GOGLD trade ideas
GOOGL | Line DrawingThings to have in mind:
I've graphed a few historic values that most analysts have in their notes.
Alphabet Inc. reports their earnings 04.25.23 AMC: I'm anticipating the market will buy the surprise.
The %B is at a good value to "signal overbought".
#GOOG Technical AnalysisJust need a spark ! The RSI target is shown on OSC area and all indicators are positive for uptrend!
Alphabet showing peak of the swing
Alphabet showing peak of the swing, it think it should eb good for 5-10% downside in a couple of weeks.
Buy Google here for a 10-15% riseWe like Google here, solid balance sheet, decent and stable ROE. Should move back above 100 some time in the next 6 months.
The End of an Era: Is Google's Reign Over?I believe that right now is an incredible time to short googles stock, The challenges facing it over the next few years could topple its position as an industry leader.
Current price: 105.35
Target 1: 90.55 (-14%)
Target 2: 74.50 (-29%)
The regulatory scrutiny that Google is facing is a significant threat to the company's future. If the company is found guilty of antitrust violations, it could face substantial fines and restrictions on its business practices, which could lead to a loss of market share and revenue. Moreover, the negative publicity generated by these investigations could harm Google's brand image and reputation.
In addition to regulatory scrutiny, Google is also facing increased competition from Microsoft's backed venture OpenAI. OpenAI is a major player in the artificial intelligence (AI) space, and is rapidly expanding its capabilities in natural language processing, computer vision, and other areas. As Google relies heavily on AI for many of its products and services, such as search and Google Assistant, increased competition in this area could pose a significant threat to the company's market position.
These challenges have already had an impact on Google's stock price, which has fallen from its all-time high of $150.70 in November 2021 to its current level of $105.30. This decline is likely due in part to concerns about regulatory scrutiny and competition from OpenAI.
Looking ahead, it is difficult to predict with certainty what the future holds for Google. However, it is clear that the company will need to address the regulatory concerns and navigate the increasingly competitive landscape if it hopes to maintain its market position and continue to grow. If it can successfully address these challenges and continue to innovate and adapt, Google could emerge from this period of uncertainty even stronger than before. However, if it fails to do so, its stock price could continue to decline, and its market position could be threatened.
long position on GOOGMy strategy is based on price action with the reading of certain indicators that I like while respecting all the values that define the stock maket
Low risk to buyIt is only a prediction and possibility and should not be based on anyone's decision...
Google - A Manipulation Dump and an Antitrust Exit PumpIf you have a taste for anything like freedom of speech, neither Google nor YouTube are companies you will like. This thing started as a search engine that actually had the motto "Don't Be Evil" before it was corrupted by the Chinese Communist Party when "very smart people" wanted to get it into China.
You see, doing business with "China" right now always means licking the boots of the "Chinese Communist Party."
This means you have to toe the Party Line, and that means topics like the June 4 Tiananmen Square Massacre and the persecution against Falun Gong, and Hong Kong democracy have to be suppressed in accordance with whatever the regime says during the previous, current, and future 2 hour periods of each and every day.
It was then that Google developed a taste for its own form of shadowbanning and thought itself smart to roll out the CCP's ethos into its worldwide business model. When you search for content you get curated whatever gibberished and extreme leftist-establishment stuff it thinks it can give you to either attempt to nudge your opinion and values (DONALD TRUMP BAD!), or to just cover up the truth (try finding an update on the pandemic situation in China that isn't 2 weeks old).
As scary as all of that is, more terrifying is the way that Google is able to control the editorial direction of every single website on the planet, especially news media, by strictly controlling the web ads market, which it has controlled 90% of for many years.
Don't want to follow the Party's edicts on stuff like the Marxist revolutionary group Black Lives Matter destroying cities? Don't want to promote masking, social distancing, and mandatory vaccination during a "pandemic"?
Then they take your site's ad revenue away, for real.
Hint: there aren't many ways to make money with a website whose product is free words ("news") besides advertisements.
On Jan. 24 the US Department of Justice finally launched an antitrust suit against Google , seeking to financially penalize and force Google to divest its share of the markets.
What's scary about this for investors is that Google inked $209 billion in revenue from web ads in 2021. According to Q3 Financials, ~$167 billion of its $207 billion in revenue for the 9 months ending in September 2022 came from web advertisements.
This part of its business is pretty much what Google actually is. The search engine is really just there to dominate the Internet for the purposes of keeping the ad revenue train clutched in their own claws.
And curiously, when the DOJ made the suit's announcement, Google's share price only fell $6, and over the course of two days, before rebounding in the big tech short squeeze.
This is kind of a big deal because Google losing its web ad business means Google goes out of business, and US Government antitrust lawsuits aren't this kind of thing that they drop one day or that the courts or a jury will side against the administration on.
Google's Q4/FY22 earnings is Feb. 2 postmarket. This timing is especially significant considering that the FOMC rate hike is Feb. 1.
The question when facing a strange price action situation underwritten by big fundamental changes with multiple culminating timing catalysts is always: Is the stock going to go up or is it going to go down?
The thing about Google's monthly bars is there's a very small gap at $81.05, which was conveniently evaded in the October dump and kept off during the Nov-December market retrace.
The clearest view of overall price action is on the weekly candles:
My thesis is that Google will have a terrible earnings call, regardless of whatever data it puts out, because of the pending lawsuit. I suspect markets will bear trap with FOMC, regardless of the fundamentals. All of these come together to make me believe that February prints $79-$81.
Makes for a nice 25% short.
But when this arrives, I believe Google and the Nasdaq in general will actually turn around and really trend hard upwards, regardless of the fundamentals.
This makes for a nice 29.5% long if Google really only retraces into the $95 gap, and a 50%+ long if she goes into the $81 range.
I believe the reason a tech pump will happen is because the sector attracts the biggest suckers (retail, Robinhood, Reddit, Cathy Woods, Jim Cramer) and Wall Street will be using them to empty their bags.
Citadel and JPM and friends always buy low and sell high. They don't buy high and sell low. That's what you do.
If banks and funds did that, they'd be broke like you are, and we'd have Bear Sterns every month.
Once big tech starts to trend upwards, you have to be careful. The market will more or less do what Tesla did the last two weeks and just go uppy as weekly puts expire worthless.
And there will be no real sign of anything fundamental that should stop the train. Everyone will flip bullish for one reason or another (mah 200 DMA, meh trendlines, moh 76.321847234% Fibonacci) and it'll seem like it's time to get back to the good old days of 2021.
But it's not 2021. It's 2023, and everything is broken. Summer is going to be harsh, and Autumn will scare you.
And then the Chinese Communist Party will be destroyed by Wuhan Pneumonia seemingly overnight, and all the plans will be interrupted.
My advice to traders is to just risk a lot less and try to keep your risk within your winnings as much as possible. Also, if you really do see a black swan with China that crashes markets, don't buy that dip. Not even a scalp. It won't be like COVID hysteria was with 1,000 point up and down swings on the Dow this time. Everything will just gap down and stay down.
Liquidity will be a precious commodity.
One thing I've learned is that people never believe in what they think can't happen until it's unfolding in front of their face. Then they come back and are like "Wow it really did happen!"
Even I am subject to that flaw, because the length of time things take to unfold makes actually believing you are right very, very difficult.
That being said, I believe that we're looking at overall feverish bull market hysteria heading into May.
But what happens starting in May and heading into July is very likely going to change everyone's lives forever and ever.
Purchase analysis exampleThere is a balance between buyers and sellers as you see in the rectangle. We still see on the chart that the buyers are trying to break the vwap and the resistance line which sets us up for a buy position. Eventually, we find ourselves above the vwap after the resistance line was broken forcefully by a large green candle. This confirms our buy position on this second breakout...Good for you..!!!
Google -> The Stock Is BackHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Google stock has been trading in a range for quite some time now, you can also see that the upper resistance of this trading range is exactly at $105.
You can also see that we are currently again retesting this resistance area, from a weekly perspective the market seems definitely ready for a breakout so I think that this time Google stock will actually break above this key resistance area.
On the daily timeframe I am now just waiting for a breakout above this resistance area and if we then get a retest and bullish confirmation, it is quite likely that from there we will then see more continuation towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
MY THOUGHT FOR ALPHABET INC STOCKThis asset will drop [ some dollars to hit the FIB61.8 and the Ascending trendline it will start to rally up.
watch out these critical zones
Google .. falling wedgeYou know what I hate? Bullish patterns in a bearish market and vice versa.. reason why ?
They usually lead to fake out because of the low volume. You ever tried to short a double top in a bullish market ? Painful 😆
Here we are with a wedge breakout after Google has closed its most recent gap at 88.50
Google has 2 gaps that need to be close
One at 91
And the other at 94
Go to your daily chart.. The money flow is now oversold, also if you throw a trendline on the Daily rsi ymstarting from Sept RSI low, you'll see we're on support.. I think the time for shorting Google is over
Buy stop 94.35 for GOOGLHi. I see a buy signal for GOOGL. Set SL base on your risk management. thanks
Time to breakout ?Hello, I am posting here my opinion on the matter. If today's reflection on the trend spx, will be successful. I would see a break of resistance zones and visit the golden pocket. We have a huge support MA200 weekly underneath.
💥 ALPHABET GOOGL 4H-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS💥 ALPHABET GOOGL 4H-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
💗Hello ladies and gentlemen
This is my new idea for 💥GOOGL
I hope my idea is clear
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$GOOGL - reversal potential $GOOG #Google#Google has been unfairly punished amid AI craze. Its due for reversal.
When the FED signal a pause the stock could explode to the upside and back to $107 area.
buy areaFor all those interested, Google is in a strong buying area, just waiting for the area marked by the arrow
GOOGL Long Term AnalysisNASDAQ:GOOGL Hi guys,
So this is my analysis for GOOGL . Please bear in mind that this is a long term analysis and it could take time to play out.
As you can see GOOGL was in a clear Uptrend (Higher Highs, Higher Lows). We created ATH in November 2021 and since then price tried to break that level in January 2022 but that attempt to break it was not successful.
We created Lower High and finally in April 2022 trendline indicating uptrend was broken. Since then as you can see, price is creating Lower Highs and Lower Lows indicating we are in Downtrend.
Possible reversal zones are Monthly Fibonacci Levels and Historical Demand Zones (where people are BUYING this stock). So that is a pretty nice alignment if you ask me and this are the zones I will be looking to place some buys if we reach them.
For GOOGL to go up we need to break previous Lower High and of course a Downtrend Trendline as you can see on the chart. However, this can happen even now if this Lower Low holds and we start creating Higher Highs and Higher Lows to indicate return of the BUYERS and potential Uptrend, then we just follow the break of each Lower High from the past and that is exactly the point where you can consider taking some profit as these are the points where price is likely to make a pullback.
This is not a financial advice :)
Trade safe
