Alibaba (BABA) is undervalued right now.Although Alibaba experienced a downturn in its financials in 2022, it still meets the requirements of a great business.
PS: "Intrinsic Value by zdmre" has not been published yet!
#DYOR
BABA trade ideas
BABA: Buy ideaOn BABA as you see on the chart we have a buy idea because we have the breakout of vwap.Thanks!
Trading Alibaba: Spotlight on stocks
With so much political turmoil in the world, it’s hard to forecast the markets right now, especially for Chinese-related assets. Let’s explore Alibaba (BABA) and see if the company is recession-proof or a potential short.
Who is Alibaba?
Alibaba Group Holding Limited is a Chinese multinational technology company specializing in e-commerce, retail, and technology. Founded in 1999 by Jack Ma, Alibaba has since become one of the largest e-commerce companies in the world, ranked 37th against the biggest giants of all industries worldwide.
The company started as a business-to-business (B2B) marketplace connecting Chinese manufacturers with buyers worldwide. Over time, Alibaba expanded its offerings to include business-to-consumer (B2C), and consumer-to-consumer (C2C), along with e-commerce platforms, online payment services, and cloud computing services.
Alibaba went public in 2014 with an initial public offering (IPO) priced at $68 on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Alibaba’s IPO boosted the value of the company to a staggering $167.6 billion, the largest IPO of the time raising HKEX:25 billion.
Since then, Alibaba's market capitalization has grown significantly. As of April 2023, the company's market cap is around HKEX:574 billion.
Revenue reports
Alibaba's revenue has continued to grow in recent years. In the fiscal year 2022, the company reported total revenue of CNY 853.1 billion (approximately $134.6 billion USD), an increase of 19% from the previous year. The largest share of Alibaba's revenue, 67%, comes from its domestic e-commerce retail segment, and online marketplaces such as AliExpress.
A very optimistic picture from the revenue reports showing YoY growth of 19%. A very sunny outlook, but let’s keep digging.
Expansion into foreign markets
Besides its success in China, Alibaba has expanded beyond its geographic borders. The company launched its international marketplace AliExpress with tremendous success, finally allowing international buyers direct and easy access to Chinese products and sellers.
As of 2023, 200 million shoppers visit AliExpress every month from 230 countries. And with 100 million products available, it’s no wonder that AliExpress handles 60,000 packages per day.
Alibaba in the news
Alibaba's stocks experienced a decline from HKEX:120 to just $68 per share in a matter of 3 months. This was said to be an effect caused by Japan's SoftBank plans to sell almost all remaining shares of Alibaba. But then, for no obvious reason, the price rebounded to HKEX:104 in less than 10 days.
The situation is intriguing, as one would expect a big shareholder selling a stake, even if it was not entirely unforeseen, to exert downward pressure on the shares. SoftBank has experienced some difficulties lately, and it has been cutting many holdings, which suggests that the dumping of BABA shares is more reflective of SoftBank's performance rather than Alibaba's.
SoftBank has struggled with some of its Vision Funds, which have amassed billions of dollars, but have not provided the returns that investors had expected. This occurrence could indicate a broader referendum on SoftBank, or SoftBank may need to liquidate some more of its positions for operational purposes.
SoftBank isn’t necessarily perceiving BABA as a poor investment, it simply needs a lot of cash. The timing of this move coincides with Alibaba’s announcement to divide operations into 6 unique entities… no doubt another factor that kept BABA on the shortlist for dumping.
Political pressures
Whether World War III is coming, or just a lot of posturing and sanctions, nobody knows for sure, but China is definitely sending strong invasion signals to Taiwan. If yet another big bully victimizes a small nation again, sanctions will fly. Being an international e-commerce business based in a country that is blacklisted is a risky situation.
And if a cold war starts to heat up, pretty much all Chinese e-commerce businesses could crumble under international political pressure. Not to mention, many of those products find their way to American shores where consumer spending is on a sharp decline.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Alibaba has had a significant impact on the e-commerce industry, but it is still 4 times smaller in revenue than Amazon. Growth in recent years was more than double that of Amazon, both in China and internationally, but the landscape is changing, and it seems unlikely that BABA will fare well in the coming months. The same can be said for many stocks from multiple countries.
A downturn is due, and when the economic correction is over, only the biggest and strongest will survive. But we’re not talking about survival. We just need to know if the stocks rise or fall.
A rise is hard to imagine, but if blockages and naval battles kick-off, Chinese supply and demand chains will break, and without that, an e-commerce business is just a warehouse with high costs. Watch the news daily, when you see ships, it might be time to short.
$BABA - hold $36 or else The gap from NYSE:BABA company split news is closed and then some. Currently at lower Bollinger Bands. If $86.00 fails, things are not looking good for the bulls as $80.00 - HKEX:77 area could become a reality and could be a good area to load or DCA. Vicious sell off in Chinese stocks since last week.
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Trade is done when it hit one of the target or stop loss is hit.
Disclaimer: Trading note. Not an investment advice.
BABA: Sell ideaOn BABA as you see on the chart we have a sell idea after the breakout of vwap.Thanks!
Baba I shorted baba yeateday at 94.40 and rode it down to 90.50. I closed. My thesis here is prior to pumo to 105$ we had a tripple wick to 88.17/88.25
This is a huge potential support if we can flip this here. Seems logical to go long at this level I am in calls 91$ calls out for may.
I think as long as we hold 88$ as support this idea is valid. A breakdown of 88$ will lead us towards 85.50 again which was the breakout level.
I am long BABa today at 88.25 as I had been waiting for this level for a bit
BABA ( watch list ) after 900 days of decreasing price i think BABA finally is trying to create support zone for buyers. for me 150$ dollar is so important if BABA could toch this price without strong rejection we can think about starting a new rally. but for now if i wanted to buy this stock i would buy it in this prices.
BABA AnalysisPrice playing out nicely as analyzed at the start of this month. Price is currently filling the fair value gap at 92.06. With the strong bearish impulse, price could potentially continue lower into the bullish POI at 78.85. I expect price to make some bullish retracement before continuing lower.
Not long or short, but if i had to choose,short, Looking to longIf this harmonic pattern completes, I would be willing to take a long position. Sitting and waiting till then.
Alibaba Baba ADR Group LTDAlibaba Crashed 79,5 Percent you can call this a crash.
Now Alibaba is retracing to higher levels.
Usually a retrace to the 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci is a healthy recovery,that Alibaba should stay infront of.
So from actual price levels of 93.5 USD there is still a 90 Percent upside possibility.
This could be Quick Money.
On the other side the fundamentals of BABA are strong. We have a higher cash quote that we can now invest in things.
Cash is king in times of high interest charges.
The KGV (Price earnings ratio)should decrease from 26,5 to 15,2 by 2024. this is very significant.
The net result is also drastically rising from 69.590Mill to 112 german Mrd.so it will nearly double to 2024.
This should be technically and fundamentally a good investment for the short and long run.
This is just my opinion and no buy or sell advice. Im self invested.
BABA Breaks trend line and will retrace back to the fibSince BABA broke the support trend line I see it retracing back to HKEX:87 or $88. If it doesn't break that support line, then it could resume long.
BABA: Sell ideaOn BABA as you see on the chart we have a sell idea. Sellers took over the buyers.Thanks!
BABA - Daily Inverted H&SDaily chart showing a nearly completed inverted H&S
yet to experience the bullish right shoulder run
I have plotted the move in green with the magnet
BABA: Buy ideaBuy idea on BABA after the breakout of the resistance line as you see on the chart.Thanks!
BABA: Buy ideaOn BABA as you see on the chart we will have a big probability to have an uptrend after the breakout of vwap.Thanks!
BABA : Weekly UpdateThe weekly level at 81.10 did its job.
Price action still negative with a double top at about $121.5 which works as resistance.
Possible higher low at 81.10 that must be confirmed
The price starts to trade above the EMA 21w.
BABA looks bullish. Are you ready?Are you still waiting for lower prices ?
Buying lows from 2016 was not cheap enough for you?
Baba created higher lows structure on weekly. Looks mega bullish. Expecting more upside soon
Target 1: 170 $
target 2: 200 $
Stop loss: 76,50 $
Buy Alibaba baba cup and handle Buying Alibaba here on the cup and handle breakout. Also downward falling wedge, looks strong sign of a higher swing low here since the bottom a couple of moths ago. Expect to retest to 120 and higher
BabaWe mapped out symtrical triangle. Was looking for a bounce up and breakout but obvisouly went the other way. The target downside is 91. We dropped and now rally back up. Personally I think we get a breakdown further to reach targeted move. Could we rally up to retest 98.50 yeas, but I personally think 97 will hold as reostanxe. I’m short looking for 91 or even as low as that 88 reistance we had before blast off
BABAFirst off, if you don't know who Softbank is, do your research.
This company made a killing during covid similar to ARK.
Since 2022 they've taking L after L buying dips in trash tech. Now they've sold their entire stake in BABA..
Looking for a gap close here on BABA
Target 85$
alibaba long reached 2022 Q4 highest rate(sep 13 and dec 9) and bearish pattern is made. Price may reach 103-104 and further 108-109
BABA, 10d+/-20.43%falling cycle -20.43% more than 10 days.
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This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
