AUDUSD Short H4We pushed from the resistance zone according to the previous analysis, worked out the cat position zone and got confirmation to sell. Selling on the market up to the designated targets. Do not forget to enter the breakeven zone.
AUDUSD trade ideas
AUD/USD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD-USD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.614 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the AUD/USD pair.
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AudUsd Trade IdeaAU seems to be respecting the higher time frame daily resistance level. I’m personally waiting on price to break from the range & shift structures. We can either expect price to crash below confirming the respect of the daily resistance or wait on the shift for buys where targets could be around the daily resistance. I’m personally waiting on shorts ! We’ll see what happens with news tomorrow.
AU Bullish Play - Multi-Timeframe Precision 4H is running bullish after breaking a major HH. I spotted an IDM, but mitigation to the 4H OB looked like it could take days or even weeks. Instead of waiting, I dropped to the 30M to hunt for bullish continuation.
On the 30M, price was still pushing, but I needed refinement. Spotted a major IDM from the 2H, then dropped back to the 30M to locate near-term structure. Instead of a clear OB, order flow stepped in—wicking into refined 15M levels. That was my cue.
Dropped to the 5M and waited for a clean CHoCH confirmation. Price followed through strong, locking in my entry. Now the 30M is pushing through, confirming bullish intent. TP is mapped—now it’s just execution and trade management.
When you stack timeframes the right way, the market lays out the moves for you. Let’s see how this one plays out.
#SMC #Forex #AUDUSD #OrderFlow #MultiTimeframeAnalysis
Bless Trading!..
This is a 4-hour chart of AUD/USD with key technical levels and Market Analysis
Structure & Trend:
The market previously broke structure (BOS) to the upside, signaling an uptrend.
However, the price is now retracing toward a demand zone (gray area), possibly forming a higher low for continuation.
Key Levels:
Support (Demand Zone): 0.63250 – 0.63050
Resistance (Supply Zone): 0.64500
Liquidity & Order Blocks:
Buyers may step in at the demand zone (0.63250 - 0.63050).
Sellers will be active at 0.64500 if price reaches resistance.
📊 Trade Setup Recommendations
✅ Buy Setup (Long Position)
📍 Entry: 0.63250 (First level) or 0.63050 (Deeper pullback)
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 0.63650
TP2: 0.64000
⛔ Stop Loss: Below 0.62800
📌 Trade Idea:
Wait for bullish confirmations (engulfing candles, wicks rejecting support).
If price reacts strongly at 0.63250, enter with confidence.
❌ Sell Setup (Short Position)
📍 Entry: 0.64500 (Major Resistance)
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 0.63650
TP2: 0.63250
⛔ Stop Loss: Above 0.64700
📌 Trade Idea:
If price rallies and rejects the 0.64500 zone with bearish price action, short it.
Look for BOS confirmation and bearish engulfing candles.
📢 Final Thoughts
If 0.63250 holds, the market is bullish → Look for buys.
If price breaks 0.63250, expect further downside → Avoid longs.
Best setup: Buy at demand zone (0.63250) or short from 0.64500.
AUDUSD wave structure analysis at 15 min 1 hour time frame1H swing is bullish.
M15 swing is bearish => current is pullback.
we can look for selling opportunities in this area according to the bearish structure of M15 time frame
AUDUSD: How to Draw Quarter's Theory LevelsThe Quarter’s Theory , popularized by Ilian Yotov, is based on the idea that the market moves in predictable 25, 50, and 100-pip increments. When applied to AUD/USD, these psychological price levels become crucial for identifying potential reversals and breakouts.
Current Market Outlook
AUD/USD is currently trading near a key quarter level, indicating a potential reaction zone. The pair is hovering around 0.6500, a psychological price barrier that often serves as support or resistance. If buyers step in, the next upside target is 0.6750, while a break lower could send prices to 0.6250.
How to Trade It
Aggressive traders can look for confirmations near quarter levels and enter trades with tight stops.
Conservative traders might wait for a breakout and retest before committing.
Combining Quarter’s Theory with Renko charts can help filter out noise and confirm strong trends.
Will AUD/USD Hold or Break?
Quarter’s Theory gives traders a structured way to navigate price movements. Whether AUD/USD holds or breaks through the current quarter level will determine the next significant move. Are you watching these levels? Drop your thoughts below!
AUDUSD 328 PIPS ON THE TABLE longGood day we have broken our true resistance areas and formed order block looking for retracement then enter (this is not financial advise), looking at tues news CB Consumer Confidence (Feb) to induce liquidity for us (take out retailers )
AUDUSD Uptrend at Risk? Higher Timeframes Taking ControlAUDUSD's short-term uptrend may be on the verge of failing as higher timeframes exert pressure. With a big wick hanging below, price action suggests a possible pullback to test those lower levels. Is this the beginning of a deeper drop, or will buyers step in? Watch closely!
AUDUSD Weekly BiasThis pair is now on a bullish run considering that;
1. We had a liquidity grab at 0.61 Zone.
2. Market Structure Shift at 0.633.
The pair might aim towards the Buyside Liquidity at 0.655 and our entry positions might be around the 0.63 Zone.
AUDUSDThe head of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is Michele Bullock, who has been serving as Governor since September 18, 2023. She is the first female Governor of the RBA and plays a crucial role in setting monetary policy for Australia.
As Governor, Michele Bullock chairs both the Reserve Bank Board and the Payments System Board, overseeing key decisions on interest rates and financial stability. Her tenure has seen significant economic challenges, including managing inflation pressures while supporting economic growth.
The Upcoming AUD/USD Fundamental Data Prints and Their Impact on Trade Directional Bias.
Several key economic indicators are set to influence the AUD/USD currency pair in the coming period. These include:
1. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Interest Rate Decisions
Impact: The RBA is expected to cut interest rates, which could weaken the Australian dollar against the U.S. dollar if not already priced into markets.
Bias: A rate cut might initially lead to a sell bias for AUD/USD, but if it aligns with market expectations, its impact could be muted.
2. Australian Economic Indicators
Inflation Data (CPI): Higher inflation figures can lead to expectations of less aggressive rate cuts by the RBA.
Impact: Stronger inflation data might support a buy bias for AUD/USD.
Employment Figures: Positive employment data can indicate economic resilience.
Impact: This could support a buy bias for AUD/USD.
3. U.S. Economic Indicators
Building Permits and Housing Starts: Stronger-than-expected figures can boost USD strength.
Impact: This might apply downward pressure on AUD/USD, leading to a sell bias.
4. Global Trade Tensions
The ongoing situation with tariffs under Donald Trump's administration may indirectly affect Australia through its trade relations with China.
Current Market Sentiment
The recent rally in AUD/USD has been supported by a weaker USD and positive technical signals However, overbought conditions suggest potential corrections or reversals if key resistance levels are not breached convincingly
Potential Trade Scenarios:
Buy Bias:If Australian economic indicators show resilience (e.g., strong CPI or employment data), and global trade tensions ease further reducing risks for Australia’s economy.
Technical breaches above key resistance levels like on monthly timeframe , the RSI divergent giving me a break of supply roof ,if we close the month on break of structure and its confirmed as a break of structure scenario ,it might return on retest as demand floor and reject to test the long term descending trendline connecting 2012 to 2024
Sell Bias:
If U.S. economic indicators surprise positively (e.g., strong housing starts), supporting USD strength against other currencies including AUD.
A confirmed break below demand floor would likely reinforce this scenario.
AUD/USDFrom my OWN point of view am seeing a long position on AUD/USD
For the coming week.......once the 64 level is broken
triangle breakout waited for the re-test and executed, triangle breakouts are one of the best patterns due to how simple they are,
AUD/USD - 1H Smart Money Concept Analysis📊 AUD/USD - 1H Smart Money Concept Analysis
🔹 Market Structure:
✅ Break of Structure (BOS): Strong bullish momentum with multiple BOS confirming an uptrend.
✅ Change of Character (ChoCH): Previous bearish attempts failed, indicating a bullish shift.
🔹 Key Levels:
✅ Demand Zones:
• 0.63670 - 0.63736 (Potential support & retracement area)
• 0.63222 - 0.63301 (Major demand zone if deeper pullback occurs)
✅ Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
• Price may revisit 0.63682 (FVG + Fibonacci 0.50 level) before continuation.
✅ Fibonacci Levels:
• 0.382: 0.63777
• 0.50: 0.63682 (Key Level)
• 0.618: 0.63587
• 0.705 - 0.786: 0.63517 - 0.63452
✅ Supply Zone:
• 0.64422 - 0.64563 (Potential target if bullish continuation holds)
📌 Trade Idea:
🔹 Bullish bias unless price closes below 0.63222.
🔹 Ideal buy entries: 0.63682 (50% Fib retracement + FVG).
🔹 Targets: 0.64422 - 0.64563 supply zone.
#FXFOREVER #AUDUSD #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoney #LiquidityHunt #BOS #FVG #PriceAction
AUDUSD - LongAUDUSD is moving is bullish trend with no bearish divergence.
Entry is at retracement at 0.618.
AUDUSDAUDUSD,AUD bulls looks to be at work, on the monthly time frame they face immediate supply roof ,if the month closes on break of structure above the current supply roof then AUDUSD will keep its bullish momentum for a long time.
Dollar is confused at the moment because of tariff and trade war with other countries.
AUD/USD Potential Reversal and Uptrend ContinuationObservation: The AUD/USD pair is depicted on a 15-minute chart, showing a recent upward trend followed by a consolidation phase. The price is currently at a critical Fibonacci retracement level around 0.63996, which could act as a potential support.
Analysis: The chart features a series of higher lows and higher highs, indicating an intact uptrend. The Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent swing low to swing high show that the price is hovering around the 0.786 retracement level at approximately 0.63959. This level often acts as a strong support in trending markets.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Point: Consider a long position if the price respects the 0.786 Fibonacci level and shows bullish reversal signals such as a pin bar or bullish engulfing candle.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the recent swing low at around 0.63817 to protect against unexpected reversals.
Profit Targets: Aim for initial profits at the recent swing high around 0.64030. Further targets could be set at Fibonacci extension levels of 1.618 (0.64251) and 2.618 (0.64062) if the upward momentum continues.
Risk Management: Adjust position size to maintain a risk profile of no more than 2% of the trading capital. Monitor the trade closely for signs of weakening momentum or reversal patterns near target levels.
This strategy capitalizes on the trend continuation pattern and uses Fibonacci levels for strategic entry and exit points.
Testing video publishing: journaling potential short on audusdI'm looking to short audusd today if we get a strong move into the level outside of atr off the back of antipode strength.
AUD/USD - Bullish Engulfing at Support for Long Entry📈 Trade Idea: Long AUD/USD
Analysis:
Price formed a bullish engulfing candle off the 0.6360 support zone, signaling strong buyer interest. This level was previously a resistance zone, now acting as support. The engulfing pattern confirms momentum shift, making it a strong entry trigger.
Trade Plan (Based on Chart Setup):
🔹 Entry: 0.6361 (Bullish engulfing confirmation)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.6346 (Below support and engulfing low)
🔹 Take Profit: Fixed at 2R
Risk/Reward:
✅ Stop Loss: ~15 pips
✅ Take Profit: ~30 pips (2R target)
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2
Why this trade?
✔️ Bullish engulfing at key support
✔️ Break and retest confirmation
✔️ Strong momentum shift in favor of buyers
📌 Looking for price to hold above 0.6360 to maintain bullish momentum.
AUDUSD Long Setup 2/19/25 (Smart Money)Smart money trading is the method I use.
It utilizes market structure, liquidity, and supply/demand zones. From my image you can see the steps before a long setup possibly in NY session tomorrow.
Liquidity was taken and momentum has went for the upside, looking for a long setup at my 7th step.
AUDUSD InsightHello, dear subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- The U.S. is engaged in one-on-one negotiations with Russia regarding an end to the war in Ukraine, while tensions with Ukraine and the European Union continue to rise. U.S. President Donald Trump criticized Ukrainian President Zelensky on Truth Social, calling him a “moderately successful comedian” and a “dictator who never held an election.”
- ECB Executive Board Member Isabel Schnabel stated that the time is approaching for the ECB to either pause or completely halt rate cuts. She explained that inflation in the Eurozone remains high due to new shocks in energy prices and persistent wage growth.
- The FOMC meeting minutes indicated that, given the debt ceiling dynamics, there could be significant fluctuations in reserves over the coming months. Several participants mentioned that it might be appropriate to pause or slow down the balance sheet reduction until the debt ceiling issue is resolved.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ February 21: U.S. February Manufacturing PMI, February Services PMI
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
AUDUSD has successfully broken through the 0.63000 resistance level and continues its upward trend. However, there is overlapping resistance at the 0.64000 level, making further upward movement challenging. A significant pullback is likely, with 0.60000 being the most probable support level. Given this setup, the bias remains bearish.
If AUDUSD breaks above 0.64000, the next target would be 0.66000. In that case, we will adjust our strategy accordingly.
