AAPL Mid term supportApple (AAPL) remains a strong player in the market, but whether it's a "buy" depends on various factors. Analysts have noted that Apple continues to generate impressive revenue, but its growth rate has slowed compared to competitors. The company is investing heavily in artificial intelligence and has maintained a strong dividend history1. Some experts believe Apple is fairly valued at around $200 per share, with potential risks related to tariffs.
If you're considering investing, it might be worth reviewing Apple's latest earnings, growth strategy, and broader market conditions. You can check out more details here and here. Let me know if you want a deeper dive into any specific aspect!
AAPLC trade ideas
$AAPL laggard to the upside?All of the tech stocks recently have had a large moves to the upside, yet Apple has yet to have one. I think Apple is lagging the other names and is likely to have the same kind of move to the upside.
I rarely trade short term, but this one seems like a good setup.
I took a trade for 6/6 $235C to express this view.
Let's see if it plays out.
AAPL Stock Trading Plan 2025-05-25AAPL Stock Trading Plan (2025-05-25)
Final Trading Decision
Models’ Key Points
DS Report
Technical: Strong bearish—price ($195.27) below all EMAs (10/50/200) on M30/daily/weekly; RSI oversold but in downtrend; bearish MACD; hugging lower Bollinger band. Sentiment: Rising VIX (22.29), negative tariff news, heavy institutional distribution. Trade: Short at $195.27; target $189.56; stop $197.50; 3–4 week hold; confidence 70%.
LM Report
Technical: Bearish price vs EMAs; RSI near oversold; Bollinger lower‐band touch hints at bounce; bearish MACD. Sentiment: Elevated VIX; negative headlines. Trade: No trade—mixed oversold/bearish signals; confidence 55% (below 60% threshold).
GK Report
Technical: Bearish across daily/weekly; RSI approaching oversold; MACD bearish but weakening; Bollinger lower‐band proximity. Sentiment: Rising VIX; tariff news headwind. Trade: Short at $195.00; target $189.56; stop $200.35; 4 week hold; confidence 65%.
GM Report
Technical: Multi‐timeframe bearish—price below EMAs M30/daily/weekly; RSI oversold short‐term; strong bearish MACD. Sentiment: VIX up; negative tariff/profit‐risk headlines; 5-day −7.6% drop. Trade: Short at $195.00; target $187.50; stop $198.90; 3–4 week hold; position sizing example 25 shares on $10k equity; confidence 85%.
CD Report
Technical: Bearish across timeframes; RSI oversold; lower Bollinger band; MACD bearish but showing early convergence. Sentiment: Elevated VIX; tariff threat. Trade: Short at $195.27; target $189.56 (secondary $185.00); stop $202.41; 3–4 week hold; confidence 72%. Agreement and Disagreement
Agreement
Broadly bearish technical setup: price below key EMAs; bearish MACD; lower‐band Bollinger action. Negative fundamental catalyst: potential tariffs and geopolitical risk. Rising VIX supports risk‐off bias. Recommendation skewed toward shorting AAPL shares.
Disagreement
LM sees too much mixed signal (oversold + bearish) to trade; all others recommend a short. Entry divergences: $195.00 vs. $195.27. Stop‐loss levels range from $197.50 up to $202.41. Take-profit levels range from $189.56 down to $185.00 (secondary) or $187.50. Confidence varies 65%–85%. Conclusion
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Strongly Bearish
Recommended Trade
Strategy: Short AAPL shares Holding Period: 3–4 weeks Entry Timing: At market open (~$195.00) Position Sizing: Risk 1% of trading capital (e.g., 25 shares on a $10 000 account; scale accordingly) Entry Price: 195.00 Stop‐Loss: 198.90 (≈2% above entry; sits above recent resistance) Take‐Profit: 187.50 (below key support for a ~3.8% move) Confidence Level: 85%
Key Risks and Considerations
Severe oversold conditions could trigger a technical bounce. AAPL’s strong balance sheet may limit downside if market stress eases. Tariff news or policy reversal could abruptly shift sentiment. Monitor VIX and major support at $189.56 for early signs of exhaustion.
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "AAPL", "direction": "short", "entry_price": 195.00, "stop_loss": 198.90, "take_profit": 187.50, "size": 25, "confidence": 0.85, "entry_timing": "open" }
📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: AAPL 📉 Direction: SHORT 💰 Entry Price: 195.0 🛑 Stop Loss: 198.9 🎯 Take Profit: 187.5 📊 Size: 25 💪 Confidence: 85% ⏰ Entry Timing: open
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
APPLE: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
APPLE
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy APPLE
Entry - 195.23
Stop - 188.82
Take - 206.74
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Ascending triangle pattern on daily?An ascending triangle is forming on the daily chart, resistance at ~211 USD, indicating that selling momentum is diminishing. Although there may be some further downside, recent economic pressures are leading to a healthy correction towards a long-term support trend that dates back to 2019. With some positive economic tailwinds, Apple could potentially offer good returns from this buying point.
AAPL. LONG@193. SHORT@200. LONG@184. SHORT@206. May 23 2025. Overview -
Trump has announced that AAPL needs to pay 25% to the US for manufacturing the iPhone in India and not in the US.
The stock is currently trading at 194.32
IF-THEN STATEMENTS (INTRADAY PLAN) -
1. If the 193 level is held - we go long till 195-197.
2. If the price fakes out high to 195-197 - we wait for a sell confirmation (e.g. buyers being absorbed or selling pressure) and we go short.
3. If the 193-195 level is consolidating but with high selling aggression - we go short till 184 area.
4. If the 193 level doesn't hold at all - we wait for a second attempt and get an entry off of the VWAP, if possible. We stay bearish for the entire day (with 184 being out next potential pivot).
GLD Swing Setup – Long Call Into Gold’s Weekly Strength🪙 GLD Swing Setup – Long Call Into Gold’s Weekly Strength
📆 Date: June 6, 2025
📈 Outlook: Moderately Bullish (14-day swing)
📊 Strategy: Long call aiming for continuation above key resistance
🔍 Model Consensus
Model Bias Strike Entry Target(s) Stop Confidence
Grok Mod. Bullish 311C 3.90 5.07 1.95 70%
Claude Mod. Bullish 312C 3.40 5.10 / 6.80 2.04 70%
Llama Mod. Bullish 320C 1.19 1.75 / 2.38 0.60 75%
Gemini Mod. Bullish 320C 1.20 1.75 / 2.35 0.60 75%
DeepSeek Mod. Bearish 308P 3.60 1.80 (fade) 5.40 60%
✅ Majority Bias: Bullish
💡 Preferred Strike: $320 Call (3:1 model preference)
📈 Chart Levels:
Support: $301.50 – $303.00
Resistance: $310.25 – $311.67 → breakout zone
Max Pain: $308 (gravitational pull zone short-term)
⚙️ Technical Summary
Daily/Weekly Charts: Price above mid BB, above EMAs, MACD trending positive
RSI: Neutral-to-bullish (daily ~56, weekly ~66)
VIX: Low = stable sentiment & slower decay
News: Bullish gold flow / macro sentiment steady
OI Skew: Heavy 297–299 puts, but aggressive calls up to $320 → breakout pressure
✅ Trade Setup
Metric Value
Instrument GLD
Direction CALL (Long)
Strike $320
Expiry 2025-06-18
Entry Price $1.19 (ask)
Profit Targets $1.75 / $2.35
Stop-Loss $0.60 (50% risk)
Position Size 1 contract
Confidence 75%
Entry Timing Market Open
📈 Trade Management Plan
🎯 Targets
Scale out 50% at $1.75
Final exit at $2.35
🛑 Stop Triggers
Break below $307.50 support
Premium drops to $0.60
📆 Hold Time
Max 10 trading days
Exit early if price stagnates near $308
⚠️ Key Risks
Triple-top near $310.25 could stall breakout
Low VIX reduces premiums faster in chop
Gold news or dollar spikes can flip the narrative fast
Max Pain at $308 could cap rallies short-term
AAPL Short-Term Bearish Play – ATM Put into $200 Magnet Zone🍎 AAPL Short-Term Bearish Play – ATM Put into $200 Magnet Zone
🗓️ Date: June 6, 2025
⏳ Timeframe: 0DTE (intraday to EOD swing)
📉 Setup: Breakdown continuation with weak bounce potential
🔍 Model Summary Breakdown
Model Bias Strike Entry Target Stop Confidence
Grok 🔻 Bearish $200 put 0.83 1.25 0.60 68%
Claude 🔻 Bearish $200 put 0.83 1.25/1.66 0.50 68%
Llama 🔻 Bearish $200 put 0.83 1.25 $202.50↑ 65%
Gemini 🔻 Bearish $197.50 put 0.36 0.60/0.72 0.18 65%
DeepSeek 🔻 Bearish $200 put 0.83 1.25 0.42 70%
✅ Consensus Bias: Moderately Bearish
📊 Strike Favorite: $200 Put (high OI, max pain magnet)
⚖️ Sentiment Factors:
VIX stable
Heavy OI at $200 (puts > calls)
AAPL trading below all intraday EMAs
🧭 Technical Snapshot
Short-Term (5m / 15m): Price below 10/20-EMAs, bearish MACD
Daily: Momentum weakening, but not full reversal yet
Support/Resistance: $200 max pain zone = gravitational level
News Flow: Neutral — no major catalysts yet
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
Metric Value
Instrument AAPL
Direction PUT (Short)
Strike $200.00
Expiry 2025-06-06
Entry Price $0.83 (ask)
Profit Target $1.25 (≈50%)
Stop-Loss $0.60 (≈30%)
Position Size 1 contract
Confidence 68%
Entry Timing Market open
🎯 Rationale
📉 All models agree on bearish technicals across multiple timeframes
🧲 Max pain + heavy $200 OI acts as a price magnet into close
🔄 Risk/reward favors quick downside move if $200 breaks cleanly
⚠️ Risks to Monitor
⏳ Theta decay — 0DTE option requires fast movement
🔁 Oversold bounce near $200 support could reject breakdown
📈 Gap-up open above $201.50 would invalidate trade thesis
🔔 Low-vol environment may compress intraday moves
AAPL Ascending Price ChannelAAPL has been in ascending price channel since August 2020. At the start of April we saw a retest of support where it temporarily broke through, tested the 200 ema, bounced, then broke back above the previous support line. Since then it has retested support 3 separate times which is a strong indication that AAPL will continue to remain in this price channel for the foreseeable future.
AAPL Weekly Options Outlook — June 3, 2025📈 AAPL Weekly Options Outlook — June 3, 2025
🚨 AI Model Consensus: Moderately Bullish into June 6 Expiry
🧠 Model Summary
🔹 Grok (xAI)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Setup: Price above EMAs, MACD divergence softening; resistance at $203.40
Trade: Buy $207.50C @ $0.67 → PT $1.00, SL if AAPL < $202
Confidence: 65%
🔹 Claude (Anthropic)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Setup: Bullish reversal, rising EMAs, MACD improving
Trade: Buy $207.50C @ $0.67 → PT $1.20–$1.80, SL $0.35
Confidence: 70%
🔹 Gemini (Google)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Setup: Above EMAs, MACD histogram rising; resistance $203.46–$203.81
Trade: Buy $207.50C @ ~$0.65 → PT $0.97–$1.14, SL $0.32
Confidence: 65%
🔹 Llama (Meta)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Setup: Above EMAs, MACD crossover building
Trade: Buy $207.50C @ $0.67 → PT $0.80, SL $0.335
Confidence: 70%
🔹 DeepSeek
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Setup: MACD still negative; resistance at $203.81
Trade: Buy $200P @ $0.93 → PT $1.86, SL $0.46
Confidence: 65%
✅ Consensus Highlights
🔼 Bullish Momentum on short-term EMAs
📉 Max Pain at $200 could limit upside by Friday
📊 Strong liquidity on both $207.50C and $200P
🔁 Most models plan to exit midweek; only DeepSeek expects a breakdown
🎯 Recommended Trade Setup
💡 Strategy: Bullish Single-Leg Weekly Call
🔘 Ticker: AAPL
📈 Direction: CALL
🎯 Strike: $207.50
💵 Entry: $0.67 (ask)
🎯 Profit Target: $1.17 (+75%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.34 (−50%)
📏 Size: 1 contract
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-06
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
📈 Confidence: 68%
⚠️ Risk Factors
📉 Max pain gravity could limit upside later in the week
🔼 Resistance zone at $207.50–$210 may stall momentum
⌛ Rapid theta decay — needs early move to profit
📰 Any negative macro or tech headlines could invalidate setup
Why $200.85 is Pivotal for a Bullish Move Targets:
- T1 = $205.50
- T2 = $210.75
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $198.00
- S2 = $195.50
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Apple.
**Key Insights:**
Apple's share price has recently faced resistance at higher levels due to ongoing macroeconomic concerns, including rising interest rates and the slow recovery in global demand for technology hardware. However, Apple’s fundamental strengths in services revenue and its ecosystem of consumer loyalty continue to position it as a premium brand with solid growth potential. The stock has maintained technical support near the $200 price range and has shown a balanced relative strength index (RSI), suggesting potential for consolidation before moving upward. Investors have been increasingly bullish as Apple reaffirms its focus on innovation and sustainable revenue generation.
Another key factor supporting Apple's bullish outlook is its ability to maintain high margins during supply chain disruptions. The company’s plans for expanding high-margin categories, such as services, augmented reality technologies, and wearables, continue to appeal to both institutional and retail investors, further underpinning its price trajectory.
**Recent Performance:**
After a brief decline from its peak in the last trading weeks, Apple’s price exhibited resilience near psychological support levels at $200.85. The stock is trading dynamically within a narrow range, with minor fluctuations suggesting accumulation by value-oriented investors. Apple's ability to retain a steady price range amidst sector-wide softness highlights its popularity as a safe haven in the tech space.
**Expert Analysis:**
Technical analysts are closely watching key levels at $205.50 and $210.75 as critical resistance points which, if breached, could signal a strong upside move. Furthermore, Apple's steady cash flow and growth initiatives continue to provide a favorable outlook for long-term investors. Fundamental analysts see Apple's focus on bolstering its service components and integrating new technologies as pivotal drivers that could catalyze broader revenue streams over the next few quarters. Combined with a sector poised for recovery, Apple stands out as a high-potential asset.
**News Impact:**
Recent news about Apple’s enhancements in the AI front and augmented reality has garnered attention, positioning it among peers like Microsoft and Nvidia in the race for innovation supremacy. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and trade concerns with China have affected supply chain stability but reinforced Apple's decision to diversify its manufacturing facilities to reduce risk exposure. This strategic expansion supports a long-term bullish case for the stock while mitigating risk.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Based on Apple’s fundamental strength combined with solid technical indicators at its current price of $200.85, traders might consider a long position as the stock appears to be in accumulation mode. The targets at $205.50 and $210.75 offer significant upside potential, with stop levels at $198.00 and $195.50 to mitigate possible downside risk. Apple’s ability to maintain profitability across volatile market conditions further strengthens confidence for long-term investors. Prepare for an upside breakout if the stock sustainably surpasses the $205 resistance level.
AAPL BUYScenario 1
BUY AAPL at 202.00, riding it back up to 258.00 to 270.00 for Profit Targets, Stop Loss is at 196.00!
Scenario 2
BUY AAPL by setting a BUY LIMIT at 194.00, riding it back up to 258.00 to 270.00 for Profit Targets, Stop Loss is at 189.00!
WARNING: This is only a journal of my opinion of the market and only for my journaling purpose. This information and publication are NOT meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Trading any market instrument is a risky business, so do your own due diligence, and trade at your own risk. You can loose all of your money and much more.
Apple I expect to grow back to 260 after this correction.Looking to the Fibonacci sequence, I'll expect Apple to return to 260.
The bottom is strong and was tested after Trump announced the tariffs.
The market lookout is also good, I see large banks advise 270 even.
Now it's a good time to buy Apple.
AAPL summer breakoutFriday 5/23, Tues 5/27, Wed 5/28 - bullish
Targets up to 225-230 maybe... not all this week (summer)
*looks like AAPL has already moved toward the 207-208 level overnight.
*hope we are blessed with a pullback to buy back up. 202-203
*NVDA earnings propping market = good
*Catalyst conversations mounting:
finance.yahoo.com
APPLE Index Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 052625Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 200/61.80%
Chart time frame:D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Apple: Fading The First Bounce After A New Momentum LowPrice momentum made a new low on 9 April 2025. There is a positive expectation in fading the first bounce after with at least a target to retest that last swing low. A possible extension past it and start of a new leg lower also can occur as momentum tends to lead price.
Fire sale on $AAPL incomingCurrently breaking lower looking like a bear flag dealio but I suspect it will be bought hard at support near the yearly low and I will add to long term account at that time sight unseen. Tariffs in US, fine, they have 700 billion people they can sell to and you gonna buy iPhone 17,18,19 and 20 anyway.
Weekly Watch – AAPL | NVDA | ELV | TSLAMacro remains shaky (Fed minutes + inflation data ahead), but selective strength in AI and healthcare continues. Watching these 4 tickers for technical and news-driven setups this week:
🍏 AAPL (Apple)
Apple’s holding up well, but facing some noise from EU antitrust investigations and softer iPhone demand in China. Still a solid name, but could move sideways unless big tech rallies.
Levels to watch:
📉 Support: 183–185
📈 Resistance: 192–195
🤖 NVDA (NVIDIA)
Post-split volatility is normal, but the AI demand is still massive. Analysts are staying bullish after last earnings.
Levels to watch:
📉 Support: 110–115
📈 Resistance: 125–130
🏥Elevance Health Inc. (Current Price: $372.27
ELV is under pressure following a class-action lawsuit related to increased medical costs in its Medicaid business . The stock has seen a notable decline, but it remains a key player in the healthcare sector.
Key Levels:
Support: $357–$360
Resistance: $390–$400
Potential for rebound if legal concerns are mitigated; monitoring for signs of stabilization.
⚡ Tesla Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA )
Current Price: $339.34
Tesla's stock is experiencing volatility amid discussions about its robotaxi launch, which analysts believe could significantly boost the stock . However, concerns about pricing strategies in China and regulatory scrutiny persist.
Key Levels:
Support: $330–$335
Resistance: $350–$360
Feel free to share your thoughts or ask questions in the comments below! Let's navigate the markets together. 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial
advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
APPLE Down -4% premarket on Trump's 25% Tariff. Buy opportunity?Apple Inc. (AAPL) is down -4% on pre-market trading following a warning by U.S. President Donald Trump that the company would have to pay a 25% tariff if phones sold in the U.S. were not made within its borders.
Along with a proposed 50% Tariff on goods from the European Union starting on June 01, these news have inflicted fear again in the markets following 6 weeks of a relief rebound on trade deal talks.
So are these announcements a dip buy opportunity for Apple or round 2 of correction?
Based on the stock's long-term pattern, which is a Channel Up, the recent rebound on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) is technically the start of its 2nd Bullish Leg. With the Bearish Legs having similar declines (-35% and -32% respectively), we can expect the Bullish Legs to have a proportional rise as well.
On top of that, the 1W RSI rebounded on its multi-year Support, while the 1W MACD is about to form a Bullish Cross.
As a result, since the 2023 Bullish Leg that was complete on July 17 2023 almost touched the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, we expect the price to disregard the news and continue rising up to the new 1.236 Fib and target $285.00.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BUY OPPORTUNITYTrade Signal: AAPL (Apple Inc.)
Buy Entry Price: $201.20
Take Profit (TP): $212.43
Stop Loss (SL): $197.00
Technical Analysis:
Price has formed an ascending triangle pattern, a bullish continuation signal.
The stock is supported near $201 and expected to bounce back toward local resistance at around $213.
The RSI is at approximately 35 in 1Hr frame, indicating the stock is in the oversold territory, which suggests a potential rebound.
Fundamental Analysis:
Goldman Sachs maintains a Buy rating with a price target of $253, reflecting strong confidence in Apple’s growth prospects.
Apple’s upcoming WWDC 2025 Keynote (June 9th) is anticipated to showcase advancements in AI integration within its operating systems.
Expected announcements include developer access to Apple’s AI models and possible Gemini AI integration on iPhones.
Analyst optimism is supported by potential partnership talks with Alphabet (Google), aiming to finalize by mid-2025.
However, Apple must demonstrate continued success in its AI initiatives (Apple Intelligence) to drive demand and justify investor enthusiasm.