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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

AUDUSD(20250425)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Federal Reserve-①Hamack: If economic data is clear, the Fed may cut interest rates in June ②Waller: It will take until July to get a clearer understanding of how tariffs affect the economy. If tariffs lead to higher unemployment, interest rate cuts may be initiated. ③The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model predicts that the US GDP growth rate in the first quarter will be -2.5%. ④Kashkari: The frequent announcements from Washington have brought challenges to policymakers and everyone. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 0.6387 Support and resistance levels: 0.6454 0.6429 0.6413 0.6361 0.6344 0.6319 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 0.6413, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6429 If the price breaks through 0.6387, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6361
by Toml1314
AUDUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a bearish pattern setup on the AUD/USD 30-minute timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of what the chart indicates: Pattern Type: It looks like a bearish double or triple top pattern with clear swing highs (marked with orange circles) and lows. Entry Point: The price appears to be rejecting a resistance zone around 0.6447, which is where the short position is initiated (marked by the red arrow). Stop Loss: Set just above the resistance zone, around 0.6450. **Take
Short
by money_magnet2
AUD/USD DTF Time Frame – Technical & Fundamental AnalysisAUD/USD DTF Time Frame – Technical & Fundamental Analysis Technical Outlook: On the daily time frame, AUD/USD has been consolidating after a strong bearish move that drove price down to the 0.59000 level. Following this, significant buying pressure led to a breakout above the anticipated major key resistance at 0.63500. Currently, price action is indicating accumulation above this critical level, confirmed by a bullish engulfing candle. This suggests that buyers may continue to gain momentum in the near term. However, it’s worth noting that liquidity has not yet formed, which indicates the potential for a liquidity hunt between defined zones. Based on this, our current strategy is: Buy Limit Order: 0.63080 (within the liquidity zone) to capitalize on the opportunity, aiming for a higher reward with a 1:4 risk-to-reward ratio. Stop Loss: 0.62560 Take Profit: 0.65230 (next minor key resistance) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:4 This setup aligns with the broader bullish structure forming on the daily time frame. Fundamental Outlook: Australia’s positive fundamentals are contributing to a bullish outlook for AUD/USD: Commodity Price Recovery: A significant rebound in global commodity prices, especially for iron ore, coal, and copper, has supported Australia’s key exports, boosting demand for the AUD. China’s Economic Rebound: As Australia’s largest trading partner, China’s economic recovery—marked by increased industrial output and government stimulus—has led to a surge in export demand, which is also strengthening the Australian dollar. Domestic Stability in Australia: The Australian economy is showing signs of stabilization, with stronger-than-expected employment data and rising consumer confidence. These developments reduce the likelihood of aggressive rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). On the other hand, the U.S. fundamentals are showing some weakness: Weaker-than-Expected Unemployment Claims: The latest U.S. Unemployment Claims came in at 222K, higher than the forecast of 215K and previous 215K, indicating a slight softening in the U.S. labor market. This adds further downward pressure on the USD, especially as concerns over economic momentum rise. Conclusion: Given the strong bullish technical setup and positive fundamentals for the Australian dollar, combined with the recent weakness in U.S. employment data, the outlook for AUD/USD remains bullish. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.
Long
by RebornFXTrader
AUD/USD broke out above 0.64000, time to reassess the planAUD/USD trade idea – not a position, just a setup to watch 👀 We’re seeing a potential 1H double top forming after a strong bullish leg, supported by a clean rejection candle and my TWT pattern. This could lead to a pullback toward the golden zone of the Fibonacci retracement — which opens up a possible long opportunity in line with the trend. For short-term traders, there might be a chance to catch a short here if the double top confirms, but it's definitely more aggressive and riskier, as you'd be trading against the broader bullish trend. Watching price action closely from here will be key. Let's see how it plays out.
by Rikardo_Donatelo
AUD/USD Secures Bullish Momentum Above $0.6407FenzoFx—AUD/USD closed above $0.6407 and remains stable, signaling a bullish trend supported by the 50-period simple moving average. However, indicators like Stochastic and RSI 14 suggest an overbought condition, hinting at a possible correction. Key support lies at $0.6395, with traders watching for bullish signals such as candlestick patterns. The outlook stays bullish above $0.6276, while dips below this level could trigger extended consolidation. >>> No Deposit Bonus >>> %100 Deposit Bonus >>> Forex Analysis Contest All at FenzoFx Decentralized Forex Broker
Long
by FenzoFxBroker
AUDUSD Buy ForecastAUDUSD New Forecast👨‍💻👨‍💻 This is my personal trade and not in anyway a mandatory setup. Note: Follow proper risk management rules. Never risk more then 2% of your total capital. Money management is the key of success in this business...... Set your own SL & TP. Please support this idea with a Like and COMMENT if you find it useful click "follow" on our profile if you will like these type of trading ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!! lemme know your thoughts in the comment sec..
Long
by King_CityStar_Fx
AUDUSD still bulishChart Observations: 1. Trend Direction: The market has shifted from a strong downtrend to a bullish reversal. A clean breakout from the consolidation zone (red resistance zone turned support) confirms bullish momentum. 2. Moving Averages: Price is above all EMAs (red, yellow, green, blue lines), indicating bullish alignment. The EMAs are fanned out and sloping upward — further confluence for bullish continuation. 3. Support/Resistance Zones: The red zone around 0.63875–0.64100 now acts as strong support. Next key resistance: 0.65425 (Take Profit area in the trade). 4. Entry Confirmation: The green bullish candle just broke out of resistance with volume and momentum. A strong bullish engulfing pattern near the breakout point. 5. Risk/Reward Setup: Stop Loss: 0.63875 Entry: Around 0.64120 Take Profit: 0.65425 R:R ratio is healthy (~2:1 or more). Additional Notes: If price dips back into the red zone and closes below 0.63875 on a 4H candle — exit the trade. If price consolidates near current levels, wait for another bullish candle to enter or add to position. Always monitor DXY and fundamentals (US data releases, RBA tone) for confirmation.
Long
by Welburg_Trading
AUDUSD: Hidden Institutional Supply Zone in Play 6H Technical Outlook 🧠📉 Hidden Institutional Supply Zone in Play – Potential Short Opportunity Developing INSTITUTIONAL SUPPLY ZONE – 6H 🔴 Resistance (Distal): 0.64086 🟧 Resistance (Major): 0.63971 🟠 Resistance (Proximal): 0.63914 CHART CONTEXT Price action (PA) has tapped directly into the defined Institutional Supply Zone , showing hesitation to close above 0.64086, the Distal Resistance Line —a red flag for bulls, green light for institutional bears. SELL SETUP: HIGH-PROBABILITY IF 0.64086 HOLDS 🧨 Current PA is stalling beneath supply zone boundaries. 0.64086 is acting as the final line of defense; if unbroken on a closing basis, we maintain strong bearish bias. Stacked SELL ORDERS from 0.63842 to 0.63347. DOWNSIDE TARGETS (IF SHORT TRIGGERS) 🎯 TP 1 → 0.62405 TP 2 → 0.61613 (Mid Pivot) TP 3 → 0.61030 TP 4 → 0.60129 UPSIDE INVALIDATION LEVEL 🛑 Stoploss above 0.64086 — strong close above this level invalidates short scenario. SUMMARY 🔍 If 0.64086 holds firm and PA fails to close above this institutional supply zone, we anticipate high probability of a sell-off from current levels. This aligns with the broader downtrend structure and stacked sell-side liquidity 💡 Alert Setup: SL: 0.64086 SELL LIMIT 1: 0.63842 SELL LIMIT 2: 0.63347 TP: 0.62405 → 0.60129
Short
by ProfessorCEWard
LTF DistributionContinuation of previous post : 1H Range starts off this schematic by stopping the momentum at the point of the first secondary test, it fails to break the previous high and this markets goes from moving up to sideways into this TR. Each rally to previous highs reflects upside effort increasing, but upside result is decreasing indicating buyers weakness near this level. uE>, uR< = bearish indicator. Favorable bearish confirmation would be a lower high, paired with high buy volume confirming the shift to bearish market.
Short
by mazi4mayorr
1
AUDUSD AUDUSD SELL ANALYSIS UPDATE. 4 HR LOOKING GREAT For traders who have entered short positions based , derived by the hourly strong resistance level, the 4 hour downtrend, the previous recent lower low, the overbought RSI, and a few other indicators used. Conversely, while the primary focus is on sell opportunities due to the overarching downtrend, potential long positions would require more significant confirming signals. These confirmations may include [ a break and close above a key resistance level, bullish divergence on a specific indicator, positive fundamentals and a LOCK. Further detailed analysis and real-time updates are available just send a message or leave a comment!
Short
by Profitsdaily
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 15/04/2025Tuesday's price action on FX:AUDUSD , we got a textbook Judas Swing play and for those still getting used to spotting these setups in real-time, let’s break this one down and talk through what happened and more importantly, why it happened. Going into the session open, we had a relatively tight consolidation, with the 00:00 - 08:30est range acting as a container for liquidity. Price had built up liquidity at the high and low of the zone. Whichever side gets swept first will determine our directional bias for the session Just after the session began, we saw price aggressively push up taking out the buy side liquidity resting above those early highs. This is what is called the "Judas move", a false breakout meant to trap breakout buyers and entice liquidity into the market. This move is not random. It’s designed to induce traders into the wrong side of the market before the real direction reveals itself As soon as that liquidity grab was complete, we noticed price begin to stall and form a shift in market structure. This is critical. Once you see a break of structure to the downside, followed by a lower high into a FVG, that’s your confirmation that the real move, the sell-off is in play. We then saw clean displacement to the downside, confirming the manipulation phase was over Now we wait for a retracement into the Fair Value Gap (FVG). We'll only look to execute a trade once a candle enters the FVG and closes. After a few minutes of waiting, price finally retraced into the FVG, giving us the green light to execute the trade. Entry: 0.63749 Stop loss: 0.63849 Take profit: 0.63549 This FX:AUDUSD trade gave us a smooth ride with minimal drawdown. Right after entry price moved swiftly into profit. Although there was a brief retrace back to our entry point, it quickly corrected, and we were back in the green. With just a 1% risk, the trade delivered a solid 2% return all within 1 hour and 20 minutes This setup is an excellent example of why you don’t want to chase early session breakouts blindly. The Judas Swing strategy teaches us to look for the trap, wait for confirmation, and then trade in alignment with the real intention behind price. Beginners often get caught up in the initial move, thinking it’s the real trend. But if you can slow down, understand the time of day, the draw on liquidity, and the reaction around key highs/lows, you’ll start to see how often price manipulates before delivering.
by CleoFinance
AUDUSD SELL & BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 AUD/USD TRADE PLAN 📅 Date: 17 April 2025 🔖 Plan Type: Dual-Sided Swing Setup → Bearish Reversal (Active) → Bullish Re-entry Setup (Not Yet Active) 📈 Bias & Trade Type: Primary Bias: 🔻 Bearish Reversal from Supply (LTF weakness forming) Secondary Bias: 🔼 Bullish Re-engagement from deeper HTF OB zones 🔰 Confidence Level: Sell Plan: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%) – Active structure + rejection forming Buy Plan: ⭐⭐⭐ (70%) – Pending price retrace to HTF demand 📌 CURRENT TRADE STATUS: AUD/USD is trading at 0.6337, just under intra supply zone (0.6345–0.6365) ✅ Sell Setup = Active: Price showing rejection, divergence forming on M15–H1 ❌ Buy Setup = Not yet valid: Lower zone untested ⚠️ If price consolidates without clean rejection or BOS → Neutral zone 📍 ENTRY ZONES: 🔴 SELL PLAN – Bearish Reversal 🟥 Primary Sell Zone: 0.6345 – 0.6375 → (M15–H1 bearish OB + imbalance fill + premium structure zone) 🔁 Confirmation: LTF bearish engulfing, divergence, or wick re-entry below 0.6345 🟥 Secondary Sell Zone: 0.6390 – 0.6415 → (Unmitigated H4 imbalance top + structure sweep zone) 🔁 Entry only on rejection with wick trap or supply re-entry ❗ Stop Loss: Above 0.6435 → Invalidates HTF bearish scenario, breaks OB stack 🎯 Take Profits: 🎯 TP1: 0.6280 → Local support cluster 🎯 TP2: 0.6235 → H4 demand + FVG 🎯 TP3: 0.6205 → Weekly OB tap zone (HTF liquidity pocket) 🟢 BUY PLAN – Bullish Continuation Setup 🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 0.6230 – 0.6265 → (Clean demand block + unfilled FVG + previous BOS) 🔁 Confirmation: Bullish LTF reclaim + OB absorption 🟨 Secondary Buy Zone: 0.6175 – 0.6205 → (Weekly OB sweep zone + deeper liquidity trap) 🔁 Entry only with wick + D1 support reclaim ❗ Stop Loss: Below 0.6150 → Invalidates HTF bullish structure 🎯 Take Profits: 🎯 TP1: 0.6320 → Supply gap re-entry 🎯 TP2: 0.6370 → Previous high + fair value 🎯 TP3: 0.6425 → Weekly resistance / liquidity wick 🧠 CONFLUENCE SNAPSHOT: 🔻 Bearish Setup Confluences: ✅ OB rejection zone (H1–H4 supply) ✅ Price hit premium zone with no follow-through ✅ M15–H1 divergence & wick exhaustion ✅ Trendline break signs + weakening upside momentum ✅ Macro USD stabilization adds weight 🔼 Bullish Setup Confluences: ✅ Unmitigated HTF demand zone (0.6230–0.6265) ✅ Prior BOS with imbalance left behind ✅ USD still structurally soft overall ⚠️ Await volume spike + LTF reclaim to activate 📏 Risk–Reward Estimate: Sell Setup: Up to 1:3.5 depending on entry precision Buy Setup: Up to 1:4.0 if from deeper OB 🧠 Management Guidelines: 📍 Move SL to BE after TP1 📍 Scale partials at TP1/TP2 📍 Leave 25–30% to run for HTF expansion 🔁 Re-entry optional if BOS confirmed again from OB 🌐 Fundamentals: AUD supported by China resilience & risk-on rebound USD volatile post CPI but showing short-term recovery signs No major red-tier events today, but Fed speakers + risk sentiment pivotal ⏳ Validity: 48 hours from trigger or until OB structure is invalidated 📋 Final Summary: AUD/USD currently showing signs of short-term exhaustion at supply. A well-structured bearish reversal setup is live with clean entry zones and TP targets. HTF bullish scenario may activate only upon a deeper retracement to unfilled demand zones. Confirmation critical. Trade both sides if confluence triggers separately.
by jibkhan111
AUDUSD ANALYSIS 4-16-2025 - Next WeekThe market is currently exhibiting a prevailing downtrend, prompting a focus on identifying potential short-selling opportunities. According to this analysis, a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern has formed on the 3-5min chart, presenting a potential bearish entry following a confirmed break below the neckline. For traders who have entered short positions based on this pattern, there are two potential target levels identified at and , derived by the hourly strong resistance level, the 4 hour downtrend, the previous recent lower low, the overbought RSI, and a few other indicators used. Conversely, while the primary focus is on sell opportunities due to the overarching downtrend, potential long positions would require more significant confirming signals. These confirmations may include [ a break and close above a key resistance level, bullish divergence on a specific indicator, positive fundamentals and a LOCK. Further detailed analysis and real-time updates are available just send a message or leave a comment!
Short
by Profitsdaily
AUDUSDThe market is currently exhibiting a prevailing downtrend, prompting a focus on identifying potential short-selling opportunities. According to this analysis, a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern has formed on the 3-5min chart, presenting a potential bearish entry following a confirmed break below the neckline. For traders who have entered short positions based on this pattern, there are two potential target levels identified at and , derived by the hourly strong resistance level, the 4 hour downtrend, the previous recent lower low, the overbought RSI, and a few other indicators used. Conversely, while the primary focus is on sell opportunities due to the overarching downtrend, potential long positions would require more significant confirming signals. These confirmations may include [ a break and close above a key resistance level, bullish divergence on a specific indicator, positive fundamentals and a LOCK. Further detailed analysis and real-time updates are available just send a message or leave a comment!
Short
by Profitsdaily