AUDUSD_ZERO trade ideas
a comparison or integration of two trading concepts: 📉📈
The image presentsElliott Wave Theory and Smart Money Concepts (SMC), often associated with Wyckoff distribution/accumulation.
🌟 On the left side, there's an illustration of Elliott Wave Theory, showing a typical 5-wave impulse (labeled 1-2-3-4-5, presumably wave A) followed by a 3-wave corrective structure (labeled A-B-C). Within this, there's a smaller "Accumulation" phase depicted.
✅ On the right side, there's a diagram illustrating Smart Money Concepts/Wyckoff phases, specifically "Accumulation," "Manipulation," and "Distribution." This diagram shows how price moves through these phases, often with a false breakout (manipulation) before the true move.
🟢The overall implication of the image and its central text is that SMC principles, such as accumulation and distribution, can be observed or understood within the larger framework of Elliott Wave patterns. It suggests that SMC provides a more granular view of market behavior (identifying smart money footprints) that aligns with or unfolds within the Elliott Wave structures.
Major resistance ahead?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6512
1st Support: 0.6466
1st Resistance: 0.6545
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Audusd setup Here's a bullish analysis on AUD/USD (generic and adaptable to most timeframes; if you want it based on a specific chart or timeframe, let me know):
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📈 AUD/USD Bullish Analysis
1. Support Zone Holding Strong:
AUD/USD has established a firm support level around where price has bounced multiple times.
Recent price action shows a double bottom or rounded base formation, indicating demand buildup.
2. Bullish Trendline Formation:
A new higher low structure is forming, suggesting a shift in momentum.
Price is respecting a short-term ascending trendline, signaling continued buying interest.
3. Breakout Confirmation:
A bullish breakout above the 0.6650 resistance opens room for an upward move.
Next target levels: 0.6700 and 0.6780.
4. RSI & Momentum Indicators:
RSI trending above 50, showing strength.
Bullish divergence on momentum indicators confirms possible upside continuation.
5. Fundamentals (Optional Context):
AUD supported by improving risk sentiment and commodity strength (especially iron ore and gold).
USD weakening slightly due to lower rate hike expectations from the Fed.
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🎯 Bullish Targets:
Entry zone: 0.6620–0.6640
Target 1: 0.6700
Target 2: 0.6780
Stop-loss: Below support
AUDUSD InsightHello, everyone!
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Key Points
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Major Economic Schedule This Week
+ June 18: UK May Consumer Price Index, Eurozone May Consumer Price Index, FOMC Meeting Results Announcement
+ June 19: BOE Interest Rate Decision
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
After a V-shaped rebound in April, it has shown a gentle rise and is currently trading around the 0.65000 line. It has formed support lines below, and is expected to continue its upward trend based on these support levels. Long-term, it is expected to form a peak around the 0.69000 line. However, a small resistance is forming at the 0.67000 line, so we should keep open the possibility of a temporary pullback due to this resistance in that area.
Alternatively, if it breaks below the 0.64000 line, the direction could change, in which case we will establish a new strategy.
AUD/USD SELL SCENERIOThis chart illustrates a potential bearish trade setup based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). The setup begins with the formation of equal highs, which are typically seen as liquidity pools by institutional traders. These highs are swept, as shown by the wicks that briefly break above them (highlighted with orange circles), signaling a liquidity grab intended to trigger retail buy stops. Following this liquidity sweep, price reverses and breaks a significant structure low, marked as the Break of Structure (BOS), confirming a shift from bullish to bearish order flow. This BOS acts as a key signal that the market is likely to move downward. This creates a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Overall, this setup reflects a textbook SMC trade structure that leverages liquidity manipulation, structural shifts, and refined entry zones for a high-probability short position from fvg.
AUDUSD(20250617)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Revised version of the Republican tax cut bill in the US Senate: It is planned to raise the debt ceiling to 5 trillion, and the overall framework is consistent with the House version.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6512
Support and resistance levels:
0.6597
0.6566
0.6545
0.6480
0.6459
0.6428
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6545, consider buying, and the first target price is 0.6566
If the price breaks through 0.6512, consider selling, and the first target price is 0.6480
Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6455
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6407
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6513
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
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AUDUSD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.653.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.657.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Sell Limit Setup above 2025 High📉 AUD/USD – 2H Chart Analysis
🕒 Published: June 16, 2025 | TF: 2H
🔔 Trade Idea: 2x Sell Limit at Key Resistance Zone
🔹 Market Context:
Price is trading within a rising broadening wedge pattern (marked by the white and blue trendlines).
Current rally retraced aggressively toward upper wedge resistance (2025 High), an area that has repeatedly capped bullish momentum.
Price approaching previous supply zone.
🔻 Sell Limit Setup 1
Entry: 0.65400
SL: 0.6584
TP: 0.6503
R:R ≈ 1
➕ Fades rally into resistance
➕ Aligns with EMA structure and intraday exhaustion
🔻 Sell Limit Setup 2
Entry: 0.6550
SL: 0.6584
TP: 0.6499
R:R ≈ 2
➕ Higher entry into wick zone (liquidity trap)
➕ Potential false breakout above structure
➕ SL above key swing high = cleaner invalidation
⚠️ Aggressive short: smaller SL, better RR
AUDUSD TECHNICALS AND FUNDAMENTALS DETAILED ANALYSISAUDUSD has officially broken out of a multi-week ascending triangle structure, and momentum is now building for a bullish continuation. The price is currently trading around 0.6533 after a strong breakout above the 0.6520 resistance zone. This consolidation was forming higher lows, signaling accumulation and bullish intent. The clean breakout above the horizontal resistance confirms buyers are in control. With this pattern validated, my short-term target is 0.6700–0.6750, aligning with the measured move projection.
From a macro perspective, AUD is gaining strength due to a divergence in monetary policy outlooks. The Reserve Bank of Australia remains hawkish, supported by sticky inflation data and a tight labor market, while the Federal Reserve has recently hinted at a dovish turn, acknowledging signs of economic slowdown. Additionally, a weaker U.S. dollar index (DXY) and rising commodity prices—especially iron ore and copper—are tailwinds for the Australian dollar. These fundamental shifts are reinforcing the bullish technical breakout.
On the 8H chart, the ascending triangle is a clear signal of bullish pressure. The zone around 0.6450–0.6520 acted as strong demand during the consolidation phase. A successful breakout retest of this zone could offer secondary entry opportunities. The risk-reward ratio is attractive, with a defined invalidation below the trendline and a target extending toward yearly highs near 0.6750.
This setup stands out as high-probability. With bullish price action, supportive fundamentals, and risk-on sentiment returning across FX majors, AUDUSD is primed for further upside. I’m holding long with conviction, expecting continuation toward the projected breakout target. This trade aligns with current market structure, trend strength, and macro drivers—perfect timing in a trending market environment.
Wedge Pattern – Simple Explanation
📚 Wedge Pattern – Simple Explanation
A wedge pattern is a shape on the chart that looks like a triangle or cone. It tells us that the price is getting ready to break out — either up or down.
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🔻 Falling Wedge (Bullish)
Looks like price is going down, but slowly.
Lines move closer together.
Usually means the price will go up soon.
It's a bullish signal (good for buying).
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🔺 Rising Wedge (Bearish)
Price goes up, but losing strength.
Lines get closer together.
Usually means the price will go down soon.
It's a bearish signal (good for selling).
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💡 Easy Tips:
Wait for breakout (big move out of the wedge).
Use a stop-loss below/above the pattern.
Target = height of the wedge.
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📌 In Short:
Wedge = Squeeze pattern.
Falling wedge = Buy chance.
Rising wedge = Sell chance.
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Let me know if you have sny doubt in comments
AUDUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is trading near our sell entry at 0.6533, which is a pullback resistance aligning with a 61.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.6513, an overlap support.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.6552, a swing high resistance.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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Potential bearish breakout?AUD/USD is falling towards a support level, which acts as a pullback support. A breakout below this level could lead the price to drop further towards our take-profit target
Entry: 0.6533
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.6560
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6492
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD Bullish continuation supported at 0.6465Trend Overview:
The AUDUSD currency price remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 0.6465 (primary pivot), followed by 0.6445 and 0.6400
Resistance: 0.6570 (initial), then 0.6590 and 0.6625
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 0.6465 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 0.6570, 0.6590, and ultimately 0.6625.
Conversely, a daily close below 0.6465 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 0.6445 and 0.6400 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
AUDUSD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 0.6465 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 0.6570 area. A breakdown below 0.6465, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk.
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