3R Trade AUDUSDJust expecting a small move here. Possible there is a large move up and DXY starts to drop again but the trend on the higher term time frame has not confirmed that so just a quick scalp setup here.
AUDUSD trade ideas
Where Is Our OrderFlow?In general, there are three situations in the bearish market and they are our OrderFlow
In a bullish market, the opposite is true
AUD\USDAUDUSD is retracing back to our strong support 0.4142 after a break out of our structure as illustrated from above.
AUD/USD 15-Minute Analysis: Breakout SetupAUD/USD 15-Minute Analysis: Breakout Setup
On the 15-minute time frame, AUD/USD is approaching a resistance level. Here's my idea:
Entry Plan: If the price breaks out above the resistance level with confirmation, it could provide a long entry opportunity.
Target: The next resistance zone, marked in pink.
This setup is contingent on a confirmed breakout. Monitor price action closely and manage your risk accordingly.
Let me know your thoughts or share your analysis below! 👍
AUDUSD: Long Trade with Entry/SL/TP
AUDUSD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long AUDUSD
Entry - 0.6378
Sl - 0.6345
Tp - 0.6445
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Looking at bullish set upAUD/USD bounced sharply and revisited the 0.6470 zone.
The US Dollar kept a vacillating tone at the beginning of the week.
The RBA is expected to keep its OCR unchanged on Tuesday.
The US Dollar (USD) traded in an irresolute fashion on Monday, gyrating around the key 106.00 zone when gauged by the Dollar Index (DXY). Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar (AUD) managed to regain strong balance, staging a pronounced rebound to the 0.6470 region after bottoming out near 0.6380 during early trade.
AUDUSD Long Trade SetupPrice is developing as a diagonal structure and is currently pushing higher. A break above 0.6455 high will signal a potential completion of the structure and we can start to expect more upside potential.
AUDUSD D1Price reacting from a very important resistance zone and facing with a strong down trendline.
The strategy is wait the break out & wait the thowback for take a long position
AUDUSD Smart Money Concepts (SMC)In modern trading, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology, terms such as Order Blocks, Imbalances, Breaker Blocks, and Inverted FVG (Fair Value Gaps) are widely used. Below is a detailed explanation of each:
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1. Order Blocks
An Order Block is a zone on the chart where large institutional investors have left "traces" of their operations, meaning a place where there was a concentration of buying or selling activity. It is typically the last candle before a significant price movement.
Bullish Order Block: The last bearish candle before a strong upward movement.
Bearish Order Block: The last bullish candle before a strong downward movement.
How to use:
Price often returns to order blocks before continuing the trend.
Order blocks are used as potential entry or exit zones.
Example:
If the market is falling and a sharp reversal upwards begins, the last red candle before this rise is the bullish order block.
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2. Imbalances
An Imbalance is a zone on the chart where demand and supply were sharply uneven, creating "gaps" in the market structure.
These zones are often referred to as FVG (Fair Value Gaps)—an area between the wicks of the first and last candles of three consecutive candles, where the middle candle does not overlap with the first or third.
It is believed that the market tends to fill these gaps, meaning the price often returns to these zones before continuing its movement.
How to use:
Imbalances can serve as a reference for identifying potential retracement zones.
Enter a position when the gap is filled.
Example:
In an uptrend, if the price rises sharply, creating a gap between the wicks of candles, traders can expect the price to return to this area.
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3. Breaker Blocks
A Breaker Block is a zone that forms when the market breaks a key support or resistance level and begins moving in the opposite direction. They appear where an order block was "broken."
Breaker Blocks indicate that the previously dominant trend has been broken, and the market is preparing for a new movement.
They can also be used to filter valid order blocks.
How to use:
After an order block is broken, the former support/resistance zone can serve as an entry point after a retest.
Used to identify trend reversals.
Example:
In an uptrend, if the price breaks below the previous bullish order block, it becomes a bearish breaker block.
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4. Inverted FVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap)
An Inverted FVG is a zone where the market provides excessive liquidity in the opposite direction, creating an opportunity for "smart money" to trap traders in the wrong movement.
An Inverted FVG occurs when the market "absorbs" liquidity, making traders believe the trend is continuing, but it is actually a manipulation before a reversal.
It is used to analyze price manipulation and find entry points against the "trap."
How to use:
Enter after the price has covered the FVG zone and confirmed a reversal.
Inverted FVGs often appear in zones that collect stop losses.
Example:
In an uptrend, the price sharply breaks a resistance zone (creating an FVG) but then reverses back and moves downward.
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Conclusion
Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks help identify zones where large players may enter the market.
Imbalances highlight areas where the price might return to balance demand and supply.
Inverted FVGs help traders avoid traps set by large players and enter the market more strategically.
These elements are especially useful for traders following SMC principles, as they provide a deeper understanding of the actions of major market participants.
AUD/USD at a Critical Support LevelAUD/USD at a Critical Support Level
The AUD/USD chart reveals that since late October, the pair has been in a downtrend. This is largely driven by monetary policy differences: while the Federal Reserve has begun cutting interest rates, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has yet to initiate rate reductions.
Tomorrow, the RBA will announce its decision on interest rates. All 44 economists surveyed by Reuters expect the rate to remain at 4.35%, given persistently high core inflation (3.5%) and low unemployment.
Previously, experts forecasted rate cuts in the first quarter of 2025. However, most now anticipate reductions no earlier than the second quarter, as the RBA focuses on bringing inflation back to its 2–3% target range.
Meanwhile, the AUD/USD chart highlights that the price is sitting at a key support level (marked by a red line), which has already reversed the pair upward three times since the latter half of 2022 (indicated with arrows).
Tomorrow's crucial RBA decision is likely to strongly influence whether this support will manage to reverse the price upward for the fourth time. Monday's robust price action suggests that another upward reversal is possible.
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Will the Australian Dollar Survive the Perfect Economic Storm?In the intricate dance of global financial markets, the Australian dollar stands at a critical crossroads, facing a confluence of economic challenges that threaten its stability. The convergence of complex factors—including the Federal Reserve's cautious monetary policy, China's economic headwinds, and Australia's domestic economic pressures—creates a perfect storm of uncertainty that challenges traditional economic assumptions and investor strategies.
The current landscape reveals a nuanced battleground where geopolitical tensions, central bank decisions, and macroeconomic indicators intersect with unprecedented complexity. Projections suggest the Australian dollar could potentially decline to 62 cents against the U.S. dollar in early 2025, a forecast that speaks to deeper structural challenges facing the Australian economy. The Reserve Bank of Australia's delicate balancing act—managing persistent inflation, maintaining economic growth, and responding to global economic shifts—epitomizes the sophisticated challenges confronting modern monetary policy.
Beyond just numbers, this economic narrative reflects a significant test of resilience and adaptability. Investors and economic strategists face a unique moment of transformation, where conventional economic models are being challenged by unprecedented global dynamics. The interaction between U.S. monetary policy, China's economic challenges, and Australia's domestic economic strategy creates an intriguing intellectual puzzle that requires sophisticated analysis and a forward-thinking approach.
As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, the Australian dollar's journey becomes a microcosm of broader economic transformations. This is not simply a story of currency fluctuation, but a testament to the complex, interconnected nature of global financial systems—where every decision, from central bank policies to geopolitical strategies, can send rippling consequences through international markets. The true measure of economic strength lies not in avoiding challenges but in the ability to navigate them with insight, agility, and strategic foresight.
Read The AUDUSD MarketLet's Looking at AUDUSD Price Actions and Predict the Next Moves and Maybe Finding Some Trade Opportunities, Good Luck With Your Trades <3
I'm anticipating a long after the market retest the previous higI'm anticipating a long after the market retest the previous high
AUDUSD Daily AnalyseIt's my daily analyse for AUDUSD
FX:AUDUSD
You can enter to this position with SL and TP3 (Related to your risk)
AUDUSD AUD/USD attracts fresh sellers and is pressured by a combination of factors. A softer risk tone and bets for an early RBA rate cut undermine the Aussie. Subdued USD demand fails to lend any support ahead of the US NFP reportThe AUD/USD pair experienced significant weakness on Friday, sinking near its August lows at 0.6350 after the release of the USThe data showed a much stronger than expected increase in jobs, while rising expectations for an interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) added pressure to the Australian Dollar. Additionally, weaker than expected domestic GDP growth figures further dampened the outlook for AUD/USD.
AUD: Oversold ahead of RBA decision? This week, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is holding its final board meeting of the year to decide on the cash rate.
For the exact date and time of these major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to receive alerts directly in your email inbox.
Those anticipating a rate cut from the RBA might have to wait until next year though as underlying inflation remains too high.
ANZ and Westpac expect cuts in May. NAB projects cuts will happen in the June quarter. The Commonwealth Bank, however, continues to forecast a cut in February.
AUD/USD’s decline resumed last week, extending from the start of the month. This movement has pushed the Relative Strength Index (RSI) toward oversold territory, indicating potential for a short-term rebound. The next significant support level is possibly around 0.6360.
AUDUSD Technical Outlook and Fundamental.AUD currency is facing stubborn inflation and high affordability prices. High interest rates are influencing the construction sectors of AUD negatively. With the housing market being the last thing to prop up the AUD. It is weakening slowly. Rate cuts are needed to relieve the AUD economy.
Australia is set target to build 1.2 million homes in 5 years and is expecting to fall short of 500,000 missing it's target by 41%
The DXY is showing good strength. With Canada facing high un employment and weak economy. Wars in the middle east and east Europe. Furthermore, French government budget problems. DXY is looking like a safe currency with President elect Donald Trump coming back into office. Not to mention the labor market looking resilient with exception of unemployment rising .1%. If inflation numbers are at same percentage or higher the FED will have to keep rates unchanged. This leads to more hawkish stance.
If AUD/USD closes under 0.63580. The next level of support will be at 0.62715.
AUD_USD POTENTIAL LONG|
✅AUD_USD is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 0.6350
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target at 0.6416
LONG🚀
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AUD/USD SAILY MARKET OUTLOOKThe weaker AUD & stronger USD has become more significant after price declined below the previous support price of 0.64379 price may further continue to drop as we anticipate the interest rate cut from RBA on 10th DEC . We’d be monitoring price to see if we’d get any opportunity to capitalize on this sell trend.
AUDUSD weekly anaylysispotential trade opportunity for AUD/USD.
caution of high impact news this wednesday, which could throw the analysis out the window lol
AUD-USD Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD keeps falling down
In a strong downtrend but
The pair will soon hit
A horizontal support
Of 0.6350 so after the
Retest of the level we
Will be expecting a
Local bullish correction
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
AUDUSD - Freefall or Possible Reversal?20SMA - Blue
200SMA - Pink
Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines
Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines
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How I see it:
Can 1W support hold for a reversal?
A break and hold above 0.64405 could signal a short-term reversal.
A break and hold below 1W support could trigger a further decline.
Keynote!
Overall, this pair is still extremely bearish.
We need a STRONG QUALITY GREEN MOVE(s) to signal intent otherwise.
I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
