MSFT - Possible uptrend to $400 (cont'd) -- LONG/SHORT PLAYs3.tradingview.com
1/17/24 Update: If we break 394.03, it would break out of the channel as well and could see a rise to $400s especially as people may be buying in for ER. $387.53 final stop price, ~388.50-88 support level. $389.44 is roughly the first support.
I wanted to put a better drawing but I'm still getting used to drawing on my tablet and I've been snowed in. Hope everyone has a great trading day!
Probably not going to hold any long term calls for MSFT yet but I can see a run up to 400 if we break those numbers.
-Comment, or i don't know how else to get feedback from yall besides that but if you are interested in Asian tickers as well, let me know. I personally believe they (some) are undervalued but I won't bother with em if it doesn't help you guys.
Recent News and Analyst Upgrades to MSFT will definitely help propel it but we'll see how market conditions are!
MSFTC trade ideas
MSFT long for longer $355 targetLooks like we just completed a leading diagonal (1 / A )
corrected (2 / B )
and heading to new highs ( 3 / C )
If we don't take out $274 to form a larger correction, this should be a long 5 wave all new highs move.
Looks very impulsive to me.
$355 is the 100% of (1 / A )
Microsoft bubble might have popped - Crash coming?This kind a lines up with all my other charts for a massive bubble pop. Unless there is a stick save somehow this is all going to unravel. MSFT had a throw over of the 2000 & 2021 top (red line) and back under which is very bearish.
I posted a zoomed in picture below.
MBV-SP500-CLIMBER: MSFTIntroduction:
This trading idea is based on a Long-Only strategy that utilizes the Dynamic Movement Index (DMI), supplemented by the Average Directional Index (ADX) and an Average True Range (ATR)-based Trailing Stop-Loss.
Strategy Overview:
Main Indicators: DMI, ADX, ATR
Time Frame : Variable, based on the DMI length (Default: 14 days)
Objective: To take long-term positions in bullish market phases
Optional Trading Hours and Seasonality:
Yellow Background (Trading Days) : Positions are only opened on trading days highlighted with a yellow background on the chart.
Blue Background (S&P 500 Seasonality) : Positions are only opened during periods highlighted with a blue background on the chart.
Strategy Details:
ADX and DMI : A Long signal is generated, taking into account the optional trading hours and seasonality, when the ADX exceeds a defined threshold and the positive DMI is greater than the negative DMI. This indicates a strong upward movement.
ATR-based Trailing Stop-Loss : The Stop-Loss is dynamically set with a multiplier of the ATR value below the current price and updated to secure profits.
The strategy script is available for free on TradingView.
You can find it under the name: "MBV-SP500-CLIMBER"
Please share your optimizations with the TradingView community by leaving comments under the script.
Please provide feedback on the strategy, especially on the trading signals, in the comments.
---
Einleitung:
In dieser Handelsidee beruht auf einer Long-Only-Strategie, die auf dem Dynamic Movement Index (DMI) basiert, ergänzt durch den Average Directional Index (ADX) und einen Average True Range (ATR)-basierten Trailing Stop-Loss.
Strategie-Überblick:
Hauptindikatoren : DMI, ADX, ATR
Zeitfenster : Variable, basierend auf der DMI-Länge (Standard: 14 Tage)
Ziel : Langfristige Positionen in bullishen Marktphasen
Optionale Handelszeiten und Saisonalität:
Gelber Hintergrund (Handelstage): Positionen werden nur an den im Chart mit einem gelben Hintergrund hervorgehobenen Handelstagen eröffnet.
Blauer Hintergrund (S&P 500-Saisonalität): Positionen werden nur während der im Chart mit einem blauen Hintergrund hervorgehobenen Zeiträume eröffnet.
Strategie-Details:
ADX und DMI : Ein Long-Signal wird unter Berücksichtigung der optionalen Handelszeiten und Saisonalität generiert, wenn der ADX einen definierten Schwellenwert überschreitet und der positive DMI größer ist als der negative DMI. Dies signalisiert eine starke Aufwärtsbewegung.
ATR-basierter Trailing Stop-Loss : Der Stop-Loss wird dynamisch mit einem Multiplikator des ATR-Wertes unter dem aktuellen Preis gesetzt und aktualisiert, um Gewinne zu sichern.
Das Strategie-Skript ist auf TradingView kostenlos verfügbar .
Sie finden Sie unter dem Namen: "MBV-SP500-CLIMBER"
Bitte teilen Sie Ihre Optimierungen mit der TradingView-Community, indem Sie Kommentare unter dem Skript hinterlassen.
Bitte geben Sie Feedback zur Strategie, insbesondere zu den Handelssignalen, in den Kommentaren.
MSFT reacts to gravity, but is it short lived?We are finally getting an alternating wave iv (black) that should provide some consolidation before making it's final high in what I'm counting as a long term major top. There is a smaller chance this top is a local top in purple wave 3 with a deeper consolidation to come followed by another push higher...but I must add that at this juncture, to realize a push above $416 will constitute the minimum waves in place for completion.
If you're long Microsoft, it makes sense to raise cash on any further strength.
Best to all,
Chris
MSFT stocks showed minimal response to the impressive Q4 reportMicrosoft Corporation's revenue for Q4 2023 increased by 18% and amounted to 62.02 billion USD, exceeding the average analyst estimate of 61.12 billion USD. Earnings per share (EPS) reached 2.93 USD, surpassing the consensus estimate by 15 cents. Nevertheless, stock prices barely reacted to this outstanding result. This circumstance may open up an investment window of opportunity.
That is why we will look at the Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) stock chart today.
On the D1 timeframe, support at 402.43 was broken through on 31 January, and resistance has formed at 409.98. There is a probability of a corrective decline in quotes to the 393.59 level, which previously served as support.
On the H1 timeframe, a breakthrough of the 407.24 level could set a short-term target for a price increase at 420.00, while in the medium term, it could hover around 450.00.
—
Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews.
The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments.
Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66.02% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Microsoft Chart Update: Key Levels to Watch Now!⚠️Examining Microsoft 's NASDAQ:MSFT 2-hour chart , we see the end of Wave ((v)) at $415, coinciding with a challenging earning call. Currently, we expect short-term support at the Wave ((iv)) level, around $364, and aim to stay above the 61.8% mark of $349.
📉 As we're potentially starting a long-term Wave II, we anticipate finding initial support without a significant breakdown. The 2-day chart suggests we might be nearing the cycle's end, with Wave 5's potential range between $388 and $430. If a pivot at 38 to 50% happens it could lead to new highs, indicating the current cycle isn't over yet and we have to see wave 5. If not, a deeper correction to at least $214, the previous Wave (4) level from November 2022, is plausible.
😷 The pandemic level at $136 also remains within the realm of possibility for Wave II. This reflects the market's need for corrections after strong upward momentum in recent years. Please keep in mind that there is no chart on this world that is growing without corrections and if you zoom out on all big bad events, they are about non existing and so will it be if Microsoft or other will have a larger pullback!
Microsoft's AI-Powered Surge: A Deep Dive into Q4 Performance
In a groundbreaking financial report, Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) has unveiled a staggering 33% increase in profit for the October-December quarter, driven by substantial investments in artificial intelligence (AI) technology. The tech giant's remarkable success is primarily attributed to the robust growth in its cloud-computing unit, where Microsoft has strategically focused its AI initiatives.
AI Dominance and Cloud-Centric Growth:
Microsoft's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) net income for the quarter reached an impressive $21.87 billion, or $2.93 per diluted share, surpassing Wall Street expectations of $2.79 per share. The Redmond, Washington-based company reported a significant surge in revenue, totaling $62.02 billion, marking an 18% increase from the previous year's $52.75 billion. This stellar performance is a testament to Microsoft's prowess in the AI race, as it solidifies its position as a frontrunner in the rapidly evolving technology landscape.
Jeremy Goldman, Director of Briefings at Insider Intelligence, noted, "Microsoft is firmly establishing itself as a frontrunner in the AI race." The company's AI investments not only contributed to its impressive financial results but also opened doors to potential expansion in the digital advertising sector. Analysts predict a 12% growth in Microsoft's worldwide ad revenues to $14.93 billion this year, positioning the company as a formidable competitor, although Google is anticipated to expand its larger ad business by 10% in the same period.
Integration of Activision Blizzard:
Microsoft's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) recent acquisition of video-game maker Activision Blizzard, completed on October 13 for a whopping $69 billion, played a pivotal role in the company's Q4 performance. James Ambrose, the company's Director of Investor Relations, revealed that the merger boosted revenue growth by four points. However, operating profits saw a reduction of approximately $440 million due to purchase accounting adjustments and integration and transaction costs.
Despite the substantial impact of the acquisition, Microsoft's cloud-focused business segment outshone its other divisions, witnessing a remarkable 20% revenue growth to $25.88 billion for the quarter. The Office suite, coupled with the LinkedIn professional social network, exhibited a 13% revenue growth, reaching $19.25 billion. The Windows-led personal computing business, inclusive of Xbox video games and services, experienced a robust 19% growth, reaching $16.89 billion.
Investor Concerns and Market Response:
Despite the impressive figures, Microsoft's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) shares initially faced a dip in after-hours trading, falling nearly 2% to $400.86. Analysts attribute this to investor concerns regarding the company's continued aggressive investment plans. However, the shares later recovered much of the loss, showcasing a resilient market sentiment towards Microsoft's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) long-term strategy.
Conclusion:
Microsoft's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) exceptional Q4 performance, fueled by AI and cloud-computing investments, positions the company at the forefront of technological innovation. As the tech giant continues to navigate the ever-evolving landscape, its strategic focus on AI is not only bolstering financial success but also shaping the future of digital transformation. With the integration of Activision Blizzard and a relentless commitment to innovation, Microsoft's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) trajectory suggests a promising and influential role in the global tech ecosystem.
Earnings Expectation for 1/30: $MSFT, $AMD, $GOOGLAs we approach a pivotal earnings release day on January 30th, all eyes are on three tech titans: Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), AMD ( NASDAQ:AMD ), and Google's parent company, Alphabet Inc. ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ). This analysis delves into the current market sentiments, historical performance, and key factors that could influence the upcoming earnings reports for these companies.
Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ): With its diverse portfolio ranging from cloud computing to software, Microsoft has consistently demonstrated resilience in the face of market fluctuations. This quarter, investors will be keenly watching the growth metrics of Azure, its cloud division, alongside the performance of its productivity and business processes segment.
AMD ( NASDAQ:AMD ): As a powerhouse in the semiconductor industry, AMD's earnings are a bellwether for the broader tech sector. The focus will be on its revenue growth driven by the sales of CPUs and GPUs, especially considering the intense competition with Intel and Nvidia. Market participants will also be looking for updates on supply chain normalization and its impact on AMD's operations.
Alphabet Inc. ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ): Google's parent company enters this earnings season amidst a challenging advertising market and regulatory scrutiny. Key areas of interest include the performance of its advertising business, cloud services growth, and any strategic shifts in response to the evolving digital landscape.
When Will Microsoft Stop Winning?Hey guys!
A few weeks ago, we put out a bearish idea on Microsoft. NASDAQ:MSFT
As you may have guessed, it was relatively poorly timed. While the stock took a break from rallying, it only took a couple of weeks for shares to continue their march higher into earnings season:
In fact, the company reports earnings tomorrow, and we're expecting another beat & raise, which has been the trend over time as MSFT products gain momentum, Azure continues to crank out cash, and Bing & ChatGPT represent the next leg up for the company.
All in all, the stock seems destined to be in 'only-up' mode forever.
However, this has to stop at some point. The stock cannot continue this march into infinity, and the growth trajectory of the stock WILL slow down, which should send the multiple back to the 15s-20s which is where it has traded historically.
Is that time now?
Probably not.
In our view, Fair Value for MSFT shares is somewhere around $285-$350 per share, which is below the current price near 410, but the momentum is so strong that it's unlikely we'll see the projected Fair Value zone anytime soon.
That said, this is one to keep an eye on, as many of the multiples are beginning to look very stretched, and the company has stopped buying back shares as aggressively:
Stepping in front of this freight train on the short side seems like a poor decision, but we can't help but think that as MSFT continues to make new high after new high, with the stock getting further and further ahead of the company's growth, that this is a 'good price' to exit at.
If you own MSFT, you may want to consider cutting bait or trailing it more tightly into (and beyond) earnings tomorrow.
Hope this makes sense.
Stay safe out there!
Want more high-quality trade ideas? Follow us below. ⬇️⬇️
MICROSOFT How to trade as the Earnings approach?Microsoft (MSFT) is set to report the Earnings on Tuesday and last time we gave gave a pull-back buy signal (December 01 2023, see chart below) we caught the exact bottom:
Our original long-term Target was $460.00 but we have to downgrade it to $440.00. On the short-term it may be wise to take most or at least some of the profit if the 1D MA20 (red trend-line) as this has been a medium-term sell signal on July 26 2023. It's not just potentially lower than expected Earnings that may turn the trend bearish on the medium-term but also the Fed, which announce the Rate Decision on Wednesday.
As a result, if the price breaks below the 1D MA20, we will short and target the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) at $370.00 where we will add another long-term buy position. Notice that the 1D CCI indicator and the correlation with the 2023 price action, shows that both scenarios are equally likely at the moment.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
MSFT: Hidden Bullish Divergence, Upside Potential+7%? Hi Realistic Traders, let's delve into the technical analysis of NASDAQ:MSFT
Microsoft's current price action analysis (MSFT) reveals several significant indicators suggesting a favorable bullish trend. Firstly, the stock consistently trades above the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 34 line, signaling a robust bullish trend. Additionally, a recent development in a symmetrical triangle formation has been observed, followed by a decisive breakout from this pattern.
Moreover, the momentum indicator has exhibited a hidden bullish divergence, reinforcing the positive outlook. This confluence of technical signals indicates a strong likelihood of Microsoft continuing its upward trajectory. In our analysis, we anticipate a potential pullback to the previous resistance zone before resuming its bullish trend, with the initial target in sight. Further, we identify a second target for potential gains, underlining the prospect of sustained positive momentum in MSFT's market performance.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached.
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Microsoft."
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below!
Microsoft's Meteoric Rise to $3 Trillion ValuationA Triumph of AI, but FTC Clouds the Horizon"
In a historic ascent to a $3 trillion valuation, Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) has firmly established itself as a tech giant with a strategic focus on artificial intelligence (AI). However, this unprecedented success is now under the scrutiny of the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), as the regulatory body investigates the potential monopolization of the generative AI market by major players, including Microsoft, Amazon, and Google.
Microsoft's remarkable journey to this valuation milestone can be largely attributed to its visionary investments in AI. The company's commitment to advancing AI technologies was solidified in 2019 when it made a substantial $1 billion investment in OpenAI. Fast forward to January 2023, and Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) deepened its partnership with OpenAI with a multi-year, multi-billion-dollar investment, elevating its total commitment to a staggering $13 billion and boosting OpenAI's valuation to approximately $29 billion.
A pivotal aspect of this collaboration is Microsoft's transformation of Azure into a global AI supercomputer. By becoming OpenAI's sole cloud provider, Azure underpins all aspects of OpenAI's operations, ranging from research and product development to API services. Satya Nadella, Microsoft's Chairman and CEO, highlighted the significance of this partnership, stating that it would provide developers and organizations with access to the best AI infrastructure, models, and toolchain to build and run applications.
The synergy between Microsoft's growth and its AI investments is undeniable, yet the company now faces potential obstacles in the form of an FTC probe. Led by FTC Chair Lina Khan, the investigation focuses on the AI investments of major tech players, exploring whether Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), Amazon, and Google are monopolizing the generative AI market. This scrutiny aims to determine whether such dominance could stifle competition and innovation within the burgeoning field of AI.
The stakes are high for Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), as the FTC's inquiry could pose significant challenges to its AI-driven growth trajectory. The company's integration of an AI chatbot into Bing last February, aimed at challenging industry competitors like Google, may come under closer scrutiny in light of the ongoing investigation.
As Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) basks in the glory of being only the second company ever to achieve a $3 trillion valuation, the FTC probe casts a shadow over its triumph. The outcome of this investigation will not only shape the future of Microsoft but could also set precedents for how Big Tech engages with and invests in the dynamic landscape of artificial intelligence. In the evolving narrative of AI-driven success, the regulatory scrutiny underscores the delicate balance between innovation and the potential risks of monopolization in this transformative industry.
Morgan Stanley believes in Microsoft. Stock idea for 25/01/2024As reported by Reuters , Morgan Stanley has raised its target price for Microsoft Corporation shares from 415 USD to 450 USD. The bank is optimistic about the further strengthening of Microsoft's position in IT budgets, thanks to GenAI's robust portfolio. Morgan Stanley believes MSFT's continued growth potential is driven by the company's strategic alignment with critical long-term trends in the software industry.
So, today, we will examine the Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) stock chart.
On the D1 timeframe, resistance at 398.67 was broken through, and support formed at 393.59. If quotes consolidate at the 398.67 level, the upward trend may continue.
On the H1 timeframe, a rebound from the 398.67 level could set a short-term target for a price increase at 420.00, while in the medium term, it could hover around 450.00.
—
Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews.
The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments.
Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66.02% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
The man behind the curtainWhen you look behind the splits of Microsoft, it is much easier to see what is going on after the metoric gains of the dot-com bubble (A), Microsoft finally found their footing after the Great Recession (B) in an inverted expanded flat.
The most common C of the expanded flat 1.236-1.618. Elliot says the 2.618 could occur, but is rare.
Microsoft's Gaming TriumphNASDAQ:MSFT Stock Surges as Xbox Unveils Blockbuster Titles in 2024.
On January 20, 2024, Microsoft's stock ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) experienced a surge, capturing the attention of investors as the company's Xbox Developer Direct event unveiled a lineup of highly anticipated games set to revolutionize the gaming industry. The event not only showcased groundbreaking titles like Hellblade II and Indiana Jones and the Great Circle but also painted a promising picture for Microsoft's future in the gaming sector.
The Gaming Spectacle:
Microsoft's Xbox Developer Direct event was nothing short of a spectacle, with a particular emphasis on the upcoming releases that left gamers and investors alike buzzing with excitement. The unveiling of the official release date for Hellblade II, set for May 21, 2024, promises an immersive experience with visually stunning graphics, intricate motion capture, brutal combat sequences, and improved audio design. The sequel is poised to exceed the already high expectations set by its predecessor, Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice.
Equally captivating was the introduction of Machine Games' Indiana Jones and the Great Circle. While the release date is yet to be confirmed for 2024, the game's seamless blend of first-person and third-person perspectives, along with cinematic cutscenes, iconic puzzle-solving, whip combat, and exhilarating rope-swinging action, has already garnered significant interest from fans of the legendary archaeologist.
Microsoft didn't stop there, catering to RPG enthusiasts with the announcement of Avowed, set in the beloved Pillars of Eternity universe, scheduled for a fall 2024 release. Attendees at the event were treated to a sneak peek of the game's captivating combat mechanics, showcasing an array of weapons that players can wield to overcome adversaries and promising a fantastical realm like never before.
In addition to these blockbusters, Microsoft revealed two more noteworthy games – Visions of Mana and Ara: History Untold – set to transport players into mesmerizing worlds filled with magic, wonder, and untold stories. With this diverse and captivating lineup, 2024 is shaping up to be an extraordinary year for gamers.
Stock Performance and Investor Confidence:
As the gaming world buzzes with excitement over Microsoft's stellar announcements, the stock market reflects the positive sentiment. On January 20, 2024, NASDAQ:MSFT stock displayed strong performance, trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average. The day's trading saw a $4.80 increase, representing a rise of 1.22%, with the stock closing at $398.67.
Despite a slight drop in after-hours trading, the overall performance suggests positive momentum and investor confidence in the stock. Investors and analysts pay close attention to indicators such as trading near the top of the 52-week range, signaling potential future performance.
Conclusion:
Microsoft's gaming division is paving the way for the company's continued success, as evidenced by the captivating titles unveiled at the Xbox Developer Direct event. The surge in stock performance on January 20, 2024, reflects investor confidence in Microsoft's ability to innovate and dominate the gaming industry. As the company continues to expand its product offerings and adapt to market trends, the positive outlook for NASDAQ:MSFT stock positions it as an attractive investment option in the technology sector. The gaming landscape is evolving, and Microsoft is at the forefront of this exciting transformation.