BABA trade ideas
$BABA - What will it be?NYSE:BABA is currently trading within a descending wedge pattern and fluctuating within a trading range of $72 to $78.
The critical support area lies between $72 to $70, and a breach below this level could potentially cause the stock to decline to the $63 area.
Conversely, if the stock manages to break out of the descending wedge by surpassing the $80 resistance level, it could rally to the $96 area.
Time for reversal?Lots of accumulation on a strong support line from 2015 and almost meets the conditions for a perfect harmonic bat pattern.
Potential Double Bottom on BABA!Alibaba could have a double bottom formation soon. The stock is in oversold territory and the volume has reset immensely.
Michael Burry has been buying BABA in recent months as well. Worth checking this trade out.
EU Probe Targets Alibaba's AliExpress Over Illegal Online GoodsAlibaba's AliExpress ( NYSE:BABA ) finds itself in the crosshairs of a European Commission probe following allegations of disseminating potentially illegal and pornographic materials. This investigation, conducted under the EU's Digital Services Act (DSA), marks the third such inquiry into tech platforms, signaling a heightened regulatory focus on online content moderation and consumer protection.
The Allegations Unveiled:
The European Commission's probe into AliExpress stems from concerns about the dissemination of illegal products, including fake medicines, non-compliant food items, and ineffective dietary supplements on the platform. Additionally, authorities are scrutinizing the presence of hidden links facilitating the sale of non-compliant products and the potential role of influencers in this process. While no definitive findings have been made, suspicions of non-compliance with regulatory standards prompt further investigation into AliExpress's practices.
Regulatory Scrutiny Intensifies:
AliExpress, designated as a very large online platform (VLOP) under the DSA, faces heightened scrutiny and potential penalties, including fines of up to 6% of its global annual turnover. The company asserts its commitment to compliance with applicable rules and regulations, emphasizing its collaboration with relevant authorities to ensure adherence to standards and the fulfillment of DSA requirements. However, the investigation underscores the broader challenges faced by tech companies in navigating regulatory frameworks and addressing concerns regarding illegal and harmful content online.
Wider Implications for Tech Giants:
Beyond AliExpress, the European Commission's inquiry extends to other tech giants, including Microsoft's Bing, Google Search, Meta Platforms' Facebook, Instagram, and Snapchat, as well as ByteDance's TikTok and Elon Musk's X. The focus on generative artificial intelligence content raises concerns about misinformation and fake news, prompting calls for robust risk assessments and mitigation measures from these companies. As regulatory pressure mounts, tech firms are compelled to demonstrate their commitment to safeguarding consumer interests and upholding democratic principles in the digital age.
The Road Ahead:
As the investigations unfold, tech companies face a pivotal moment in addressing regulatory concerns and shaping the future of online content moderation. Compliance with the DSA and other regulatory frameworks will be paramount, as authorities seek to ensure a safe and compliant online environment for users. The outcomes of these probes will not only impact individual companies but also set precedents for regulatory approaches to online content moderation and consumer protection globally.
$BABA - I might do it this time!NYSE:BABA Alibaba has the potential to break out above the neckline area, which is currently at $78.
It has already surpassed the POC (Point of Control) resistance and is now moving towards the neckline once again.
The targets mentioned in the Feb 9th post remain unchanged.
🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀💰💰💰
BABA looking goodshooting for a gap up in the morning into the box for a run at the first target. gap down and going short to the top of the box below. 4am will tell
BABA: Finding Diamond in the haystack! A diamond pattern is formed on the Alibaba weekly chart. Diamonds get formed at times of trend reversal. Breakout from the diamond pattern will bring momentum to the stock. There are signs that the down channel is also getting broken. A trade can be taken now with a stop loss at 70.87. Possible upside targets are T1: 169, T2: 232 and T3: 334.
OutbreakOn Thursday we've exceeded the over 2 months old trading range, made a little correction and opened a win dow today. For me this are clear signs of a beginning rise . As we had built a broad bottom after a steep fall that had lasted for over 2 years there is a potential for some bigger rise.
BABA weekly huge up opportunityBABA on the weekly chart looks like it is forming a massive bullish falling wedge pattern.
BABA's positive divergences indicate it could soon be able to break the upper trend line of the pattern and start it several-week bullish move.
But please remember buy opportunity starts with breaking out of the pattern not when we like it or feel it!!! Because it could still continue to drop toward to end of the pattern and a few more weeks. Anyway I assess once it breaks pattern it will be very powerfull move
ENPHLong on ENPH looking for an open above current daily PotterBox. An open above there, we should hit the trend channel and head back down. If we don't have the strength needed, I'll look short as we have plenty of empty space below AND today was a day where it looks like the market showed a bit of a bearish-ness.
BABA - as long as the low holdsNo need to overcomplicate things here. Low to high can be counted as an impulse, so there's a clear invalidation point, which is the absolute low. As long as that holds, the direction is up.
Baba to $85 in 2 to 3 weeks200ema crossover in the works and overall baba seems to have found it's bottom. Looking to enter around $77 with at least a 2 point stoploss. 10 points is a conservative price target.
Baba BULLISHFinancial Risks and Solvency:
Revenue Growth: Alibaba has shown consistent revenue growth across its segments, particularly in its core e-commerce and cloud computing businesses. However, the growth rate has decelerated compared to previous years, indicating potential market saturation or increased competition.
Profitability Concerns: Despite revenue growth, there's a notable fluctuation in net income, primarily due to non-operating factors like impairments and changes in the fair value of investments. This volatility adds financial risk.
Solvency: Alibaba maintains a strong balance sheet with significant cash reserves, suggesting solid solvency. However, the increased capital expenditure and strategic investments could impact short-term liquidity.
Market Stability:
Regulatory Environment: The Chinese regulatory crackdown on tech giants, including Alibaba, introduces market instability and unpredictability. Regulatory risks remain a significant concern for future growth and market stability.
International Expansion: Alibaba's aggressive international expansion, particularly through its Digital Commerce and Cainiao segments, diversifies its market presence but also exposes the company to geopolitical risks and operational challenges in new markets.
Bullish Fundamentals:
Cloud Computing Growth: Alibaba Cloud continues to grow, albeit at a slower pace, indicating strong market demand for cloud services in China and internationally. This segment could be a significant growth driver moving forward.
E-commerce Leadership: Despite regulatory challenges, Alibaba maintains its leadership in the e-commerce market in China, with significant growth opportunities in cross-border and rural e-commerce.
Technological Innovation: Investments in AI, cloud computing, and logistics enhance Alibaba's competitive edge and long-term growth prospects.
Bearish Fundamentals:
Regulatory Risks: Ongoing regulatory scrutiny and potential fines could impact profitability and growth prospects.
Competition: Intensifying competition in e-commerce and cloud computing from domestic and international players could erode Alibaba's market share.
Global Expansion Risks: Challenges in international markets, including regulatory hurdles, cultural differences, and competition, could impede growth outside China.
Financials:
Revenue Diversification: Alibaba's diversified business model across e-commerce, cloud, digital media, and entertainment provides multiple revenue streams, reducing reliance on a single segment.
Profit Margins: Margins have been under pressure due to increased competition and higher costs associated with strategic investments. Monitoring margin recovery will be crucial.
Cash Flow and Investments: Strong cash flow supports strategic investments, share repurchases, and dividends, enhancing shareholder value. However, the allocation of capital towards growth initiatives versus shareholder returns warrants close observation.
Conclusion:
Investing in Alibaba presents a balanced risk-reward scenario. The company's strong market position, diversified business model, and technological advancements offer solid growth prospects. However, regulatory risks, market competition, and global expansion challenges pose significant threats. Investors should weigh Alibaba's growth potential against these risks and consider the company's ability to navigate regulatory environments and sustain profitability amidst increasing competition.
$BABA has some interesting tail winds into $82I have been just watching NYSE:BABA since the news that Jack Ma resurfaced, but haven't taken much interest in it until now. It seems like the stock wants to break the down trend, possibly filling the 92-94 gap, but first it needs to move through the following levels>
Here is the plan for long. Watch these levels for calls and possible points of resistance:
$76.33 mini gap fill. Acceptance above 75.13 can take it up to $77.98. $77.22 somewhat relevant level.
Acceptance above $78 can take it up to $80.9
Acceptance above $80.9 can take it to test that $82-$83.7 range. $81.03 somewhat relevant level.
Let's see how NYSE:BABA trades to the upside in the coming weeks.
$BABA Inverse Head & ShouldersNYSE:BABA Inverse Head & Shoulders
inverse head and shoulders" pattern is a bullish reversal pattern commonly observed in financial markets, particularly in stock charts. It typically indicates a reversal of a downtrend and the beginning of a potential uptrend.
Here's a description of the inverse head and shoulders pattern:
- **Formation**: The pattern consists of three troughs. The first trough, or the left shoulder, is formed during a downtrend and is followed by a rally to a higher peak, known as the head. After the head, the price declines again, forming the second trough, which is usually lower than the left shoulder. The final trough, or the right shoulder, forms as the price rallies again but fails to reach the height of the head.
- **Neckline**: A trendline drawn connecting the peaks of the left shoulder and the head forms the neckline of the pattern. When the price breaks above this neckline after the formation of the right shoulder, it is considered a bullish signal.
- **Volume**: Volume tends to decrease as the pattern forms, then increases when the price breaks above the neckline, confirming the pattern.
- **Confirmation**: The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks decisively above the neckline on high volume. This breakout suggests that bullish momentum has overcome previous selling pressure, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Traders often use the height of the pattern (from the head to the neckline) to estimate a potential price target once the pattern is confirmed. Overall, the inverse head and shoulders pattern is considered a reliable bullish signal, but like any technical pattern, it is not foolproof and should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis.
Alibaba Food Delivery Head Steps Down In a move indicative of Alibaba's ( NYSE:BABA ) ongoing strategic evolution, longtime executive Yu Yongfu is set to step down as CEO of the firm's local services division by the end of March. This significant management reshuffle underscores Alibaba's ( NYSE:BABA ) commitment to adaptability and innovation in the fiercely competitive Chinese market landscape. With changes at the helm of key subsidiaries such as Ele.me and Amap, Alibaba is ( NYSE:BABA ) poised to recalibrate its approach to local services and drive sustainable growth amidst evolving consumer preferences.
Leadership Transition at Ele.me and Amap:
The divisional restructuring will see Wu Zeming assuming the role of chairman at Ele.me, Alibaba's ( NYSE:BABA ) prominent food delivery platform, while Han Liu steps into the position of chief executive. Meanwhile, Liu Zhenfei and Guo Ning will assume leadership roles as chairman and CEO, respectively, at Amap, Alibaba's mapping and navigation service. These leadership changes signal a strategic realignment aimed at optimizing operational efficiency and fostering innovation within Alibaba's ( NYSE:BABA ) local services ecosystem.
Implications for Alibaba's Competitive Positioning:
Ele.me's stature as one of China's largest food delivery players positions it as a crucial component of Alibaba's ( NYSE:BABA ) local services portfolio. However, despite its prominence, Ele.me has faced stiff competition from market leader Meituan. The management reshuffle underscores Alibaba's determination to fortify Ele.me's market position and enhance its competitiveness in the rapidly evolving food delivery landscape. Meituan's shares surged by 10% following news of the reshuffle, reflecting investor sentiment regarding the potential impact on market dynamics.
Continued Evolution Under New Leadership:
The executive reshuffle at Alibaba's ( NYSE:BABA ) local services division is part of a broader pattern of management changes within the company. Previous transitions, including the succession of Daniel Zhang by Eddie Wu, have signaled Alibaba's commitment to strategic agility and long-term sustainability. As Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) navigates the dynamic landscape of Chinese e-commerce and technology, the appointment of new leadership underscores the company's focus on driving innovation, enhancing operational efficiency, and delivering value to stakeholders.
BABA forming a head and shoulders patternThis chonk has been talked about alot. Because we are all trying to figure out why the 2nd amazon of the world has been beat down so bad.
So, here we are, with a beautiful and crystal clear line in the sand thick neck line. Break that neck line, confirm the pattern, off to the races. 125 target long term ,then reestablish a view. ||Chart is inverted.
9988 Baba HKEX Bullish Ready for a bull run up.
-Crossed Macd on daily view
-Divergence at 4H
- Resistance at 87 , if it breaks 87 , then look for 94
- Earning out on Nov 3rd,
- Watch for a Run up before earnings or after earnings.
- keep your stop losses & Trade within your limits.
Happy Trading.. !
Alibaba in HongKong break rejectedVolumes are five times greater than US and I think is useful to follow stock on HK market
Price cannot pass channeldown and long term trendline and this is a very bad signa
I think price will now drop to 64
Alibaba Group Holding LtdAlibaba Group Holding Ltd, finished inverse head and shoulders
Also double bottom pattern
BABA hit rock bottom at 66It seems like BABA bottom was defined @ 66
It is now slowly and steadily recovering but I wont call it a reversal until it hits the FIB golden pocket at 90+
Once it hits that target then an entry can be made to ride the wave to recovery
At the moment its still in bear trending channel so better to stay away until it hits 90
RiskMastery's Breakout Stocks - BABAF EditionWelcome to RiskMastery's Breakout Stocks - Stocks with breakout potential.
In this edition, we'll be looking at OTC:BABAF ...
I believe this code is at a point of potential volatility.
If price can hold above $9.65 ... Bullish potential may be unlocked.
My key upside targets include:
- $11.06 (Conservative)
- $12.89 (Medium)
- $14.98 (Aggressive)
If however price falls below $8.10 ... Bearish risk potential may be unlocked.
(My key risk targets - C, M,& A - are as noted on the chart)
Enjoy, and I look forward to being of further service into the future.
If you'd like to connect, feel free to reach out and comment below.
Mr RM | Risk Mastery
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