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AMAZON COM INC CEDEAR EAC 144 REP 1(USD)AMAZON COM INC CEDEAR EAC 144 REP 1(USD)AMAZON COM INC CEDEAR EAC 144 REP 1(USD)

AMAZON COM INC CEDEAR EAC 144 REP 1(USD)

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AMZND trade ideas

AMZN - BEARISH(CRPT FINANCE)Below, I will provide a very detailed analysis of AMZN using corporate finance Discounted Cash Flow Models - "A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates the value of an investment by predicting its future cash flows and adjusting those amounts to their present value using a discount rate. Essentially, it calculates how much future money is worth in today’s terms and sums it up to determine the current value of the investment." Total Variance - "Total variance in finance reflects the overall risk of an investment, combining both systematic and unsystematic risk. Systematic risk, which affects all investments due to market-wide factors, cannot be eliminated through diversification. Unsystematic risk, specific to individual investments or sectors, can be reduced by diversifying a portfolio." I have applied various types of Cash Flow Models so to provide a very broad view as to where the price of AMZN will reside. I applied a DCF model using data that I believed should be altered, and one in which was barely altered. Below are my results: DCF: 86.016(Firm Valuation), 67.40(Equity Valuation) ECF: 86.016(Firm Valuation, 92.92(Equity Valuation) Unaltered DCF: -366.23(Firm Valuation), 2.55(Equity Valuation) Firm and Equity Valuation simply refer to how the figure is obtained. Firm refers to the valuation of the company as a whole, and equity refers to the value of equity alone. An Excess Cash Flow model(ECF) differs in that it focuses solely on cash flows available to equity holders, whilst a DCF uses cash flows to represent the whole firm. As you can see, the unaltered DCF represents very different valuations. A negative value and a very low equity valuation. The reason I believe this occurred was because the unaltered DCF used a lower Beta, different risk free rate, and the absolute Working Capital. My data reflected a higher beta(higher movement aligned with the market), higher risk free rate(which should lower valuations), and I smoothed out the Working Capital. I noticed that in the year of 2022, (-8,602,000) AMZN's working capital was negative by a large margin. I assumed this may be an outlier and was potentially safe to manually alter the data so to reflect a data figure closer to the mean(7434000000). Models will obviously hold bias to a degree, though if we are very conscious of such bias, I believe it is okay, as long as its within sound judgement. I believe such is the case because a higher beta and a higher risk free rate would only provide a larger discount rate allowing a fairly generous valuation. Total Variance Model - Covariance between stock and market returns: 0.00010 Variance of market returns: 0.00007 Beta: 1.53875 Variance of stock returns: 0.00043 Systematic Risk: 0.00016 Unsystematic Risk: 0.00027 Systematic Risk as a Percentage of Total Variance: 37.46% Unsystematic Risk as a Percentage of Total Variance: 62.54% Our systematic and unsystematic risk helps us understand the risk that we are exposed to. Our risk is greater exposed to the companies business decisions(Unsystematic Risk %).
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by ddcakez
AMZN - Weekly Bearish SignsNASDAQ:AMZN ’s recent price action suggests that the stock may be poised for a further decline. After reaching the top of the long-term channel, Amazon’s price has pulled back and is now facing renewed selling pressure. This technical setup aligns with broader market concerns, particularly in light of recent economic data. The rise in unemployment claims and disappointing PMI data signal growing economic uncertainty, which could weigh on consumer spending and, by extension, Amazon’s revenue. As the market digests this data, the technical weakness in Amazon’s chart could be a precursor to a more significant downturn, especially if economic conditions continue to deteriorate.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by Sober_Trading
AMAZON Only a break above the 1D MA50 remains. $240 on sight.Amazon Inc. (AMZN) spent the previous 2 weeks on a very strong recovery of the losses sustained in July - August, in fact those have been the strongest 2-week candles since October 23 - 30 2023. That was the previous bottom of the 2.5 year Channel Up on its Higher Lows trend-line. Even though the stock broke below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 1 year (May 2023), it managed to hold the long term Support of the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). As this 1W chart shows, the Higher Lows of this pattern are periodic and cyclical and you can see that clearly with the use of the Sine Waves (also evident on the 1W RSI, the green circle bottoms below its MA). Every time the price broke above the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) following such a Low (3 times) it approached the top of the Channel Up. The first Bullish Leg peaked at +79%, the second at +69%. If this is a progressive sequence, then the third (current) Bullish Leg could be -10% less than the last, i.e. +59%. As a result, the 1D MA50 (which applied high selling pressure this week), is the final Resistance and bullish break-out confirmation the price technically needs before it targets $240.00 (+59% rise). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by TradingShot
Trading Amazon’s Negative GapNegative gaps leave lasting scars on price charts, often forming formidable resistance levels upon retest. As Amazon approaches the critical area formed by its August 2nd gap, let's explore two strategies for navigating this retest. Understanding Amazon’s Negative Gap On August 2nd, Amazon’s share price experienced a significant negative gap, opening over 12% lower than the previous close. This drop was driven by the company’s disappointing earnings report, which highlighted slowing online sales growth and increased competition from low-cost retailers like Temu and Shein. Despite strong results in Amazon Web Services (AWS), the market’s reaction was swift, as investors grew concerned over consumer trends and competitive pressures. The negative gap left a distinct resistance zone on the chart, marked by the gap’s top, which now coincides with several key technical levels, including the VWAP anchored to July highs and a descending trendline connecting recent swing highs. Amazon (AMZN) Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results How to Trade Amazon's Negative Gap Traders can approach Amazon’s negative gap with two distinct strategies, depending on their risk tolerance and trading style: 1. Aggressive Approach: • Entry: Wait for the price to close the gap by reaching the resistance zone near the top of the gap. • Confirmation: Look for bearish price patterns to form on lower timeframes, such as a small double top or a bearish engulfing pattern on the hourly chart. • Stop Loss: Place the stop loss above the descending trendline and use a multiple of the Average True Range (ATR) to account for short-term volatility. • Target: The target for this trade would be a retest of the August lows, capitalizing on the potential rejection from the resistance zone. 2. Less Aggressive Approach: • Entry: Wait for a break and close below the ascending trendline that has formed during the recovery rally. • Confirmation: This would signal the formation of a new lower swing high, indicating a potential reversal. • Stop Loss: The stop loss can be placed above the newly formed swing high. • Target: Similar to the aggressive approach, the target would be a retest of the August lows. Conclusion Navigating Amazon's negative gap requires a careful assessment of the price action that forms around the confluent resistance zone created by the gap. Whether opting for an aggressive entry near the gap top or a more cautious approach following a trendline break, understanding the technical landscape and implementing risk management is crucial in executing a well-informed trade. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83.51% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by Capitalcom
AMZN 8/19Current Observations: Ichimoku Cloud: The price is above the Ichimoku cloud, which generally indicates a bullish trend. The cloud appears to be rising, supporting further upside potential. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance 1 (R1): 174.73 appears to be a previous resistance level that has been surpassed, which may now act as support. New Resistance Levels: Based on the chart, new resistance could form around 178.15 (current level) and possibly 180. Stochastic RSI: The Stochastic RSI is approaching the overbought territory, which could indicate a potential pullback or consolidation before the next move. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: Entry Point: If AMZN consolidates and holds above the 174.73 support level, a potential entry could be around 175-176. Target Exit: You could aim for a target around 180-182, considering the current momentum and resistance levels. Bearish Scenario: Entry Point: If the price drops below the 174.73 support level, consider waiting for a potential bounce before shorting. Enter around 174. Target Exit: A potential exit target would be around 172 or even 170, depending on the strength of the downward move. Conclusion: Primary Trend: The trend is bullish as long as AMZN stays above the Ichimoku cloud. Short-Term: Watch for a potential pullback due to the Stochastic RSI being in the overbought region. However, as long as support levels hold, the trend remains positive. It’s crucial to watch the opening session and how the stock reacts around these levels before making any trading decisions. Adjust stop losses accordingly to manage risk.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by BullBearInsights
2
AMZN / AMAZON 🔍 AMZN Analysis: Strategic Dates for Long-Term Accumulation 📈 The AMZN chart reveals key dates that could shape your investment strategy: December 29, 2025 & August 16, 2027 - Green Lines: These dates indicate potential local lows, making them ideal for accumulating AMZN shares. Investors should consider these as prime opportunities to position themselves for the next major upward trend in the stock. By planning around these dates, you can optimize your long-term investment strategy and take advantage of potential market corrections. #AMZN #StockMarket #InvestmentStrategy #NASDAQ #SNP500 #MarketTiming #Amazon
NASDAQ:AMZN
by trushkovskiy
AMZN 8/14Key Observations: Price Action: The price appears to be in an uptrend, as indicated by the higher highs and higher lows on the chart. A clear resistance level is visible around $172, where the price has tested multiple times. Volume Profile: There is a significant volume node around $167.50 to $166.15, indicating a strong area of support. The price has broken above a high volume area, suggesting potential further upside if the momentum continues. Trend Lines: The two ascending trend lines suggest a channel pattern, with the price approaching the upper boundary of the channel. The price is currently testing the upper trend line, which may act as a resistance. MACD: The MACD is showing a slight bullish crossover, indicating potential upward momentum. However, the histogram is relatively flat, which could mean the momentum is not very strong. Technical Levels: Resistance: $172 - $173: Strong resistance level, as seen from previous price action and the trend line. $178 - $180: If the price breaks above the $172 level, the next significant resistance is around $178-$180. Support: $167.50 - $166.15: This area has strong support due to the high volume traded at these levels. $162: A lower support level, which is also a high-volume node. Potential Trading Strategy: Bullish Scenario: Look for a breakout above $172 with strong volume for a potential long entry, targeting the $178-$180 range. Alternatively, wait for a pullback to the $167-$166 area for a potential long entry, with stops below $166. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break above $172 and shows signs of reversal, a short entry could be considered, targeting the $167-$166 support area. A break below $166 could lead to a deeper correction towards $162. Conclusion: Amazon (AMZN) is currently in a bullish trend but is approaching a critical resistance level. Watching for a breakout or a pullback will be key in determining the next move.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by BullBearInsights
3
AMZN Ascending Wedge Break Trade IdeasThis is a chart from one of my previous ideas centered around this ascending wedge from the October 2023 lows. Like many things, that uptrend is now a thing of the past, until bulls reclaim these uptrends it is looking grim for just about everything I see as far as tech and the mag 7 go. AMZN bulls tried to hold the 167 area after the trend break, which was the top of a previous gap from February. They did not succeed and it broke well below 167, but has now came back for a retest and had a small rejection so far but pretty much closed on the line. This is make or break, it's the April lows. AMZN is weaker than a lot of the other mag 7, this started when Bezos began to offload shares near 200. It has not been able to hold up since and I don't think it will start now. I consider this retest of 167 to be a fantastic short opportunity so I'll be watching closely. First short target would be 143-144. If it keeps going above 167, I'll be watching the trendline above for a short on a retest or near the 190-200 area.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by AdvancedPlays
Amazon | Monthly Chart Breakdown (Major Bear Market Confirmed!)Good day my fellow traders, I hope you are having a wonderful week. Here I have for you a long-term chart for the AMZN stock, it has a pretty interesting story to share... Billionaires are taking profits! To start, we know all the stocks are highly correlated; What one does, the rest follows. This is a long-term chart and we can pretty much say that a major correction is underway; a bear-market. ➖ We can see a peak pattern in the form of a rounded top. We can see a complete breakout of this pattern, just as it happened in late 201. ➖ A major bearish signal comes in the form of a bearish divergence between AMZN and its MACD. This is the monthly timeframe so these signals are not weak. 👉 We are set to experience RED for months... How will this affect the rest of the market? Other major stocks are also red and pointing toward months of bearish pressure. We wait and see how it all goes. But it seems we are about to witness a major "billionaires taking profits" market flush. Namaste.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by AlanSantana