Sit and waitFord has been in this pennant for the past couple months, dating back to June 2022. Which means that whatever move we get out of this pennant will be big. Using the $11 mark as a very strong support and the blue trend line as a resistance, there have been no breakouts from this pennant. On the monthly we can see tremendous support at the $11 mark with both the 50 and 200 ma acting as a support, however price action really has not made up its mind. The weekly chart as of recent has seemed bearish with higher bearish volume than bullish volume
Remember, price action is more keen to follow the trend as opposed to reverse. As of now we are still in a downtrend. Will we reverse? Will we break below and fall? Only time will tell. If we fall I see price falling to $9, if we reverse I see price going to $15. Better now to sit on cash and wait for price to tell us what directional play we should get into.
FD trade ideas
$F - Descending TriangleThe bears have been able to drive this market downwards at steadily lower up swings. And conversely, the bulls have not been able to drive this market past its previous swing highs since August 2022.
Although this chart pattern and price action behavior is suggestive of bearish dominance in this market. Although the price is trading below the key EMAs. The longer time frames and the RSI bullish divergence formed from July to October 2022, does not allow us to jump into conclusions as to how to form our bias.
More important perhaps than forming our bias here, is to register how neatly this pattern is being formed, from volatility to the lack of it. To the extent that the price is now trading in a very narrow range. To the extent that a breakout with conviction in either end of the triangle, now, will be a revealing signal of where this market wants to go.
Despite the sensation of control that any sort of analysis might lend you, please note that the future is unknown. For this reason, risk management is the real name of the game here. Remember to keep your positions small and dispersed.
Cheers,
Tenacious Tribe - Backtested Trading Strategies & Studies
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F Surprised on Earnings Ready for Rising PriceFORD ( F) significantly surprised on earnings no matter that a recession may be underway and
no matter its balance sheet is saddled with debt which is increasingly more expensive to
services. Pre-orders for the Lightning F -150 are strong. On the 2H chart, price has yet to
react to the earnings surprise. Volume has picked up but nothing dramatic. The zero-lag
MACD lines have crossed under the histogram and are now crossing over the zero line.
Price in a sign of strength rose out of its Fibonacci band channel and is just below the
anchored mean VWAP while at the uppermost portion of the high volume area of the volume
profile. I see this as a good place to take a long position targettting $ 12.80 to 13.00
with a stop loss at $ 11.80 below the POC line of the volume profile.
Ford dips below $11 continues to attract buyers.Ford - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 11.15 (stop at 10.55)
Levels below 11 continue to attract buyers.
11 continues to hold back the bears.
We look to buy dips.
With signals for sentiment at oversold extremes, the dip could not be extended.
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
Our profit targets will be 12.77 and 13.07
Resistance: 11.95 / 12.50 / 13.15
Support: 11.44 / 11.00 / 10.61
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Ford to sub $5Legacy autos with large debt and high interest rates will be highly susceptible in a recession. Ford is also losing billions in their attempted transition to EVs and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future. Technically, there is a massive head and shoulders with lower high after lower high on the right shoulder.
(Trade Idea)
Enter Short: $12.85.
Stop loss: $13.20.
PT: $4.52.
R/R: 1/23.8
Estimated hold time: 3-12 months.
Not financial advice.
F Ford Motor Car Company - Trade IdeaThe Chart of the Week is: "F" Ford Motor Car Company
From a technical perspective we have a textbook WEDGE pattern formed.
Continuous pressure could lead to a breakdown offering us a SHORT play.
While it has NOT triggered yet, I'm offering you this idea for your watchlist.
A weekly settlement below 10.62 by 1% or more, would trigger a SELL.
A stop should be placed above the last swing high before the breakdown.
Multiple downside targets have been indicated for your consideration.
Upon taking profits, your stop loss should be advanced at the same time.
I hope this helps you should "F" offer us the opportunity to SHORT it!
$F (Ford Motor Company) Put Option IdeaAnd here is my first published stock option setup and we have Ford Motor Company. Now as you all can see, I am using heiken ashi candles instead of the regular candles.
In my Wyckoff and Supply/Demand studies, I tested out the heiken ashi and my results were amazing. They eliminated a lot of the noise and I was able to see where price is heading much better. I also added the RSI 14 to give me an extra confluence.
Now I must say that I have to be careful since heiken ashi candles usually open at the midpoint of the previous candle. It may be wise to open a split screen with the regular candles just to have a look at where price really is.
Ford – typical cyclical stock. Ford is a typical cyclical stock, meaning that its performance is closely tied to the broader economic cycle. During periods of economic expansion, when consumer spending is strong and employment levels are high, Ford tends to perform well as demand for its vehicles increases. However, during times of economic recession or slowdown, Ford's stock price tends to fall as consumer spending on big-ticket items like cars decreases. This is because consumers are less likely to make new car purchases when they are concerned about their financial security or have less disposable income. Therefore, the stock price of Ford is closely tied to the health of the overall economy, and tends to be more volatile than stocks in other sectors.
Why did the Ford stock price take a vacation during the recession? Because it needed a brake from all the economic downturn!
NYSE: F (FORD) - HARMONIC GARTLEY - LIMIT BUY - ATR SLHarmonic gartley completed a few days ago and was identified today. The systems criteria is still being respected so an entry was taken at the price that would originally have hit the buy limit a few days ago using the same SL that the original harmonic setup rules call for. Lets see if it plays out
Ford to try for $14.50 breakout End of AprilI've been watching Ford since July of 21 where I made the call that it would climb to $20 by January of '22.
Looking at this chart again, and just being bullish on Ford anyway, it's set to run back up to $14.50 by the beginning of May, and may even try to spike higher.
With their advancements in EV and continually staying on top of the market, I believe that we'll see this stock climb once again.
I placed an order for a Buy to open 1 F 5/5/2023 13.00 C @ Market, Day
Will Ford selloff stall at swing lows?Ford - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 11.21 (stop at 10.55)
Levels below 11 continue to attract buyers.
11 continues to hold back the bears.
We look to buy dips.
With signals for sentiment at oversold extremes, the dip could not be extended.
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
Our profit targets will be 12.77 and 13.07
Resistance: 11.95 / 12.50 / 13.15
Support: 11.35 / 11.00 / 10.61
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.