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AAPLD trade ideas
AAPL Short: Ultimate Target $124.17In this long video, I did a live analysis of AAPL. I started with going through the previous AAPL short idea, and declare that to be the perfect idea. Then I go through live on how I will analyze the AAPL stock, how update the Elliott Wave Counts, how to I use supports and resistances, how I use more simple and straightforward measurement rule for projecting the price target for AAPL.
Apple respite before sell offApple bounced straight of major support at circa $170, with the SMI now also rising we could see a few weeks of short term respite before continuing down to test the major support line again. Also notice a backtest of the rising trend at around 21%.
Long term view is still bearish, don't think we've seen the yearly bottoms yet. Will be interesting to see how this plays out especially with bonds.
$AAPL 4-Hour Chart Breakdown – Pullback in Play?Apple’s recent surge may be stalling. On the 4H chart (shown), the candles are beginning to reject resistance and rolling over from the highs around $213. I believe we are entering a short-term downward phase, with price likely to revisit the $205 area before any meaningful bounce.
MACD has just turned positive on the daily — but the weak histogram suggests the move may lack conviction.
RSI is beginning to fade from its highs earlier this week — confirming momentum loss.
Watch for a move toward $205 as a potential retest of the previous breakout zone.
If buyers fail to defend that level, further downside could unfold. A confirmed bounce from that zone, however, could set up a great long opportunity. Let’s see how price behaves.
Thoughts? Drop yours below
AAPL watch $218 above $208 below: Key bounds into EarningsAAAPL to release a consequential earnings report today.
We have well proven fibs and zones to watch for reaction.
What happens here may well define the next 1-4 YEARS.
$ 217.86-219.87 above is immediate resistance
$ 208.26-208.68 is tested but tired support.
$ 196.65-197.33 is a good stop-hunt support.
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Apple Might Be StuckThe broader market has rebounded sharply in the last month, but Apple might be getting left behind.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the April 15 peak of $212.94. The smartphone giant probed that level in early May and again last week without breaking it. (The more recent high was also slightly lower.) That may suggest resistance is in place.
Second, the Nasdaq-100 and S&P 500 are back to levels from late February and early March. AAPL’s smaller bounce compared with the broader market may reflect weaker relative strength.
Third, the stock is below its 200-day simple day moving average (SMA). That also contrasts with the bigger indexes, which are above their respective 200-day SMAs.
Fourth, the 50-day SMA had a “death cross” below the 200-day SMA in early April and has remained there since.
Next, stochastics are dipping from an overbought condition.
Finally, AAPL is one of the most active underliers in the options market. (Its average volume of 1.1 million contracts ranks third in the S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That could help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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Apple: Wave [1] IntactDespite a significant setback, Apple managed to gather new momentum on the upside and continue its work on the green wave . The impulse structure remains intact, and we expect a new high imminently before the next countermovement with wave follows. The stock should not breach the support at $168 to enable wave to initiate the next upward phase. If the price does fall below the $168 mark, our 34% likely alternative scenario will allow for a new low of wave alt.(IV) in blue, though the rise would also continue after this lower low.
AAPL Trade Plan – 2025 Outlook📊With global markets reacting to renewed tariff talk from Trump, Apple (AAPL) NASDAQ:AAPL could face short-term volatility—but that’s also opportunity. As fears of a trade war ripple across Asia and Europe, AAPL may temporarily dip, especially with supply chain exposure in China.🍏📉📈
📌 Entry Zones (Buy the fear, not the panic):
1️⃣ 194 – Light entry as weakness sets in
2️⃣ 180 – Strong support historically
3️⃣ 166 – High-conviction zone if macro panic escalates
🎯 Profit Targets (Scale out as strength returns):
✅ 209 – Quick recovery zone
✅ 230 – Pre-fear valuation
✅ 260+ – Full macro recovery with bullish momentum
📈 Strategy: Let the news create emotion. You trade the levels.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Just sharing my personal trading plan based on current macro trends and technicals. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
AAPL | Apple Stock | Three Drives Down PATTERNThe Three Drives / Three Dives Down pattern is usually short term bearish , but near term and long term bullish .
Previously, we saw a -32% correction. This time, it could be a little higher if we consider the previous neckline support:
The only way I see this paying out differently, is if the price captures the current resistance zone, and CLOSES above it:
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NASDAQ:AAPL
Apple Inc (AAPL) 4-hour chart Trade IdeaSmart Money Concepts (SMC) — especially demand zones, Fair Value Gaps (FVG), and market structure.
📊 1. Market Structure
The chart shows a shift toward bullish structure after a significant downtrend earlier.
Price formed a higher low inside a strong demand zone (highlighted in pink), suggesting potential trend reversal.
The recent bullish impulse suggests a possible break of structure (BOS) or change of character (CHoCH).
🟩 2. Demand Zone
A major demand zone is highlighted in pink (around $197–$201).
Price reacted strongly from this zone, where multiple buy orders were triggered:
Buy 100 @ 211.36
Buy 100 @ 211.35
Buy 100 @ 211.30
Buy 100 @ 211.32
This zone likely represents institutional interest or an area of accumulation by smart money.
📐 3. Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
Several FVGs (imbalances) are marked on the chart:
Bearish FVGs formed during previous sell-offs (marked in red).
A recent bullish FVG (marked in green) has just formed and partially filled, indicating momentum continuation.
These gaps act as potential support/resistance levels and often attract price action to rebalance inefficiencies.
🎯 4. Targets & Risk Management
Take-Profit (TP) target: $249.07
This level is a previous high and likely premium zone based on SMC theory — where smart money exits.
Stop-Loss (SL): $192.98
Below the demand zone — reasonable invalidation point if price breaks structure and goes lower.
⚖️ 5. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
Entry around $211.30 – $211.36
SL around $192.98 → ~18 points risk
TP at $249.07 → ~38 points reward
Risk-to-Reward ≈ 2.1:1 → This is a favorable RRR setup.
🔍 Conclusion
Current Bias: Bullish
Entry Justification: Strong reaction from demand zone + buy orders aligned with FVG
Outlook: Price may aim to fill higher imbalance and reach the premium target zone (~$249), as long as it holds above the demand zone
Invalidation: A break below $192.98 would invalidate the bullish setup
AAPL Wait for Break Out Fibo LevelSignal for AAPL NASDAQ:AAPL
Direction: Buy 🟢
Entry Price: $214.41 (Wait For Fibonacci breakout level as shown in the chart) ✋
Profit Target: $236.90 (targeting the upper resistance level indicated in the chart) 🤑
Stop Loss: $198.75 (below the recent consolidation low for a 2:1 risk-reward ratio)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1
Position Size: Risk 1-2% of your portfolio (e.g., for a $100,000 portfolio, risk $1,000-$2,000)
Entry Timing : Enter on breakout confirmation above $214.41 (Fibonacci level), ideally at the next 4H candle close after the break
Confidence Level: 70%
Why This Signal?
Price Action: AAPL is approaching a key Fibonacci level at $214.41 after consolidating between $203.75 and $214.41. A break above this level signals bullish momentum toward $236.90.
Technical Indicators:
Breakout above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
News Sentiment: Mixed with US-China trade tensions (per Forex Factory), but AAPL’s fundamentals remain strong with recent positive sentiment on X.
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Ash
An AAPL (quick) turnover trade - long at 196.25There's nothing particularly pretty about AAPL's 2025 chart. It's in a solid downtrend since the start of the year, losing 24%+ this year. However, a recent higher high and higher low since the April 8th low, and support from the April 21 pullback low close by gives me a little hope that a quick snapback is potentially in store. Potentially grabbing the upcoming dividend is just a bonus. 4 down days is typically a good contrarian indicator as well, though its run of 8 consecutive up days just prior to this tell me there may be more room to run lower.
But AAPL is AAPL and when someone comes up with a legit challenger to them, I'll worry about this trade. Until then, I'll yawn, be patient, and collect my profit eventually. If that's in 2 days, great. If it's in 2 months, not as great but I have literally never had AAPL not pay me and I don't expect this time will be any different.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
AAPL is currently in a sideway-bearish phase—no bullish breakout
📉 Daily Chart – No Confirmed Bull Trend Yet
On the daily chart, AAPL has not established a clear bullish trend.
Price remains below the Confirmation Trigger at 199, which means the bull structure is not validated yet.
Both AO and RSI are showing sideway movement, with no strong momentum to the upside.
🕓 4H Chart – Fails to Break Order Block
On the 4-hour chart, AAPL has made multiple attempts but failed to break through the order block resistance.
Current price structure indicates a bearish-sideway trend—selling pressure is present but not aggressive enough for a full breakdown.
🕒 15-Minute Chart – Bear Trend Clearly Forming
On the 15-minute timeframe, a clear bear trend is emerging:
AO shows a distribution phase.
RSI is below the midline, confirming seller dominance in the short term.
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch:
🔻 Major Support: 182
🔺 Strong Resistance: 199
✅ If AAPL holds above 182, this area could act as a foundation for a new upward leg in the daily trend.
❌ If price breaks below 182, AAPL may officially enter a full bearish trend on the daily timeframe.
✅ Summary (Updated):
AAPL is currently in a sideway-bearish phase—no bullish breakout confirmed.
The 182 level is critical:
Holding above keeps bullish potential alive.
Breaking below confirms a full bear trend on the daily timeframe.
📌 If price consolidates above 182, AAPL may be forming a new support base, potentially building at least two legs before attempting a bullish structure reset.
➤ Strategy: Stay cautious—only consider long positions after a confirmed breakout above 199 or evidence of solid support holding above 182.
AAPL – Long Trade Setup (Support-Based Reversal Opportunity)Apple (AAPL) is pulling back toward a key support zone between $197–$198, aligning with both previous structural support and potential demand zone behavior. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward profile for a swing long entry.
🔹 Entry Zone:
$197 – $198
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $210 – $215
🥈 $225 – $233
🛑 Stop Loss:
Just below $190
Apple 24hr potterboxI know apple is going to make all of that up and be a number one stock again. why wouldnt it be. The stock market goes up just not in a straight line. I use dollar cost method which you by every month or week with the same amount every month and just keep buying. It has worked very well for me , instead watchin this screen everyday I have set my acconts to buy every month . I do not use discord because of two many grown men acting like children. Its all fun and games until you miss a trade because someone wants to be funny. Happy trading.