Almost HalfThe rise since June has retraced almost half of the Fibonacci retracement.
As the trend is intact and the level reached is the intermediary top of May it may be a good time to build a position to profit for the continuation of the trend.
BABA trade ideas
Alibaba’s Short-Term Moves: Navigating Trump’s Policies and ChinWith Trump back in office, we’re seeing renewed tension in U.S.-China trade relations. Trump’s team is expected to restrict certain Chinese goods, which could pressure Chinese markets in the short term. In response, China has hinted at ramping up its economic stimulus by 10-20%, cushioning companies like Alibaba.
In the immediate term, Alibaba might see a dip toward $80 as markets adjust. However, if China rolls out its stimulus plans, we could see Alibaba push up to the $120 range. The holiday season might amplify these shifts, given higher retail demand.
Bottom Line:
Keep an eye on trade announcements and China’s next economic moves. Timing here is key, and these actions could make Alibaba one of the more interesting plays this season.
Baba long swing trade For my Alibaba (BABA) trade, I’m targeting a gain of just over 5%, using the 15-minute chart to monitor short-term price action closely. I’ve worked out a confidence of 84.06% in this trade, which reflects my analysis and conviction. If the market turns against me, I’m prepared to double down, adjusting my position to take advantage of any potential reversal and manage the trade more effectively. This approach helps me stay flexible and increase my exposure strategically while managing risk.
BABA Bullish. Will be purchasing baba share in the box. Looking for new lows. Im bullish China, just not yet.
$BABA NEOWAVE ANALYSISExperimental analysis with the intention to follow back later on as I am still learning
First leg of the correction is a diametric
Second leg of the correction is most likely a neutral triangle
In a neutral triangle wave C is the biggest and could be 138% to
161.8% of wave A
c-wave of a Neutral Triangle
is usually the longest, most subdivided and most time consuming of the three trending waves
Wave B is confirmed to be ended as we got a move that was faster and bigger than the largest counter trend wave within wave B (red rectangle)
Alibaba: Turning PointBABA was pulled down further last week. According to our primary scenario, it should now be in the final stages of the blue wave (a). As soon as the low is reached, we expect a (corrective) rise in the form of blue wave (b) before a further sell-off completes the magenta-colored wave (ii). Only with the correction low underfoot should the same-colored wave (iii) then drive the price above the resistance at $117.79.
BABA - Retracement of Bull Wave (1) BABA is now in retracement to complete Wave (2). Possible to retrace with an ABC pattern. However, at this moment, only see Wave A of Wave (2). We need to see more waves to confirm the completion of Wave (2).
$BABA Long Ahead Of EarningsNYSE:BABA will have earnings soon and I think it will execute a breakout towards the indicated targets.
I would consider purchasing the 110 Calls with an expiration date of 2025-2-21, for a premium of approximately $3.30. Good time to buy call options!
(Credit for contract idea @TopgOptions)
BABA Alibaba Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought BABA before the major breakout:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BABA Alibaba prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 110usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $3.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Why I am accumulating this stock ? 9988To the many institutional and retail investors out of China, Alibaba is a well known made in China brand. Jack Ma is often seen giving speech in the western countries in the past and so naturally , retail investors are familiar with this company.
I spoke about stickability before and brand recall is important when time is of essence. Like now, when all the rage in town now is talking about buying China stocks. Naturally, BAT (Baidu, Alibaba and Tencent) , three giant techs of China will be highly sought after much like the magnificent seven in US.
Please DYODD
BABA$91 is a nice level to buy.
Price was rejected recently off the VWAP and WMA200.
Weekly EMA21 + the Resistance flipping into support (green line)
Key moving averages unbundling (5, 21 and 50)
Hope this helps. Trade safe
Alibaba seems to be mimicking itself in the runup to Trump 2016This is just something I noticed the other day when NYSE:BABA took off ... how crisply its price action has lined up with the last election, and how the uptrend seemed to start just a tad early, almost like the market knew in advance Trump would win that election.
This time, we've similarly put in a longer base, with a higher low, and also broken above 2 visible pivot highs once again. Why would this be a thing? IDK. And maybe it's not. It could lead to a head fake or something.
I don't have a position on it yet, but I will be watching this retrace and looking for an entry I recognize, and meanwhile I thought it was interesting enough to share.
-Josiah
Easycators.com/RelVol
X thread on NYSE:BABA analog: x.com
BABA Short H4Sell Limit Entry @ 84.33
S/L @ 90.71
T/P1 @ 71.56
T/P2 @ ---------
R.R.R. @ 1/2
Pure Price Action analysis based on Pullback of target level.
BABA Near SupportBABA forming like DCB, I think better wait Chinese news and wait about pattern. But if support breakout we can se DCB is programmed and we will see $90 is next support
Alibaba Group $BABA stock investment opportunity Alibaba Group NYSE:BABA stock is trying to pull back to strong demand imbalance on the weekly timeframe located at $86 per share. Patiently waiting for the correction before buying this giant Chinese stock.
ALIBABA Ready to Explode! Big Gains on the Horizon!Alibaba (BABA) Technical Analysis - 15-Minute Timeframe - Long Position Setup
Entry Price: $99.13
Stop Loss (SL): $97.32
Target Levels:
TP1: $101.36
TP2: $104.96
TP3: $108.57
TP4: $110.80
Market Context and Sentiment: Recent developments indicate strong institutional interest in Alibaba, as evidenced by prominent fund manager Zhang Kun making Alibaba a substantial holding in his portfolio. This investment has bolstered positive sentiment around Alibaba, further supported by strategic economic measures favoring leading tech stocks in China.
Technical Indicators:
Trend Direction: Positive momentum is observed with price action above the Risological Dotted Trendline, signaling a bullish bias.
Volume: Current volume at 16.04M aligns with the recent positive market sentiment, with average 30-day volume standing at 26.70M. This moderate volume increase reinforces the long setup validity.
Analysis and Outlook: This setup presents a well-defined long entry with clear stop loss and target levels. The bullish institutional interest provides a strong fundamental tailwind, which could drive price action towards initial and extended targets. Should the price break through TP1 at $101.36 with sustained volume, a continuation towards TP2 at $104.96 becomes likely, with potential progression to TP3 and TP4.
Conclusion: Alibaba's current price action and market sentiment create a favorable environment for a long position. Close monitoring is advised, particularly as price approaches each target, with adjustments as necessary to secure gains.
When Does a $433.5 Million Settlement Become a Victory for Both In the complex landscape of corporate litigation, Alibaba's recent settlement presents a fascinating case study of modern business strategy. While the Chinese e-commerce giant agrees to pay $433.5 million to settle shareholder allegations, this decision might paradoxically represent a win-win scenario for both the company and its investors. The settlement, ranking among the top 50 largest securities class actions in U.S. history, raises intriguing questions about the balance between corporate governance and strategic business decisions.
What makes this case particularly compelling is the mathematics of risk management. When faced with potential damages of $11.63 billion, Alibaba's decision to settle for $433.5 million reveals a sophisticated calculation of risk versus reward. This settlement, representing less than 4% of the maximum potential damages, demonstrates how modern corporations can transform legal challenges into strategic opportunities for resolution and renewal.
The implications of this settlement extend far beyond Alibaba's balance sheet. As global markets increasingly scrutinize tech giants' practices, this case sets a precedent for how international corporations might navigate the complex intersection of antitrust regulations, shareholder rights, and market competition. The resolution suggests that in today's business environment, the true measure of corporate success might lie not in avoiding challenges, but in transforming them into opportunities for organizational evolution and stakeholder alignment.
BABA short-term tradehi traders
Baba continues its pullback after an amazing rise.
Bullish divergences on 15 minutes and 1h time frame.
Time to bounce is now
Good luck
Alibaba - It Is So Predictable!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) just rejected a major resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
A couple of days ago Alibaba stock perfectly retested a major previous resistance level after rallying +45% just within a couple of weeks. We can first see more bearish movement and maybe even a retest of the trendline breakout level before Alibaba will continue its overall uptrend.
Levels to watch: $80, $110
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BABALICOUS OUTLOOK BABA is Super bullish on higher time frames.
Great entry at current prices.
A move to the $200 level is expected.
Lets see!
BABA Elliott-Wave analysisBABA big picture adding up nicely, found bottom in Oct 22.
Im bullish on the whole chinese market.
The bottom was followed from two Elliott-Wave(1-2) structures.
Now waiting again for an (a-b-c) type structure, to open a position.
Alibaba's Slide Continues! Three Targets Hit, Awaiting Final TP4Technical Analysis: Alibaba – 15-Minute Timeframe (Short Trade)
Alibaba has shown strong bearish momentum, hitting three profit targets after a clear short entry at 108.26. The price is now approaching the final target (TP4), making this trade highly successful so far.
Key Levels
Entry: 108.26 – The short trade was initiated after confirming a clear bearish setup.
Stop-Loss (SL): 109.65 – Positioned above resistance to manage risk and protect against potential reversals.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 106.53 – Successfully reached, confirming the start of a strong downtrend.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 103.73 – Continued bearish pressure pushed the price to this level.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 100.94 – A further downside target that has already been achieved.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 99.21 – The ultimate target, currently awaiting completion as the bearish trend continues.
Trend Analysis
The price remains below the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming a strong downtrend. With three profit targets already hit, the market appears poised to reach the final target at 99.21 if bearish momentum persists.
The short trade on Alibaba has been highly successful, hitting TP1, TP2, and TP3, with the final target TP4 in sight. The continued downward movement suggests that 99.21 could be reached shortly, concluding the trade profitably.
