ANF long after Breaking out the TtriangleDay Time Frame
Long : Buying point at around 161 after breaking out the triangle;
First target at 195;
Second Target at 232;
Stop loss at around 146
ANF trade ideas
ANF be aware if this consolidation breaks downtarget around 88$ if this wedge breakdown, otherwise a break above 150 is needed for further upside
ANF rocket fuel primed: Price Discovery ActivatedGreetings Everyone,
I couldn’t delay sharing this exciting analysis on Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF), as it’s showing a significant technical setup that demands immediate attention.
Supplementary Photos:
www.dropbox.com
🌀 ANF’s Fourth Wave Triangle: What’s Unfolding?
Abercrombie & Fitch is currently forming a classic 4th wave triangle as part of a larger Elliott Wave structure. Based on my analysis, it appears this consolidation phase has just completed, setting the stage for a potential breakout into the 5th wave. Here’s why this matters:
📈 Key Insights into ANF’s Wave Structure
Fourth Wave Triangles in Elliott Wave Theory
Fourth waves often manifest as contracting triangles—periods of lower volatility and sideways price action.
These patterns serve as a pause in the trend before the final impulsive wave (Wave 5).
ANF’s price action fits this structure perfectly, with decreasing volume during consolidation, a hallmark of Elliott Wave triangles.
What’s Next? : If the triangle breakout is confirmed, I anticipate a strong 5th wave rally.
Support and Resistance Zones
The lower boundary of the triangle is providing robust support, while the breakout level near the upper resistance aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels.
Monitor for volume spikes as price approaches the breakout zone—this will validate the bullish move.
Volume Dynamics
Similar to what we’ve seen in past examples (like Chainlink’s accumulation breakout), volume during the breakout phase is crucial. ANF recently showed strong buying pressure near the triangle’s apex, indicating potential momentum.
📊 Strategy and Risk Management
To maximize this opportunity, here are the key levels and strategies to consider:
• Entry Point: A confirmed breakout above the triangle’s resistance with sustained volume.
Stop-Loss: Place stops just below the triangle’s lower boundary to limit downside risk.
Target: Based on Elliott Wave projections, the 5th wave could aim for 1.618 extension of Waves 1–3. Keep this level in focus as a profit-taking zone.
Invalidation: A breakdown below the triangle would signal that the 4th wave correction is incomplete or that the larger wave structure is failing.
Why This Setup is Important
Abercrombie’s breakout would align with:
• Broader market recovery trends.
• Improved earnings performance (as seen in its Q3 highlights).
• Continued strength in consumer spending and brand expansion efforts.
Closing Thoughts
This is a pivotal moment for ANF. With the completion of the 4th wave triangle
ANF: Positioned for Growth Amid Strong Financial MomentumAbercrombie & Fitch Co. ( NYSE:ANF ): Positioned for Growth Amid Strong Financial Momentum
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $151.35 (activated)
- Stop-Loss: $110.18
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $205.94
- TP2: $291.21
Company Overview:
NYSE:ANF is a leading specialty retailer offering casual apparel and accessories under brands like Abercrombie & Fitch and Hollister, catering to diverse demographics globally. The company has demonstrated resilience and adaptability, maintaining its relevance in a competitive retail market.
Financial Performance:
- In Q3 2024, NYSE:ANF reported a net income increase of **10.9%**, totalling $131.98 million.
- Revenue grew **14% year-over-year** to a record **$1.21 billion**, marking six consecutive quarters of double-digit growth.
- The company continues to expand its digital and physical presence, enhancing customer engagement and operational efficiency.
Analyst Ratings:
- Analysts have a consensus **"Moderate Buy" rating** on NYSE:ANF , with a median price target of **$190**, suggesting upside potential.
- Optimistic price targets range up to $250, reflecting confidence in NYSE:ANF ’s ability to sustain its growth trajectory.
Risk/Reward Analysis:
- The stop-loss at **$110.18** limits downside risk to approximately **27%** from the entry point.
- Take-profit targets at **$205.94** and **$291.21** offer potential upside of **36%** and **92%**, respectively, creating a favourable risk-reward scenario.
Conclusion:
NYSE:ANF continues to demonstrate strong financial performance and positive market sentiment, supported by robust revenue growth and strategic initiatives. This trade setup balances calculated risks with the potential for significant returns.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave!
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
Small risk for big gainANF is reporting earning Tuesday morning. Consider opening at debit calendar spread to take advantage of theta decay. Sell $175 November 29 call, and buy $175 December 6 call for debit price of $90. Max profit of over $900 if held to expiration but DO NOT do that due to risk of assignment. Close the trade for a nice profit of $100-$200.
Even if price fall to $135. Risk is only losing $41 of the price paid.
Good luck.
Learn more about debit put or debit call calendar spread for earning trade.
Ahead of $NYSE:ANF EarningsThere is an unfinished Bullish flag that formed in April and earnings may be the spark needed to propel the price to the $210 target.
NYSE:ANF may be breaking out of a wedge pattern, with the price gapping up and outside of the wedge today.
Earnings are reported on Tuesday ahead of the market open.
My plan is to open a position IF the stock remain above the wedge during Monday's trading.
ANF Triangle breakoutANF seems to be on the verge of breaking out of the triangle sideways consolidation. A move to the upside seems likely if we consider this a wave 4 triangle. Confirmation would be received with a weekly candle close above the triangle.
ANF eyes on $145 : about to Break Out from Major Resistance?Followup to my previous Swing Trade plot (click).
ANF peaked exactly at our Genesis fib at $196.93
The pullback has been strong but controlled so far.
Now trying to paint a bottom if breaks resistance.
Previous Analysis:
==================================================================
.
ANF - Forming a new baseANF
Still forming a base after last run but will be keeping close watch on this one as it may present early opportunity as it moves above key pivot levels
Market Update - 9/22/2024• equities positive after rate cuts, but
• NASDAQ:TLT sold off and energy was the best performing sector this week, along with other commodities, might signal expectation of inflation picking back up and the FED having to keep rates higher
• the 50bp cut is also something that would be fueling inflation, as long as the economy doesn't go into recession
• changed my strategy and watchlist to only focusing on the best setups and nothing else, need to reduce effort and master just one strategy
• lots of missed opportunities this week, mainly NASDAQ:CEG and mistakes, like NASDAQ:KINS , NASDAQ:CORT
• even though I'm long, the sector strength of healthcare, utilities, energy are typically not the leading ones in good economic conditions, so we could see sector rotation and money going into defensive sectors, while cyclicals underperform.
• at the same time, some semiconductors are setting up well like NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMSC and NASDAQ:AIRG
ANF MACD crossed upANF has been one of the best performing retailers so there is momentum there. MACD crossing up and better rate cut environment gives it room to continue.
GREEN box IS your BEST friend and 160 long.There are still a few grey areas, but it looks solid as a recovery. IT certainly feels like a 160 stock, considering all is well for another move north!
we were right before, we are ready to do it all over again 160So indicators, as with everything else, like to fast rewind/forward a whole heap of stuff, but we're seeing a momentum shift and a move towards 160 based on data.
Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: $ANF) Poised for Earnings Surge Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: NYSE:ANF ) is setting the stage for a potentially significant breakout as it prepares to report its Q2 earnings. The company is at the forefront of a critical week for retail, with major players like Victoria's Secret, Kohl's, Foot Locker, and Five Below also releasing results. The retailer has been making waves in both the U.S. and international markets, and investors are keenly watching for updates on its financial health and strategic direction.
Stellar Earnings and Strategic Moves
Analysts are bullish on Abercrombie’s earnings, projecting a 101% surge to $2.22 per share, adjusted. If these expectations are met, it would mark six consecutive quarters of triple-digit earnings growth, with revenue forecasted to rise by 18% to $1.1 billion. Abercrombie's sales growth has accelerated over the last four quarters, with a 22% increase in Q1 alone, signaling strong momentum.
FactSet expects comparable sales to jump 16.4%, up from 13% last year. This robust growth trajectory has attracted the attention of major analysts, such as Citi, which opened a "positive catalyst watch" on Abercrombie stock, anticipating a strong earnings beat driven by "muscular sales and margins."
Abercrombie (NYSE: NYSE:ANF ) has also expanded its board of directors to 10 members with the addition of Andrew Clarke, Global President of Mars Snacking. This move underscores its focus on bringing in experienced leadership to navigate the complex retail environment.
Beyond earnings, Abercrombie (NYSE: NYSE:ANF ) is making a bold return to the Hong Kong market, eight years after shutting down its flagship store. The company plans to rent two large spaces in prime locations, betting on Hong Kong's stronger spending power compared to mainland China. This expansion is part of a broader strategy to capitalize on the city’s recovery from political turmoil and COVID-19-related disruptions.
Technical Outlook: Signs of a Potential Breakout
From a technical perspective, Abercrombie's stock (NYSE: NYSE:ANF ) is displaying encouraging signs. Shares have risen nearly 89% year-to-date, currently holding just above their 50-day moving average after a rebound on August 16th. The stock is working up the right side of a cup base, sitting 19% below a buy point of $196.99. A sharp jump off the 50-day moving average could offer an early entry for aggressive investors, while the August 20 high of $172.90 presents another possible buy point.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 56 suggests that NYSE:ANF is in a healthy position for further gains. The stock is trading above its 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages, further supporting a bullish outlook. After rebounding from a monthly low of $121 to $166, the stock might consolidate at the support pivot of $154 before setting a new course for growth.
Strategic Moves in Hong Kong: Reclaiming Market Share
Abercrombie’s return to Hong Kong signals a renewed focus on international growth. The company will lease two prime retail spaces in the bustling shopping districts of Causeway Bay and New Town Plaza, indicating a strong bet on the city's retail recovery. With plans to open a 7,000-square-foot store in Hysan Place and a 10,000-square-foot space in New Town Plaza, Abercrombie is positioning itself to capture the spending power of Hong Kong's affluent consumers.
The retailer’s strategy aligns with other global fashion brands, such as Mango and Prada, that are expanding in Hong Kong amid falling property prices. This move could strengthen Abercrombie's global footprint and support its long-term growth plans.
Looking Ahead: What to Watch for in the Earnings Report
As Abercrombie & Fitch prepares to release its Q2 earnings, investors will be watching several key metrics closely:
- Earnings per Share (EPS): Will Abercrombie achieve the forecasted 101% surge, marking its sixth consecutive quarter of triple-digit earnings growth?
- Revenue Growth: Can the company meet or exceed the expected 18% rise to $1.1 billion?
- Comparable Sales: Will the anticipated 16.4% jump in comparable sales come to fruition?
- Hong Kong Expansion: Any updates on its strategic return to the Hong Kong market will be closely monitored to gauge its potential impact on revenue and profitability.
Conclusion: A Strong Buy Opportunity on the Horizon?
Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: NYSE:ANF ) is showing strong fundamental and technical signals, suggesting a potential breakout opportunity. With a solid earnings outlook, strategic expansion plans, and positive analyst sentiment, the stock is well-positioned for further gains. However, investors should remain vigilant of potential consolidation around key support levels, as the broader retail landscape remains volatile.
The upcoming earnings report will be crucial in determining whether Abercrombie (NYSE: NYSE:ANF ) can sustain its impressive growth trajectory and capitalize on its strategic initiatives. For now, the stock remains an attractive prospect for those looking to ride the wave of a potential retail revival.
reversal imminent back to or above the shaded areaPlayed it to the upper 160s from the 140s, now looking for signs of a reversal and seeing plenty of those, including overbought resistance levels.
ANF reversal or dead-cat bounce?
NYSE:ANF
ANF has recently pulled back from its all-time high (ATH) following its latest earnings report. Despite strong earnings, same-store sales, and electronic sales growth, and a dynamic inventory selection, concerns about a potential recession have weighed on the stock.
Key Developments:
Recently dropped below the 100-day Moving Average (MA)
Retested the 200-day MA
Bounced off the 200-day MA
Broke out of a triangle formation on a 15-minute timeframe
Broke above the 100-day MA but failed to break above previous support
Expected Outcomes:
Bullish scenario: If ANF bounces off the 100-day MA and reclaims the previous support level, it could retest the 50-day MA, coinciding with the upper limit of the current negative channel. In this case, I would consider near-term put options to hedge against a potential retest of the 200-day MA.
Bearish scenario: If ANF fails to hold above the 100-day MA and the $150 support level, it is likely to retest the 200-day MA.
I am closely monitoring the $150 level and will make decisions based on price action this week. Given the current macro environment, I prefer to be short this position. If the bullish scenario unfolds, I will wait for a retest of the upper channel limit before taking action. With key economic data, including retail sales, being released this week, expect volatility. Regardless of my position, I plan to be short-term and exit before the next earnings report.
ANF correction before next earningsANF has had an incredible run during these past 12 M and YTD, shooting up over 359% and 94% respectively. The stock is performing tremendously and has even had comparison to AI giant NVDA.
But the NVDA bubble has popped, and I believe ANF will likely follow. With such a huge difference between a 3T and 9B market cap, I believe ANF will fall far more rapidly upon break of support.
Expecting price to drop as much as 17% from current levels and likely consolidate and continue its run up near if not post its Q2 2024 earnings date.
ANF recently bounced off 100 MA. Will the rise continue?
ANF's Recent Pullback and Future Outlook
ANF has experienced a significant pullback from its all-time highs after its most recent earnings report. This trend isn't unique to ANF, as even Lululemon (LULU), a market leader, has seen a drawdown since the year's beginning.
However, I believe ANF's current rise is likely a short-term bounce, not a sustained trend reversal. Since the last earnings release, the upward trend has stalled, and a downward trend seems to be taking precedence. The recent rise is unlikely to last long.
Several factors support this view:
Earnings Season: Upcoming earnings reports from various companies might reveal difficulties compared to the strong performances of mega-cap stocks at the end of last week. This could continue the downward trend for ANF.
Federal Reserve Meeting: The market awaits Chair Powell's interest rate decision on Wednesday. With inflation persisting, the Fed may be forced to maintain higher rates for a longer period, potentially impacting consumer spending and retail stocks like ANF.
Technical Analysis:
Technically, ANF is approaching resistance at the channel and the 50-day moving average (MA). Based on this, a pullback starting around $123 is expected. If the trend of lower highs and lower lows continues, ANF could fall below its 100-day MA, potentially reaching much lower levels before retesting the 200-day MA.
NYSE:ANF NASDAQ:LULU NYSE:RL
"Confluence of Rivers"while ANF has performed well recently, analysts are cautious about its future growth, suggesting a hold position for current investors and recommending careful consideration before making new investments.
$ANFNYSE:ANF This is setting up nice if it holds here, a few inside days. Expect a breakout coming off great earnings. Looks like its setup up for another cup n handle or just big breakout.
ANF retrace from ATH: eyes on $104 then 92 ideal retrace TargetANF has been on a relentless bull run.
It has obviously hit "a" top if not "the" top.
Mapped are key areas of interest for entries.
$ 111.65-112.64 is current support, should break.
$ 103.14-103.14 is the minimum expected retrace.
$ 91.53 - 92.54 is the 'Ideal" zone for long entries.
Key is to observe price action at each fib for clues.
=============================================
Buy Abercrombie & FitchShort Term Trading Advice by Naranj Capital
Buy Abercrombie & Fitch
● Buy Range- 180 - 185
● Target- 200 - 205
● StopLoss- 170
● Potential Return- 8-11%
● Duration- 12-14 Trading Days
