AUDUSD trade ideas
AUDUSD LONG & SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D19 Y25AUDUSD LONG & SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D19 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation & breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 🔥
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅4H Order block identified
✅1H Order block identified
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDUSD BEARISH AUD/USD Bearish Divergence – Sell Setup Pending Confirmation
Description:
AUD/USD is showing signs of weakness as a bearish divergence forms between price and RSI/MACD on the H1/H4 chart. While price makes higher highs, momentum indicators are printing lower highs — suggesting a potential shift in momentum.
🔽 Trade Setup:
Entry: Sell Stop below recent swing low at
Stop Loss: Above recent high at
Take Profit 1: – Prior support zone
Take Profit 2: – Extended fib target or next major support
Risk/Reward: Minimum 1:2 R/R
📉 Technical Confluence:
Bearish Divergence (RSI/MACD)
Key Resistance Zone holding
Rejection Candles / Wicks on higher timeframe
Structure potentially forming Lower High
🔔 Trade Plan:
Waiting for confirmation via sell stop trigger to avoid premature entries. Patience is key — only act if price breaks the structure with momentum. Monitor price action closely around the entry zone.
📊 Timeframe: H1 / H4
📍 Market Bias: Short-term Bearish
Bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6497
1st Support: 0.6466
1st Resistance: 0.6510
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price could rise toward our sell entry level at 0.6499, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 0.6468, a support level.
The stop loss is set at 0.6524, a swing high resistance.
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AUDUSDAnticipating Bears on the Aussie against the Dollar, price took liquidity to the upside and closed below , broke structure indicating that price wants to go lower waiting to take the trade once price hits the 0.65200 mark after the Asian session Killzone, Let us wait and see how the market unfolds....Adios! #Wickdoctor
AUDUSD - NeutralStory : Market was making series of HH and HL, and then market consolidated. However, bullish rectangular pattern can be formed which indicates market will most likely continue bullish pattern with an upside breakout.
we anticipate market to give breakout on either side, with most chances of breakout on upside as the trend previously remained bullish.
We plan to enter market with buy stop on the market level- with SL and TPs defined on the chart.
Potential bearish drop?AUD/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6512
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6537
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6487
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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AUD/USD Descending Triangle Setup – Support Retest in FocusThe AUD/USD pair is currently forming a descending triangle pattern, a common bearish continuation structure where price makes lower highs while holding above a horizontal or slightly rising support level. This setup indicates increasing selling pressure at lower resistance levels (highlighted with red arrows and trendlines), while buyers are consistently defending the green support zone around 0.6475–0.6485.
So far, the price has been rejected multiple times from the descending resistance line, confirming seller dominance. At the same time, it has found buying interest at support, forming a tight range where a breakout or breakdown is likely to occur soon.
🔽 Current Price Action & Outlook
The latest price structure shows a potential lower high forming, suggesting another move downward toward support.
If the pair revisits the support zone once again, it will be a critical retest, and the market could either:
Bounce from support, continuing the sideways structure within the triangle, or
Break down below the green trendline, triggering a bearish continuation.
Until the support breaks, the market remains range-bound inside the triangle, offering short-term trade setups between support and resistance.
🎯 Strategy Notes
Short-Term Idea: Sell near resistance (~0.6525–0.6535), buy near support (~0.6475–0.6485)
Breakout Traders: Wait for a confirmed breakout of either boundary with volume before entering
Invalidation: A strong breakout above the red descending trendline may invalidate the bearish structure
This is a neutral-to-bearish setup with a potential for breakout in either direction. Patience is key for waiting on confirmation.
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a comparison or integration of two trading concepts: 📉📈
The image presentsElliott Wave Theory and Smart Money Concepts (SMC), often associated with Wyckoff distribution/accumulation.
🌟 On the left side, there's an illustration of Elliott Wave Theory, showing a typical 5-wave impulse (labeled 1-2-3-4-5, presumably wave A) followed by a 3-wave corrective structure (labeled A-B-C). Within this, there's a smaller "Accumulation" phase depicted.
✅ On the right side, there's a diagram illustrating Smart Money Concepts/Wyckoff phases, specifically "Accumulation," "Manipulation," and "Distribution." This diagram shows how price moves through these phases, often with a false breakout (manipulation) before the true move.
🟢The overall implication of the image and its central text is that SMC principles, such as accumulation and distribution, can be observed or understood within the larger framework of Elliott Wave patterns. It suggests that SMC provides a more granular view of market behavior (identifying smart money footprints) that aligns with or unfolds within the Elliott Wave structures.
Major resistance ahead?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6512
1st Support: 0.6466
1st Resistance: 0.6545
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Audusd setup Here's a bullish analysis on AUD/USD (generic and adaptable to most timeframes; if you want it based on a specific chart or timeframe, let me know):
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📈 AUD/USD Bullish Analysis
1. Support Zone Holding Strong:
AUD/USD has established a firm support level around where price has bounced multiple times.
Recent price action shows a double bottom or rounded base formation, indicating demand buildup.
2. Bullish Trendline Formation:
A new higher low structure is forming, suggesting a shift in momentum.
Price is respecting a short-term ascending trendline, signaling continued buying interest.
3. Breakout Confirmation:
A bullish breakout above the 0.6650 resistance opens room for an upward move.
Next target levels: 0.6700 and 0.6780.
4. RSI & Momentum Indicators:
RSI trending above 50, showing strength.
Bullish divergence on momentum indicators confirms possible upside continuation.
5. Fundamentals (Optional Context):
AUD supported by improving risk sentiment and commodity strength (especially iron ore and gold).
USD weakening slightly due to lower rate hike expectations from the Fed.
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🎯 Bullish Targets:
Entry zone: 0.6620–0.6640
Target 1: 0.6700
Target 2: 0.6780
Stop-loss: Below support
AUDUSD InsightHello, everyone!
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Key Points
- U.S. President Trump warned Iran, "I hope you don't fire missiles at civilians or U.S. troops. Our patience is wearing thin," adding, "Surrender unconditionally."
- CNN reported that U.S. President Trump could use military force to strike Iranian nuclear facilities.
- U.S. retail sales in May, announced by the U.S. Department of Commerce, decreased by 0.9% compared to the previous month, significantly lower than market expectations, raising concerns about an economic slowdown.
Major Economic Schedule This Week
+ June 18: UK May Consumer Price Index, Eurozone May Consumer Price Index, FOMC Meeting Results Announcement
+ June 19: BOE Interest Rate Decision
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
After a V-shaped rebound in April, it has shown a gentle rise and is currently trading around the 0.65000 line. It has formed support lines below, and is expected to continue its upward trend based on these support levels. Long-term, it is expected to form a peak around the 0.69000 line. However, a small resistance is forming at the 0.67000 line, so we should keep open the possibility of a temporary pullback due to this resistance in that area.
Alternatively, if it breaks below the 0.64000 line, the direction could change, in which case we will establish a new strategy.
AUD/USD SELL SCENERIOThis chart illustrates a potential bearish trade setup based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). The setup begins with the formation of equal highs, which are typically seen as liquidity pools by institutional traders. These highs are swept, as shown by the wicks that briefly break above them (highlighted with orange circles), signaling a liquidity grab intended to trigger retail buy stops. Following this liquidity sweep, price reverses and breaks a significant structure low, marked as the Break of Structure (BOS), confirming a shift from bullish to bearish order flow. This BOS acts as a key signal that the market is likely to move downward. This creates a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Overall, this setup reflects a textbook SMC trade structure that leverages liquidity manipulation, structural shifts, and refined entry zones for a high-probability short position from fvg.
AUDUSD(20250617)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Revised version of the Republican tax cut bill in the US Senate: It is planned to raise the debt ceiling to 5 trillion, and the overall framework is consistent with the House version.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6512
Support and resistance levels:
0.6597
0.6566
0.6545
0.6480
0.6459
0.6428
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6545, consider buying, and the first target price is 0.6566
If the price breaks through 0.6512, consider selling, and the first target price is 0.6480
Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6455
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6407
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6513
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.