COST the retailing warehouse chain LONGCOST had lackluster earnings two months ago and is due for another report in
late September, Despite the earnings miss, COST immediately uptrended as if
traders and investors were expecting far worse. Since June 1st, COST has been
in an ascending parallel channel bounded by the dynamic support and resistance
of the first and second VWAP standard deviation lines above the mean as anchored
to a date before the earnings. The MACD is currently showing bearish divergence
while COST is at the upper resistance in the channel. As a result I will place
a short trade on COST here with a stop loss above that red dynamic resistance
line. Upon managing the trade, I will close and reopen the trade long when price
meets the lower support blue VWAP line and is likely to reverse.
COST trade ideas
$COST - Weekly (Triangle Breakout)NASDAQ:COST has a great business model, offering excellent prices for its members and paying their employees very well (good business karma)! This is especially appealing in a recession. We see that NASDAQ:COST broke out of its triangle at the end of May. R at 540 and S at 500.
$COST Breaking Out?I posted this chart on May 3, 2023, and said that it could go either way. Looks now like the market is taking it up and out of this wedge. Earnings are past so it is safe to make a move without too much volatility, IMO. I will look to go long on this into today’s close if it holds near its daily high (40 minutes to go). I will have my stop just below today’s low.
I have a link at the bottom to the last post on 5/3.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Thanks for looking. Constructive comments welcome.
COST - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]🔹COST is in a rising trend channel in the medium long term.
🔹COST has broken a resistance level in the short term and given a positive signal for the short-term trading range.
🔹COST has support at 486 and resistance at 523.
🔹Overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation Options Ahead Of EarningsIf you haven`t sold COST Costco Wholesale Corporation here:
Then Analyzing the options chain of COST Costco prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 495usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-5-26,
for a premium of approximately $9.00
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Costco Wholesale Corporation I 4H TimeframeThis chart only for educational purposes
Here I tired to combine Elliott wave analysis with harmonic and SMC.
My main goal is to look for a strategy I could use in the future using these technical analysis.
It could be wrong specially the harmonic pattern is not confirmed yet and also there is a bullish count based on Elliott, even though we could see some big reactions on the marked areas.
Regards,
$COST: Strategy, Patterns, and ProjectionsNASDAQ:COST is a core position for me. It's a fundamentally strong company:
• The company has a favorable track record of earnings beats, including yesterday's call.
• It has a 15% five-year average return on capital.
• There has been a consistent five-year trend of growth in both revenue and earnings.
• The earnings have been consistently favorable.
• Over the past five years, they have been reducing their debt.
• Their free cash flow is good, but the ratio of FCF to enterprise value is a little lower than I would like. Additionally, the FCF has been somewhat inconsistent over the past five years.
• The five-year average dividend growth is 12%, with 18 consecutive years of dividend increases.
Over the past year, I have been accumulating within this pattern. Although I am not typically a pattern trader, this is a company that I follow closely and the pattern is fairly clear. Triangles are strong trading patterns that reach targets 67% of the time. However, they typically work best with small caps and in rising markets. The price can break in either direction. Projections are placed at the breakout area and are based on the vertical distance between the initial reversal points in the triangle. If the price breaks lower, it could fill the gap in volume between $390-450. $390 is a firm area of support. If it breaks high, a retest of the prior all-time high at $610 is a reasonable target, with the next likely overhead resistance at $650.
I'm unclear whether the movement in late April was a breakout followed by a throwback to the cradle, or whether the symmetry of the movement is still within the pattern. I plan to make an entry now and another entry upon confirmation of a breakout higher. If the move fails and breaks lower, my stop will be at $440 with re-accumulation closer to $400.
COST Earnings COSTCO earning tonight, just noticed it's in a HUGE pennant. Could potentially be a big movement, though the formation isn't complete so maybe it just hits the upper line?
One thing I like about COST is that they have employees checking he entrance and exit, no shrinkage (theft) problems for them.
No position, but I'd be inclined to go long not short. Good luck to the longs. Only issue with the stock is that PE is 35, which is high for a retailer. Growth is gonna slow down which might cause it to break downward out of the pennant eventually, but I don't think it happens tomorrow
COSTCO - BULLISH SCENARIO
Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is expected to report strong third-quarter fiscal 2023 results on May 25 after the closing bell.
Several key factors contribute to Costco's positive performance, including its effective growth strategies, efficient price management, steady membership trends, and expanding e-commerce business. By offering products at discounted prices, Costco has successfully attracted customers seeking both value and convenience.
These factors have played a crucial role in the company's consistent sales growth, as evidenced by an estimated 2.4% increase in net sales and a 6.5% rise in total membership fees for the quarter under review. Costco's total paid members continue to grow, driven by its expanding customer base and high renewal rates, which further bolster sales.
The first price target is located at $ 505