NIO will follow BABA hi traders, BABA has been pumping for the last few days. NIO is a lagger and the price remains under the downsloping resistance line. Once we get a successful breakout, expect the rocket to launch. 72% gains in the next weeks are very likely. Don't miss it out!Longby vf_investment5520
$NIO A massive Rising Channel & Wyckoff Accumulation NYSE:NIO has been in a downtrend for over 1,450 days—could it finally be time to shine? ⌛️ A massive rising channel: early projection based on top pivots and potential mid-range pivots. 👀 Hey community, do you still believe in NYSE:NIO ? Are you holding 💎🖐️ and staying unfazed by the downtrend?Longby Bulltro1112
$NIO - It is temptingNYSE:NIO is trading inside a wedge and up against the upper trendline. If it plays out it could hit the first target. See support and targets in the chart. As always, I share my opinions and trades. I'm not suggesting anyone follow my trades. You do you.by PaperBozz113
NIO Stock Ready to Soar: Breakout Above $7.50 on the Horizon!NIO (NYSE: NIO) is poised for a massive surge as it completes an ABC correction, with the C-wave forming an ending diagonal. From the current price of $4.43, we anticipate a strong breakout, pushing the stock past the $7.50 resistance and igniting further bullish momentum. ⚡ Key Levels to Watch: 🔹 Bullish Target: $7.50+ 🔹 Invalidation Level: Any drop below $4.02 If NIO holds above $4.02, this rally could be the beginning of something BIG!by VitalDirection6
8R NIO8R Trade on NIO 35% chance of success. Good opportunity to take profits at the conservative target and then can also target 9.58 as secondary more ambitious take profitLongby TipsOfPips6
I may not open a Short Trade in my life!This would be shocking news for most of my followers since we made decent money doing that in 2021-2022, but let me explain the mathematics behind it. Before diving into the mathematics, let me tell you I will buy a Naked Put if there is a high conviction for an asset's future lower price. Let me explain the risk-reward profiles for long and short positions: Long Position: When you buy an asset (go long), you purchase it hoping its value will increase Maximum loss: Limited to your initial investment (if asset goes to $0) For example, if you buy a stock at $100, your maximum loss is $100 per share Maximum gain: Theoretically unlimited, as the asset's price can keep rising If the stock goes to $200, $300, $1000+, your profit keeps growing Short Position: When you short an asset, you borrow and sell it, hoping to repurchase it cheaper later Maximum gain: Limited to your initial sale price (if the asset goes to $0) For example, if you short a stock at $100, your maximum gain is $100 per share Maximum loss: Theoretically unlimited, as the asset's price can keep rising If the stock rises to $200, you lose $100; at $300, you lose $200, and so on The asymmetric risk-reward comes from math: Long positions: Asset can't go below $0, but has no upper limit Short positions: Can only profit until $0, but losses grow with each price increase Shorting comes with several additional costs that make it more expensive than going long: Borrowing Costs (Short Interest) You must pay interest to borrow the shares you're shorting Rates can range from very low (0.25%) to very high (50%+) annually for hard-to-borrow stocks This cost reduces your profits or increases losses over time Margin Requirements Need to maintain a margin account with collateral Higher margin requirements for short positions (typically 150% of position value) Risk of margin calls if the position moves against you Dividend Payments Short sellers must pay any dividends to the lender of the shares This is an additional cost that long position holders don't face Can significantly impact profitability for high-dividend stocks Stock Recall Risk The lender can recall their shares at any time This may force you to close your position at unfavorable prices It is particularly risky during short squeezes These costs mean that even if your directional view is correct, you might still lose money on a short position due to holding costs. Asymmetrical Moves "Markets take the stairs up but the elevator down" The opposite happens more often! During bubble collapses and market crashes: Downside moves can be gradual as denial, hope, and orderly selling create a stepped decline Some investors average down, providing temporary support Circuit breakers and trading halts can slow dramatic falls During upside rallies, especially short squeezes: Price can explode upward very rapidly as shorts rush to cover Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) creates buying panic Margin calls force immediate buying Limited available shares can cause bidding wars Historical Examples: GameStop (GME) in 2021: Rose from ~$20 to $483 in just a few weeks Volkswagen in 2008: Briefly became the world's most valuable company during a squeeze Tesla's multiple rallies in 2020: Several sharp upward moves that hurt short sellers This faster upward movement makes short positions particularly dangerous because: Less time to react to adverse moves Higher likelihood of getting caught in a short squeeze Margin calls can come suddenly with little time to add funds. A most recent example: is RGTI my best Idea on the platform got 16x in less than 100 days! Educationby Moshkelgosha7746
NIO LONGNIO in the final phase of Wyckoff accumulation -> from here we should breakout of the upper line 6.05~ and from there we will see how it will behave. target 6.05 $ SL 4$ my SL is tight, so i am in 50% from my original size. Longby ChartHouse_12
Nio long term longNio is still going down in my opinion. I’m looking for rejection around the 3.46 level in the lower time frames. Price is approaching a major support. Be patient on the entry and tp. 100% plus on this trade. Longby Cashcrash0
$NIO yieahhhAnother Chinese company. They are all beat down can they get beat down further? - yes can it sink down? - yes am I scared? - yieaahh will I still go in? - yieahhh 1. Awesome R/R 2. Came down on a clear A-B-C 3. Monthly MACD trending green 4. Monthly RSI on a triangle, as soon as this breaks we will see a direction and will be fast, should be soon as we approach apex. 5. Monthly RSI, I like it right now touching the SMA and hopeful that it will use it as a trampolin 6. Weekly RSI not on this idea, seems to have broken up and is now coming down to retest the broken trendline, which I like 7. Hopeful to see a catalyst to send us to $9 quick which ison the next volume shelf, 23% retracement fib from previous high to low, close to the SMA. A lot of confluence here. Be safe out there, this name is vol-a-tile-yieahhh Longby rubfigue2219
#NIO - USA - so exciting opportunity ,#NIO time frame 1 DAY Created bullish Gartley pattern , in addition there is anther bullish Gartley pattern will be done if prices reached to stop loss of the first pattern ( so exciting ) . First bullish Gartley pattern as follow : Entry level 4.14 to 3.90 , Stop loss 3.65 ( estimated loss -12.36% ), First target at 5.25 ( estimated profit around 26.40% ), Second target 6.17 ( estimated profit around 48% ), Third target 6.84 ( estimated profit around 64% ), Second bullish Gartley pattern is assumption ,it's not done yet . pattern in yellow So if prices reached to 3.65 ( stop loss of first Gartley pattern ) the numbers will be as follow : Entry level 3.65 , Stop loss 3.20 ( estimated loss -12% ), First target at 4.31 ( estimated profit around 19% ), Second target 4.71 ( estimated profit around 29.85% ), Third target 5.00 ( estimated profit around 37% ), IN ADDETION , if prices didn't close under 3.65 the fist bullish Gartley pattern still Active !! There is positive diversion on MACD , that may support our idea . NOTE : this data according to time frame I DAY. Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart Please consult your account manager before investing. Thanks and good luck.Longby tfcgeorge13
$NIO - $2.43 Price Target with BEAR FLAGThere is a major bear flag setting up, go short at the break of the flag for price objective target of around $2.43. Shortby TheTradingStar111120
NIO Long Undervalued by 58% (Fundamentals + Technicals)Tgt; 16.63 Partial Take profit; 10.92 Intrinsic Value Wall street target: 6.774 Target Price (Tgt): $16.63 Partial Take Profit: $10.92 Intrinsic Value: $6.774 (Wall Street target) Global Trend Governments are prioritizing green energy initiatives, and NIO, as an electric car manufacturer, is a key competitor to Tesla. The mentality for 2025 in Europe and America is increasingly shifting toward green energy solutions. News The official launch of the Firefly model is expected in April 2025. Info: In the bustling heart of China's innovation hub, the city of Shanghai, NIO Inc. emerged in 2014 as one of the frontrunners in the electric vehicle revolution. This startup, with an eye on revolutionizing the transportation industry, quickly established itself as a formidable competitor to electric vehicle giants like Tesla. NIO's primary focus is on designing, manufacturing, and selling smart electric vehicles that blend cutting-edge technology with luxury aesthetics, appealing to a growing demographic of environmentally conscious consumers eager for sustainable mobility solutions. At its core, NIO operates through the design and production of electric vehicles (EVs) that emphasize technological integration and user experience. Its vehicles are equipped with advanced features such as NIO Pilot—an autonomous driving system, and NOMI—an artificial intelligence-powered in-car assistant. Q4 2024 data 72k vehicles delivered. increasing by 45% year over year Vehicle margin in the third quarter of 20024 was 13,1% compared with 11% in the third quarter of 2023 and 12,2% in the second quarter of 2024 Revenue: 24% 3year CAGR Solvency score: 31 Net income expected to increase Net Margin -33% Technicals The stock is at a Global Point of Control (POC), indicating a strong price area with significant accumulation. The Local POC is at the $4.50 price level. The daily timeframe shows a falling parallel channel, typically bearish, but in this case, it appears bullish. There is strong resistance at higher levels. Longby Risk_Adj_Return1115
NIO Wedge BreakHey y'all I'm back from hiatus. Had a kid so that took up a lot of my energy. Anyway, NIO looking to break the downward resistance it's been in since October. Looking good. Targets: $7-8Longby SWRLS16
NIO Price Prediction and Analysis on Weekly TimeframeThe weekly chart shows a clear falling wedge, a historically bullish reversal pattern. The price is approaching the apex of this wedge, testing strong resistance and support levels repeatedly. Past interactions with the trendlines resulted in rejections; however, this time, the setup appears different due to a few key factors: Higher High Formation: At ~$7.7, the formation of a higher high signals a change of character in the trend. Strong Demand Zone: The $4.3 level shows persistent buying interest, preventing further downside. Historical Parallels to 2020: In 2020, a similar scenario unfolded: bond yields hit record lows, the price traded below the 50-day moving average (50MA), and the market was in a phase of depression. Once the price broke above the 50MA on the weekly chart, it surged significantly. Current conditions mirror this setup, as the price remains under the 50MA, and CN10Y yields have hit a bottom, signaling a potential reversal. Fundamental Analysis Guidance Beating Expectations: NYSE:NIO is outperforming market expectations with robust Q4 guidance: Minimum revenue projection for Q4 with an average selling price (ASP) of $35k is ~$2.84 billion, beating consensus estimates. Key catalysts include the ET9 and Firefly models, which are gaining traction and showing strong market performance. Investor Sentiment and Activity: Buy-the-Dip Behavior: Investors are increasingly holding and accumulating during dips, as evidenced by the robust support at $4.3. Despite perceived market manipulation, buying activity suggests growing confidence among long-term holders. Macro Factors: Expectations of easing tensions between China and the U.S., potentially accelerated by a change in U.S. leadership in January 2025. Historical parallels suggest a rally when bond yields reverse, with the CN10Y already showing signs of bottoming. Market Psychology Sentiment is divided but leans bullish: Long-term investors demonstrate resilience and confidence, continuing to hold and accumulate. Short-term skepticism persists but may dissipate as technicals align with positive fundamentals. Price Targets Short-Term Target (March 2025): $9 to $10. Mid-to-Long-Term Target (End of 2025): $20, assuming macro conditions improve and technical breakouts materialize. Key Notes: The confluence of a falling wedge breakout, 50MA reclaim, and bond yield reversal signals a potential price surge. Positive developments in earnings, vehicle performance, and geopolitical stability could act as catalysts. This is an environment reminiscent of 2020, suggesting a strong bullish potential Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.Longby MarketPax2223
$NIO LongNYSE:NIO is breaking out of this channel that has been forming since late September. This is an add position for me and I am in with about 3% of my account. I will continue to add on the next signals as always. Longby jasonmanxhari811
NIO Inc. (NYSE: NIO):\Analyzing the Critical ZonesNIO Inc. (NYSE: NIO):\Analyzing the Critical Zones NIO Inc. has been in a prolonged downtrend, as evident from the chart forming a descending channel with multiple lower highs and lower lows. The current price structure highlights potential continuation patterns and critical levels to watch. Let’s delve deeper into the technical setup and price action. Technical Breakdown Descending Channel: NIO’s price has been steadily declining within a well-established descending channel, marked by consistent resistance at the upper boundary and support at the lower boundary. The channel suggests continued bearish sentiment unless a significant breakout occurs. Support and Resistance Levels Immediate Resistance: $4.66 | The chart displays a descending triangle, typically a bearish continuation pattern. The price is currently facing a confluence of resistance from a descending triangle pattern. Target 1 (Support): $3.74 | This is a key support level, aligning with the lower range of the descending channel and a previous demand zone. Target 2 (Support): $2.51 | A deeper downside target if the $3.74 support fails, marking the next significant area where buyers may step in. Upside Target: $5.90 | If bullish momentum picks up, this would be a key resistance aligned with the descending channel's upper boundary. Scenarios to Watch Bearish Case: A breakdown below $4.30 would likely confirm the descending triangle’s bearish bias. This could lead to a swift move toward $3.74 (Target 1) and, in the worst case, to $2.51 (Target 2). Bullish Case: A breakout above $4.90 would invalidate the descending triangle and suggest a reversal toward $5.90. A confirmed breakout would require strong volume and sustained momentum. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and consult a professional before making investment decisions.by niveshIQ7
NIONio here looks to me like when i bought palantir at 6,29$ . Everybody hating & crying . Fundamentals are there - big pile of cash - undervalued stock - better tech thn competition - turning point in profitability / delivery * also when i see an EV use blackberry QNX i get excited -> this chart is purely for a visual . NFALongby N-S-8821
It's Finally Time for NIO to Shine: Bullish Trade Setup AheadNIO Trade Setup 🚗📈 Take Profit 1: $5.00 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement) Take Profit 2: $5.42 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) Take Profit 3: $5.77 (50% Fibonacci retracement) Take Profit 4: $6.11 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) Take Profit 5: $6.58 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) Stop Loss: $4.10 (Below the support zone and the lowest Fibonacci retracement level) Reasoning and Fundamental Analysis 📊 NIO is experiencing strong growth in the electric vehicle (EV) sector , making this trade setup especially promising. In December 2024, NIO delivered a record 31,138 vehicles , marking a 72.87% increase from the same month last year. Additionally, NIO's Q4 2024 deliveries of 72,689 vehicles exceeded expectations , showcasing the company’s solid growth trajectory. Key factors supporting this growth include: A diverse lineup of high-performance vehicles, such as the ES6, ES8, ET5 , and the upcoming ET9 model launching in March 2025. Onvo's L60 model, which has gained traction and is expected to ramp up production to 20,000 units per month by March 2025. The launch of Firefly, NIO's third brand focused on compact cars, with the first model beginning deliveries in April 2025 in China and expanding to Europe. NIO’s Battery-as-a-Service (BaaS) model , which allows users to swap batteries at stations, continues to grow rapidly. The company is set to open its 3,000th battery swap station in China soon , enhancing its competitive edge in the EV space. With plans to double its 2024 deliveries of 221,970 vehicles in 2025 , NIO is strategically positioned to capitalize on the booming EV market. This bullish outlook is the foundation for our trade, where the Fibonacci retracement levels serve as key targets for profit-taking as the stock moves upward. The stop loss is set below the key support zone, offering protection against sudden reversals. Good luck with the trade! 🚀Longby ValchevFinance1121
A clear sign for bullish momentumFourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Delivery Update: Company Achieved New Record-High Monthly and Quarterly Deliveries : * 31,138 vehicles were delivered in December 2024, increasing by 72.9% year-over-year * 72,689 vehicles were delivered in the three months ended December 2024, increasing by 45.2% year-over-year * 221,970 vehicles were delivered in 2024 in total, increasing by 38.7% year-over-year * Cumulative deliveries reached 671,564 as of December 31, 2024 Bullish for me!Longby devigriffel12
China EV Market Weekly Update (W52) In the final week of December, NIO delivered 6,500 units, marking a 20% increase compared to the previous week and 14% YoY growth. For December, NIO's total registrations reached 20,000 units, with the ES6 (EL6 in Europe) and ET5 models dominating sales. Additionally, Onvo, NIO's sub-brand, registered 4,200 units of its L60 SUV (+101% WoW), contributing to a December total of 9,405 units. Key insights: Tesla posted 18,600 registrations (+6% WoW). Model Y remains the top seller, but Model 3 is gaining traction. BYD led the market with 72,100 registrations, though this was down 18% WoW and 6% YoY. Xpeng and Zeekr hit record numbers, with 10,100 and 8,900 registrations, respectively. 📈 Despite mixed signals across the EV sector, NIO’s growth is a promising indicator of its resilience in a competitive market. The rise in Onvo’s L60 SUV registrations further highlights potential in NIO's multi-brand strategy. I'm back in the game. I sold my entire position at 7.47 on September 30, and people thought I was crazy. Anyway, I recently bought back around 4.55. This stock is playing yo-yo with our nerves, haha. Next target? Early March 2025 (Fibonacci time extension) for a gain between +25% and +45%. Good luck to everyone! sorry for all the drawings, this is my personal chart. Longby Maximus200005
NIO always bearish on this companyNIO has multiple failure fake break up. Eventually it will goes to 1 dollar or even lesser under this NIO CEO managing. Creating more brands, create higher operation costs. Copy cat design: disgusting Wants to beat NVIDA on AI chip = DREAMING TOO BIG. Rumors: NIO supply chain corrupted, high cost, CEO planning to move to UAE, leaving China to have better life. Shortby jediaugust2414147
$NIO Trading AnalysisThe chart showcases NIO Inc. in a prolonged downtrend, characterized by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows over the past year. Recently, the price appears to be forming a base near key support levels, suggesting potential consolidation or a reversal. The chart integrates multiple technical indicators, including pivot points, dark pool activity, volume, trendlines, and moving averages. Key Observations: 1. Trend Analysis: Prolonged Downtrend: The red descending trendline highlights a series of lower highs (LH) since the beginning of the year. The price has struggled to break above key resistance levels, maintaining a bearish bias. Short-Term Consolidation: The price is currently consolidating near 4.50, supported by the green ascending trendline. This suggests a potential shift in momentum if buyers step in. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance Levels: 4.77-5.00: Immediate resistance zone aligned with multiple dark pool prints and a prior pivot level. 5.79: Key swing high resistance level. 6.15-6.68: Long-term resistance near pivot R3 and R4. 7.11 (R5): A significant level marking a potential breakout zone if bullish momentum accelerates. Support Levels: 4.50-4.52: Current consolidation zone and a cluster of dark pool prints, providing immediate support. 4.28 (S1): Recent swing low, offering additional support. 4.02-3.69: Deeper support levels, with 3.69 marking a historical low. 3. Volume Analysis: Increased volume near 4.50-4.77 suggests institutional interest or accumulation in this area. Declining volume on recent pullbacks indicates weakening bearish momentum, a bullish signal for potential reversal. 4. Moving Averages: The price is hovering below the 8 EMA and 21 EMA, indicating short-term bearish pressure. A decisive break above these moving averages would signal a potential trend reversal. 5. Dark Pool Activity: Significant dark pool levels are clustered between 4.52 and 4.77, which could act as strong support or resistance depending on price action. Above this, dark pool levels near 6.15 and 6.68 highlight potential targets in a bullish breakout scenario. Trade Setup: Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal from Current Levels Trigger: A breakout above 4.77 with strong volume would confirm bullish momentum. Profit Targets: 5.00: Psychological level and minor resistance. 5.79: Key swing resistance and a long-term target. 6.15-6.68: Cluster of dark pool levels and pivot resistance zones. Stop-Loss: Below 4.28, as a break under this level invalidates the bullish setup. Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Below 4.50 Trigger: A daily close below 4.50, confirmed by increased volume, signals further downside. Profit Targets: 4.28 (S1): Immediate support level. 4.02-3.69: Long-term support zones and historical lows. 3.50 or lower: In case of capitulation, watch for deeper bearish targets. Stop-Loss: Above 4.77, as a reversal above this level would indicate bullish recovery. Scenario 3: Range-Bound Consolidation If the price remains range-bound between 4.50-4.77, traders can: Look for breakouts above 4.77 for bullish entries. Look for breakdowns below 4.50 for bearish entries. Target mid-range levels for quick scalping opportunities. Final Thoughts: Short-Term Outlook: The 4.50-4.77 zone is critical. A breakout above 4.77 favors bullish momentum, while a breakdown below 4.50 opens the door for further downside. Long-Term Outlook: The green ascending trendline and accumulation near dark pool levels suggest that institutional buyers may be stepping in. If the price holds above 4.50, this could mark the beginning of a new uptrend.by thedarkpooltrader4