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AUDUSD_ZERO trade ideas

AUDUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis. Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Short
by dkb14246
1
AUDUSD Analysis – Falling from the Rising WedgeAUDUSD pair broke below an ascending wedge, a bearish reversal pattern. Clean rejection from 0.6518, with lower highs and new lower lows confirming bearish momentum. Price is now sitting below former trendline support, retested and respected as resistance. Bearish target points toward 0.6400–0.6380 zone, aligning with recent swing lows. Risk invalidation sits above 0.6520, where structure fails. Technical Bias: Bearish Target: 0.6400 Stop-loss zone: Above 0.6520 📊 Current Bias: Bearish 🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving AUDUSD AUD Fundamentals (Weakening): Australian jobs data was mixed, and wage growth has plateaued. RBA remains cautious, with expectations for rate cuts later in 2025. AUD pressured by China growth risks and weak commodity demand. Geopolitical drag: Australia-China tensions and weak Chinese retail data from 618 Festival dampen AUD outlook. USD Fundamentals (Resilient): USD remains bid on risk-off flows, especially after weak global data and ongoing Middle East tensions. Fed remains reluctant to cut fast despite disinflation signs – supports the USD. US data is mixed, but rate cut odds are declining (only one expected in 2025 now per dot plot). ⚠️ Risks to This Bearish View If China announces new stimulus, AUD could rebound sharply. A dovish surprise from the Fed (e.g. Powell softening in speeches). Sharp rebound in risk appetite (e.g. tech-led equity rally). 🗓️ Important Events to Watch 🇨🇳 China industrial profits & PMIs 🇦🇺 RBA Meeting Minutes (July preview hints) 🇺🇸 US Core PCE (June 28) Global risk tone: watch metals, equities, and geopolitical headlines. 🚀 Which Asset Leads? AUDUSD is lagging other USD pairs, but will likely lead commodity FX downside if China or metals weaken further. Watch AUDJPY and EURAUD for further confirmation of risk-off flows and Aussie weakness.
Short
by ultreosforex
18
Short trade 1Hr TF overview 🔻 Trade Journal Entry – Sell-side Trade 📍 Pair: AUDUSD 📅 Date: Wednesday, June 25, 2025 🕒 Time: 5:00 AM (London Session AM) ⏱ Time Frame: 1 Hour 📉 Direction: Sell-side 📊 Trade Breakdown: Metric Value Entry Price 0.64939 Profit Level 0.64393 (−0.84%) Stop Loss 0.65091 (+0.23%) Risk-Reward Ratio 3.59 1 🧠 Context / Trade Notes: Premium Pricing at OB Rejection: Price entered the premium zone and tapped a 1HR bearish order block, offering a clean entry for short positioning.
Short
by davidjulien369
#AUDUSD 4H 📉#AUDUSD 4H Sell Setup – Bearish Shift in Play AUDUSD has tapped into buy-side liquidity at 0.65713, triggering a sharp rejection and signaling a potential Market Structure Reversal (MSR). Price is now approaching a key Order Block (OB) zone, aligning with prevailing bearish order flow. 🔻 Sell Zone: 0.65400 – 0.65000 ❌ Stop Loss: Above 0.65713 (Liquidity Level) 🎯 Target: 0.6432 This setup reflects strong rejection from premium pricing and confirmation of bearish momentum. Smart money dynamics suggest a continuation to the downside as price respects resistance and structure.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
AUD/USD – Rejection at 2025 High?By: MJTrading 📉 AUD/USD – Rejection at 2025 High? The Aussie is struggling at its 2025 high, printing successive lower highs (LH) and flirting with the 60-period EMA. With momentum leaning bearish, a short opportunity opens up near 0.64878, targeting the 0.64094 support zone. Confirmation from the EMA breakdown and rejection wicks strengthens the setup. Stop-loss above 0.65285 protects against a breakout trap. Entry: 0.64883 Stop Loss: 0.65285 TP1: 0.64500 TP2: 0.64100 #Hashtags: #AUDUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ReversalSetup #BearishBias #LowerHighs #EMARejection #ShortThePop #PriceAction
Short
by MJElahifx
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe. Key Points - Fed Chair Jerome Powell, during his testimony before the House, responded to a question regarding Governor Christopher Waller’s suggestion of a possible July rate cut by stating, “There are a range of possible paths. It’s a possible scenario.” However, the overall tone of the testimony emphasized a wait-and-see stance. - While there was some noise around the Israel-Iran conflict, it has been confirmed that a ceasefire was agreed upon. The Israeli side stated, “The focus will shift back to Gaza. We will bring the hostages home and dismantle the Hamas regime.” - Due to the effects of de-dollarization, Australia’s bond market is gaining attention, and Australian government bond yields are on a downward trend. Major Economic Events This Week + June 25: Testimony by Fed Chair Jerome Powell + June 26: U.S. Q1 GDP + June 27: U.S. May PCE Price Index AUDUSD Chart Analysis After a brief pullback, the AUD/USD pair fell to the 0.64000 level but rebounded from that support zone and is now showing an upward trend. A gradual climb is expected to continue, with the anticipated high near the 0.69000 level. However, there is minor resistance around the 0.67000 level, which could lead to a short-term decline, so caution is advised.
Long
by shawntime_academy
Institutional Manipulation or Perfect Setup? | AUDUSD🎯 This is a 🔥 setup no one’s talking about... AUDUSD is quietly setting up for something big, and if we apply the VEP Trader – Liquidity Option Strategy, it could deliver a clean high-probability entry. 📍 Trend Overview (1D) On the daily timeframe, AUDUSD shows a weak bullish trend, but here's what stands out... The candle on June 18 swept liquidity from 5 previous days: 📅 June 3 📅 June 4 📅 June 13 📅 June 17 📅 June 18 This is a textbook case of institutional liquidity grab. 😮 💧 What Does VEP Trader Tell Us? When price clears multiple daily lows/highs in a single candle, our strategy flags it as a potential reversal zone. 📸 If you switch to the 1-hour timeframe, you’ll notice something massive: A huge institutional gap from 0.64554 to 0.64700, exactly where price left behind liquidity. 🚨 What Are We Watching For? We’re looking for a potential pullback into that gap, alongside: A bullish divergence on momentum Support zones holding from previous reactions Confirmation via Squeeze Momentum If these align... the opportunity is 🔥. 🎯 Do You See What I See? 👉 Was this manipulation, or just clean price action? Drop your thoughts in the comments. Setups like this don’t show up every day — but when they do, you better be ready. #AUDUSD #VEPTrader #LiquiditySweep #FairValueGap #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexSetup #PriceActionTrading #InstitutionalTrading #CleanStructure #ForexWatchlist #GapTrading #TradingBreakdown #MomentumDivergence #RiskRewardRatio #TradeWhatYouSee #LiquidityZones #ForexReversal #SqueezeMomentum #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexOpportunities #ReversalTrade #ScalpingSetup #DayTradingForex #ForexStrategy #ForexTraderLife
Long
by BorbonPR
4
Australian dollar jumps on Israel-Iran cease fireThe Australian dollar is up sharply on Tuesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6504, up 0.70% on the day. Investors' risk appetite is higher today after Israel and Iran agreed to a ceasefire in their 12-day war. The markets have reacted favorably to lower oil prices as fears that Iran would close the Straits of Hormuz, which would have disrupted global oil supplies, have diminished. Risk appetite has returned and risk currencies like the Australian dollar have posted strong gains today. The Israel-Iran war has triggered sharp swings in oil prices and there are fears of an oil price shock if the fragile ceasefire does not hold. An oil price shock would send petrol prices higher and boost inflation, complicating the Reserve Bank of Australia's plans to lower interest rates. Australia CPI expected to ease to 2.3% Australia releases the May inflation report early on Wednesday. Headline CPI has been stuck at 2.4% for three consecutive months, within the Reserve Bank of Australia's target of 2-3% and its lowest level since Nov. 2024. The market estimate for May stands at 2.3%. Trimmed Mean CPI, a key core inflation indication, edged up to 2.8% from 2.7% in April. The Reserve Bank will be keeping a close eye on the inflation report, with the central bank making a rate announcement on July 8. The RBA trimmed rates by a quarter-point in May and has shifted to a more dovish stance - the Board discussed a jumbo half-point cut at the May meeting. Fred Chair Powell appears before Congress today and Wednesday and is likely to defend the Fed's wait-and-see stance. The Fed is concerned about President Trump's tariffs and the Israel-Iran war threatens stability in the Middle East, hardly the recipe for further rate cuts. Still, there appears to be some dissent within the Fed, as two members, Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller, have suggested that the Fed could lower rates as early as September. AUD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6490. Above, there is resistance at 0.6522 There is support at 0.6400 and 0.6342
by OANDA
1
New Bullish Setup on AUD/USD – Targeting 130+ PipsA new BUY signal has emerged on the AUD/USD chart, signaling potential upward movement. BUY Signal: Activated at 0.64214, indicating a possible reversal from the recent downtrend after price tapped into a higher-timeframe demand zone. TP Zones: TP1: 0.64656 TP2: 0.65097 Final TP: 0.65538 This setup offers a potential profit range of 40 to 130 pips. Market Structure: Price has broken multiple internal lows, creating BOS (Break of Structure) on the way down, but now shows a possible shift in momentum from a fresh demand zone. The setup suggests a bullish correction or reversal toward the imbalance and supply area above. Remember to manage your trades carefully and ensure this setup fits your overall strategy. Stay sharp and trade responsibly!
Long
by TradersJourneys
1
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D26 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D26 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily order block ✅1H Order block ✅Intraday breaks of structure ✅4H Order block 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD – Swing Point Failure Sell Setup (AUTH Model)AUDUSD just rejected from a significant swing point — not by accident, but through exhaustion. Price tapped into residual liquidity, failed to break continuation structure, and is now reverting to the dominant bias. Market Breakdown • Swing Failure: Price attempted to reverse at a key swing high but failed to hold. This is not a pause — it’s a confirmation of bearish control • AUTH Context: Liquidity was swept above the swing, triggering a sell-side response • Structure: Clean rejection wick + lower timeframe shift confirms bearish entry logic • Bias: Weekly and H4 remain bearish, with price likely to return toward value and imbalance zones Execution Logic • Entry: After confirmation (internal structure break or supply wick) • Invalidation: Hold above the failed swing = setup void • Target: Move into inefficiency, previous demand zones, or deeper support structure
Short
by intraday_storm
AUDUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the AUDUSD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.6427 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 0.6462 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
AUDUSD – Type 2 AUTH Sell Setup (Weekly Bias | Tight Execution)Price is rejecting from a precision-based Type 2 Area of Liquidity (AOL) — a textbook scenario under the AUTH model, backed by higher-timeframe direction. Breakdown • Bias: Weekly momentum remains bearish with clean lower highs and fresh structure breaks • AOL Type 2: Price taps into refined supply zone within premium, mid-volume zone — no excess, no noise • Execution: Entry confirmed on lower timeframes after micro shift or rejection wick • Stop Loss: 7 pips only — precise risk, nothing emotional • Target: Continuation into inefficiency zones and previous internal demand • Invalidation: Close above AOL structure – no hesitation, no negotiation Disclaimer: This setup is shared for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always apply proper risk management and trade responsibly.
Short
by intraday_storm