INTEL Bullish Reversal and Continuation NASDAQ:INTC is showing a strong rebound from a well-established support zone, as indicated by multiple price bounces.
Currently, the stock is testing a downward trendline resistance and is attempting to stay above the 200-day SMA, signaling a bullish trend shift. It might be time for Intel to fill that gap!
In my eyes, there are two options: A confirmed close above $26.2 could indicate further upside potential, with buyers gaining control. Volume has increased, suggesting growing bullish momentum. However, failure to break resistance could lead to another pullback first towards the 200 SMA and, if failed again, back to the lower demand zone.
Watch closely for this breakout confirmation in order for us to continue higher with a target of $30.
INTC trade ideas
Intel seems to be a rudderless ship
30% uplift for a CEO change... that says quite a lot. What I think most people are missing is that for changing course of a semiconductor design, it takes at a minimum of 4-5 years. To catch up with someone that's already ahead (AMD), it takes around 6 to 10 years. AMD was playing catch-up with Intel for about 10 years (remember AMD Bulldozer?)
Ever since the Core/Core 2 architecture was launched, back in 2006, Intel has dominated the market - that was up until around 2018, when AMD further improved on their Ryzen architecture. It took ~12 years for AMD to get "back in the game". Lisa Su worked wonders with AMD since 2012, became CEO in 2014, and finally managed to usurp intel through an innovative new design, chiplets.
You want to know the biggest reason why Lisa Su has been so successful? Firstly, she is an Engineer, she designs solutions to problems. I have the utmost respect for her, and I thank her tremendously for bringing back competition to the industry. But one major contributor was the fact that Intel was resting on its laurels, they did not truly innovate. Ever since about ~2013, when they launched the ~i7-2600k (which powered my PC for almost 8 good years), all their future CPU's were very marginal iterations, ~5% uplift in performance from a generation to the next is a joke, especially considering the increased power consumption. I remember there were two generations where Intel intentionally sabotaged their own CPU's by replacing the soldered thermal interface with thermal pads, just to decrease heat transfer, and create a fictitious worse product, so they could have a better one released next year (having again soldered thermal interface). Yep, people were "delidding" their CPU, getting 20-30 degrees lower temperatures, because the "engineers" at intel wanted to either save a few cents, or most likely they wanted to release the next generation of CPU's without putting in any real work for improvement. Why do I think this is the case? Because intel was lead by bean-counters.
2005 to 2012, Intel was led by Paul Otellini, a person who had over 30 years of experience at the company. The development of the Pentium can be attributed to him (prior to becoming CEO), and during his tenure, Intel market share went from ~50% to 75% (as per cpubenchmark, though I really doubt it was below 90% at that time).
2012 to 2018, Brian Krzanich, the sunset starts, practically no innovation, one generation to the next are just incremental improvements.
2018 to 2021, Bob Swan, the then CFO took over as CEO, no comment.
2021 to 2025, Pat Gelsinger, an engineer, the lead architect of the 486 CPU took over. He had very good ideas, but in my opinion not enough time to implement them.
Now Intel has a new CEO, mainly knowledgeable in software, not in hardware. I guess only time will tell, but honestly, I think if Pat had a few more years, he could have pointed the ship in the right direction. As it stands, I do not have high hopes for Intel. My prediction is a drop to 15 by the end of the year. AMD doesn't rest on its laurels, Intel needs some innovation, and innovation takes time.
Anyway, all the above are my own thoughts, and I wrote them down for entertainment purposes only. Please perform your own research before opening any positions.
Intel (INTC) Shares Surge by Approximately 14%Intel (INTC) Shares Surge by Approximately 14%
As shown in the Intel (INTC) stock chart:
→ Trading opened yesterday with a strong bullish gap.
→ By the end of the session, shares had risen by approximately 14% compared to the previous day's closing price.
According to Dow Jones Market Data, INTC shares recorded their largest percentage gain since 13 March 2020, making them the top-performing stock in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) on Thursday.
Why Did Intel (INTC) Shares Rise?
The surge followed the company's announcement of a new CEO appointment. Lip-Bu Tan, a former board member, has been named the new Chief Executive Officer, set to assume the role on 18 March. Investors reacted positively to the decision, as Tan previously achieved significant success as CEO of Cadence Design Systems.
As the Wall Street Journal put it:
"Lip-Bu Tan is Intel’s best hope for a turnaround—if Intel can be fixed at all."
Technical Analysis of Intel (INTC) Stock
In our previous analysis of INTC price movements, we identified an upward channel (marked in blue), which remains relevant.
The current bullish momentum may lead to a breakout above the long-term downward trendline (marked in red). If this happens, it could pave the way for a move towards the psychological level of $30, which served as support last year.
Intel (INTC) Stock Price Forecasts
"We really like the new CEO appointment," wrote BofA Securities analyst Vivek Arya in a note, upgrading Intel’s rating from "Underperform" to "Neutral" and raising the target price from $19 to $25.
According to TipRanks:
→ Only 1 out of 23 analysts surveyed recommends buying INTC shares.
→ The average 12-month target price for INTC is $23.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
INTC LONGIt seems to me that we are in a nice accumulation area for INTC with more positive news coming out from the company and large volumes around $20 level. The biggest scare seems to be current market volatility but so far the stock was unfazed. I'd say this is a good spot to buy for anyone interested in this company.
INTC | If Keeps This up it will get Past it's Technical IssuesINTC makes CNBC news as top mover today 3-12-25, it needs the attention, why... if Intel keeps this up it will get past it's technical issues which I think it will; buyout rumors are very real and possible and it's getting the attention it DOES deserve, I think it surprises the market with moves higher. Apple or Samsung could use all the patents and history on this mega-company, at this price I feel it's a steal absolutely. Someone must be eying taking it out outright IMO.
Strong technicals are forming right here and now.
INTC - Basing out for LEAP'sI have liked this chart for "too" long.
Long term basing out, almost gave up the bag near that $18 area, but doubled up on a few leaps and some shares.
Seems to be breaking out of the downtrend, and now retesting the trend line...
Would rather go with price levels here vs over shooting a trend line...
$18 - $20 this week?
I'm only accumulating shares, and swing trading option positions several months out for safety.
I'm not sure on day trading the stock on short term options.
Intel chart looks good to go up in a month. New announcements Intel Corporation's (INTC) stock has recently shown promising technical indicators suggesting potential upward momentum.
Intel's stock exhibits positive technical signals, supported by recent developments in AI chip manufacturing and strategic interest from industry leaders. Investors should monitor the RSI for potential overbought conditions and watch the identified support and resistance levels to gauge future price movements.
Please note that investing involves risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
Intel: "So the last shall be first..."As the Holy Bilble says in Matthew 20:16, "So the last shall be first, and the first last: for many be called, but few chosen."
We agree. After our analysis, one stock comes into focus: INTEL - a long-term buy candidate. Investment horizon: 5-10 years, the right time to get in could be now.
This is not a buy recommendation, just an exchange of ideas. You have to use your own analysis and your own head and make your own decisions.
Intel (INTC): Bullish Signs Emerging, Eyes on $75 ATHIntel (INTC) has started to show strong bullish signals, confirming a reversal after refusing to drop below $18. The stock has since climbed to $27, signaling renewed investor confidence and a potential breakout in the coming months.
Key Resistance Levels: The Path to $75
$30: The first critical resistance level that Intel must break to continue its bullish momentum.
$37: A key milestone that, if surpassed, would strengthen the uptrend.
$75 (All-Time High): The ultimate long-term target.
If Intel successfully breaks above $37, it could trigger a sustained rally toward its ATH of $75, potentially supported by industry advancements and stronger financial performance.
Risk Scenario: Consolidation and Potential Drop to $12
If Intel fails to break $30, it could enter a multi-year consolidation phase.
A prolonged range between $12 and $30 could play out if bullish momentum fades.
In a worst-case scenario, Intel could hunt the $12 level, creating a long-term accumulation zone before attempting another breakout.
Summary: Bullish Structure with Key Levels to Watch
Intel’s refusal to drop below $18 and its climb to $27 signal growing bullish momentum.
Break Above $30: Signals continuation to $37, then a long-term push toward $75.
Failure at $30: Could lead to a multi-year consolidation, ranging between $12 and $30.
The next few months will be crucial in determining whether Intel resumes a strong uptrend or enters a long accumulation phase before the next major breakout.
Intel ($INTC) at a Crossroads: Breakup Talks, Market PressuresIntel Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:INTC ) finds itself at a critical juncture as reports emerge about Broadcom and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) exploring potential deals that could split the storied chipmaker into two entities. This revelation comes amidst Intel’s ongoing struggles in maintaining its dominance in the semiconductor industry, intensified by leadership changes, manufacturing setbacks, and increasing market competition.
Broadcom & TSMC’s Interest in Intel
The Wall Street Journal recently reported that Intel rivals Broadcom and TSMC are each considering deals that would divide the company. Broadcom is reportedly analyzing Intel’s chip design and marketing business, with discussions about a potential bid, though any move would depend on securing a partner for Intel’s manufacturing division. Meanwhile, TSMC has expressed interest in taking control of Intel’s chip plants, potentially through an investor consortium.
The U.S. government is closely monitoring these developments, as Intel is viewed as a company of national security significance. Reports indicate that the Trump administration is unlikely to support a foreign entity operating Intel’s U.S. factories, adding an additional layer of complexity to any potential deal.
Intel was a major beneficiary of the Biden administration’s push to onshore semiconductor manufacturing, securing a $7.86 billion government subsidy. However, the company has struggled to execute its ambitious plans. Former CEO Pat Gelsinger set high expectations for Intel’s manufacturing and AI capabilities, but his failure to deliver led to lost contracts, a 60% drop in the company’s stock value in 2023, and layoffs affecting 15% of its workforce.
Technical Outlook
Intel’s stock (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:INTC ) closed last Friday’s session down 2.2%, but premarket trading on Monday shows signs of recovery with a 0.06% uptick. The technical indicators suggest that NASDAQ:INTC could be on the cusp of a bullish reversal, contingent on broader market sentiment.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Intel stood at 68 on Friday. This reading positions the stock near the overbought threshold but also signals that momentum is building towards a potential breakout. Also, Intel is currently trading above key moving averages, reinforcing a bullish sentiment in the near term.
Should a pullback occur, immediate support is found at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, which may serve as a demand zone for NASDAQ:INTC shares. In the event of extreme selling pressure, a drop to the one-month low of $18.50 could materialize, though such a scenario would require a significant bearish catalyst.
If bullish momentum takes hold, a breakout above resistance levels could push Intel’s stock higher, aligning with analyst expectations. The 12-month price forecast for NASDAQ:INTC stands at $25.69—an 8.86% increase from its current price.
Conclusion
Intel’s potential breakup remains speculative, but the fundamental challenges it faces underscore why such discussions are taking place. While concerns about cash flow, leadership changes, and market competition weigh on the stock, technical indicators suggest that NASDAQ:INTC may be approaching a bullish reversal.
With a critical trading week ahead, investors should monitor key support and resistance levels while staying informed about any further developments in the Broadcom and TSMC discussions. If Intel successfully capitalizes on government support and restructures its strategy, a resurgence in investor confidence could follow, pushing NASDAQ:INTC back into bullish territory.
INTEL ($INTC) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION?INTEL ( NASDAQ:INTC ) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION?
(1/9)
Q4 2024 revenue beat forecasts at $14.3B (vs. $13.8B est.), up 7% from Q3 but still -7% YoY—highlighting Intel’s ups and downs. Looking ahead? Q1 2025 guidance points to $11.7-$12.7B in revenue and break-even EPS, hinting continued headwinds. Let’s dive in! 🔎
(2/9) – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Q4 non-GAAP EPS: $0.13 (beat by $0.01), down sharply from $0.54 a year ago
• GAAP earnings hurt by $15.9B in impairment + $2.8B restructuring charges
• Gross margin set to drop from 42.1% to 36% next quarter—Ouch!
(3/9) – SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL EVENTS
• Exploring AI chip partnership w/ TSMC: Could bolster Intel’s AI presence
• Targeting SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:10B in cost cuts by 2025, citing big strides in Q3 2024
• Foundry services sees $4.5B revenue in Q4, improved operating loss due to EUV wafer mix—positive sign ⚙️
(4/9) – CONTEXT & CHALLENGES
• 2024 free cash flow: - $15.1B (vs. +$21.4B in 2020)—hurts liquidity 💸
• Declining YoY revenue + margin pressure reflect stiff competition & big CapEx
• Intel pivoting to AI & foundry services, but near-term growth remains sluggish
(5/9) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• Forward P/E ~16, trailing P/E ~72.50 = low profitability vs. AMD/NVIDIA’s sky-high multiples
• P/B ~1.06, P/S ~1.5-2 → Intel looks “cheap” compared to peers (e.g., NVIDIA P/S ~20+!)
• Stock’s -51.67% over the last year, underperforming the semiconductor sector (+96.5%) 😬
(6/9) – UNDERVALUATION OR VALUE TRAP?
• Analysts’ intrinsic value: ~$19.37-$31.27 vs. current ~$20.97 → near fair value or slightly undervalued 🤔
• But big risks: negative cash flow, competitive drubbing from AMD/NVIDIA, repeated delays…
• The market’s discount might be warranted given Intel’s execution hurdles
(7/9) – KEY RISKS
• Competitive Pressures: AMD & NVIDIA dominating AI/data center 💻
• Execution Delays: Roadmap slips for Panther Lake (2H 2025) & Clearwater Forest (2026)
• Financial Strain: High CapEx, negative FCF, suspended dividend in 2024 🚧
• Macro & Geopolitics: Trade tensions (esp. in China) + economic headwinds
(8/9) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Established brand, PC/server CPU leader
Foundry expansion, AI PC push
Cost cuts boosting operational efficiency
Weaknesses:
Market share losses, negative FCF
Delays in product launches, high CapEx
Complex design + manufacturing model
Opportunities:
AI & foundry growth via TSMC tie-ups
Government support (CHIPS Act)
Undervaluation if turnaround succeeds
Threats:
Fierce competition ( NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:NVDA )
Regulatory & trade risks (China)
Rapid AI market evolution leaving Intel behind
(9/9) Is Intel the next big turnaround story or a sinking ship?
1️⃣ Massive comeback—AI + foundry = unstoppable!
2️⃣ Meh—They’ll recover somewhat, but not lead the pack
3️⃣ Doom—Delays, negative FCF, stiff competition… pass
Vote below! 🗳️👇
INTC: Is selling going to get more intense?As NVDA is eating all its competitor's lunches, INTC seems to be the one left far behind than the others. It has a lot of work to do, and the playing field is only getting rougher with tariffs, reduced demand and increased costs. Once a PC powerhouse, is now the producers of the lowest performing chips with higher prices and no one seems to want; unless heavily discounted. So, until something changes fundamentally, the technicals will look pretty grim. As long as the price action cannot break above $39, the recent bounce can look like a 1/2, 1/2 setup to the downside for a larger wave 3, 4 and 5 to ensue. Only above $39, we can say the $18.5 low was the completion of cycle wave 2 and INTC might be entering a new golden age of cycle wave 3. But, for that, the fundamentals will need to back up the technicals. For now, the fib targets and the POC on volume profile pointing at single digit price.
$INTC Nice Long Base – Ready to Breakout?NASDAQ:INTC oh how the mighty fall from grace. But so much for nostalgia. INTC has been basing since August 2024 for over 6 months. It looks like it has support around $19. It has tried to get moving a few times but no go.
Today it has tested both the longer term and shorter-term downtrend lines (DTL). It is testing today on the news that JD VANCE said AI will be built in the US. I have tried this name before and have been stopped out for a small loss. I have an alert set on the long term DTL. Should that trigger, I will want a convincing close above it. Looks to me, risk is well defined with a stop under $19. At current price that is about an 11% Stop Loss. Too much for me, so I would go to a lower timeframe to see if there is a better Risk Reward stop. All TBD.
I am only posting this because I like the longer base and thought you might want it on your watchlist as well.
This is my idea, if you like it, make it your own to fit “your” trading plan.