APPLE Down -4% premarket on Trump's 25% Tariff. Buy opportunity?Apple Inc. (AAPL) is down -4% on pre-market trading following a warning by U.S. President Donald Trump that the company would have to pay a 25% tariff if phones sold in the U.S. were not made within its borders.
Along with a proposed 50% Tariff on goods from the European Union starting on June 01, these news have inflicted fear again in the markets following 6 weeks of a relief rebound on trade deal talks.
So are these announcements a dip buy opportunity for Apple or round 2 of correction?
Based on the stock's long-term pattern, which is a Channel Up, the recent rebound on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) is technically the start of its 2nd Bullish Leg. With the Bearish Legs having similar declines (-35% and -32% respectively), we can expect the Bullish Legs to have a proportional rise as well.
On top of that, the 1W RSI rebounded on its multi-year Support, while the 1W MACD is about to form a Bullish Cross.
As a result, since the 2023 Bullish Leg that was complete on July 17 2023 almost touched the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, we expect the price to disregard the news and continue rising up to the new 1.236 Fib and target $285.00.
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AAPLD trade ideas
APPLE: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
APPLE
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy APPLE
Entry - 195.23
Stop - 188.82
Take - 206.74
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Ascending triangle pattern on daily?An ascending triangle is forming on the daily chart, resistance at ~211 USD, indicating that selling momentum is diminishing. Although there may be some further downside, recent economic pressures are leading to a healthy correction towards a long-term support trend that dates back to 2019. With some positive economic tailwinds, Apple could potentially offer good returns from this buying point.
AAPL. LONG@193. SHORT@200. LONG@184. SHORT@206. May 23 2025. Overview -
Trump has announced that AAPL needs to pay 25% to the US for manufacturing the iPhone in India and not in the US.
The stock is currently trading at 194.32
IF-THEN STATEMENTS (INTRADAY PLAN) -
1. If the 193 level is held - we go long till 195-197.
2. If the price fakes out high to 195-197 - we wait for a sell confirmation (e.g. buyers being absorbed or selling pressure) and we go short.
3. If the 193-195 level is consolidating but with high selling aggression - we go short till 184 area.
4. If the 193 level doesn't hold at all - we wait for a second attempt and get an entry off of the VWAP, if possible. We stay bearish for the entire day (with 184 being out next potential pivot).
BUY OPPORTUNITYTrade Signal: AAPL (Apple Inc.)
Buy Entry Price: $201.20
Take Profit (TP): $212.43
Stop Loss (SL): $197.00
Technical Analysis:
Price has formed an ascending triangle pattern, a bullish continuation signal.
The stock is supported near $201 and expected to bounce back toward local resistance at around $213.
The RSI is at approximately 35 in 1Hr frame, indicating the stock is in the oversold territory, which suggests a potential rebound.
Fundamental Analysis:
Goldman Sachs maintains a Buy rating with a price target of $253, reflecting strong confidence in Apple’s growth prospects.
Apple’s upcoming WWDC 2025 Keynote (June 9th) is anticipated to showcase advancements in AI integration within its operating systems.
Expected announcements include developer access to Apple’s AI models and possible Gemini AI integration on iPhones.
Analyst optimism is supported by potential partnership talks with Alphabet (Google), aiming to finalize by mid-2025.
However, Apple must demonstrate continued success in its AI initiatives (Apple Intelligence) to drive demand and justify investor enthusiasm.
AAPL CallsHypophysis: AAPL has been trending in a wedge pattern on the weekly and daily time frame since mid-April. I am considering a monthly or weekly call option.
Additional arguments: I am thinking Long because of the yearly trend on AAPL, the Tariff pausing, and the large "buy of the dip" that happened in the first week of April.
Conditions: I need more data points on the daily timeframe to see how the price action reacts towards the tip of the wedge. I plan to re-evaluate my entry/exit points for the long call position around WED-Fri (5/11-5/13).
Conclusion: If anyone wants to chime in here and maybe share how option prices would potentially increase closer to the wedge tip, that would be great! I would only consider an early entry if option prices would be a bargain at an early entry point, but this would sacrifice confirmation by having a looser trade plan.
AAPL Ascending Price ChannelAAPL has been in ascending price channel since August 2020. At the start of April we saw a retest of support where it temporarily broke through, tested the 200 ema, bounced, then broke back above the previous support line. Since then it has retested support 3 separate times which is a strong indication that AAPL will continue to remain in this price channel for the foreseeable future.
AAPL Weekly Options Outlook — June 3, 2025📈 AAPL Weekly Options Outlook — June 3, 2025
🚨 AI Model Consensus: Moderately Bullish into June 6 Expiry
🧠 Model Summary
🔹 Grok (xAI)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Setup: Price above EMAs, MACD divergence softening; resistance at $203.40
Trade: Buy $207.50C @ $0.67 → PT $1.00, SL if AAPL < $202
Confidence: 65%
🔹 Claude (Anthropic)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Setup: Bullish reversal, rising EMAs, MACD improving
Trade: Buy $207.50C @ $0.67 → PT $1.20–$1.80, SL $0.35
Confidence: 70%
🔹 Gemini (Google)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Setup: Above EMAs, MACD histogram rising; resistance $203.46–$203.81
Trade: Buy $207.50C @ ~$0.65 → PT $0.97–$1.14, SL $0.32
Confidence: 65%
🔹 Llama (Meta)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Setup: Above EMAs, MACD crossover building
Trade: Buy $207.50C @ $0.67 → PT $0.80, SL $0.335
Confidence: 70%
🔹 DeepSeek
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Setup: MACD still negative; resistance at $203.81
Trade: Buy $200P @ $0.93 → PT $1.86, SL $0.46
Confidence: 65%
✅ Consensus Highlights
🔼 Bullish Momentum on short-term EMAs
📉 Max Pain at $200 could limit upside by Friday
📊 Strong liquidity on both $207.50C and $200P
🔁 Most models plan to exit midweek; only DeepSeek expects a breakdown
🎯 Recommended Trade Setup
💡 Strategy: Bullish Single-Leg Weekly Call
🔘 Ticker: AAPL
📈 Direction: CALL
🎯 Strike: $207.50
💵 Entry: $0.67 (ask)
🎯 Profit Target: $1.17 (+75%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.34 (−50%)
📏 Size: 1 contract
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-06
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
📈 Confidence: 68%
⚠️ Risk Factors
📉 Max pain gravity could limit upside later in the week
🔼 Resistance zone at $207.50–$210 may stall momentum
⌛ Rapid theta decay — needs early move to profit
📰 Any negative macro or tech headlines could invalidate setup
Why $200.85 is Pivotal for a Bullish Move Targets:
- T1 = $205.50
- T2 = $210.75
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $198.00
- S2 = $195.50
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Apple.
**Key Insights:**
Apple's share price has recently faced resistance at higher levels due to ongoing macroeconomic concerns, including rising interest rates and the slow recovery in global demand for technology hardware. However, Apple’s fundamental strengths in services revenue and its ecosystem of consumer loyalty continue to position it as a premium brand with solid growth potential. The stock has maintained technical support near the $200 price range and has shown a balanced relative strength index (RSI), suggesting potential for consolidation before moving upward. Investors have been increasingly bullish as Apple reaffirms its focus on innovation and sustainable revenue generation.
Another key factor supporting Apple's bullish outlook is its ability to maintain high margins during supply chain disruptions. The company’s plans for expanding high-margin categories, such as services, augmented reality technologies, and wearables, continue to appeal to both institutional and retail investors, further underpinning its price trajectory.
**Recent Performance:**
After a brief decline from its peak in the last trading weeks, Apple’s price exhibited resilience near psychological support levels at $200.85. The stock is trading dynamically within a narrow range, with minor fluctuations suggesting accumulation by value-oriented investors. Apple's ability to retain a steady price range amidst sector-wide softness highlights its popularity as a safe haven in the tech space.
**Expert Analysis:**
Technical analysts are closely watching key levels at $205.50 and $210.75 as critical resistance points which, if breached, could signal a strong upside move. Furthermore, Apple's steady cash flow and growth initiatives continue to provide a favorable outlook for long-term investors. Fundamental analysts see Apple's focus on bolstering its service components and integrating new technologies as pivotal drivers that could catalyze broader revenue streams over the next few quarters. Combined with a sector poised for recovery, Apple stands out as a high-potential asset.
**News Impact:**
Recent news about Apple’s enhancements in the AI front and augmented reality has garnered attention, positioning it among peers like Microsoft and Nvidia in the race for innovation supremacy. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and trade concerns with China have affected supply chain stability but reinforced Apple's decision to diversify its manufacturing facilities to reduce risk exposure. This strategic expansion supports a long-term bullish case for the stock while mitigating risk.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Based on Apple’s fundamental strength combined with solid technical indicators at its current price of $200.85, traders might consider a long position as the stock appears to be in accumulation mode. The targets at $205.50 and $210.75 offer significant upside potential, with stop levels at $198.00 and $195.50 to mitigate possible downside risk. Apple’s ability to maintain profitability across volatile market conditions further strengthens confidence for long-term investors. Prepare for an upside breakout if the stock sustainably surpasses the $205 resistance level.
AAPL BUYScenario 1
BUY AAPL at 202.00, riding it back up to 258.00 to 270.00 for Profit Targets, Stop Loss is at 196.00!
Scenario 2
BUY AAPL by setting a BUY LIMIT at 194.00, riding it back up to 258.00 to 270.00 for Profit Targets, Stop Loss is at 189.00!
WARNING: This is only a journal of my opinion of the market and only for my journaling purpose. This information and publication are NOT meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Trading any market instrument is a risky business, so do your own due diligence, and trade at your own risk. You can loose all of your money and much more.
Apple I expect to grow back to 260 after this correction.Looking to the Fibonacci sequence, I'll expect Apple to return to 260.
The bottom is strong and was tested after Trump announced the tariffs.
The market lookout is also good, I see large banks advise 270 even.
Now it's a good time to buy Apple.
AAPL summer breakoutFriday 5/23, Tues 5/27, Wed 5/28 - bullish
Targets up to 225-230 maybe... not all this week (summer)
*looks like AAPL has already moved toward the 207-208 level overnight.
*hope we are blessed with a pullback to buy back up. 202-203
*NVDA earnings propping market = good
*Catalyst conversations mounting:
finance.yahoo.com
APPLE Index Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 052625Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 200/61.80%
Chart time frame:D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Apple: Fading The First Bounce After A New Momentum LowPrice momentum made a new low on 9 April 2025. There is a positive expectation in fading the first bounce after with at least a target to retest that last swing low. A possible extension past it and start of a new leg lower also can occur as momentum tends to lead price.
Fire sale on $AAPL incomingCurrently breaking lower looking like a bear flag dealio but I suspect it will be bought hard at support near the yearly low and I will add to long term account at that time sight unseen. Tariffs in US, fine, they have 700 billion people they can sell to and you gonna buy iPhone 17,18,19 and 20 anyway.
Weekly Watch – AAPL | NVDA | ELV | TSLAMacro remains shaky (Fed minutes + inflation data ahead), but selective strength in AI and healthcare continues. Watching these 4 tickers for technical and news-driven setups this week:
🍏 AAPL (Apple)
Apple’s holding up well, but facing some noise from EU antitrust investigations and softer iPhone demand in China. Still a solid name, but could move sideways unless big tech rallies.
Levels to watch:
📉 Support: 183–185
📈 Resistance: 192–195
🤖 NVDA (NVIDIA)
Post-split volatility is normal, but the AI demand is still massive. Analysts are staying bullish after last earnings.
Levels to watch:
📉 Support: 110–115
📈 Resistance: 125–130
🏥Elevance Health Inc. (Current Price: $372.27
ELV is under pressure following a class-action lawsuit related to increased medical costs in its Medicaid business . The stock has seen a notable decline, but it remains a key player in the healthcare sector.
Key Levels:
Support: $357–$360
Resistance: $390–$400
Potential for rebound if legal concerns are mitigated; monitoring for signs of stabilization.
⚡ Tesla Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA )
Current Price: $339.34
Tesla's stock is experiencing volatility amid discussions about its robotaxi launch, which analysts believe could significantly boost the stock . However, concerns about pricing strategies in China and regulatory scrutiny persist.
Key Levels:
Support: $330–$335
Resistance: $350–$360
Feel free to share your thoughts or ask questions in the comments below! Let's navigate the markets together. 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial
advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
Apple (AAPL) share price slips towards psychological $200 levelApple (AAPL) share price slips towards psychological $200 level
Yesterday, Apple shares (AAPL) fell by 2.5%, edging closer to the key psychological threshold of $200. Moreover, the stock is underperforming the broader market, which reached new highs earlier this week — a move AAPL has yet to replicate.
Why is AAPL’s stock price declining?
According to media reports, investors may have grown concerned after OpenAI acquired a startup founded by Jony Ive, Apple’s former chief designer, for $6.5 billion.
The move is being interpreted as OpenAI’s first step toward launching a physical AI-powered device — one that could, eventually, pose a challenge to Apple’s hardware, even if not in the near term.
Technical analysis of the AAPL chart
Bulls may be hoping the AAPL price finds support at the confluence of two key levels:
→ the psychological $200 mark;
→ support from the second half of May (the lower blue trendline).
However, the broader technical context raises some bearish concerns:
→ the $215–222 zone, which previously acted as support, is now capping price advances (as highlighted by the arrows);
→ the red descending channel appears to define the current trend trajectory — and its relevance may be reinforced if the price drops and consolidates near its median line, signalling a balance between buying and selling pressure.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AAPL fractalThis whole year has been sort of a fractal for 2020 through 2022 for AAPL. Kind of crazy if you look at it. Lots of 5 wave falling wedges this year, and actually 2022 was one big falling wedge, sort of.
Expecting one more drop and then it's bull market back on. Can't believe I'm saying that but that's what the charts say.