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AUDUSD trade ideas

Trade Idea: AUD/USD ShortAUD/USD is currently in a bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows. The price has recently retested a key resistance zone near 0.6230 and shown signs of rejection, indicating potential for further downside movement. Entry: 0.6230 Stop Loss (SL): 0.6280 Take Profit (TP): 0.6020 As the trade progresses, price action should be monitored closely. Stop Loss adjustments can be made to break-even or to secure profits as the price approaches the TP level. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) of approximately 1:4, making it a sound trade from a risk management perspective. This trade setup is based on technical analysis, fundamental analysis, investor sentiment, and retail sentiment.
Short
by Trade_Navigator010
AUDUSD (4H) UT ANALYSIS🔹 Current Market Overview: The AUD/USD pair is trading at a current price of 0.62085 . Recent price movements suggest consolidation near this level, forming a potential base for upward momentum. 📈 Buy Signal Details: Entry Price: 0.6243 Stop Loss: 0.61994 Take Profit: 0.62866 🔹 Key Observations: Trend Analysis: The pair is recovering from oversold conditions on the 4-hour timeframe. RSI indicates neutral-to-bullish momentum, currently hovering near the 50-55 range . Support and Resistance Levels: Strong support identified at 0.6190–0.6200 . Immediate resistance is observed at 0.6240–0.6250 , aligning with our entry point. Volume Analysis: Buying pressure is building, with consistent above-average volume near 0.6200 . 🔹 Strategy Commentary: A break above 0.6243 confirms bullish momentum and validates the buy entry. A well-placed stop loss at 0.61994 ensures minimal downside risk. The take-profit target at 0.62866 aligns with the upper channel of recent price action, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 🔹 Risk Management Tips: Consider monitoring economic events that may impact AUD, such as commodity price trends or Reserve Bank of Australia announcements. Adjust your position size based on your risk tolerance, ensuring the total loss from the stop loss remains within your acceptable limits.
Long
by ProfessorCEWard
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 15/01/2025Yesterday, we had an awesome trading session using the Judas swing strategy. We entered a trade on AUDUSD and secured a 2% gain! As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises: - Setting the timezone to New York time - Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe - Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30 - Identifying the high and low of the zone Once we’ve covered the basics on our checklist, the next step is to identify a sweep of liquidity on either side of the zones we’ve marked. For this trade, we observed a sweep of liquidity above the high of the zone, signaling a potential opportunity to focus on selling setups for this trading session. To avoid getting ahead of ourselves, we patiently wait for a break of structure to the sell side as additional confirmation of our sell bias. Notice how we didn’t rush into the trade, despite having a bias for the session. Instead, we chose to wait for the market to validate our bias. After some time, the break of structure to the sell side occurred, leaving behind a FVG, further supporting our analysis The next 5 minute candle retraced to fill the FVG left behind, completing all the requirements on our entry checklist. With our criteria met, we executed the trade, risking 1% of our trading account in pursuit of a 2% return After executing the trade, we encountered minimal drawdown as it quickly began moving in our intended direction. From that point, all that was left was to patiently wait for the trade to reach our objective and secure the 2% return Our patience paid off with this AUDUSD trade, as our take-profit target was hit after just 1 hour and 20 minutes in the trade. This reinforces the importance of sticking to your plan and trusting the process—discipline and patience are key to long-term trading success
by CleoFinance
AUDUSD Retest of Key breakout area at 0.62060-Fakeout or Retest.Following US CPI coming out as expected, (showing a slight uptick in inflation for December) TVC:DXY pushed back to 108.6-108.4 area: -> A rising wedge was identified on AUD/USD with an exit on the upside following CPI release. -> Aussie is trading at a key area around 0.6260, whether it will be a retest of the top of the wedge or a reclaim of this resistance and become a fakeout is still to be determined. Bulls narrative: -> Bulls see the current set up as a breakout from a wedge followed by a three leg pullback (5 min the time frame), they want a retest of 0.6260 followed by a follow through buying around 0.6260 and a reclaim of the 5 min EMA. bulls need to see follow through buying and consecutive bull bars. Previous 4H close above 0.62070 shows the market is willing to go above. Bears narrative -> After breakout there was no significant follow through buying followed by 5 consecutive bear bars on the 30 min. >A reclaim of the 0.62025 on the 4H timeframe would open the door to downside targets for at least a test of the bottom of the wedge at 0.61700. W -> Bears want weak buying around the 0.6260 and trap bulls for follow through selling and put them in a loosing trade For now, trade favors bulls with potential for upside targets around the daily 20EMA and a retest of the 0.62800 and 0.63000 area. If none of these scenarios play out in the coming hours, market will go sideways to down.
Long
by Baudoouin
2
AUD/USD Bullish Trade Set Up! A lot of Confirmation! Tap In Now!We are seeing AUD/USD rebound from a 4-day bearish push to .61300 to new highs around the .62000 level. The .62000 level has been holding strong as a resistance level; four separate times it has held the market below it. It has now broken back above previous lows and is now retesting to the support line and is looking to move around the .61800 level. We are also hovering between the 50 and 200 EMA levels, with the EMAs starting to converge. Another sign we see is an inverse shoulder head shoulder on the 1 hour. The low of the right shoulder is the black box at .61700, and we don't want to see the market break below that point. If it breaks below the black low box, it is an indication of bearish strength. Move Summary: We want to see it make a move to break through the .62000 level to break into more buy territory and create new highs. A break above the 200 EMA would be another signal for bullish confirmation. Our target will be the MONEY box for a 3:1 trade. Like, Comment, and Follow if you agree with this Idea! Let's Connect!
Long
by AceTradingAcademy
AUDUSD InsightHello, subscribers! It's great to see you all. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the boost button and subscribe! Key Points - According to foreign media reports, President-elect Trump’s economic team is reportedly considering a gradual increase in tariffs by 2–5% per month, interpreted as a strategy to minimize a sharp rise in inflation. - The market has shown relief regarding inflation after both the December PPI headline and core figures came in significantly below expectations, shifting focus to the upcoming CPI. - Concerns over stagflation risks and rising fiscal deficits persist as the yield on the UK’s 30-year government bond reaches its highest level since 1998. - In Australia, November retail sales rose 0.8% month-on-month, marking the largest increase in 10 months, while November CPI reached 2.3%, nearing the target range and raising expectations for a rate cut in February. Major Economic Events This Week + January 15: UK December Consumer Price Index (CPI), US December Consumer Price Index (CPI) + January 16: UK November GDP, Germany December Consumer Price Index (CPI), US December Retail Sales + January 17: UK December Consumer Price Index (CPI) AUDUSD Chart Analysis Recently, the AUD/USD pair has experienced significant downward pressure due to the US dollar's strength and rising expectations of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia. During this decline, the pair broke below the 0.62000 level. However, it has since rebounded, recovering to around the 0.62000 level as it finds support. That said, the upward movement may be short-lived, with a high likelihood of continuing its downward trend toward the 0.60000 level after confirming a peak. If the upside momentum unexpectedly strengthens, I will quickly adjust the strategy accordingly.
Short
by shawntime_academy
AUD/USD steady as consumer sentiment slips lowerThe Australian dollar is showing little movement on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6174, down 0.06% at the time of writing. The Australian consumer remains pessimistic about the economic outlook. The Westpac consumer sentiment index fell 0.7% in January from -2% in December 2024. This brought the index down to 92.1 in January, down from 92.8 a month earlier. The Westpac report found that confidence over employment has been falling and interestingly, a majority of consumers expect interest rates to move higher, despite signals that the Reserve Bank of Australia's first rate move will be a cut rather than a hike. The RBA hasn't moved on rates in over a year and the current cash rate of 4.25% continues to squeeze businesses and consumers. Australia releases third-quarter inflation on Jan. 29 and the central bank will be watching. That inflation reading could result in a historic rate cut if inflation is lower than expected. We'll get a look at the US Producer Price Index later today, with mixed numbers expected. PPI is projected to jump from 3.0% to 3.4% y/y  while decreasing monthly from 0.4% to 0.3%. Core PPI and is expected to jump to 3.8% y/y from 3.4% and from 0.2% to 03% m/m. If the PPI report indicates an acceleration as is expected, the money markets will likely lower their expectations for a rate cut. Currently, the money markets have priced in a quarter-point cut at the Jan. 29 meeting at below 3%  and at the March meeting at around 20%. Federal Reserve members are sounding hawkish and have signaled that the market shouldn't expect a rate cut anytime soon. AUD/USD tested resistance at 0.6193 earlier. Above, there is resistance at 0.6209 0.6162 and 0.6146 are providing support
by OANDA
AUD/USD steady as consumer sentiment slips lowerThe Australian dollar is showing little movement on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6174, down 0.06% at the time of writing. The Australian consumer remains pessimistic about the economic outlook. The Westpac consumer sentiment index fell 0.7% in January from -2% in December 2024. This brought the index down to 92.1 in January, down from 92.8 a month earlier. The Westpac report found that confidence over employment has been falling and interestingly, a majority of consumers expect interest rates to move higher, despite signals that the Reserve Bank of Australia's first rate move will be a cut rather than a hike. The RBA hasn't moved on rates in over a year and the current cash rate of 4.25% continues to squeeze businesses and consumers. Australia releases third-quarter inflation on Jan. 29 and the central bank will be watching. That inflation reading could result in a historic rate cut if inflation is lower than expected. We'll get a look at the US Producer Price Index later today, with mixed numbers expected. PPI is projected to jump from 3.0% to 3.4% y/y  while decreasing monthly from 0.4% to 0.3%. Core PPI and is expected to jump to 3.8% y/y from 3.4% and from 0.2% to 03% m/m. If the PPI report indicates an acceleration as is expected, the money markets will likely lower their expectations for a rate cut. Currently, the money markets have priced in a quarter-point cut at the Jan. 29 meeting at below 3%  and at the March meeting at around 20%. Federal Reserve members are sounding hawkish and have signaled that the market shouldn't expect a rate cut anytime soon. AUD/USD tested resistance at 0.6193 earlier. Above, there is resistance at 0.6209 0.6162 and 0.6146 are providing support
by yesfish