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NFLX trade ideas

NFLX Goes ParabolicIf you look at the monthly chart for NFLX, you will see how NFLX has screamed to new ATH over the last few weeks. Analysts have increased Netflix's price target to an absurd $1400+ while P/E sits at a very high 57.60. Over the next few weeks, I am expecting the broader market to selloff into July and have a PT of 1175 and 1106 for NFLX through the end of June through middle of July. 1241 is my final upside target for NFLX which it will likely hit today or tomorrow.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by FiboTrader1
14
Bearish NFLXBearish Outlook on NFLX Despite Uptrend While Netflix's stock has shown impressive growth- up 92% over the past year and 37% year-to-date - I maintain a bearish perspective due to several fundamental and technical concerns: 1. Overvalued P/E Ratio: Netflix is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of around 45x, significantly higher than many of its peers in the streaming and tech sectors. This valuation implies high expectations for future growth, which may not be sustainable given rising competition and market saturation. If growth slows even slightly, the stock could face sharp corrections. 2. Intensifying Competition: Free movie download sites and low-cost IPTV services now offer broader content libraries at prices far below Netflix's monthly subscription. These alternatives, especially in emerging markets, pose a real threat to Netflix's long-term subscriber growth. 3. Insider Selling Activity: Key executives, including CFO Spencer Neumann and Director Jay C. Hoag, have recently sold large amounts of stock. While insider selling isn't always bearish, the timing - near all-time highs - raises questions. 4. Analyst Price Target Hikes: Recent bullish price target increases (e.g., Jefferies to $1,400) could be interpreted as institutions looking to exit positions by attracti ng buyers at higher levels, especially after most short positions have been cleared. 5. Regulatory Risks: Proposed U.S. tariffs on foreign film content could raise costs for Netflix, forcing price hikes or reduced margins. Technical Note: Despite the uptrend, I remain cautious. My stop loss is tied to the daily close. A break below key support on a closing basis could confirm a reversal.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by KAIM1777
5
Netflix (NFLX) RSI Bearish Divergence Setting Up Major Rever📈 Summary: Netflix has rallied +44% in just 60 days, entering a steep, parabolic move. However, technical exhaustion signs are now flashing across multiple indicators — suggesting a potential near-term top may be forming. 🔍 Key Technical Observations: 1. Bearish RSI Divergence The RSI is making lower highs (~73) while price makes higher highs → classic bearish divergence. Similar divergences in December and February led to drops of –12% and –18% , respectively. 2. Parabolic Move + Rising Wedge Price has broken out of an orderly channel and is now moving parabolically , a pattern typically unsustainable. The current structure resembles a rising wedge , often a reversal formation . 3. Volume Weakness Volume has been declining throughout the recent push , signaling weak demand behind the rally. No climactic buying — this raises the risk of a sharp drop if momentum fades . 4. MACD Losing Momentum MACD histogram has flipped slightly negative. A potential bearish crossover is brewing. 🧭 Strategy Outlook 🚨 Aggressive traders could look for short opportunities below $1,240 , where support may break. 🧠 Options traders might consider a bear call spread once a daily close confirms the wedge breakdown. 📌 Key Levels Support to watch: $1,240 (break = confirmation) Next support zone: $1,190–1,155 (EMA cluster) Critical RSI trigger: break below 65 confirms bearish divergence playing out 🧩 Final Thoughts The RSI divergence, parabolic structure , and volume behavior all align for a potential pullback . While the trend is still technically intact, risk-reward favors preparing for a reversal , especially with prior divergences leading to significant downside.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by fredcast80
1
NFLX Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025🚨 Multi-Model Summary This week’s analysis from top AI models (Grok, Claude, Llama, Gemini, DeepSeek) shows moderate bullish momentum for NASDAQ:NFLX , with a range of technical insights and trade strategies. 🧠 Model Highlights Grok (xAI) 🔹 Technicals: Price above 10EMA, nearing overbought. 🔹 Sentiment: Bullish news (BofA), VIX low. 🔹 Trade: Buy $1290C @ $0.94 → PT $1.41 / SL $0.47 🔹 Confidence: 60% Claude (Anthropic) 🔹 Technicals: Strong EMAs, bullish MACD on 5M. 🔹 Sentiment: BofA upgrade + options flow into $1300. 🔹 Trade: Buy $1220C @ $12.25 → PT $18–20 / SL $8 🔹 Confidence: 72% Llama (Meta) 🔹 Technicals: Bullish near-term; RSI normalized. 🔹 Sentiment: BofA bullish note, minor CNBC drag. 🔹 Trade: Buy $1290C @ $0.94 → PT $2.50 / SL $0.40 🔹 Confidence: 65% Gemini (Google) 🔹 Technicals: Uptrend, MACD divergence noted. 🔹 Sentiment: Strong BofA note, watch $1180 max pain. 🔹 Trade: Buy $1250C @ $4.40 → PT $6.60 / SL $2.20 🔹 Confidence: 60% DeepSeek 🔻 Bearish Divergence 🔹 Technicals: Overextended short-term. 🔹 Sentiment: Max pain + put skew → downside risk. 🔹 Trade: Buy $1100P @ $0.71 → PT $1.77 / SL $0.35 🔹 Confidence: 65% ✅ Consensus Takeaways 🟢 4 out of 5 models lean bullish 📊 Price > EMAs, sentiment tailwind (BofA upgrade) ⚠️ Max pain at $1180 could act as late-week magnet ⚡ Risk-on setup but overbought—watch for short pullbacks 🎯 Chosen Trade Setup 💡 Trade Idea: Buy NFLX $1220C (2025-06-06) 💵 Entry: $12.25 🎯 Target: $18.40 (+50%) 🛑 Stop: $7.96 (−35%) 🔢 Size: 1 contract 🧠 Confidence: 70% ⏰ Entry: At open (Monday) ⚠️ Key Risks to Watch RSI near overbought → potential pause Max pain gravity at $1180 into Friday Late-week gamma decay = faster premium loss Macro news or earnings surprises may shift bias 📊 TRADE DETAILS (JSON) json Copy Edit { "instrument": "NFLX", "direction": "call", "strike": 1220.0, "expiry": "2025-06-06", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 18.40, "stop_loss": 7.96, "size": 1, "entry_price": 12.25, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-06-01 16:24:59 EDT" }
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by quantsignals
NFLX BUYBUY NFLX at 978.00 to 909.00, riding it back up to 1225.00 to 1320.00 as Profit Targets, Stop Loss is at 820.00! If anyone likes mumbo jumbo long useless analysis, than this is NOT for you. Also, if you are afraid of risk, failure, and want only a 100% sure thing, than... run as fast as you can from here and from the markets, because it is definitely NOT for you. WARNING: This is just my opinion of the market and its only for journaling purpose. This information and any publication here are NOT meant to be, and do NOT constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Trading any market instrument is a risky business, so do your own due diligence, and trade at your own risk. You can loose all of your money and much more.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by pstock123
The 3 Reasons Why Netflix Stock Is A Good BuyIt has been one of the most stressful weeks of my life. Filled with unexpected drama on my end. Am trying to pass a medical exam so that I can pursue a driving career. Thats my dream.But sadly things are still in slow motion. Eventhough pursuing a new dream has given me time to reflect.Not only on my trading strategies, but also on a personal level. You need to write down and jorunal your trades .This is what am doing.I am writing down all my mistakes.And also my best trading ideas. The 3 Reasons why am looking at this trade: #1 - The Stochastic +RSI has crossed Below the 50 level - This shows you a divergence or in other words a turning point. #2 -The candle stick pattern you are seeing is called: "The Northern Star" -This is a very bullish candlestick pattern. #3 -The main markets which include- SP500 NASDAQ 100 Dow Jones 30 Are all going to trend upwards this coming week. Word on the street is the Market is on fire🔥 The 3 Reasons NASDAQ:NFLX Is A Good Buy This stock is following the rocket booster strategy which has 3 steps as follows: - The price is above the 50 Day Moving Average - The pirce is above the 200 Day Moving Average -The price is trending upwards.-In this case a bullish candlestick pattern called the Northern Star . This is how you find the best stocks to trade:Always look for momentum. In order to learn more rocket boost this content. Disclaimer:Do not use margin.Trading is risky.Please learn risk management and profit taking strategies. Also feel free to use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by lubosi
2
Netflix - The bulls just never stop!Netflix - NASDAQ:NFLX - is insanely bullish now: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) The entire stock market basically collapsed during April. Meanwhile, Netflix is creating new all time highs with a +20% parabolic bullish candle. Looking at the chart, this strength is very likely to continue even more until Netflix will (again) retest the upper resistance trendline. Levels to watch: $1.400 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by basictradingtv
17
NETFLIX BEST SHORT OPPORTUNITY NASDAQ:NFLX – Short Setup Based on Broadening Triangle Pattern Netflix has reached the upper boundary of a broadening triangle pattern, signaling potential exhaustion. Combined with macroeconomic headwinds like slowing growth and looming film tariffs, the downside risk is heavy. We’re either heading into a recession or bracing for a major news event related to Netflix. The stock is fundamentally overbought and significantly overpriced. I’ve opened a short position, targeting a 40–60% pullback. In my view, this is one of the best setups to profit from during the current economic slowdown. As part of my strategy, I’m hedging — holding long positions in undervalued stocks while shorting high-risk names like NASDAQ:NFLX , NASDAQ:PLTR and $TSLA. ⚠️ Not financial advice. This is based solely on my personal research and analysis. Always do your own due diligence before investing.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by MarketPax
8
Netflix (NFLX) Share Price Reaches Record HighNetflix (NFLX) Share Price Reaches Record High According to the charts, Netflix (NFLX) shares have risen above $1,170 – the highest level in the company’s history. Since the start of 2025, the price of NFLX stock has increased by approximately 33%, while the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) remains close to its opening levels from 2 January. Why Is Netflix (NFLX) Performing Strongly? A month ago, we highlighted several factors contributing to NFLX’s outperformance relative to the broader stock market. Among them is the fact that Netflix does not offer tradable goods subject to tariffs in trade wars. As a result, the company could potentially benefit from an economic downturn if consumers spend more time at home. According to recent reports: → Netflix has announced that 94 million subscribers are now using its low-cost ad-supported plan – a figure more than a third higher than the 70 million reported in November. → The company also forecasts that advertising revenue will double this year. Technical Analysis of the NFLX Share Chart The share price continues to move within the upward channel (shown in blue) we identified previously. At the same time: → the price is currently near the upper boundary of this channel, which has repeatedly acted as resistance (as indicated by arrows); → the RSI indicator shows a potential bearish divergence. Under these conditions, a corrective move in Netflix’s stock price cannot be ruled out – for example, towards line Q or the channel median. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by FXOpen
1
NETFLIX (NFLX) : Smart Money & AI Convergence Update🕒 Posted: May 13, 2025 | 1H Chart Analysis Following up on my earlier short bias on NASDAQ:NFLX , we are seeing bearish confirmation aligning with Smart Money Concepts: 🔻 Price tapped the Premium Zone (~$1164) and showed weakness, followed by multiple CHoCHs (Change of Character). 📉 Current structure confirms a breakdown from bullish momentum, and we’re now approaching a key liquidity zone near $1100. 🔍 Targets (SMC-based) TP1: $1031 – 0.618 Fib Retracement (High probability liquidity zone) TP2: $951 – Below equilibrium, aligning with strong demand imbalance 🤖 WaverVanir DSS Forecast: While structure favors a retrace, my WaverVanir DSS AI model is showing a bullish 15–30 day forecast: 15-Day Prediction: $1165.78 (+5.0%) 30-Day Prediction: $1181.09 (+6.4%) 🎯 Strategy: Short bias remains valid short-term, targeting $1030–$950 as re-entry zones. If price finds support there with volume + structure shift, I may flip to long positions, aligning with AI model forecast. 💡 Conclusion: Short-term = Bearish (structure + liquidity sweep) Mid-term = Bullish (AI forecast + sentiment) Let’s see if Smart Money drives price into the next liquidity pocket before the next leg up. 📌 #NFLX #SmartMoney #LSTM #VolumeProfile #TradingUpdate #WaverVanir #AITrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SMC
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
2
Netflix is going to fall sharply soonNetflix is in the huge 5th wave extension. I expect it to complete wave (v) of 5 very soon, probably within the next week. RSI divergence on 3-days, weekly frames is quite visible and supports the upcoming trend reversal. When wave 5 is extended, retracement typically goes to the bottom of wave (ii) of this 5th wave. This would mean 1180-1195 USD to end the wave 5. Also, at this price wave 5 will be 2.168 times bigger than waves 1 and 3 together.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by evgenii_tr_tech
5
NFLX Multi-Timeframe Outlook – Bullish Exhaustion or Just a Paus 🔍 NFLX Multi-Timeframe Outlook – Bullish Exhaustion or Just a Pause? 🕓 4H Timeframe: Trend Structure May Be Complete On the 4-hour chart, NFLX shows signs that its recent bullish structure has reached exhaustion. No fresh breakout has occurred, and momentum is slowing down at the top. 🕒 15-Minute Timeframe: Reversal in Motion When switching to the 15-minute timeframe, reversal signals are forming, suggesting short-term weakness. However, this does not confirm a macro trend change yet—it’s more of a pullback setup within a larger trend. 📈 Daily Timeframe: Bullish But Facing Key Resistance On the daily chart, price has touched the TP3 Resistance Zone around 1157. At the same time: AO shows slowing momentum, but buyers are still dominant. RSI is holding above the midline, suggesting the bull trend is not broken. This tells us: we're at a high-risk area for reversal, but bulls still control the macro trend. ⚠️ Key Levels to Watch: 📍 Top Resistance: 1157 📍 Key Support / Confirmation Zone: 1067 (from Quantum Confirm ChoCH) 📉 If price drops below 1067, a larger correction may begin. ✅ As long as price holds above, the bullish trend continues. 🔁 Strategy Insight: If you're trading within the 15-minute chart, you can follow short-term reversals—but: 📌 Avoid bearish trades against the daily uptrend. 📌 Focus on pullback buys, not full bearish swings. For option traders, if market remains sideways or ranges at the top: This is a good time to shift to seller strategies (e.g., credit spreads or covered calls). ✅ Summary: NFLX's 4H trend looks mature, short-term reversal visible on 15m. Daily still holds strong, but approaching exhaustion. Strategy: Cautious longs, avoid shorting until a daily break below 1067 confirms structural weakness.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by TWRTEAM
NFLX has been the steady winner in the long runI believe NFLX has a strong growth over the recent years. IMO: Fundamentals: 1. Net Margin has increased to whopping 27.85% in Q1 '25 2. 70%+ consumers are from high capacity spenders 3. Has nearly always matched the expected revenue in last 5 years Technical: 1. After the recent high of 1059, there was a downward price, however it has bounced from 830 range 2. The downward trendline is broken at around 951, and also broke the high of 1059 making another higher high 3. Most likely there will be a pullback to 1059 range and again continue to upward trend Hawkeye on the 1060 range.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by FinExcel
$NFLX : Monthly Elliott Wave + Fibonacci RoadmapPublished by Wavervanir_International_LLC | May 7, 2025 Netflix appears to be completing a major Wave (3) cycle at the 1.0 Fib extension level (~$1,159), following textbook Elliott Wave structure with deep retracements and strong impulsive legs. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: Wave (1) topped near the 0.618 Fib level at ~$770. Wave (2) retraced deep, bottoming just above $178 (78.6%+ retracement). Wave (3) extended aggressively, now stalling near Fib confluence zones around 1.0–1.236 levels (~$1,159–$1,244). ⚠️ What’s Next? A corrective Wave (4) could now be in play, with downside risk toward the $700–$750 zone. This area aligns with the previous Wave (1) top and a 0.382–0.5 retracement of Wave (3), which is typical for Wave (4) pullbacks. 🚀 If this structure holds, Wave (5) targets extend to $1,400–$1,540, matching the 1.618–2.0 Fib extension zones, completing a long-term impulsive cycle. 🧠 Strategic Outlook: Buy Zone: $700–$750 (Wave 4 opportunity) Target Zone: $1,400+ (Wave 5 expansion) Invalidation: Break below $622 or breach of Wave (1) top on weekly close 📊 This is a macro thesis built on momentum, structural symmetry, and Fibonacci precision. Not financial advice—use proper risk management. #NFLX #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #TechnicalAnalysis #Wavervanir #TradingView #SwingTrading #GrowthStocks #LongTermInvesting
NASDAQ:NFLX
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
NFLX Head Test Cracking!Head test Cracking! Now we get to see what it's made of. Head tests patterns take out stops before collapsing. I was forced into "target reached" by TV. Clearly, my target has not been reached since the H&S never broke to trigger a trade to begin with. This is a much better setup with very low risk, with potentially huge returns for shorts. A lot of meat on that bone!! Click boost, follow, subscribe! For more tips, tricks, and calls. Let's get to 5,000 followers and help more people navigate these crazy markets.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by RealMacro
2