AMD trade ideas
AMD Major Lower Highs/ 1W MA50 break-out.It was only 9 days ago (June 16, see chart below) when we called for a potential bullish break-out on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line):
The break-out did happen, this 1W candle is already considerably above its 1W MA50 and based also on the level the 1W RSI is at right now, it may resemble more the March 13 2023 1W candle instead of the January 30 2023 as previously thought.
The reason is the major break-out of the All Time High (ATH) Lower Highs trend-line that came along with the 1W MA50. As you can see, it was on the March 13 2023 1W candle that AMD broke above that trend-line with the 1W RSI being on the same level (66.00) as today.
This candle formed a short-term Top, with the price initiating a 1.5 month pull-back that re-tested the 1W MA50 as Support and then moved on to complete the +143.12% Bullish Leg from the Channel Up bottom.
As a result, we can't rule out the first wave of short-term profit taking by next week. But a potential 1W MA50 test, will be another long-term buy entry in our view. Our $185.00 Target remains intact.
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Amd - This is just the beginning!Amd - NASDAQ:AMD - perfectly plays out:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Despite the harsh drop of about -65% which we have been witnessing starting back in 2024, Amd remains bullish. Just three months ago, Amd retested a textbook confluence of support. We saw bullish confirmation, the bottom is in and Amd will rally significantly from here.
Levels to watch: $200, $300
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
AMD – Choppy Structure May Confirm Full ABC Correction From $76AMD surged from $115 to $130 with strong volume, but failed to attract follow-through buying interest. Since May 20, price action has become increasingly choppy and indecisive.
This raises the probability that the entire move from $76 may be forming a completed ABC corrective structure.
A sustained drop below $125 would test the diagonal base. If broken, it could expose $116 and $110 as next downside targets.
$AMD supercycle ; PT $300-350 by 2027- NASDAQ:AMD has likely entered a supercycle and we have entered Agentic AI world where inferencing is the main area of investment.
- Model Training is still important but we have entered a stage where lot of open source models and many proprietary vendors are close to each other when it comes to performance.
- Companies are trying to monetize their investments and one critical thing is model inference i.e making predictions.
- NASDAQ:AMD is poised for the agentic ai boom and therefore next 2 years are golden years for $AMD.
Big move for AMD monday inverted H&S greatly confirmed 150USD!!!The pattern have been greatly confirmed for me and i will sell my amd this week at 150 USD and i will wait at july when a drop will occurs to rebuy and i will cumulate more stock or more profits in cash.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
Thank you!
Subcribe TSXGanG! (For real chart)
AMD IS READY FOR A STRONG BULLISH MOVENASDAQ:AMD Right now, am extremely bullish on AMD.
I expect AMD to give a good bullish run to trail NVIDIA.
Technically, AMD is supper bullish right now, having had a multiple bullish break of structure on the daily time frame.
I took a long entry on the bullish break of structure on daily time frame. Stop loss is below the recent structure swing low.
What do you see on your chart?
Breakout Alert: AMD Head & Shoulders Points to $160+Overview
Name: Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Ticker Symbol: AMD
Exchange: NASDAQ
Founded: 1969
Headquarters: Santa Clara, California, USA
CEO: Lisa Su (as of 2025)Sector: Technology / Semiconductors
About
AMD is a leading semiconductor company known for its high-performance computing and graphics solutions. It competes with Intel and NVIDIA in the CPU, GPU, and data center markets. Its product line includes Ryzen (desktop/laptop CPUs), EPYC (server CPUs), and Radeon (GPUs), with strong expansion in AI and custom silicon for next-gen applications.
Fundamentals
Earnings: AMD reported strong Q1 2025 earnings with a beat on both revenue and EPS, supported by explosive demand in the AI and data center segments.Revenue: $6.52B, up 21% YoY
Outlook: The company raised guidance for the second half of 2025 as it expects to benefit from the AI chip boom and new product rollouts.
Technicals (4H Chart)
Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern confirmed with neckline breakout around ~$117
Breakout from Falling Channel aligning with bullish reversal structure
Price surged past resistance with strong volume, currently at $126.39 (+9.71%)
RSI at 65.88, approaching overbought but not signaling weakness
MACD bullish crossover, confirming momentum
Short-term target range: $145–$150, with extended projection up to $162.75
📌 Support Levels: $117, $111.50📈 Target Price (TP): $162.75 (based on pattern breakout height projection)
💡 My Take
AMD just pulled off a textbook bullish reversal — inverted head and shoulders breakout combined with a falling channel exit. With strong macro trends in AI hardware and data center expansion, this move feels well-supported fundamentally and technically.
The clean neckline breakout and explosive candle suggest continuation. I am expecting a potential consolidation around $130–$135ish before next leg to $150+. If momentum holds, $162+ is possible before August.
💼 Position
Type: AMD 145 Call
Expiry: July 03, 2025
Quantity: 15
Average Cost Basis: $.038
Date Purchased: June 12, 2025
Last Price: $0.47
Total % Gain/Loss: +23.4%
I entered after the neckline break and riding the wave. AMD’s setup is too clean to ignore — high conviction play.
AMD Trade Thesis – Navigating the Derivatives DimensionNASDAQ:AMD continues its calculated ascent through equilibrium, now challenging the upper liquidity void. Today's Smart Money Concepts chart reveals a breakout from the discount range, aligning with institutional footprints and volume confirmation.
🧠 WaverVanir DSS Forecast:
📍 Current: $129.58
🔄 15-Day Projection: $127.91 (−1.3%)
📈 30-Day Projection: $132.32 (+2.1%)
🧪 Sentiment Score: 40.9 → Calm confidence, no euphoria. Perfect conditions for silent positioning.
📐 Chart Outlook:
Equilibrium passed; acceleration toward imbalance zones likely.
Resistance above at:
$150 → Institutional anchor
$169.56 → Strong liquidity cluster
$226.38 → Final Fibonacci expansion (1.618 level)
📊 Strategic Alignment:
This is not a pursuit of capital—it’s a derivative strategy aligning time, volatility, sentiment, and fractal geometry. Money is the echo. We move with the source.
We don’t chase the surface—we code the undercurrent. Derivatives are our dimension, and AMD is the current signature.
🔐 This post is for informational and educational purposes only—not financial advice. Always manage your risk in accordance with your strategy.
#AMD #QuantTrading #SmartMoney #SMC #AITrading #WaverVanir #VolanX #Derivatives #DSS #MarketPrediction #Fibonacci #Leadership #StrategicLiquidity #OptionsFlow #TradingView #WaverVanirInternational
AMD First touch of 1W MA50 after 8 months!Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) hit today its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in almost 8 months (since October 28 2024). This is a crucial test as the las time this level broke as a Resistance following a Channel Up bottom rebound was on the week of January 30 2023.
When that happened, the Bullish Leg extended the upside to complete a +143.12% rise, before the next 1W MA50 pull-back.
As a result, if we close the week above the 1W MA50, we expect to see $185 before the end of the year.
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The next Intel or the next Nvidia?Neither, AMD has it's own path with destiny. The cyclical nature of semiconductors makes this an interesting stock to analyse through TA. The fundamentals remain strong, whilst they are clearly behind Nvidia and Broadcom, there's also closely following behind and have a far smaller market cap. In a risk on mode, I think this offers far better upside than a 3 trillion dollar Nvidia stock.
It looks like much of Nvidia's stock price has been baked in the revenue growth into the stock price. Not even an earnings beat was enough to satisfy investors. People are panicking, 10 year yields are dropping, the market is in freakout mode.
Meanwhile, AMD remains bearish, there is no doubt about that. The question is where is the bottom?
I have a very strong buy zone here at $91-100. I think the risk to reward here is quite compelling. Using stop losses to minimise potential capitulation, risk management would have saved a lot of headache for anyone who has purchased since 06/03/24, almost a year ago, as they are down on their position and were better taking a small calculated loss.
Not financial advice, do what's best for you.
Powerful AMD Trade Opportunity BreakdownAs I was going through AMD’s daily chart today, something stood out — and not in a subtle way. Amid a steady bullish trend, the June 16 candle formed a clean imbalance, opening up a textbook Fair Value Gap (FVG) that screams institutional activity.
This gap offers a clear zone of interest — between $126.58 and $117.88 — where smart money might be eyeing positions. That’s where my focus locked in.
But it didn’t stop there. I dug deeper and spotted an incredible bounce off support from August 5, 2024 — lining up perfectly with the zone. That’s not coincidence. That’s structure.
With the Squeeze Momentum showing light green and AlgoPro Support & Resistance confirming an uptrend, the case builds stronger. If momentum stays bullish on the lower timeframes, this could be our green light to strike.
Targets are clear:
📍 TP1: $132.80
📍 TP2: $135.70
And true to the VEP Trader Strategy (Vision, Execution, Precision), I’ll be dropping into 5M or 2M charts — watching for a liquidity sweep, a FVG confirmation, and a solid EMA retest.
No guessing. No hype. Just clean structure, liquidity, and calculated confirmation.
#AMDStock #DayTradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #VEPStrategy #FairValueGap #LiquidityZones #MomentumTrading #SqueezeMomentum #TradingCommunity #StockMarketEducation #TradingSetup #TradeWithPrecision #SwingTradeIdeas #SniperEntry #PriceActionTrading #TradeSmart #InstitutionalTrading #StockAnalysis #MarketBreakdown
Is AMD Poised to Redefine the Future of AI and Computing?Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is rapidly transforming its market position, recently converting a Wall Street skeptic, Melius Research, into a bullish advocate. Analyst Ben Reitzes upgraded AMD stock to "buy" from "hold," significantly raising the price target to \$175 from \$110, citing the company's substantial progress in artificial intelligence (AI) chips and computing systems. This optimistic outlook is fueled by a confluence of factors, including surging demand from hyperscale cloud providers and sovereign entities, alongside colossal revenue opportunities in AI inferencing workloads. Another upgrade from CFRA to "strong buy" further underscores this shifting perception, highlighting AMD's new product launches and an expanding customer base, including key players like Oracle and OpenAI, for its accelerator technology and the maturing ROCm software stack.
AMD's advancements in the AI accelerator market are particularly noteworthy. The company's MI300 series, including the MI300X with its industry-leading 192GB HBM3 memory, and the newly unveiled MI350 series, are designed to deliver significant price and performance advantages over rivals like Nvidia's H100. At its "Advancing AI 2025" event on June 12, AMD not only showcased the MI350's potential for up to 38x improvement in energy efficiency for AI training but also previewed "Helios" full-rack AI systems. These comprehensive, plug-and-play solutions, leveraging future MI400 series GPUs and Zen 6-based EPYC "Venice" CPUs, position AMD to directly compete for the lucrative business of hyperscale operators. As AI inference workloads are projected to consume 58% of AI budgets, AMD's focus on efficient, scalable AI platforms puts it in a prime position to capture a growing share of the rapidly expanding AI data center market.
Beyond AI, AMD is pushing the boundaries of traditional computing with its upcoming Zen 6 Ryzen CPUs, reportedly targeting "insane" clock speeds, well above 6 GHz, with some leaks suggesting peaks of 6.4-6.5 GHz. Built on TSMC's advanced 2nm lithography node, the Zen 6 architecture, developed by the same team behind the successful Zen 4, promises significant architectural improvements and a substantial increase in performance per clock. While these are leaked targets, the combination of AMD's proven design capabilities and TSMC's cutting-edge process technology makes these ambitious clock speeds appear highly achievable. This aggressive strategy aims to deliver compelling performance gains for PC enthusiasts and enterprise users, further solidifying AMD's competitive stance against Intel's forthcoming Nova Lake CPUs, which are also expected around 2026 and feature a modular design and up to 52 cores.
AmdRising wedge here approaching 130-133 double top resistance..
Daily candle extended outside bband..
Look for a pullback to 96-105
Entry 127-131..
Stop loss - A close above 134.00
SOXL (Chip sector) hasn't broken out and the weekly candle finished bearish so I don't think AMD will move over 130
If price does close above 134 then 180 is incoming
AMD 1W: If Not Now — Then When?The weekly chart of AMD looks like it’s holding its breath: a well-defined falling wedge, double bottom support, and price pressing right against long-term trendline resistance. Everything’s in place — now it just needs to break and run, preferably without tripping over nearby Fibonacci levels.
The stock is trading around $114 and attempting to hold above the 50-week MA. Just ahead is the 200-week MA (~131) — not only a technical hurdle but also a psychological pivot. A move above it could reignite talk of $150+ targets.
The wedge has been narrowing since late 2024. After repeated bounces off support, price has returned to the top of the pattern. A confirmed weekly close above the wedge could trigger a real breakout. Without that — it risks yet another scripted pullback.
Key Fibonacci levels:
0.618 — $133.60
0.5 — $151.42
0.382 — $169.25
0.236 — $191.30
0.0 — $226.95 (all-time high)
The roadmap looks clean — but only if volume follows through. There are signs of quiet accumulation at the bottom, but no explosive buying just yet.
Fundamentals:
AMD delivered solid Q1 results: revenue is growing, EPS beat expectations, and margins are holding. More importantly, the company launched a new $6 billion stock buyback program — showing clear internal confidence in its long-term trajectory.
There’s also a strategic AI partnership underway with a Middle Eastern tech group. This move positions AMD to challenge not just for GPU market share, but for future AI infrastructure dominance — long game stuff.
Analyst sentiment has turned bullish again, with new price targets in the $130–150 range. All of this makes the current chart structure more than just technical noise — it’s backed by strong tailwinds.
AMD at Decision Point — Will $125 Hold or Break into Gamma Gap?🔬 GEX (Options Sentiment) Breakdown:
* Call Walls / Resistance:
* $128.89 = Gamma Wall (Highest positive NET GEX)
* $130.69 = 2nd CALL Wall
* $132–$135 = Heavy call congestion, unlikely unless breakout with macro tailwind
* Put Support Walls:
* $125 = Current Gamma Flip Level (critical)
* $122 / $121 = PUT support zone (GEX cluster + structure)
* $113 = 2nd PUT Wall (flush risk zone)
* Options Flow Metrics:
* IVR: 15.6 (modest)
* IVx avg: 48.3
* Call Flow: 33.8% (bullish leaning)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢🟢 (moderately bullish, but fading under $126)
* Interpretation:
* AMD is trapped just below $128.89 Gamma Wall, failing to reclaim the high.
* If $125 breaks, dealer gamma hedging could intensify toward $122–$121.
🧠 15-Minute Smart Money Price Action:
* Current Price: $126.95
* Structure:
* CHoCH confirmed after rally peaked at $130.69.
* Supply rejection zone (pink box) held hard — price reversed and dropped into trendline test.
* Currently compressing between $126.40 and $125.06, right above the CHoCH floor.
* Volume:
* Fading volume = consolidation after weakness
* Watch for a volume spike at the $125 line to confirm breakout or bounce
* Trendlines:
* Still above ascending trendline, but momentum weakening.
🧭 Trade Scenarios for June 18:
🟥 Bearish Breakdown Setup:
* Trigger: Clean break and 15-min close below $125.06
* Target 1: $122.00 (PUT wall + support)
* Target 2: $121 → possible gamma flush zone
* Stop-loss: Above $127.20 (above minor CHoCH reclaim)
Gamma + SMC breakdown at $125 = likely acceleration to $122. Volume confirmation critical.
🟩 Bullish Continuation Setup:
* Trigger: Reclaim and 15-min close above $127.50
* Target 1: $128.89 (Gamma wall)
* Target 2: $130.69 (previous high + 2nd CALL Wall)
* Stop-loss: Below $125.50
Only valid if macro supports or SPY/QQQ bounce. Otherwise, just a fade opportunity for premium sellers.
💭 My Thoughts:
* AMD is hovering above a critical gamma/structure level at $125 — if it breaks, expect dealer flows to push it quickly toward $122.
* Volatility is still relatively low → options are priced favorably for directional trades.
* Watch SPY/QQQ correlation — if market remains weak, AMD likely leads tech breakdowns.
* Patience pays here — don't front-run. Wait for candle close confirmation at $125 or reclaim of $127.50.
✅ Summary for June 18:
* Bias: Neutral → Bearish
* Key Breakdown Level: $125.06
* Bearish Targets: $122 → $121
* Bullish Reclaim: Above $127.50 = potential move to $130
* GEX Danger Zone: Below $125
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always trade your own plan and manage your risk.
AMD's Long Awaited Reversal Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has maintained a well-defined long-term ascending channel since 2019, marked by cyclical touches at both the upper and lower bounds. The current setup signals a bullish reversal following a successful retest of the channel’s lower boundary
AMD now shows a strong bullish reversal:
✅ Broke above a multi-year downtrend line with volume support
📈 Currently retesting resistance $128, a breakout zone historically met with selling
🎯 Channel target projection: $300, offering 140% upside from current price
🔄 Price action consistently respects this trend structure with rhythmically timed expansions every 18–24 months
🧾 Fundamental Tailwinds (2024–2025 Context)
🔥 1. AI Infrastructure & Data Center Dominance
AMD’s MI300X AI GPU series has gained significant traction against Nvidia, with major cloud customers like Microsoft Azure and Meta adopting it for inference workloads.
Revenue from AMD’s Data Center segment surged >80% YoY in Q1 2025, driven by hyperscaler demand and Genoa EPYC chips.
Guidance for 2025–2026 includes double-digit YoY growth across AI and cloud sectors.
🧠 2. Product Roadmap Strength
AMD maintains competitive momentum with Zen 5 CPU launches and RDNA 4 GPU architecture set to arrive late 2025.
Management reaffirmed commitment to high-margin enterprise products and scalable AI inference.
📉 3. Valuation Reset + Earnings Reacceleration
After correcting from $164 to under $100, AMD entered a consolidation phase, allowing for multiple compression reset.
Now trading at ~35x forward P/E (down from 60x peak), with EPS expected to grow >25% YoY into FY2026.
💵 4. Balance Sheet & Buyback Support
Over $5.7B in cash, near-zero debt, and an active $8B share buyback program reinforce shareholder value.
Gross margin in Q1 2025 stood at ~51%, with continued improvements expected from data center mix shift.