NFLXD trade ideas
Netflix: Breakout, or Range? My advice... WAIT. Here's why.Here's a free signal from our strategy, yet my advise is to wait for the simply reason that earnings are due this week. As trend traders we try to avoid crazy volatility as much as possible, and simply ride the wave when it comes. Netflix price is at a strong resistance level, and can easily be rejected and form a range bound market.
However! If you wish to take the chance to go long, you are free to do so, as long as you keep your risk at MAXIMUM of 1-2% of your equity. And when you lose, do not revenge trade or fomo into markets... just close the charts for a day or so. Risk management and discipline determine the success of any good trader. So in this indicator, you will see that the recommended stop loss price level always equates to a max of 2% per trade.
Hope you learned something, and as always, trade safely.
netflix long .. Trading marginally higher today after an upgrade by Jeffries to buy from hold. The Wall Street firm, which also boosted its price target to $385 from $310, said the launch of its advertising-based offering and crackdown on password stealing will drive revenue and EBTIDA above estimates.
Technically, looking for resistance to be broken down at around $330, to open up a nice run back towards $400, but going for $390, as there is decent supply heading into the big psychological figure. Price action has breached a narrowing triangular / pennant pattern, inviting upside pressure.
Netflix (NFLX) Long IdeaTrading marginally higher today after an upgrade by Jeffries to buy from hold. The Wall Street firm, which also boosted its price target to $385 from $310, said the launch of its advertising-based offering and crackdown on password stealing will drive revenue and EBTIDA above estimates.
Technically, looking for resistance to be broken down at around $330, to open up a nice run back towards $400, but going for $390, as there is decent supply heading into the big psychological figure. Price action has breached a narrowing triangular / pennant pattern, inviting upside pressure.
Channel UpPrice has fallen from a Rising Wedge and may have already finished correcting.
Earnings 1-19-23.
The support line of the channel has caught price for now.
The Channel Up pattern is identified when there are two parallel lines, both moving up to the right across respective peaks (upper line) and bottoms (lower line). The lower line is often identified first, as running along the lows: it defines the lower support trendline. The upper line (or, the channel line) is identified as parallel to the trendline, running across the first prominent peak.
Breakouts from the Channel Up can occur in both upward and downward directions and can be a long term pattern. When the price breaks down through the trendline, it might indicate an important, and sometimes a severe change in trend. Breaking up through the channel line, on the contrary, suggests acceleration of the existing trend. Note, however, that just like all the other patterns, channels might be prone to false or premature breakouts (throwbacks), which means that price sometimes retreats back into the channel.
Another strategy of using the Channel Up is to identify where the price fails to reach the upper line. As opposed to breaking through this line, the failure to reach it often signifies trend exhaustion. This could be an early warning that the trend is going to reverse: the breach of the trendline is now more likely to happen.
No recommendation.
EPS (FWD)
10.37
PE (FWD)
28.44
Div Rate (TTM)
-
Short Interest
2.62%
Market Cap
$131.23B
NFLX possible multi-year head and shoulders?From a purely technical standpoint, I am short-term bullish and medium-term bearish on Netflix.
Will look into opening a short position or long put(s) at retest of $390 -$405 psych level.
Please allow 3-5 months for this idea to play out.
Clearing $415 will invalidate this idea.
Not financial advice, just for fun!
NFLX | Daily Gap & Go !NFLX has held relative strength for tech stocks. Rising channel on the weekly charts.
Daily Chart has a nice little gap fill retest above $300 into $315; Thus providing a nice move especially if tech catches some love starting the year. Keep in mind earnings on (jan 19th, 2023)
NFLX calls will be looking for weekly or bi-weekly expirations above $295.50. Invalid if we fall under 292.88.
Targets in yellow (300, 303.24, 308.93, 314.72)
Netflix short… big month aheadRising channel and uptrend back in Oct 2022 until Dec 2022. New descending channel forms with a new resistance of $294/$295. Will continue to downtrend and will test resistance, if breaks through that resistance, entry between $300-$310. If not, expect descending channel to continue until at least earnings call in late January 2023.
NFLX Bearish scenarioNetflix, with a quite interesting scenario.
We will see if this time the retail operation gives them the expected benefit; On the other hand, taking a look at what the fundamentals would be, NFLX was quite affected by the unsubscription of many of its users, we will never know if these fundamentals are just to manipulate and continue bullish or if we enter a fairly significant discount!
We have interesting prices at $43 and personally I am very interested in $20.
Nothing is certain in the markets, anything can happen.
Netflix Could Be StrugglingNetflix has been trying to recover from a bearish gap on April 20, but now the bounce may have run its course.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the March low of $329.82. NFLX peaked near the same level in mid-December. Has old support become new resistance?
Next is the sharp drop on December 15 after Digiday reported weak advertising metrics. That dragged the streaming-video stock under its 21-day exponential moving average (EMA). The 8-day EMA proceeded to cross below the 21-day EMA three sessions later.
Third, is the broken ascending wedge. That could reflect a failing uptrend.
Finally, notice how the Relative Strength Index (RSI) made lower highs in November and December as the stock made higher highs . Such bearish divergence is another potential sign of exhaustion.
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