Bank of America, Daily
Bank of America Corporation (symbol ‘BAC’) share price rose by around 22% in the last quarter of the year and managed to cover the losses incurred in the previous quarter. The company is expected to report its earnings for the fiscal quarter ending December 2023 on Friday 12th of January before market open. The consensus EPS for the quarter is $0.68 compared to the result for the same quarter last year of $0.85.
‘ Bank of America had steady increasing net income throughout the whole of 2023 while its debt makes up only 10% of its total liabilities. Even though these might show a sound positive balance sheet , the current ratio says otherwise. The company has a current ratio of just 83% which means that it does not have the ability to repay its short term liabilities with the current assets at hand. This might be a dealbreaker for some investors to divert their capital into the company as an investment.’ said Antreas Themistokleous, an analyst at Exness.
From the technical analysis perspective the price had a rather steady bullish trend in the last couple of months and is currently testing the support level of the 61.8% of the weekly Fibonacci retracement level. The Stochastic has been recording extreme overbought levels for about 2 months while at the same time the bullish momentum is shown to be slowing down. Both of these indicate that it is possible to see a correction to the downside in the near short term. If this is the case then the first area of possible support might be found around the $ 32 price area which is made up of the 50% of the weekly Fibonacci retracement level as well as the inside support area of price reaction in early August. A second area of possible support could be the $30 price level which consists of the touch of the lower band of the Bollinger bands and the 50 day moving average, the 38.2% of the weekly Fibonacci retracement level and also the psychological support of the round number.
JPMD trade ideas
JP Morgan Chase & Co, Daily
Shares in JP Morgan Chase and Co (symbol ‘JPM’) had a rather aggressive bullish rally beginning in late October and managed to gain around 20% in just 2 months. JPM is expected to release its earnings report for the quarter ending December 2023 on Friday 12 January, before market open. The consensus estimate for earnings per share is $3.64 compared to the result for the same quarter last year of $3.57.
‘ As of 30/09/2023 the net income of the bank has increased by 37% year over year while at the same time the current ratio is at 90% indicating that any short term turmoil could potentially have a significant impact on the operations of the company. From a dividend perspective the yield is currently at 2.34% which is rather positive from the shareholders viewpoint making the share of the company somewhat more attractive.’ said Antreas Themistokleous, an analyst at Exness.
On the technical side the price has been trading in a steady bullish momentum for the last 2 months and is on track to break it's all time high level of $171.78 which was set on 22 October 2021. The Stochastic oscillator is in the extreme overbought level for a prolonged amount of time while the price is trading above all technical indicators potentially indicating a correction in the following sessions leading up to the earnings release. On the other hand the 50 day moving average is trading above the slower 100 day moving average validating the overall bullish trend in the market.
JP MORGAN Approaching the ideal sell level.JP Morgan Chase (JPM) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the October 12 2022 market bottom. Currently it is on a relentless rally since the October 27 2023 Higher Low, which is technically the Bullish Leg towards the Channel's top and new Higher High.
The peak points of the previous two main Bullish Legs of the Channel Up, took place when the 1D RSI formed Lower Highs against the price's Higher Highs, which is a technical Bearish Divergence. Since the price is currently so close to the top of the Channel Up, we will wait for the RSI to form that Lower High sequence and enter a confirmed sell. Our target will be 163.00, which is a projected contact with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.382 Fibonacci Channel level, which has always been reached during Bearish Legs.
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JP MORGAN: Can extend this rise to the top of the Channel UpJPM may be overbought on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 82.199, MACD = 3.72, ADX = 70.645) but is extending the bullish leg of the 14 month Channel Up. It sits comfortably over its middle and calls for an extension. We will enter on the closing of the first red 1D candle and target the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (TP = 174.00), which was the December 1st 2022 HH.
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JPM time to run awayJPM was in a huge symmetrical triangle, and a few days ago, it broke out of it. However, while breaking out of it, JPM was already overbought, and there is a small chance it can continue with this pump further without cooling down.
Yesterday it made a huge bearish reversal engulfing candle, which is showing the turnaround is here. MACD is trying to turn down, while RSI, from overbought territory, is trending down.
For bulls, the only chance is for JPM to stall here, stop its dropping above the trend line on small volume for several days, and then break strong up.
For bears, well, if JPM returns to the symmetrical triangle, it would represent an extremely powerful bearish pattern called a fake breakout or better call it a bearish dead hook and would indicate a strong drop is ahead of us. The drop would be almost certain towards the 200-day MA and upsloping trendline around $144.
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JPM NegativeThe reason that I charted this is because it looks like JP Morgan has a had a spike today but will potentially see an uptrend (bull flag) and hit near $149.00 by or before the EOD or a down trend because it is failing to continue to push to new supports (based off of Today's chart only). I am predicting it to fall based off of MACD not maintaining momentum as well as risk in the flag.
Why Jamie Dimon SoldOn the 3 month chart, the bottom of our current trend was way way back in 2008 after the crash. We finally formed a lower high on our 3 month RSI in 2021, the lower high that we formed in July 2023 was also a rejection under the moving average. We are now in a downtrend on the 3 month chart. there is no major support until we get in 50's range. Most of the major companies look this way. Across the board. I'm going to repeat it again. We are in a confirmed 3 month timeframe downtrend. This has been a 15 year process and it has led to massively overvalued companies whose share prices do not reflect current or predicted future earnings. We are at the very very top of a mountain and there isn't anything below. No one looks at the 3 month, but it shows clearly just how dire the situation is for equity markets.
JP Morgan Chase & Co to $40 and belowA safe pair of hands. That’s what they tell me about JP Morgan. The chart says otherwise.
On the above 2-month chart a significant negative divergence has confirmed with price action. Looking left history tells us a correction of up to 80% follows with those powerful divergencies. A strong sell signal also printed on the chart similar to that in 1999 (not shown on chart).
Is it possible price action continues rising? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Shall continue to study banks around the world to determine if this is a global issue or restricted to the USA. Indications at this time suggest the stress is restricted to American, Australia, & Swiss banks, I don’t know why. Remaining European banks do not appears to show the same bearishness.
Ww
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold JPM here:
or reentered ahead of the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 147usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-13,
for a premium of approximately $1.91.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
JPM gap up on Earnings, now back in to the range... Played OTM NOV20 calls when NYSE:JPM FTFC flipped to green.
Loads of #TheStrat elements now in this chart a week and a nice +130% later.
Exited above the top of the tri (18 m's) after opening, when price stopped going higher and started to reverse.
Broadening formation: higher highs, lower lows, higher highs. See how it took out 3 weekly pivots (in blue) after last weekend post.
Giant shooter on the daily after Earnings (gap up): 'mind the gap' as Rob thought us.
Now, back into the range. Full Time Frame Continuity no longer green on all (my) major timeframes, but red on the day and on the 60.
JP MORGAN Buy signal triggered.JP Morgan Chase crossed over the MA50 (1d) and despite the intra day pull back, it is considered a bullish signal.
This came after the price hit and bounced on the MA200 (1d).
That was the bottom of the 11 month Channel Up.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 157.00 (under the Resistance, same with the April break out).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) also crossed over its Falling Resistance. Again similar to April's fractal.
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JPM Earnings and Buying OpportunityJPM Earnings and Buying Opportunity
Bloomberg Markets: "JPMorgan posts another quarter of record net interest income and boosts its forecast for the year as it benefits from higher interest rates and its purchase of First Republic Bank"
Daily Closing above 148 $ may trigger the bullish PA.
Targets : 150 $ 153 $ 159 $
JPMorgan launches new blockchain-based product
The commercial bank JPMorgan tested the Tokenized Collateral Network (TCN) system for tokenizing collateral, conducting a real transaction between the financial giants BlackRock and Barclays.
TCN converted shares of one of the investment funds into corresponding tokens, which were then used as collateral for an over-the-counter derivative deal between the two companies.
Such a mechanism greatly simplifies settlements due to the fact that tokenized assets can be used as collateral for transactions, which means that there is no need to physically sell them.
The testing of this system took place in the spring, but only now the first real transaction occurred, which showed fantastic results according to the bank’s management.
J.P. Morgan Enhances Data Management Capabilities for SecuritiesJ.P. Morgan today announced the launch of its Securities Services Data Mesh for institutional investors, available through Fusion by J.P. Morgan (Fusion). The solution enables investors to retrieve critical investment data held by J.P. Morgan’s Custody, Fund Accounting and Middle Office services, using cloud-native channels including REST APIs, Jupyter notebooks and the Snowflake Financial Services Data Cloud.