AUDUSD trade ideas
Long trade
Trade Overview: AUDUSD – Long Position (Trade 2)
Entry Price: 0.63674
Take Profit: 0.64381 (+1.10%)
Stop Loss: 0.63421 (–0.40%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.79
🕕 Entry Time: 6:00 PM (New York Time)
📅 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
🌍 Session: NY to Tokyo Overlap (PM)
🧭 Higher Timeframe Structure: 1-Hour TF
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Reasoning Narrative
AUDUSD maintained a bullish structure on the 1-hour timeframe, with price forming higher lows and consolidating just below a key resistance area before the session crossover.
AUDUSD LONG SIGNALUnder current market conditions, the area near 0.6407 has been identified as a critical support zone, where the AI model detects a high-probability trade setup.
From a technical perspective, a clear directional bias based on recent price action patterns. Suppose the market demonstrates increased volume and price stability above key moving averages in the 0.6407 area. In that case, traders are advised to monitor for trend-continuation entry opportunities in alignment with the prevailing momentum.
Profit targets are defined at 0.6437 and 0.6489, corresponding to logical technical resistance zones. These levels are designed for staged profit-taking across different trade management styles. Stop-loss should be strictly enforced at the designated level; once breached, the strategy is considered invalidated in order to limit potential downside.
AUUSD Weekly Forecast
"AUUSD Weekly Forecast
Get ready for a potential swing trade!
Waiting for:
Sell-side liquidity to be taken
Stop hunt to play out
Then, we'll be looking for a LONG-TERM BULLISH reversal!
Stay tuned for updates and get ready to ride the trend!
#AUDUSD #WeeklyForecast #SwingTrade #TradingView #MarketAnalysis"
AUDUSD(20250425)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Federal Reserve-①Hamack: If economic data is clear, the Fed may cut interest rates in June
②Waller: It will take until July to get a clearer understanding of how tariffs affect the economy. If tariffs lead to higher unemployment, interest rate cuts may be initiated. ③The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model predicts that the US GDP growth rate in the first quarter will be -2.5%. ④Kashkari: The frequent announcements from Washington have brought challenges to policymakers and everyone.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6387
Support and resistance levels:
0.6454
0.6429
0.6413
0.6361
0.6344
0.6319
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6413, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6429
If the price breaks through 0.6387, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6361
AUDUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a bearish pattern setup on the AUD/USD 30-minute timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of what the chart indicates:
Pattern Type: It looks like a bearish double or triple top pattern with clear swing highs (marked with orange circles) and lows.
Entry Point: The price appears to be rejecting a resistance zone around 0.6447, which is where the short position is initiated (marked by the red arrow).
Stop Loss: Set just above the resistance zone, around 0.6450.
**Take
AUD/USD DTF Time Frame – Technical & Fundamental AnalysisAUD/USD DTF Time Frame – Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Technical Outlook:
On the daily time frame, AUD/USD has been consolidating after a strong bearish move that drove price down to the 0.59000 level. Following this, significant buying pressure led to a breakout above the anticipated major key resistance at 0.63500.
Currently, price action is indicating accumulation above this critical level, confirmed by a bullish engulfing candle. This suggests that buyers may continue to gain momentum in the near term.
However, it’s worth noting that liquidity has not yet formed, which indicates the potential for a liquidity hunt between defined zones. Based on this, our current strategy is:
Buy Limit Order: 0.63080 (within the liquidity zone) to capitalize on the opportunity, aiming for a higher reward with a 1:4 risk-to-reward ratio.
Stop Loss: 0.62560
Take Profit: 0.65230 (next minor key resistance)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:4
This setup aligns with the broader bullish structure forming on the daily time frame.
Fundamental Outlook:
Australia’s positive fundamentals are contributing to a bullish outlook for AUD/USD:
Commodity Price Recovery: A significant rebound in global commodity prices, especially for iron ore, coal, and copper, has supported Australia’s key exports, boosting demand for the AUD.
China’s Economic Rebound: As Australia’s largest trading partner, China’s economic recovery—marked by increased industrial output and government stimulus—has led to a surge in export demand, which is also strengthening the Australian dollar.
Domestic Stability in Australia: The Australian economy is showing signs of stabilization, with stronger-than-expected employment data and rising consumer confidence. These developments reduce the likelihood of aggressive rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
On the other hand, the U.S. fundamentals are showing some weakness:
Weaker-than-Expected Unemployment Claims: The latest U.S. Unemployment Claims came in at 222K, higher than the forecast of 215K and previous 215K, indicating a slight softening in the U.S. labor market. This adds further downward pressure on the USD, especially as concerns over economic momentum rise.
Conclusion:
Given the strong bullish technical setup and positive fundamentals for the Australian dollar, combined with the recent weakness in U.S. employment data, the outlook for AUD/USD remains bullish.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.
AUD/USD is Bullish: More Gains AheadFenzoFx—The AUD/USD pair rebounded from the $0.6363 support level, aided by the 50-period simple moving average, and is currently trading near $0.6413.
Resistance stands at $0.6444. A close above this level may extend the bullish move toward $0.6940 and $0.7200.
Bearish Scenario : A drop below $0.6363 would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially triggering a decline toward $0.6322.
AUD/USD broke out above 0.64000, time to reassess the planAUD/USD trade idea – not a position, just a setup to watch 👀
We’re seeing a potential 1H double top forming after a strong bullish leg, supported by a clean rejection candle and my TWT pattern. This could lead to a pullback toward the golden zone of the Fibonacci retracement — which opens up a possible long opportunity in line with the trend.
For short-term traders, there might be a chance to catch a short here if the double top confirms, but it's definitely more aggressive and riskier, as you'd be trading against the broader bullish trend. Watching price action closely from here will be key. Let's see how it plays out.
AUD/USD Secures Bullish Momentum Above $0.6407FenzoFx—AUD/USD closed above $0.6407 and remains stable, signaling a bullish trend supported by the 50-period simple moving average.
However, indicators like Stochastic and RSI 14 suggest an overbought condition, hinting at a possible correction. Key support lies at $0.6395, with traders watching for bullish signals such as candlestick patterns.
The outlook stays bullish above $0.6276, while dips below this level could trigger extended consolidation.
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AUDUSD Buy ForecastAUDUSD New Forecast👨💻👨💻
This is my personal trade and not in anyway a mandatory setup.
Note:
Follow proper risk management rules. Never risk more then 2% of your total capital. Money management is the key of success in this business...... Set your own SL & TP.
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AUDUSD still bulishChart Observations:
1. Trend Direction:
The market has shifted from a strong downtrend to a bullish reversal.
A clean breakout from the consolidation zone (red resistance zone turned support) confirms bullish momentum.
2. Moving Averages:
Price is above all EMAs (red, yellow, green, blue lines), indicating bullish alignment.
The EMAs are fanned out and sloping upward — further confluence for bullish continuation.
3. Support/Resistance Zones:
The red zone around 0.63875–0.64100 now acts as strong support.
Next key resistance: 0.65425 (Take Profit area in the trade).
4. Entry Confirmation:
The green bullish candle just broke out of resistance with volume and momentum.
A strong bullish engulfing pattern near the breakout point.
5. Risk/Reward Setup:
Stop Loss: 0.63875
Entry: Around 0.64120
Take Profit: 0.65425
R:R ratio is healthy (~2:1 or more).
Additional Notes:
If price dips back into the red zone and closes below 0.63875 on a 4H candle — exit the trade.
If price consolidates near current levels, wait for another bullish candle to enter or add to position.
Always monitor DXY and fundamentals (US data releases, RBA tone) for confirmation.
Week of 4/20/25: AUDUSD AnalysisWeekly and daily candles are consecutively bullish with a V-shape recovery to the upside. Looking for longs and especially keeping an eye out for the 1H POI flip-zone that I refined in the 4H POI.
Unless 1H internal structure shifts bearish, I am long ALL THE WAY!
Major News:
PMI - Wednesday
Unemployment - Thursday
Thanks for tuning in, have a great week.
LTF DistributionContinuation of previous post :
1H Range starts off this schematic by stopping the momentum at the point of the first secondary test, it fails to break the previous high and this markets goes from moving up to sideways into this TR. Each rally to previous highs reflects upside effort increasing, but upside result is decreasing indicating buyers weakness near this level. uE>, uR< = bearish indicator.
Favorable bearish confirmation would be a lower high, paired with high buy volume confirming the shift to bearish market.
AUDUSD AUDUSD SELL ANALYSIS UPDATE. 4 HR LOOKING GREAT
For traders who have entered short positions based , derived by the hourly strong resistance level, the 4 hour downtrend, the previous recent lower low, the overbought RSI, and a few other indicators used.
Conversely, while the primary focus is on sell opportunities due to the overarching downtrend, potential long positions would require more significant confirming signals. These confirmations may include [ a break and close above a key resistance level, bullish divergence on a specific indicator, positive fundamentals and a LOCK.
Further detailed analysis and real-time updates are available just send a message or leave a comment!
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 15/04/2025Tuesday's price action on FX:AUDUSD , we got a textbook Judas Swing play and for those still getting used to spotting these setups in real-time, let’s break this one down and talk through what happened and more importantly, why it happened.
Going into the session open, we had a relatively tight consolidation, with the 00:00 - 08:30est range acting as a container for liquidity. Price had built up liquidity at the high and low of the zone. Whichever side gets swept first will determine our directional bias for the session
Just after the session began, we saw price aggressively push up taking out the buy side liquidity resting above those early highs. This is what is called the "Judas move", a false breakout meant to trap breakout buyers and entice liquidity into the market. This move is not random. It’s designed to induce traders into the wrong side of the market before the real direction reveals itself
As soon as that liquidity grab was complete, we noticed price begin to stall and form a shift in market structure. This is critical. Once you see a break of structure to the downside, followed by a lower high into a FVG, that’s your confirmation that the real move, the sell-off is in play. We then saw clean displacement to the downside, confirming the manipulation phase was over
Now we wait for a retracement into the Fair Value Gap (FVG). We'll only look to execute a trade once a candle enters the FVG and closes. After a few minutes of waiting, price finally retraced into the FVG, giving us the green light to execute the trade.
Entry: 0.63749
Stop loss: 0.63849
Take profit: 0.63549
This FX:AUDUSD trade gave us a smooth ride with minimal drawdown. Right after entry price moved swiftly into profit. Although there was a brief retrace back to our entry point, it quickly corrected, and we were back in the green. With just a 1% risk, the trade delivered a solid 2% return all within 1 hour and 20 minutes
This setup is an excellent example of why you don’t want to chase early session breakouts blindly. The Judas Swing strategy teaches us to look for the trap, wait for confirmation, and then trade in alignment with the real intention behind price. Beginners often get caught up in the initial move, thinking it’s the real trend. But if you can slow down, understand the time of day, the draw on liquidity, and the reaction around key highs/lows, you’ll start to see how often price manipulates before delivering.
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D17 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D17 Y25
GM GM.
Summary
+ Daily high rejection
+ Weekly order block rejection
+ Weekly 50 EMA edging closer to price action
+ 4H bearish close
+ 1H continued short
+ 15' intraday breaks of structure
Just a few confluences mentioned.
Entry Model
Tap
Lower time frame break of structure/ Bearish candle stick formation from point of interest.
FRGNT X