Intel (INTC) Poised for Growth: Leveraging AI and Semiconductor
**Description:**
Intel Corporation (INTC) is positioned for significant growth amid rising demand for AI technology and semiconductors. The stock is currently trading around $30.68, presenting a potential upside opportunity.
**Company Chart Analysis:**
Recent charts show that Intel's stock has been in a downtrend, but key technical indicators suggest potential for a reversal. The Bollinger Bands indicate the stock is trading near its lower range, a sign of potential oversold conditions. The MACD and RSI are also hinting at bullish momentum, despite current bearish trends.
**Fibonacci Retracement Levels:**
- **0.236 (38.29):** Initial resistance level.
- **0.382 (35.33):** Significant resistance level, aligning with the $35 call option strike price.
- **0.5 (37.60):** Midpoint resistance, often a key psychological level.
- **0.618 (38.58):** Strong resistance indicating potential reversal zone.
- **0.786 (41.06):** Upper resistance level, marking a substantial recovery point.
**Growth Catalysts:**
1. **AI Demand:** The increasing adoption of artificial intelligence across various industries is driving demand for advanced processors and semiconductor technology. Intel, with its robust R&D capabilities, is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend.
2. **Semiconductor Market:** The global semiconductor market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by advancements in technology and increased digitalization. Intel's strategic investments in manufacturing and innovation place it at the forefront of this booming sector.
**Potential Upside:**
- Intel’s continued focus on innovation and expansion in high-growth areas like AI and autonomous driving could lead to substantial stock price appreciation.
- Market trends and upcoming product launches may act as catalysts, pushing the stock higher in the near to mid-term.
**Strategic Trade Idea: INTC $35 Call Option (March 2025)**
Given the potential for growth, consider the INTC $35 call option expiring in March 2025. This option provides a leveraged opportunity to benefit from Intel's anticipated upside.
- **Current Option Price:** $2.86
- **Fair Value Projection:** If Intel's stock price jumps to $36 by next month, the fair value of this call option is estimated to rise to approximately $4.29, based on the Black-Scholes model.
**Conclusion:**
Intel’s strategic positioning in AI and semiconductors presents a compelling growth narrative. For traders looking to capitalize on this potential, the INTC $35 call option offers an attractive speculative opportunity. Monitor the Fibonacci levels for potential entry and exit points.
---
*Disclaimer: This idea is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please perform your own research before making any trading decisions.* DR SAUD
INTCD trade ideas
Intel potential reversalIntel seems to have formed an Island bottom reversal and may be ready to claim back previous levels. I am targeting 41 within the next 3 to 6 weeks but it could take longer. INTC has been lagging the AI / tech trend and i believe it has the potential to do so.
full disclosure i have a 31$ call I bought when the stock was at 30.80 on which i am up 141%. I will let it ride unless i see some weakness and i will sell.
I am betting INTC will fill the gap, which would lead to some considerable upside.
$INTC has its biggest run in a long timeNASDAQ:INTC has hit the 1st level.
We are being strategic and locking in some gains. We are over 10% profit mark in a few days & Intel is above the gap fill area, which was the 1st tranche of selling.
Still have a good sized position and wrote covered calls on 1/4 of the position.
NASDAQ:SMH NASDAQ:SOX
$INTC - slow but bullishOn the 1 month chart, we see it starting to get back into the zone of accumulation from it's last run up. This stock moves slow, lots of back holders means lots of taking profit as it moves back up which could crack the chart based on volume bought vs sold. Either way, it looks like it wants to make a move, and the microchip sector is booming right now. keeping on eye on this one.
$INTC trade looking goodBuilt a larger than normal position on #Intel.
NASDAQ:INTC
The sell areas are highlighted by the yellow circles.
1st tranche around 34.5.
2nd tranche around 43.5.
3rd tranche around 49.
There will be a trailer left for a longer term hold/ This is with the hope that there is a turnaround in the company.
The last gap fill is in the low 60's.
NASDAQ:SMH
NVDA to save IntelThis may be one of the best entries you get to intel in your life time. NVDA just announced today that all of their new super computer systems are utilizing Intel chips alongside NVDA chips. This is going to push a huge surge in demand for Intel, and also help them get back on track with creating chips that the market/future market actually wants/needs.
This gives actual opportunity for Intel to turn the ship around and lead to years if not a decade of growth.
Hugely risky play. GL
INTC - What It will look like if it doesn't turn Bearish This green curve on INTC may create a temporary support for price allowing the bull run to continue
I expect a double bottom if this occurs and then a bull move up towards the orange dotted line.
If the green line breaks it looks more bearish than bullish.
INTC overview before earnings INTC has recently seen a decline within price from the highs of $40 - 50 levels. INTC has reached a level of stability around $30 and has successfully pulled up from these levels.
Due to earnings soon which comes with more volatility and (therefore more price action), there is a possibility to go higher though I am still conscious that these levels could be invalidated due to bad press/news etc.
If there is bad press, it is likely to drop around to the $20 - 26 levels though depends on the market's views.
INTC is currently trading at its 52 week low of around the $30 and we'll see if this level is sustained or invalidated.
Overall, I believe INTC has possibility to grow though upcoming news upon Intel to halt $25-billion Israel plant, and with the reports of their earnings and the market sentiment will overall decide this.
Currently in a trade long at 30.01. Still quite bullish about situation but could change if new news comes out, and will adjust position accordingly.
INTC - RISING DEMANDWE HAVE BEEN WAITING FOR MONTHS!!
IMPORTANT INFO INCASE YALL DIDN’T KNOW
Intel (INTC) is actively pursuing several strategies to boost its stock performance and position itself for future growth, particularly in AI and semiconductor manufacturing.
1. **AI Integration and Innovation**: Intel is significantly investing in integrating AI capabilities across its product lineup to meet the rising demand in various sectors. This includes the development of AI-PC chips and the Gaudi3 AI accelerators aimed at challenging Nvidia's dominance. Intel's strategy is to make AI a core component of its future products, enhancing performance and efficiency across its offerings (investorplace.com) (investorplace.com).
2. **Foundry Business and Government Support**: Intel is expanding its chip foundry business, which could benefit from substantial government support under the CHIPS and Science Act. This act aims to bolster domestic semiconductor production, which aligns with Intel's strategic goals. The company is expected to receive significant funding, aiding its efforts to become a leading player in the global semiconductor market (investorplace.com) (investorplace.com).
3. **Sustainability Initiatives**: Intel is also focusing on sustainability, aiming to be the most sustainable foundry in the industry. Recent efforts include using 99% renewable electricity in its factories and achieving net positive water usage in several countries. These initiatives not only enhance Intel's environmental profile but also appeal to investors looking for sustainable business practices (www.intc.com).
4. **Financial Performance and Market Position**: Intel's recent financial performance shows promise, despite some challenges. The company has consistently met top-line, gross margin, and EPS targets for consecutive quarters. The anticipated growth in AI and foundry businesses is expected to support long-term gains, although investors might need to be patient as these initiatives fully materialize (www.intc.com) (investorplace.com).
5. **Product Roadmap and Innovations**: Intel has outlined an ambitious product roadmap, including the development of advanced process nodes and new packaging technologies. The introduction of Intel 14A, following Intel 18A, is part of its strategy to stay ahead in technology innovation. Additionally, Intel's spin-off of Altera to focus on FPGA (Field Programmable Gate Array) technologies marks a significant move to target a broader market and enhance its competitive edge (www.intc.com) (investorplace.com).
Overall, Intel's strategic focus on AI, its expanding foundry business, strong sustainability efforts, and a robust product roadmap position it well for future growth. These factors, combined with potential government support, make Intel a promising stock for long-term investors.
INTC price action says it's gonna break but indicators say otherINTC is forming a descending wedge with support at $30. This price action gives a chance for it to break down to 28.69.
I think the break down will happen after the NVDA split. Every stock that has made a major run into a split has sold off right after. With NVDA owning the entire Semiconductor sector I think this brings any weak stock down with it.
BUT......MACD and RSI say it's bound to go up. I would need to see it break above the AVWAP from the gap down from earnings to say it's bullish again.
INTL SUPPISTANCE CURVES LONG TERMThis is the modern long term chart for the 2000s price range. INTL has recently been getting beat up by its competition but if it gets its act together it may be able to recover here. Im not sure what will happen but this could potentially be a great place to start a position if you believe the company will begin to do well again.
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 21 - INTC - (7th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing Intel (INTC), starting from the 6-Month chart.
Intel Corporation | INTCIntel reported second quarter earnings on Thursday, showing a return to profitability after two straight quarters of losses and issuing a stronger-than-expected forecast. the stock rose 7% in extended trading.
Here’s how Intel did versus Refinitiv consensus expectations for the quarter ended July 1:
Earnings per share: 13 cents, adjusted, versus a loss of 3 cents expected by Refinitiv.
Revenue: $12.9 billion, versus $12.13 billion expected by Refinitiv.
For the third quarter, Intel expects earnings of 20 cents per share, adjusted, on revenue of $13.4 billion at the midpoint, versus analyst expectations of 16 cents per share on $13.23 billion in sales.
Intel posted net income of $1.5 billion, or 35 cents per share, versus a net loss of $454 million, or a loss of 11 cents per share, in the same quarter last year.
Revenue fell 15% to $12.9 billion from $15.3 billion a year ago, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of declining sales.
Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger said on a call with analysts the company still sees “persistent weakness” in all segments of its business through year-end, and that server chip sales won’t recover until the fourth quarter. He also said that cloud companies were focusing more on securing graphics processors for artificial intelligence instead of Intel’s central processors.
David Zinsner, Intel’s finance chief, said in a statement that part of the reason the report was stronger than expected was because of the progress the company has made toward slashing $3 billion in costs this year. Earlier this year, Intel slashed its dividend and announced plans to save $10 billion per year by 2025, including through layoffs.
“We have now exited nine lines of business since Gelsinger rejoined the company, with a combined annual savings of more than $1.7 billion,” said Zinsner.
Revenue in Intel’s Client Computing group, which includes the company’s laptop and desktop processor shipments, fell 12% to $6.8 billion. The overall PC market has been slumping for over a year. Intel’s server chip division, which is reported as Data Center and AI, saw sales decline 15% to $4 billion plus Intel’s Network and Edge division, which sells networking products for telecommunications, recorded a 38% decline in revenue to $1.4 billion.moreover Mobileye, a publicly traded Intel subsidiary focusing on self-driving cars, saw sales slip 1% on an annual basis to $454 million and Intel Foundry Services, the business that makes chips for other companies, reported $232 million in revenue.
Intel’s gross margin was nearly 40% on an adjusted basis, topping the company’s previous forecast of 37.5%. Investors want to see gross margins expand even as the company invests heavily in manufacturing capability.
In the first quarter, the company posted its largest loss ever as the PC and server markets slumped and demand declined for its central processors. Intel’s results on Thursday beat the forecast that management gave for the second quarter at the time.
Intel management has said the turnaround will take time and that the company is aiming to match TSMC’s chip-manufacturing prowess by 2026, which would enable it to bid to make the most advanced mobile processors for other companies, a strategy the company calls “five nodes in four years.” Intel said on Thursday that it remained on track to hit those goals.
Nvidia has had an amazing run, but any emerging technology, such as AI, which is bottlenecked by a single company will have issues in growth. Consulting firm McKinsey has pegged the AI market to be worth $1 trillion by 2030, but also that it was in an experimental and in early phases of commercial deployment.
While Nvidia will likely retain its leadership in GPU hardware as applied to AI for the foreseeable future, it is likely that other hardware solutions for AI systems will also be successful as AI matures. While technologist may quibble on specifics, all major AI hardware today are based on GPU architectures, and as such I will use the terms and concepts of AI hardware and GPU architecture somewhat interchangeably.
One likely candidate for AI related growth may be AMD (AMD), which has had GPU products since acquiring ATI in 2006.However, unlike Nvidia, which had a clear vision for of general-purpose GPU products (GPGPU), historically, AMD had largely kept its focus on the traditional gaming applications. AMD has developed an AI architecture called XDNA, and an AI accelerator called Alveo and announced its MI300, an integrated chip with GPU acceleration for high-performance computing and machine learning. How AMD can and may evolve in the AI may be subject of a different article.
Another contender for success in the AI applications using GPU is Intel, who is the focus of this article. Intel has maintained a consistent, if low key focus on GPU hardware focused on AI applications over the last decade. Intel’s integrated HD Graphics is built into most modern processor ICs; however, these are insufficient compared to dedicated GPUs for high-end inferencing or machine learning tasks.
It has 2 primary GPU architectures in production release:
In 2019 Intel Corporation acquired Habana Labs, an Israel-based developer of programmable deep learning accelerators for the data center for approximately $2 billion. Habana Labs’ Gaudi AI product line from its inception focused on AI deep learning processor technologies, rather than as GPU that has been extended to AI applications. As a result, Gaudi microarchitecture was designed from the start for the acceleration of training and inferencing. In 2022 Intel announced Gaudi2 and Greco processors for AI deep learning applications, implemented in 7-nanometer (TSMC) technology and manufactured on Habana’s high-efficiency architecture. Habana Labs benchmarked Gaudi2’s training throughput performance for the ResNet-50 computer vision model and the BERT natural language processing model delivering twice the training throughput over the Nvidia high end A100-80GB GPU. So, Gaudi appears to give Intel a competitive chip for AI applications.
Concurrent with the Habana Labs’ Gaudi development, Intel has internally developed the Xe GPU family, as dedicated graphics card to address high-end inferencing or machine learning tasks as well as more traditional high-end gaming. Iris® Xe GPU family consists of a series of microarchitectures, ranging from integrated/low power (Xe-LP) to enthusiast/high performance gaming (Xe-HPG), data center/AI (Xe-HP) and high-performance computing (Xe-HPC). The architecture has been commercialized in Intel® Data Center GPU Flex Series (formerly codenamed Arctic Sound) and Intel® Arc GPU cards. There is some question on Xe GPU future and evolution. Intel has shown less commitment to the traditional GPU space compared to Gaudi. Nonetheless, it does demonstrate Intel ability to design and field complex GPU products as its business requires.
Intel has many other AI projects underway. The Sapphire Rapids chips implements AI specific acceleration blocks including technology called AMX (Advanced Matrix Extensions), which provides acceleration inside the CPU for efficient matrix multiplications used in on-chip inferencing and machine learning processing by speeding up data movement and compression. Intel has supporting technologies such as Optane, which while cancelled as a production line, is available for their needs of a high-performance non-volatile memory, one of the intrinsic components in any AI product.
Based on the above, Intel appears to have competitive hardware solutions, however if we look at Nvidia success in AI, it is a result of a much a software and systems focus as it is the GPGPU hardware itself. Can Intel compete on that front. Ignoring for the moment that Intel has a huge software engineer (approx. 15,000) resource, it also has- access to one of the leading success stories in perhaps the most competitive AI application – self driving cars.
Mobileye, who was acquired by Intel in 2017, has been an early adopter and leader, with over 20 years of experience in automotive automated driving and vision systems. As such, Mobileye has a deep resource of AI domain information that should be relevant to many applications. Mobileye has announced that it is working closely with Habana, as related divisions within Intel. While Intel is in the process of re-spinning out Mobileye as public company, Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY), at present Intel still owns over 95% of shares, keeping it effectively an Intel division.
In looking at Intel, we have a company with the history, resources, and technology to compete with Nvidia and infrastructure. They have made significant investment and commitment to the emerging AI market, in times when they have exited other profitable businesses. It should also be understood that AI related product are a small percentage of overall Intel revenues (INTC revenue are more than twice NVDA, even if NVDA has 6x its market cap), and continues to keep its primary business focus on its processor and foundry business.
Hopefully for shareholders, Intel continues to push their AI technology and business efforts. Their current position is that this is strategic, but Intel is in a very fluid time and priorities may change based on business, finances, and of course the general interest and enthusiasm for AI. It is always worth noting that AI as a technical concept is mature, and appears to be cyclical, with interest in the technical community rising and falling in hype and interest once every decade or so. I remember working on AI applications, at the time labeled as expert systems in the 1980s. If we are currently at a high hype point, this may be temporary, based on near term success and disappointment in what AI does achieve. Of course, as always, “this time is different” and the building blocks of effective AI systems currently exist, where for previous iterations, it was more speculative.