AAPLB trade ideas
LONG AAPLHello everybody
I think AAPL is long in midterm It is your responsibility to check and tade with yourself This analysis has an educational aspect .
Dont go into details and short timeframe
Dont have open trades during news times
Trade with your little money and Invest with your big money
Good Luck
Apple - More Room Apple hasn't been as amazing as the rest of the Mag 7 for 2024. But that's okay as good days are likely to comeback once it hits that strong support area towards 157-160.
Economy looks strong well at least by the weekly data and if it is what Jpow says than rate cuts shouldn't matter much if it's doing well that is. We have been delayed these rate cuts and market has rallied and most likely priced in multiple times so a bit of cautions is needed here.
We will hit few bumps along the way as it's the year of election but over all things look good if not great. For a better entry some retracement and off we go.
$AAPL 2024Listen up. This is going one of two ways. Either we see the bull flag continuation to the upside that was established in 2023. Orrr Apple double tops on our asses.
Zooming in on the support will show you that we are very close to finding out.
Regardless, the move will be tradable. And you bet your ass the only way I trade this is long. I believe this $165-$170 range to be a heavy demand zone. RSI shows reason to believe it's oversold. Not to mention, big tech can drop an AI bomb on our heads at any second.
NASDAQ:AAPL could easily, and I mean EASILY, be $200+ EoY.
$190 calls for 12/20 are currently 6.85 . We shall come back to this...
Comprehensive Analysis: Long-Term Position in Apple (Idea 1)After conducting an exhaustive examination of Apple Inc.'s fundamentals, including a meticulous review of its Annual Report, earnings calls, and other pertinent documents, I have arrived at a well-informed conclusion regarding the company's prospects. Subsequently, I have strategically chosen to position myself in this market leader.
Apple's substantial Market Capitalization underscores its prominence in the global market. By amalgamating both Fundamental Analysis and Technical Analysis, this trade idea is meticulously crafted to capitalize on the inherent strengths of Apple Inc. This marks the inception of a two-part analysis, with the first segment focusing on establishing a long-term position.
The entry point for this trade is set at 164.31, a level meticulously chosen based on a synthesis of technical indicators. Unlike conventional trading strategies, this approach foregoes a Stop Loss (SL) as the overarching vision is geared towards the long-term horizon, mitigating short-term fluctuations and focusing on the company's enduring value.
While the Take Profit (TP) level remains subjective, the overarching strategy suggests holding the position for an extended period, allowing ample time for the investment thesis to materialize. Additionally, this entry and exit strategy provides flexibility for short-term trading opportunities, accommodating varying risk appetites and trading styles.
This comprehensive analysis underscores a strategic long-term perspective on Apple Inc., leveraging both fundamental strength and technical insights to navigate the dynamic landscape of the financial markets.
When you want to trade on Apple (based on this idea) than you need to set a SL (Stop loss), at 160.93$ (when you want a short trade (short timeframe) ) or 155.37$.
When you are in loss you should also do DCA.
Don´t forget to like (boost), follow me and comment!
AAPL SupportIf AAPL loses support, it's a long ways down. I assume a lot of people have stop loss in mind, if not an order already.
AAPL is so heavily tied to the indices, the next down leg on NASDAQ:NDX and SP:SPX will cause it to drop below support. Could happen as soon as tomorrow.
APPLE continued down trend, 5 min chartOutlook for tomorrow, we should hold this zone as resistance and continue lower to targets.
APPLE $AAPL - Mar. 9th, 2024APPLE NASDAQ:AAPL - Mar. 9th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $174.25 - $187.15
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $168.15 - $174.25
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $155.65 - $168.15 (or extended from previous post, $175.40 - $181.50)
Weekly: Bearish
Daily: Bearish
4H: Bearish
NASDAQ:AAPL price completely smashed through the bearish zone. Here are the updated zones I would be looking at when entering trades. Extended hours are displayed on the 4h to show how price moved towards the bottom and throughout the bearish zone, price went strongly through the bottom level and with no reversal insight shorts should have continued, at least partially. As a trend trader I am open to going in either direction, however; I would not consider going long until at the very least there is a close above the $174.25 level, but even then the weekly timeframe will not have enough time to label it as bullish. I labeled the start of the bearish trend and some quick thoughts as I glanced at the charts, previous post will be linked with this one.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
The sideways pattern is completed and soon the bull marketDear analysts and traders,
I hope you are doing well and are motivated for the week ahead. I wish you all the success in your business endeavors. Remember that success in trading lies in consistently defining and sticking to your rules.
As someone interested in the Elliott Wave Principle, I find it to be an invaluable tool for market analysis. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering different scenarios that are likely to occur in the market. It should be noted that I do not like to be surprised in the market, and that's why I have different market prospects. I follow them to be sure and recognize the structure that is forming so that I can 100% recognize it.
I will share my analysis with you, but please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. My perspective on idea analysis is completely unbiased, so if the idea analysis meets your standards, you can use it as a guide to make an informed decision.
I have attached my previous analysis of the same market so that you can compare and see the differences. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand. However, having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily.
I have been studying the Elliott Wave Principle for almost three years now, and over time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has grown. What I have achieved so far is the legacy of a genius called Ralph Nelson Eliot, and I am really happy with my progress. May peace be upon him.
Thank you for your support so far. I will always remember your kindness. Please share your comments and criticisms with me.
I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best.
Sincerely,
Mr. Nobody
Apple's Stock Forecast: Poised for a ReversalIn a technical analysis forecast that could signal a turnaround for Apple Inc., the charts are indicating a potential shift in momentum. The falling wedge pattern observed is suggesting a consolidation phase that could prelude a bullish reversal, aligning with the optimism surrounding the company's innovative trajectory.
With Apple's stock price currently testing the lower bounds of a linear regression channel, the statistical support level adds a degree of confidence to the prognosis. Technical analysts are eyeing a target of $180 by July 24, 2024, a notable ascent from its current position. This anticipated recovery to the $180 threshold represents a significant price movement for investors closely monitoring Apple's performance metrics.
The falling wedge, a classical pattern in technical analysis, further corroborates this bullish outlook, especially when considering the historical resilience and market performance of Apple. As the stock appears to consolidate at the wedge's apex, the potential for an upward breakout is watched by traders with keen interest.
Apple's stock has not only shown resilience in the face of market volatility but has also maintained a solid fundamental background, with the company consistently at the forefront of technological innovation. The projection of a rebound in Apple's stock is in tune with the company's reputation for strategic growth and market leadership.
As with any market analysis, it is imperative to consider multiple factors, including market trends, geopolitical impacts, and company-specific news, to form a comprehensive investment strategy. The projection is not just a reflection of statistical analysis but also of market sentiment towards a company that has repeatedly demonstrated its capacity to innovate and adapt.
In the near term, traders and investors alike will be watching for signs of strength as the stock navigates through its current technical juncture. The strategic moves made by Apple in the months to come will likely play a pivotal role in whether the stock can achieve the anticipated $180 price level by the given date.
APPLE 162 VERY INTERESTING BUY ZONEIt seems that a rally could start when price will reach 162, or before if the descending wedge could be break as it was on the previous one.
Differents targets could be applied, they will updated following the trade
Apple (AAPL) Pullback in ProgressShort Term Elliott Wave structure in Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) suggests that the stock is correcting cycle from 1.3.2023 low in wave II. The rally to 199.62 on December 14, 2023 high ended wave I. Pullback in wave II is in progress as a zigzag structure. Down from December 14, wave ((A)) ended at 180.17 and rally in wave ((B)) ended at 196.38. Down from wave ((B)), wave (1) ended at 180.17 and wave (2) ended at 196.38. Wave (3) lower ended at 167.35 and wave (4) rally ended at 178.68 as the 1 hour chart below shows.
The stock extended lower in wave (4) with internal subdivision as a 5 waves diagonal. Down from wave (4), wave 1 ended at 169.45 and wave 2 ended at 173.69. The stock then extended lower in wave 3 towards 168.23. Rally in wave 4 ended at 171.92. Expect the stock to extend a few more lows to complete wave 5 of (5). This should also end wave ((C)) of II in higher degree. Afterwards, the stock can then turn higher. Near term, as far as pivot at 178.68 high stays intact, expect the stock to continue lower to resume the correction within wave II.
Apple stock ready to surge after long consolidationApple stock ready to surge after long consolidation
My view of AAPLWe have a classic case of stock price rest on support. We've seen multiple reactions in that area of support our trendline is adding on as confluence to this trade idea. Risk accordingly
Apple: Two ways to the same goal 🛣️We primarily assume that Apple shares will swing higher again in the short term with a countermovement and then extend the high of wave X in turquoise. It should then later enter our green Target Zone ($161.90 – $140.32) with the subsequent wave Z. If, however, the price chooses our alternative scenario (35%) our Zone will be targeted directly.
[AAPL] Apple downside now ?Apple Inc. (AAPL) has recently undergone a significant development as it broke a crucial support level around $180.0. This breach occurred following the formation of a double top pattern on a long timeframe, signaling a notable shift in market sentiment.
The current price action shows a slight pullback around the $177.8 level, indicating potential rejection of the price at this level. However, it's important to note that this particular entry point may not be optimal for establishing new positions due to the inherent uncertainty and risk associated with the recent breakdown of support.
Given the less-than-ideal nature of this entry, risk management becomes paramount. Consequently, any positions initiated at this stage should be kept at minimal size to mitigate potential losses. Moreover, a strategy of being prepared to exit swiftly is advisable, especially if the price fails to gain momentum or starts to exhibit further weakness.
It's crucial to remain vigilant and closely monitor price movements, particularly around the $177.8 level. Should the price dynamics change, and $177.8 begins to play a significant role again, there may be an opportunity for re-entry with a more favorable risk/reward profile.
In summary, while the recent breakdown of support presents a notable development in AAPL's price action, caution is warranted in entering new positions at this juncture. Maintaining strict risk management protocols and readiness to adapt to changing market conditions will be essential for navigating the evolving landscape of AAPL's stock.
Great Trade !
AAPL MIGHT BREAK THIS KEY LEVEL NEXTThe price has once again found its support on the highlighted key level where I believe the price will further continue to fall with a clean bearish breakout on the highlighted level. For this to happen, we are required to confirm a bearish breakout first before attempting to do any sell-off. Also on the bigger picture, the price has created a double top formation.
The price breakout on the key level is expected to revisit the bottom support highlighted at $145 region.
AAPL ranging into support and resistanceAAPL can hold support below and the same with resistance above.
Breaking out higher could retest the recent lower, higher placed / the prior lows slightly above.
Breaking down could seek a convergence of support below.
Breaking down would signify a double top, neckline break of a larger picture suggesting continuous downward pressure.
Apple Ready For A Serious Short Campaign?A potential decine of up to 80% in long time favorites will certainly be unpopular. It is the same persistence in close mindedness that causes persistence in trend. It is the persistence in trends that drive prices wildly above or below fair value. As the pendelum swings reality tends to lie in the middle....
Decines in price are often seen as though there is something wrong with the underlying asset. Buyers see nothing wrong so there is no reason to suspect any decline often until it is far to late. The cause of the decline simiply has nothing to do with the underlying asset there is something wrong with buyers which can only be seen on the tape.
Persistence of trend causes buyers to fuel a continous feed back loop in one direction until liquidity runs dry, buyers are exausted, a new trend begins in the other direction and persists until once again foolishly out of proportion and reverses.
While there is no crystal ball the same the loss of momentum into a curved top is a signature signal of an exausted trend on micro and macro. The same pattern can be observed repeatedly on any time frame and typically leads to a reversal or long drawn out reaccumulation.
Current Trading Plan:
Short the high of every rally...
This is a monthly chart
Trade Well...
Your Friend,
Degen
AAPL: Expects Breakdown (bias short)There are 2 ways that AAPL can move but I have a bias for it to breakdown instead of us. The reason is because the entire market has overran too far and too long in an almost straight line way and it seems like most are on the peak.
Apple: Target Zone in Sight
Apple is nearing our target zone, showing the weakness we wanted to see. Today, we've observed a 3% drop. We expect a few more percentage points to fall before reaching the target zone for Wave 2, which is between 50 and 78.6 percent. Looking at our 2-hour chart, we're now seeing the 5-wave structure we anticipated. This entire scenario would likely be incorrect if we exceed the invalidation line. However, we should continue to see this downward trend, ideally towards Wave (b), around $165.67. Then, we should form Wave (iv), followed by Wave (v), with our entry between $161.55 and $140.45. After this, we should continue with the overarching Wave (5), eventually completing it. If we get stopped out here we anticipate Apple to fall significantly lower as said in the past, but for now we hold this scenario.
Apple Tests Long-Term SupportWith Apple dramatically underperforming the wider market, we shine a spotlight this tech giant as it retest key levels of long-term support.
Apple Decline Amid Market Rally: A Departure from Historical Trends
Apple's share price has declined since the turn of the year due to various factors such as slowing iPhone sales, antitrust concerns, and perceived lag in the AI race.
However, long-term Apple bulls argue that this decline is exaggerated, as corrections are common and Apple has historically rebounded from sell-offs to reach new highs.
Yet, the current situation differs from the past as Apple's decline coincides with a broader market rally, indicating a departure from its usual trend of rallying alongside a broader increase in risk appetite. This discrepancy is significant, Apple’s share price is currently down -8.61% year-to-date versus an S&P 500 index which has rallied nearly +10% during the same period.
Contrasting with its typical behaviour of rallying in sync with market gains, this deviation from historical patterns suggests a unique situation for Apple in the current market landscape.
Deciphering Apple's Price Chart: Support and Resistance Dynamics
On the price chart, Apple's long-term technical structure forms a trading range, with resistance evident at the July and December 2023 swing highs, and support seen at the swing lows formed in September and October 2023.
Support and resistance levels have the potential to influence market behavior, as they tend to reflect market sentiment and trader psychology. Traders who previously bought Apple shares in October 2023 and witnessed a subsequent 20% rally may be inclined to buy again when prices retest that support level.
However, blindly buying at support levels disregards Apple's current underperformance and the negative momentum in its share price. In recent months, the shares have formed a descending trendline, and the RSI indicator remains below 50.
Those considering buying at support levels would be wise to wait for confirmation from price action, such as a large bullish candle or a fakeout hammer candle indicating buyer interest. Such signals would suggest a resurgence in buying activity.
Conversely, a break and consolidation below the support zone would mark the end of Apple's long-term trading range and could potentially trigger a more significant sell-off.
AAPL Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Risk Management
Apple has an Average True Range (ATR) of $3.19 – traders can use this as a baseline expectation for daily price movement and factor this into to stop placement and price targets.
On the economic calendar, Friday’s US monthly unemployment rate has the potential to increase the volatility of Apple’s share price.
Apple will release Q2 2024 earnings on Thursday 2nd May.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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