The Truth About 2nd Retests in Forex, Stocks, and Crypto"Structure protects the trader from their own emotions."
This post is for those traders out there who have been second-guessing themselves when the market pulls back. If you're noticing second retests more frequently in Forex compared to stocks and crypto, you're not imagining things. Let me break it down from experience and research.
🔄 2nd Retests: What Are They?
The "2nd retest" refers to when price:
Breaks through a key level
Pulls back to that level
Then comes back again to retest that zone before the real trend unfolds
💱 Forex: Where Retests Move Fast
Forex has high liquidity and volume. When a level is broken, you often get a quick pullback, then a second retest -- sometimes in the same session. It's common to catch a good entry, see profit, then watch price reverse, hit the zone again, and consolidate with a W or M formation.
This is where most traders start to doubt themselves.
But if you're reading structure and candles properly, you're not wrong -- you're just early.
Remember: Forex is designed to shake you out with speed.
📊 Stocks: Slower and Sentiment-Driven
Stocks don’t move like Forex. They’re based more on fundamentals, earnings, and market sentiment.
2nd retests happen, but they play out over days or weeks
You often see consolidation ranges instead of clean pullback entries
That means unless you’re patient or watching higher time frames, you’ll miss it or get caught in sideways chop.
💿 Crypto: The Middle Ground
Crypto behaves like Forex, but slower. Patterns like W and M retests still appear – but it takes more time. The liquidity isn’t as deep, and reactions are more volatile.
You need strong discipline
You need to trust your zones
Don’t expect instant gratification
🧠 My Strategy: Multi-Timeframe Surfing
I personally surf between multiple timeframes to track how the candle looks and behaves:
Lower timeframes = Reaction + Entry Zones
Higher timeframes = Intent + Trend Bias
When I catch the first breakout and get into profit, I don’t panic if the 2nd retest comes.
I look for structure -- not emotion.
If you're unaware of the candle you're trading on, you'll always feel lost in the retracement.
So instead of jumping ship, I wait. I watch the new candle form. I know where I'm at in the story. That's what keeps me in the trade and out of my feelings.
🔹 Final Takeaway:
Whether you're trading Forex, Crypto, or Stocks — the market always leaves clues.
But you need:
A solid grasp of structure
Understanding of candle behavior
Patience to let the 2nd retest show its true intent
Stay sharp. Stay grounded. Trust the chart — not the chatter.
Let me know your thoughts below. How often do YOU see these 2nd retests in your trading?
META trade ideas
META in a Tug-of-War: Gamma Pin Threatens Breakout Setup📊 Technical Analysis (1H Timeframe)
META has recently completed a strong bounce from below the lower trendline of the ascending intraday channel. However, the follow-through was weak, and price is currently consolidating tightly just beneath the midpoint of the Gaussian channel.
* Channel Structure: META is still respecting the ascending parallel channel, but recent candles show hesitation near the midline. There's visible loss of momentum since touching $588.
* Key Levels:
* Resistance: $555 (psychological + rejection zone) and $588.28 (upper channel).
* Support: $535.38 (retest level) and $494.23 (channel base).
* Volume: Rising volume on the initial breakout, but fading in the sideways zone—sign of indecision or smart money waiting.
* RSI: Currently flatlining under 50, indicating neutral momentum with slight bearish bias.
💡 What to Watch:
META is building pressure near a pivotal level. If it breaks $555 with volume, it opens room toward $570–$588. But if it loses $535 support, sellers might regain control, pushing toward $520–$500 zone.
🧠 Options GEX Sentiment + IV Outlook
META is pinned hard by options market makers, and the GEX setup shows tension in both directions:
* Highest Negative GEX / PUT Support: $543
* 2nd Put Wall (High Gamma Impact): $535
* Call Resistance: $600, with strong clusters at $570 and $555
* GEX Read: Very negative near $543–$535, implying dealer buying pressure (support zone) if price dips.
📉 IV & GEX Stats:
* IVR: 76.6
* IVX Avg: 66
* IV Slope: -6.34% (slowing implied volatility)
* Options Sentiment: 23% PUTs — moderately bearish bias, but not overly fearful.
📈 Suggested Option Strategy
Neutral to Slightly Bullish Setup
Gamma pin near $543 suggests limited downside risk unless $535 fails.
Trade Idea:
* Debit Call Spread: Buy $550C / Sell $570C for next week
* Defined risk and reward while playing the bounce to resistance.
* Alternative: If $535 breaks — shift to bearish spreads or short-term puts toward $515 target.
🧩 Final Thoughts
META is coiled between strong dealer support and overhead option walls. Gamma compression might suppress large moves until $543 breaks cleanly in either direction. Smart trade is to wait for a breakout or rejection confirmation before sizing in heavily.
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade your own plan, manage risk, and stay nimble.
META watch out if market is not completing a V-form
Mark does not look happy....
See that META is now below the MA, since it had the previous behavior of falling like a stone massive amount of percentage, it is more likely to do it again.
Look on this one carefully if you are long.
If the market will not complete the V-Formation, and shoot up, we may see the stock fall again, substantially.
META Screaming CAUTION!The hardest thing is to call a short in a recession-proof stock, especially in the tech space. However, only so many dollars are available in the advertisement space, and it can't go up forever. Make this excuse at any price.
As such, I rely on the chart screaming CAUTION!
Again like most of my trade setups, this is a simple trade.
Bulls should take their profits and smile.
Bears short as high as possible with the internet to short more should it form a double top.
The chart has spoken. Like it or not.
Remember I am a macro trader so don't expect tomorrow to play out. My trades take time but have much bigger moves. ;)
META watch $486/89: Major Support for at least a DeadCat bounce META dropping even though it is mostly immune to tariffs.
Now approaching a major support zone just below $490.
This should give at least a "dead cat" bounce to $508 fib.
$485.95 - 489.05 is the exact support zone of interest.
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Meta: Extraordinary Gains Unravel as Tariffs Amplify Sell-OffMeta posted an unprecedented 741% rally from $88 to $740 within two years, culminating in early 2025. The exhaustion pattern at 740—coupled with the breakdown of the 694 and 630 support levels—signalled the end of the bull run. The last stand at 564 failed in March, unleashing a steep 15% drop over three trading sessions.
Currently sitting near $504, Meta is testing the crucial 500 psychological barrier. A clean break could open the way to 460, 434, 410, and even 394. Any bounce will face resistance at 524 and 564—key levels where bulls previously failed to hold momentum.
Fundamentally, Meta faces significant advertising revenue pressures due to economic uncertainty and declining consumer engagement triggered by tariff-induced stress. Rising production costs for Reality Labs hardware, intense regulatory scrutiny, foreign exchange headwinds, and broader recessionary risks compound Meta's vulnerabilities, validating bearish technical forecasts and placing severe pressure on investor sentiment.
META Can it hold its 1W MA50?Meta Platforms (META) has been trading within a 1-year Channel Up and yesterday it hit its 1W MA50 (red trend-line), breaching the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) which held the correction last week.
Even though the bottom of the Channel Up is currently $40 lower, holding he 1W MA50 is critical because it has been kept intact since the February 02 2023 bullish break-out.
The first signs are encouraging as the 1D RSI is on Higher Lows, despite the stock's Lower Lows, which is a Bullish Divergence. So as long as this Channel Up bottom Zone holds, we expect META to initiate its new Bullish Leg and test initially its previous Resistance (ATH) as it did on July 05 2024 and August 22 2024. Our Target is $740.
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Could META Be Setting Up for a Sharp Reversal?The Meta Platforms (META) chart just printed a textbook bull exhaustion. If you’re looking for high-flying tech stocks that may be due for a breather, this might be one of them.
🔎 Chart Breakdown (9W Time Frame):
Current Price: ~$510
Jan ‘25 High: $740.91
Bearish Targets:
🎯 Zone 1: $340.01 (61.8% Fib retracement)
🎯 Zone 2: $230.27
🧱 Sept ‘22 Low: $88.09 (extreme long-term support)
Technical Structure:
META saw a near uninterrupted bull run from late 2022 through early 2025
The current candle broke structure with a clear momentum shift
This looks like a repeat pattern from previous highs, signaling a potential reversal
The chart shows two key demand blocks where price could look to stabilize after correction
🚨 My Take:
META is showing the same vertical climb structure we saw on Netflix before the pullback. When growth stocks run this far, this fast, a correction is not only expected — it's healthy.
I’m not saying it’s crashing to the bottom, but a retracement to $340–230 zones makes sense based on historical price action. If you're in this for the long haul, these levels may offer better re-entry opportunities.
📌 Not financial advice — just a trader’s eye on macro structure.
META - Melt up & Crash series [3]Blue bull flag (you can't see it unless you zoom in) perfectly broke out and backtested itself creating a new low. Now up from here. All this pent up energy ready to go.
With the room on the RSI I feel it could even reach 2.618 or 3.618 (will have to react assess closer). For now we assume resistance will hold and 1.618 is target before crash.
Not financial advice.
META's NEXT BOTTOM FOR THE CORRECTION (SHORT)Meta target reached 746, the level in our previous post.
The correction is currently in progress and by the numbers an aligning bottom within the growth sequence puts the bottom at 485 level. An extended bottom below 485 will see price bottoming at 413 or 385 levels.
Trade safe
Global stock sell-off uh oh!This analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research.
The stock market doesn’t really give a damn about what you think. It’s unemotional. DIS or META does not care about your feelings about them, believe it or not. You should be excited that stocks are on sale. If they are on sale even more, you should be even more excited.
You should see it as a form of extreme couponing.
And you know how excited extreme couponers get!
Everyone talks about buying when others are fearful but not many people do it. But extreme couponers, you know, they’re excited every day. Let’s try and be more like extreme couponers.
GOOG 16x earnings, NVO 17x fwd earnings, you know the drill…
Go Long on Meta: Navigating Tech's Resilience - Key Insights: Meta demonstrates
resilience amidst tech sector volatility. With key support levels holding, it
presents a potential opportunity for bullish positions driven by sector recovery
expectations and macroeconomic conditions. Pay attention to regulatory impacts
and earnings reports which could sway investor sentiment.
- Price Targets: For a
long position, aim for T1 at $600 and T2 at $630, maintaining stops at S1 of
$550 and S2 at $540 for risk management. These levels align with market
sentiment and technical analysis, offering a pathway for potential gains. -
Recent Performance: Meta has maintained its structural support despite broader
market challenges affecting the tech sector. While facing downturn pressures
alongside large-cap tech stocks, it shows robust technical setups and the
ability to hold critical support levels.
- Expert Analysis: Experts highlight
Meta's sensitivity to macroeconomic factors and sector-specific challenges.
Attention is on its technical levels, especially around the 200 SMA, ensuring
momentum is preserved. Regulatory developments in the social media space and
ByteDance's strategic moves could influence Meta.
- News Impact: Upcoming
earnings reports and regulatory issues surrounding TikTok may affect Meta's
market dynamics significantly. These events are poised to shift investor focus,
potentially impacting privacy and geopolitical sentiments within the tech
sector. Meta's upcoming earnings have the potential to either affirm or shake up
bullish sentiment further based on financial health and growth prospects.
Looking for a bearish swing on META! H&S!🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Meta Stock Goes 'Untoward', Fall Off The Cliff 200-Day SMAMeta's Descent into Bearish Territory. Understanding the 2025 Stock Crash
Meta Platforms has recently slipped into bearish territory, with its stock experiencing a significant downturn in early 2025. As of March 31, 2025, Meta shares trade at $576.74, reflecting more than 20.0% decline over the past month and erasing all year-to-date gains. This analysis examines the key factors driving Meta's bearish turn and what it means for investors.
Disappointing Financial Outlook and Investment Costs
Meta's stock decline comes despite previously strong performance, with the company's shares shedding 22% from their February 18, 2025 peak. Although Meta reported robust Q4 2024 profits, its outlook for Q1 2025 has significantly disappointed investors. The company's forward-looking EPS for Q1 2025 is projected at $5.25, raising sustainability concerns despite the previous quarter's EPS of $8.02 beating estimates.
A major contributor to investor anxiety is Meta's massive capital expenditure plans. The company has projected spending $60-$65 billion in 2025 on AI infrastructure alone, raising concerns about cash flow strain if revenue growth falters. These high fixed costs associated with AI investments, including data centers and engineering talent, create particular vulnerability during economic downturns.
Metaverse Losses Continue to Drain Resources
The company's Reality Labs division, responsible for virtual and augmented reality initiatives, continues to be a significant financial drag. This division lost $13.7 billion in 2022 alone with no clear path to profitability. Despite CEO Mark Zuckerberg's continued commitment to the metaverse vision, investor sentiment has soured on these costly experiments as they continue to consume capital without generating meaningful returns.
Broader Market Pressures and Industry Positioning
Meta's decline isn't occurring in isolation. It represents the last of the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks to turn negative for the year, with the Bloomberg Magnificent 7 Total Return Index down 16% in 2025. The Nasdaq Composite has faced significant correction, declining 7.3% year-to-date and over 12% from its peak.
This market-wide pressure stems from persistent inflation concerns, Federal Reserve interest rate policies, and growing recession fears, creating a particularly challenging environment for growth-oriented technology stocks like Meta.
Influential Market Moves and Analyst Adjustments
Notable market participants have signaled caution regarding Meta's prospects. Cathie Wood's ARK Invest sold over $7 million in Meta stock (12,000 shares) on March 18, 2025—its first Meta sell-off in nearly a year. This high-profile divestment has further fueled bearish sentiment among investors.
Similarly, analysts have begun adjusting their outlook. KeyBanc Capital Markets recently downgraded its price target on Meta from $750 to $710, citing "greater macro uncertainty" and competitive pressures. This downgrade reflects growing concerns about Meta's ability to maintain growth momentum in the current economic climate.
External Challenges Mounting
Meta faces increasing competitive threats from platforms like TikTok and Snapchat, which continue to draw user attention and advertising dollars. Additionally, regulatory headwinds loom large, with an upcoming FTC trial on April 14, 2025, potentially forcing Meta to divest Instagram and WhatsApp—a prospect that has further spooked investors.
In conclusion, Meta stock now stands at a critical juncture, with investors carefully watching whether this represents a temporary correction or the beginning of a more prolonged bearish phase.
--
Best wishes,
Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
Meta.. Zoom outMeta has really been then engine behind NASDAQ for the past 8 months.. Nvda and MSFT both took a back seat and traded sideways since mid 2024 but Qqq was able gain another 7% from July high until February Top on a few names and meta was a big player.
Going into Q2 and Q3 the technicals are showing me that Meta will most likely take a major Haircut cut this year in comparison with the rest of MAG 7; Call it "catching up".
I always like to take a look at the sector these tech stocks are trading in before I actually chart the stock; Doing that has helped me and giving me more confidence and accuracy with charting the stock under that sector..
So let's look At AMEX:XLC
This sector has 3 main players
1.Meta
2.Googl
3.Nflx
When you start to see a sector about to implode, it usually means the biggest players in that sector will get hit the hardest..
I warned people back in December when XLC monthly MFI hit 90 and the RSI hit 80 that something was about to break. Since then Googl has dropped over 25%. I think this is just the beginning of the correction in XLC and the next big drop will come from Meta and NFLX
XLC
Monthly chart
As I said before The monthly RSI and Money flow is extended and rolling over.
Look at the moves from 2022 low, 136% gain with no pullback 😂. Also notice something Else this will be the first monthly Bearish engulfing since 2022 and 2020; both previous times led to corrections!
Now the thing about monthly Bearish engulfing at the top of an uptrend of this magnitude means likely (65%) chance of a trend reversal. This is a monthly view which means the sell could happen at anytime but I think it will come when either Meta or NFLX reports
My target for April For XLC is 86 minimum, this is 10% drop.. this may not seem like a lot but just look at what the drop from 105 to 95 has caused already..
This is just a minimum target folks. like I said this to me looks like a trend reversal and when that happens you don't really see capitulation until the weekly RSI tags 40.
Now back to meta
Monthly chart
Red flags that stand out to me..
1. Major rising wedge
2. Monthly RSI and MFI hasn't been this bad since July 2018
3. Lastly this stock went 12months 100% extended from it's monthly 50ma
Weekly chart.
My fib levels are from ATH and and IPO low
I think Meta could test 462 by mid may; How we get there ?
I'm look at an immediate rest of 540-550 in the next 2 weeks, if that support holds then we should have a move back up to 600-610 before ER then the real leg down comes
My long term view for meta
50% retracement plus 2021 ATH and also the volume support from Jan 2024 earnings surge
When I said AMD 85 incoming they thought I crazy
When I said TSM 160 incoming when price was at 220 they ask me what I was smoking
I'm telling you this stock tags 460 by end of may
And depending on whether XLC holds 82.00 will determine if meta sees sub 400
So like I said meta 540-550 then bounce but keep in mind the Weekly 50ma.. I expect a bounce there so maybe we don't get 540 price action
I think the first test of the Weekly 50ma at 559 will get bought up with a bounce back to 580-584.