5/30/24 - $cost - bad risk reward, what's not priced in?5/30/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:COST - i get it guys we're in a recession and everyone has become the poors and costco is for good times and bad and especially in bad times.
but 10% eps growth and 50x on 2025 EPS? GTFO.
i'm not going to knock you if you own this - awesome play so far - but good lawd take some nacho off the table here. this isn't a tech-gonna-scale-eat-yo-mama-lunch forever sort of company. probably does compound into this valuation but over what 2-3-4 years?
i'm not gonna short this with retail en fuego, but if i owned it - i'd be selling the whole position or most of it at this valuation. it makes zero sense at this point going into EPS w/ where rates are, risk becoming toppy. h3ll you can buy CRM with better EPS growth by 2x at less than 1/2 of the valuation and even that isn't an obvious entry px (though i've started entering).
be safe guys on this one. i'd look elsewhere. maybe you can tell me where i'm missing the boat and they've just announced a teleportation booth that gives members to free travel worldwide.
head scratcher. gl to all - at this pt, you'll need it for more than 10-15% upside. downside is probably 20-30% in the 1-2y context, i'd think. bad R/R