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AUDUSD trade ideas

Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 26/02/2025Last week the Judas Swing strategy had another action-packed week! As we took four trades across our selected currency pairs ( FX:GBPUSD , FX:AUDUSD , FX:EURUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD ), securing two wins and two losses, but still closing the week with a solid 2% gain. Given the strategy’s consistency over the past few weeks and months, we were eager to see how it would perform this week. On Monday, we waited for a setup on FX:EURUSD , but it fell just a few pipettes short of meeting all the criteria on our checklist. Since one key requirement wasn’t met, we stayed disciplined and skipped the trade. Now, here’s the important part—although that trade ended up being a winner, it didn’t bother us. Why? Because it didn’t align with our strategy, and we don’t risk our hard-earned money on trades that don’t check all the boxes. If you find yourself entering random trades, it’s time to create a checklist and stick to it. Discipline is what separates consistent traders from gamblers. Fast forward to Wednesday, we spotted a promising setup on FX:AUDUSD and we were eager to see how the session would unfold. After a sweep of liquidity at the lows, our focus immediately shifted to potential buying opportunities. Once we got a break of structure to the upside, all that was left was a retrace into the FVG before executing the trade. But patience was key—we reminded ourselves of Monday’s setup, where a similar scenario played out, yet the retrace never came. That trade had to be left behind, and we weren’t about to force an entry this time either Finally, price retraced into the FVG, and as soon as that candle closed, we were ready to execute the trade. We risk 1% per trade with the goal of securing a 2% return ensuring our wins outweigh our losses over time. With this strategy’s win rate hovering around 50%, sticking to our rules keeps us on the path to long-term profitability After entering the trade, we experienced a slight drawdown for less than five minutes, dipping just 2 pips nothing out of the ordinary. Our entry candle had closed in our intended direction, so we stayed patient. Soon after, price moved decisively in our favor, hitting our target in just 1 hour and 10 minutes. Our patience paid off this time with a solid 2% return on a trade where we had only risked 1%.
by CleoFinance
AUD/USD drops to test key support after weak Aussie CPIThe AUD/USD has fallen about 0.5% on the session, making it among the weakest of currency pairs so far in today's session. We had some weaker data from Australia overnight in the form of CPI, coming in at 2.5% vs. 2.6% eyed, and construction work done was half the expected rate at 0.5% q/q. The focus will turn to the US side of the equation as we head deeper into the week with GDP, Core PCE and a few other data releases to come. From a technical viewpoint, the AUD/USD is testing a key support zone around 0.6300, which needs to hold on a closing basis to keep the bulls happy. This level was resistance and could turn into support given the recent bullish price action. Here, the 21-day exponential average also comes into focus. If we see a nice rebound here, this could set the stage for a continuation towards 0.6400 and then 0.6500 thereafter. Let's await a bullish reversal here before potentially looking for setups, at least on the lower time frames. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
AU Bullish Play - Multi-Timeframe Precision 4H is running bullish after breaking a major HH. I spotted an IDM, but mitigation to the 4H OB looked like it could take days or even weeks. Instead of waiting, I dropped to the 30M to hunt for bullish continuation. On the 30M, price was still pushing, but I needed refinement. Spotted a major IDM from the 2H, then dropped back to the 30M to locate near-term structure. Instead of a clear OB, order flow stepped in—wicking into refined 15M levels. That was my cue. Dropped to the 5M and waited for a clean CHoCH confirmation. Price followed through strong, locking in my entry. Now the 30M is pushing through, confirming bullish intent. TP is mapped—now it’s just execution and trade management. When you stack timeframes the right way, the market lays out the moves for you. Let’s see how this one plays out. #SMC #Forex #AUDUSD #OrderFlow #MultiTimeframeAnalysis Bless Trading!..
Long
by Juicemannn
This is a 4-hour chart of AUD/USD with key technical levels and Market Analysis Structure & Trend: The market previously broke structure (BOS) to the upside, signaling an uptrend. However, the price is now retracing toward a demand zone (gray area), possibly forming a higher low for continuation. Key Levels: Support (Demand Zone): 0.63250 – 0.63050 Resistance (Supply Zone): 0.64500 Liquidity & Order Blocks: Buyers may step in at the demand zone (0.63250 - 0.63050). Sellers will be active at 0.64500 if price reaches resistance. 📊 Trade Setup Recommendations ✅ Buy Setup (Long Position) 📍 Entry: 0.63250 (First level) or 0.63050 (Deeper pullback) 🎯 Targets: TP1: 0.63650 TP2: 0.64000 ⛔ Stop Loss: Below 0.62800 📌 Trade Idea: Wait for bullish confirmations (engulfing candles, wicks rejecting support). If price reacts strongly at 0.63250, enter with confidence. ❌ Sell Setup (Short Position) 📍 Entry: 0.64500 (Major Resistance) 🎯 Targets: TP1: 0.63650 TP2: 0.63250 ⛔ Stop Loss: Above 0.64700 📌 Trade Idea: If price rallies and rejects the 0.64500 zone with bearish price action, short it. Look for BOS confirmation and bearish engulfing candles. 📢 Final Thoughts If 0.63250 holds, the market is bullish → Look for buys. If price breaks 0.63250, expect further downside → Avoid longs. Best setup: Buy at demand zone (0.63250) or short from 0.64500.
Short
by forexcitysignal
AUDUSD: How to Draw Quarter's Theory LevelsThe Quarter’s Theory , popularized by Ilian Yotov, is based on the idea that the market moves in predictable 25, 50, and 100-pip increments. When applied to AUD/USD, these psychological price levels become crucial for identifying potential reversals and breakouts. Current Market Outlook AUD/USD is currently trading near a key quarter level, indicating a potential reaction zone. The pair is hovering around 0.6500, a psychological price barrier that often serves as support or resistance. If buyers step in, the next upside target is 0.6750, while a break lower could send prices to 0.6250. How to Trade It Aggressive traders can look for confirmations near quarter levels and enter trades with tight stops. Conservative traders might wait for a breakout and retest before committing. Combining Quarter’s Theory with Renko charts can help filter out noise and confirm strong trends. Will AUD/USD Hold or Break? Quarter’s Theory gives traders a structured way to navigate price movements. Whether AUD/USD holds or breaks through the current quarter level will determine the next significant move. Are you watching these levels? Drop your thoughts below!
Education
by TLTurnerTV
AUDUSDThe head of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is Michele Bullock, who has been serving as Governor since September 18, 2023. She is the first female Governor of the RBA and plays a crucial role in setting monetary policy for Australia. As Governor, Michele Bullock chairs both the Reserve Bank Board and the Payments System Board, overseeing key decisions on interest rates and financial stability. Her tenure has seen significant economic challenges, including managing inflation pressures while supporting economic growth. The Upcoming AUD/USD Fundamental Data Prints and Their Impact on Trade Directional Bias. Several key economic indicators are set to influence the AUD/USD currency pair in the coming period. These include: 1. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Interest Rate Decisions Impact: The RBA is expected to cut interest rates, which could weaken the Australian dollar against the U.S. dollar if not already priced into markets. Bias: A rate cut might initially lead to a sell bias for AUD/USD, but if it aligns with market expectations, its impact could be muted. 2. Australian Economic Indicators Inflation Data (CPI): Higher inflation figures can lead to expectations of less aggressive rate cuts by the RBA. Impact: Stronger inflation data might support a buy bias for AUD/USD. Employment Figures: Positive employment data can indicate economic resilience. Impact: This could support a buy bias for AUD/USD. 3. U.S. Economic Indicators Building Permits and Housing Starts: Stronger-than-expected figures can boost USD strength. Impact: This might apply downward pressure on AUD/USD, leading to a sell bias. 4. Global Trade Tensions The ongoing situation with tariffs under Donald Trump's administration may indirectly affect Australia through its trade relations with China. Current Market Sentiment The recent rally in AUD/USD has been supported by a weaker USD and positive technical signals However, overbought conditions suggest potential corrections or reversals if key resistance levels are not breached convincingly Potential Trade Scenarios: Buy Bias:If Australian economic indicators show resilience (e.g., strong CPI or employment data), and global trade tensions ease further reducing risks for Australia’s economy. Technical breaches above key resistance levels like on monthly timeframe , the RSI divergent giving me a break of supply roof ,if we close the month on break of structure and its confirmed as a break of structure scenario ,it might return on retest as demand floor and reject to test the long term descending trendline connecting 2012 to 2024 Sell Bias: If U.S. economic indicators surprise positively (e.g., strong housing starts), supporting USD strength against other currencies including AUD. A confirmed break below demand floor would likely reinforce this scenario.
by Shavyfxhub