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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

Aussie:Elliott Wave Structure Suggests More Downside After RallyThe RBA stands out with a potentially different approach compared to other central banks, as inflation in Autralia remains relatively high, making rate cuts this week less likely. This could support a rally in the Aussie, which aligns with the Elliott Wave pattern showing wave A in its final stages, with a strong five wave sell-off from September highs. A bounce could develop then, especially if the HSI remains stable or even moves higher this week. However, once the Aussie shows a solid recovery, be awre for a potential resumption of the downtrend, ideally from around 0.67 resistance; from the area of a former wave four. For those trading this pair, it’s worth waiting for a bounce before entering on the short-side. Grega
Short
by ew-forecast
1
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Rebound Could Be LimitedMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Rebound Could Be Limited AUD/USD is attempting a recovery wave from 0.6540. Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar found support near 0.6540 and is now recovering against the US Dollar. - There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6575 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair dipped from the 0.6600 resistance zone. The Aussie Dollar declined below 0.6600, but the bulls were active near 0.6540 against the US Dollar. A low was formed near 0.6537 and the pair is now correcting losses. There was a move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6659 swing high to the 0.6537 low. There was also a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6575. The pair is now above 0.6585 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6659 swing high to the 0.6537 low at 0.6610. The first major resistance is near a rising channel at 0.6630. A clear upside break above 0.6630 could send the pair toward 0.6660. The next major resistance on the AUD/USD chart is near 0.6680, above which the price could rise toward 0.6725. Any more gains might send the pair toward 0.6740. On the downside, initial support is near 0.6575 or the 50-hour simple moving average. The next support could be the 0.6540 zone. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.6500 support. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
AUDUSD h4 | Be arish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.6619, which is a pullback resistance and a 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 0.6558, a swing-low support level. The stop loss will be at 0.6662, an overlap resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
3
Falling towards 38.2% Fibonacci support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance. Pivot: 0.6585 1st Support: 0.6538 1st Resistance: 0.6649 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
2
Trump or Harris? Markets Awaits Outcome Trump or Harris? Markets Awaits Outcome This week, the U.S. presidential election will command everyone's attention. Market watchers will be focused on a handful of pivotal swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Pennsylvania is potentially the most critical. Yet, the results may not be immediate. In 2020, for instance, the Associated Press declared Biden the official winner about three and a half days after polls closed. This time around, a win by Trump could strengthen the dollar, driven by the possibility of heightened tariffs that may also weigh on currencies closely linked to China, such as the Australian dollar. With daily MACD in negative territory, AUD/USD appears on track to test the next support at 0.6490, aligned with a trend line since October 2023 In contrast, Newsquawk suggests that a Harris victory could pressure the dollar, with potential gains in commodities and the euro.
by BlackBull_Markets
AUDUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Long
by ShahedZare
1
Analyzing the AUD/USD pair on the 1-hour timeframethe AUD/USD pair on the 1-hour timeframe, the pair is currently in a downtrend but has not yet reached the green support zone. If the price returns to this zone, it could attract buyers, potentially pushing the price upward. This scenario may present a long opportunity, provided there's a confirmation signal before entry. Key Points: Current Trend: Downward movement towards support. Support Zone: Identified in green on the chart. Potential Action: Look for bullish confirmation signals upon price reaching the support zone before considering a long position. Always ensure proper risk management and wait for clear confirmation before entering a trade.
Long
by rebenga93
AU:Will Positive Aussie Labor Data Hold as US Retail Sales Loom?The Australian Dollar (AUD) found support on Thursday following the release of positive labor market data. Australia's Employment Change rose by 64.1K in September, bringing total employment to a record-high 14.52 million. This strong labor data has provided a temporary boost to the AUD, despite broader market uncertainties. However, traders remain cautious ahead of the anticipated US Retail Sales data, which is expected to show a 0.3% increase for September, up from 0.1% in the previous month. Technical Analysis and Market Positioning From a technical perspective, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows a clear divergence in market sentiment. Retail traders appear to be strongly bullish on the AUD/USD, while smart money (institutional investors) has taken a bearish stance. This discrepancy often signals the potential for market reversals, as institutional players are generally more adept at positioning ahead of key market moves. Additionally, when looking at seasonality trends from the Forecaster and considering key Supply and Demand areas, there’s a possibility that the AUD/USD could experience a new drop. However, this is likely to occur after a brief retracement, as the market digests both the Australian labor data and the upcoming US economic figures. Outlook and Strategy For now, we are adopting a wait-and-see approach. Given the mixed signals from the COT report and the seasonal factors at play, we prefer to remain on the sidelines until the situation becomes clearer. The upcoming US Retail Sales data, along with other market-moving news, will likely provide further direction for the AUD/USD in the days ahead. Once the market reacts to these key events, we will reassess and consider potential trade setups accordingly. Patience is key, as the next few days could bring more clarity after the news impacts play out. ✅ Please share your thoughts about AUD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
2
AUDUSD / SHORT / M15AUDUSD Potential Downside from the Bearish Order Block Bearish Order Block: 0.65762 - 0.65708 Based on my analysis using Smart Money Concepts (SMC), AUDUSD has formed a bearish order block around 0.65762 to 0.65708. Price action is showing signs of a potential reversal within this block, suggesting that sellers might step in at this level, leading to a downward move. I'll be watching how AUDUSD reacts in this range, with a high probability of this trade ending in profits if the order block holds strong as resistance. Trade Details: Position: Short Lot Size: 0.2 Entry Price: 0.65708 Take Profit: 0.65531 Stop Loss: 0.65885 This setup aligns with institutional movement patterns, and I’ll be monitoring for confirmation of bearish momentum. Let’s see how the market reacts!
Short
by PraveenTrader1
AUDUSD - In search of stronger support? Just an Idea...20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Your interest motivates me: If you find my analysis helpful, please boost and follow me for future analysis at your service. How I see it: Can this pair fall deeper for stronger support? My green zone indicates my personal (FIB) highest probability of support. KEYNOTE: This is NFP DAY!!, make sure you check your calendar before each session always! I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
by ANROC