 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 0.6416, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6442 If the price breaks through 0.6391, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6375
Long
by Toml1314
Short trade 15min TF entry 🟥 Sellside Trade Log 📉 Pair: AUD/USD 🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session AM (7:00 PM NY time) 🧠 Setup: Breakout (Downside) 📅 Date: Tuesday, 13th May 2025 🕖 Time: 7:00 PM (New York Time) 🔹 Entry Price: 0.64382 🔹 Profit Target: 0.64208 (-0.81%) 🔹 Stop Loss: 0.64762 (+0.05%) 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 16.87 🔍 Reasoning: This sellside breakout trade was initiated following a rejection at a pivotal resistance level within an ascending channel. We assume sellside pressure will continue to break to the downside as momentum failed to hold above the upper boundary, triggering a move through structural support. The setup was reinforced by confluence from channel dynamics and directional intent.
Short
by davidjulien369
AUDUSD InsightHello to all subscribers. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the boost and subscribe buttons! Key Points - U.S. President Trump commented on the proposed meeting between the Presidents of Ukraine and Russia in Türkiye on the 15th, suggested by Saudi Arabia, saying, “They could achieve a very good result.” - The U.S. Department of Labor reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% from the previous month and 2.3% year-on-year, marking the lowest level since February 2021 and coming in below expectations. - In last week's Australian general election, the Labor Party, capitalizing on anti-Trump sentiment, achieved a landslide victory and succeeded in extending its term in office. Key Economic Events This Week + May 14: Germany April Consumer Price Index + May 15: U.K. Q1 GDP, U.S. April Retail Sales, U.S. April Producer Price Index, Fed Chair Powell’s speech + May 16: Japan Q1 GDP AUDUSD Chart Analysis The pair has broken above a resistance level and is showing upward momentum. If it breaks through the recent high at the 0.65000 level, it may trigger a full-fledged rally, with 0.69000 being a likely target. However, if it fails to break above the previous high, the trend could shift, and in that case, we will formulate a new strategy.
Long
by shawntime_academy
LONG AUDUSD breaking major resistance# AUDUSD Buy Setup Trading Plan **Entry:** - Buy on first pullback on smaller timeframe after resistance breakout - Confirm with bullish candlestick pattern or moving averages **Stop Loss:** - Place below broken resistance level - Approximately around 0.63262 **Take Profit:** - Target 1: Previous swing high - Target 2: Next major resistance level (1:2 risk-reward) **Risk Management:** - Risk 1-2% of account per trade - Consider partial profit taking at Target 1 Always confirm breakout with multiple timeframes before entering.
Long
by aryoTraderX
AUDUSD SELL TRADE PLANAUDUSD – May 13, 2025 📋 Plan Overview Table Plan Type Direction Confidence R:R Status Main Swing Plan Sell 🔶 84% 3.2R ✅ Active 📈 Market Bias & Type Bias: Bearish
Type: HTF Continuation Sell after failed bullish attempt into resistance (breaker + supply) 🔰 Confidence Level 84% Total Confidence * HTF Structure Break + Shift: 25% * Fresh H4 Supply Zone with imbalance: 20% * D1 Trendline break & retest: 15% * Confluence with NY Session rejection: 12% * USD Index correlation supportive: 12% 📍 Entry Zones * Primary Zone (Optimal):
 0.6420 – 0.6430 → H4 fresh supply zone + liquidity sweep * Secondary Zone (Deeper POI, if spiked):
 0.6440 – 0.6455 → Last D1 supply engulf before sell-off ❗ SL with Reasoning * Stop Loss: 0.6470 * Reasoning: Above final wick and imbalance; invalidation of HTF supply and D1 rejection structure. 🎯 TP1/TP2/TP3 Targets * TP1: 0.6365 → H1 mid-range structure * TP2: 0.6320 → D1 equal lows + liquidity pool * TP3 (Extended): 0.6285 → Full H4 liquidity run below multi-week range 🧠 Management Strategy * Risk: 0.5% per entry zone * Scale: Add 0.25% on secondary zone if triggered * Breakeven: On clear break of 0.6365 with momentum * Trail: Trail manually after 0.6320 touch with volatility logic ⚠️ Confirmation Checklist * ✅ H1 Bearish Engulfing at entry * ✅ Volume spike or wick rejection (preferably NY session) * Optional: Internal BOS on M15 near entry adds further weight ⏳ Validity * Swing Trade: Valid for 48–72 hours * Review zone daily for continuation or rejection invalidation ❌ Invalidation Conditions * Clean close above 0.6468 on H4 or Daily * Break in bearish HTF structure * DXY sharp reversal invalidating USD strength 🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot * AUD: Bearish due to weaker CPI outlook, RBA dovish tones * USD: Bullish momentum from sticky CPI + Fed hawkish repricing * Sentiment: Risk-off continues favoring USD gains against risk currencies like AUD 📋 Final Trade Summary AUDUSD presents a textbook swing continuation short from a premium supply area backed by macro USD strength, technical structure break, and session rejection. Favoring strong reward with tight invalidation, it's positioned for a 2–3 day hold targeting March–April liquidity pockets.
Short
by jibkhan111