NVIDIA (NVDA) Technical Analysis for August 20-23, 2024Chart Overview
Rising Wedge Pattern: NVIDIA is currently forming a rising wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart, similar to what was observed with TSLA. This pattern is generally seen as bearish, especially as the price nears the upper boundary, which often leads to a breakdown.
Volume Profile: There's significant volume concentration around $125.06, indicating that this level could act as a critical pivot point. Above this, the next major resistance is around $129.12.
Support and Resistance:
Immediate Support: $125.06
Next Major Support: $120.45
Immediate Resistance: $129.12
Critical Resistance: $135.00
MACD: The MACD indicator on the 1-hour chart shows some bullish momentum but with signs of potential divergence, hinting that the upward momentum might be weakening.
Current Market Data Impact
Sector Influence: NVIDIA is highly sensitive to broader tech sector movements and economic indicators. With FOMC members speaking and other critical economic data due this week, NVDA could see increased volatility.
Trading Strategy
For Tomorrow (August 20, 2024):
Bullish Scenario: If NVDA breaks above $129.12 with strong volume, it could be a signal to go long with a target towards $135. However, be cautious as the rising wedge pattern might still play out.
Bearish Scenario: If NVDA fails to sustain above $129 and starts breaking down from $125, it could trigger a move towards $120, aligning with the lower support level.
For This Week:
Bearish Outlook: Given the rising wedge pattern and potential economic headwinds, a more conservative approach would be to watch for a breakdown and trade the downward momentum towards $120.45.
Scalping Strategy: Utilize the $125-$129 range for quick in-and-out trades, keeping a close eye on volume and broader market cues.
Conclusion
NVIDIA is at a crucial juncture, with a rising wedge pattern suggesting a potential pullback. The stock's immediate future will likely be influenced by broader market sentiment and economic data releases.
Suggestions:
Monitor economic releases and market sentiment closely.
Consider reducing long exposure if NVDA breaks down from the wedge pattern, particularly if the broader market shows signs of weakness.