NVDA: Buy ideaBuy idea on NVDA as you can see on the chart because we have the breakout with force the vwap and the resistance line.
NVDAD trade ideas
NVDA: Buy ideaBuy idea on NVDA as you can see on the chart beacause we have the breakout with force the vwap and the resistance line.
3 Pro Tips for Managing Losing Trades,Risk, Emotions & StrategyManaging losing trades is an essential part of trading, whether you're involved in stocks, forex, or any other financial market, we have all heard traders say I haven't ever taken a loss before my strategy has 100% win rate blah blah ok really, even the best traders in the world take losses, as humans we naturally don't like to lose but in trading its a part of doing business. Here are three in-depth tips to help manage losing trades effectively:
### 1. ** Develop and Stick to a Risk Management Plan **
A risk management plan is your primary defence against significant losses. The key components include position sizing, setting stop-losses, and managing risk-reward ratios.
- ** Position Sizing **: Always ensure that you're not risking too much of your capital on a single trade. A common rule is to risk no more than 1-2% of your trading capital on any given trade. This way, even if you hit a streak of losses, your account can recover.
- ** Set Stop-Loss Orders **: A stop-loss is a predetermined point where you exit a trade to prevent further losses. This should be set based on your analysis and not emotions. Many traders use technical levels like support and resistance or a percentage-based rule (e.g., 2-5% below the entry price). However, it’s essential to place the stop at a level that aligns with market conditions, rather than placing it arbitrarily.
- ** Risk-Reward Ratio **: Aim for a risk-reward ratio that makes sense in the long term (e.g., 1:2 or 1:3), meaning that for every dollar you risk, you aim to gain two or three. This ensures that even with a lower win rate, your winning trades can outweigh your losses.
### 2. ** Detach from Emotional Biases **
Emotions like fear, greed, and frustration can cloud judgment, leading to poor decision-making during losing trades. Psychological discipline is crucial to protect against these common pitfalls.
- ** Avoid Chasing Losses **: After a losing trade, many traders try to "win back" what they lost quickly, often leading to overtrading or taking high-risk trades. This is called "revenge trading" and can exacerbate losses. Take a step back, assess the situation, and only enter new trades that meet your criteria.
- ** Accept Losses as Part of the Process **: Losing trades are inevitable. Successful traders view losses as an expense or cost of doing business. They understand that even the best trading strategies have losing streaks. Accepting this reality helps you avoid emotionally driven decisions.
- ** Maintain a Trading Journal **: Keeping track of both winning and losing trades can help you identify emotional patterns. Record why you took the trade, the results, and how you felt during the trade. This reflection can provide insight into emotional triggers and help you make more rational decisions in the future.
### 3. ** Adjust Your Strategy Based on Market Conditions **
Markets are dynamic and constantly changing. What works in one market environment may not work in another. Regularly review and adapt your trading strategy to current market conditions, particularly after losing trades.
- ** Assess Trade Context **: After each losing trade, conduct a post-trade analysis. Did the trade fail due to poor market conditions, execution errors, or a flaw in your strategy? Recognising these patterns can help you tweak your approach and avoid repeating the same mistakes.
- ** Diversify Your Strategy **: Relying too heavily on one trading approach or asset class can increase the likelihood of losses during unfavourable conditions. Consider diversifying your strategies (trend following, mean reversion, etc.) and the assets you trade. This spreads risk and can stabilise performance during market volatility.
- ** Cut Losses Early When Conditions Change **: If the market conditions that supported your trade change significantly, don’t hesitate to exit the trade, even before hitting your stop-loss. For example, news events or shifts in sentiment can render your trade idea invalid. Being flexible and willing to exit early when your initial reasoning no longer holds is essential.
By applying a robust risk management plan, controlling emotional biases, and regularly adapting your strategy to current market conditions, you can navigate and limit the damage of losing trades.
NVDA is on Wave CNVDA is on around Wave 3C falling to around 109 - 110
Before LTD roughly around 21-25 Sept
Is NVDA the catalyst for the market?NVDA just had a bearish crossover of the 20 & 50 MA (Daily chart)
Last time we saw this bearish moving average formation was in early August.
NVDA proceeded to fall sharply in the coming days.
All eyes on the market leader. All eyes on the QQQ.
Will the Q’s be the demise of SPY?
If Nvidia sees anymore weakness you can be sure it will have other semis following suit.
Risk to reward in the near term is clear.
NVIDIA's Four-Hour Dip: A Macro Correction or Bigger Shift UPGood afternoon or evening, traders!
What a rollercoaster of a day! The market followed our expectations—correcting, then taking a dive. But wow, did anyone expect that explosive breakout at 9:30 am? That’s the thrill of the open!
In this video, I'm staying neutral, but here’s what we need to watch: a breakout above 119-120 opens the door to 140 and beyond—a very real possibility. On the flip side, a dip below current levels could see us exploring the 90 range. Something to keep in mind!
Thanks for watching, and apologies if I sound a bit tired—it’s been an intense day.
Happy trading, and let’s keep riding those waves!
MB Trader
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) short term outlookNASDAQ:NVDA is currently trading within a downward sloping channel (flag)downward-sloping, approaching a key resistance level. A breakout from this consolidation could lead to a potential upward move, especially as it tests the upper boundary of the channel. Watching the volume and how the stock interacts with the moving averages will be critical in confirming any breakout or reversal in momentum.
NVDA: The main reversal points - D & W charts.Daily Chart:
The price has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci retracement area around $115, showing a potential area of temporary support near the 21-day EMA. This is often viewed as a significant retracement level where price can consolidate before deciding its next move.
Resistance is clearly visible around $120.79, which aligns with both the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a recent high, making this a critical level to watch for any potential upward continuation.
The 21-day EMA (blue line) is sloping downward, which signals that the price is still under some downward pressure. For any significant bullish momentum to continue, the price needs to break above the 61.8% Fibonacci level ($120.79).
If the price fails to hold the 50% level and drops lower, the next key support is around the 38.2% Fibonacci level at $112, followed by the recent low near $100.
Weekly Chart:
On the weekly chart, the price is trading within an ascending channel, and the price action remains within this bullish structure.
A notable pattern, "Above the Stomach," has formed, which is generally considered a bullish reversal signal. This pattern indicates that buyers stepped in after a significant sell-off, pushing the price higher within the week.
The long-term trend remains intact as the price is still above the 21-week EMA, which continues to slope upwards. As long as the price remains within the ascending channel, the overall bias will likely remain positive.
However, the price may face resistance at $120.79, which aligns with both the daily resistance and the high of the above the stomachh candlestick pattern.
Conclusion:
The key level to watch on the upside is $120.79, which, if broken, could lead to further bullish momentum. On the downside, holding the 50% retracement level ($115) is critical. If the price fails to hold here, further retracement toward $112 or even $100 could be expected. The long-term structure still supports a bullish outlook, but confirmation of strength is needed for the next move higher.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
Bull Pennant on the 4HRBull Pennant on the 4HR.. With the Fed rate decision looming, good news could spark the fuse on this.
NVDA MICRO ANALYSIS TO LOOK FOR ON WHERE WE ARE GOING Good evening traders,
It's super late here; however, I wanted to inform you of some levels with this video to give you the information needed to make a better trade.
Based on what I see, we can do the following:
-Correct up to the middle pitchfork area and head back down.
-Correct up to the 50%, 61.8%, or 78.2% fib line and back down.
-Break all those levels up and keep going to 145.
Let me know what you think of the video: questions, comments, what you liked, didn't like—let me know in the comments below.
Happy hunting,
MB Trader
NVIDIA _ Corporation_ Trading _ Entry _ Strategy + Update _ on _NVIDIA _ Corporation_ Trading _ Entry _ Strategy + Update _ on _ Previous _ Numbers.
Numbers pretty much stay as same as previous published, same as 12 will come again tomorrow!
Retest = Entry level depending on a support confirmation over previous resistance = Yesterday. Most likely will start ascending from the following key level, $112.54 to $109.92.
________________________
1st Trade executed level = $124 follow by $128.93
Lower Mid Retest then will finish at the 1st Distribution price = $137.78.
________________________
Watch for lower data as there is a small Retest is missing = Purpose of repeat cycle over Quarter 2 for arrival of Quarter 4!
NVDA continues to show more selling aheadNVDA has clearly finished its brief rally failing to reach long term resistance level. A new downtrend has commenced
first broke under its upward trend and failed to regain
new downward trend formed, attempted to break above but failed and sold off
volume has increased as the sell off continues solidifying the downward trend
RSI validate the sell off by also steadily trending down as the price moves lower
We should expect NVDA to continue with its sell off
NVDA covered callLove this area. IF NVDA DROPS, I'll buy more shares! But, I wanted to take advantage of the volatility of FED coming up. GETTING $2.00 is amazing. I'll set a limit buy to purchase this back for $.78
NVDA 4 hour : How High Are We Going????Good morning Traders
Today's quick video I look at the four hour approach on the different things this market can do:
1) We go the top then retrace down
2) We break the Top and then retrace then back up to 122 range
3) We hold on the top and then we make a tight triangle holding this market in then we see a break up or down
Enjoy the video
Any comments or questions let me know
Happy Hunting
MB Trader
NVDA is the Biggest and Badass Consolidation PatternNVDA is inside the biggest and most impressive symmetrical triangle I've seen in a long time. As it's also known as a continuation pattern, there is a higher chance of a breakout, potentially reaching an all-time high very soon.
The RSI and MACD, after showing significant bearish divergences, are now stable and indicate the possibility of a new upward move. The MACD has a positive cross and green candle.
If NVDA gathers strength and volume to break above the upper trend line, we could see a very powerful and aggressive move beyond 150.
On the other hand, if the breakout fails, it may indicate that NVDA has reached a high that won't be surpassed for years or even decades.
In my assessment, there is an 80% chance of a breakout to a new all-time high due to several factors: positive momentum, a likely rate cut by the Fed, the cooled-down RSI and MACD, the fact that this is a continuation pattern and not a reversal, and most importantly, the Advance-Decline line has already made a higher high while SPY has not, which is very bullish for stocks.
NVDA - Key Observation and Forecast for Next Trading DayI will break down the key observations, possible chart patterns, and the forecast for the next trading day. Here’s a detailed outlook:
1. Current Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Formation
The chart displays a symmetrical triangle pattern, with price currently near the apex. This signals a potential breakout as the price narrows.
2. EMA 9 Support
The EMA 9 line is currently positioned around $114.91, acting as dynamic support. The price is trending above this level, which shows a bullish bias, provided it holds.
3. VWAP Session: Near Current Price
The VWAP session value is $116.30, which is near the current closing price. This could serve as a point of price equilibrium, suggesting that the market is currently balanced.
4. Resistance Level: Upper Trendline
The upper trendline of the triangle sits around $119.97. This is a critical resistance level, and a breakout above this could signify a strong bullish move.
5. Support Level: Lower Trendline
The lower trendline of the triangle, around $114.00, will act as support. If the price breaks below this level, a bearish move could ensue.
6. Symmetrical Triangle Implication
Symmetrical triangles usually imply consolidation before a major move. The direction of the breakout—either above resistance or below support—will determine the future trend.
7. Candlestick Outlook for Tomorrow (Daily)
The next day's candlestick is likely to be indecisive if the price remains within the triangle. Expect a small-bodied candle (spinning top or doji) if there's no breakout.
If there’s a breakout, expect a large-bodied candle in the direction of the breakout—either bullish or bearish.
8. Breakout Potential
The market is near a pivotal point. Given the chart’s symmetrical triangle, we are approaching a breakout. The direction of the breakout will likely be determined by tomorrow’s price action.
9. Expected High for Tomorrow
If the price breaks upwards, the expected high could be around $120.50 to $122.00, based on the recent range and triangle’s upper limit extension.
10. Expected Low for Tomorrow
If there’s a bearish breakout, the expected low could drop to $113.00 to $111.50, particularly if the lower trendline breaks and sellers take control.
11. Volume Consideration
The breakout is more likely if accompanied by a surge in volume. Currently, the volume bars show mixed activity, with no strong volume spike yet.
12. Key Reversal Signals
If tomorrow opens with a gap above the triangle, followed by strong buying pressure, a breakout is confirmed. Conversely, a gap down below the lower trendline would confirm a bearish breakdown.
13. Market Sentiment: Neutral with a Bullish Bias
The price is consolidating, but the higher lows within the triangle suggest that buyers still have control. A breakout above resistance would confirm bullish sentiment.
14. Candlestick Analysis for Current Day
The current candlestick is a small body, which implies indecision. It may signal that the market is waiting for more information (or catalyst) before making a decisive move.
15. Next Move Based on Patterns
If the price breaks out upwards, we can expect a bullish continuation targeting previous highs around $124.00 to $127.00.
A breakdown could lead to a bearish move to test the $110.00 and $108.00 levels.
16. Technical Levels for Tomorrow
Resistance: $119.97 (Upper Trendline) and then $120.50-$122.00 (If breakout occurs).
Support: $114.00 (Lower Trendline) and $111.50 (If breakdown occurs).
17. Possible Continuation Pattern
If the breakout occurs upwards, this could form a bullish flag pattern, leading to higher highs in subsequent days.
18. Risk of False Breakout
Be cautious of a potential false breakout. If the price moves above or below the trendline but quickly reverses, it would be a sign of a false breakout, trapping traders.
19. Impact of Wider Market Trends
Broader market sentiment or news can heavily influence the direction of the breakout. Keep an eye on macroeconomic news or earnings reports.
20. Trading Strategy
A breakout trader may consider entering positions once the price decisively breaks either the upper or lower trendline with volume confirmation.
A conservative approach would be to wait for a retest of the breakout level for confirmation before entering the trade.
Lauren's NVDA Trading Report - September 9th to 13th. Monday, September 9th
Pattern Identified: Rising Wedge
Key Events:
The price formed a rising wedge pattern early in the session, signaling potential weakness or a reversal. The breakout occurred downwards from this pattern.
Retest (Failed): After the breakout, there was a retest attempt at the breakout level, which failed, confirming the breakout's strength. The price later tested the pre-market high, but the rejection confirmed the downward bias.
Key Indicators:
EMA (9) acted as dynamic resistance throughout the day after the breakout.
VWAP held as support initially but turned into resistance after the wedge breakout.
Tuesday, September 10th
Pattern Identified: Choppy morning followed by a "Cup with Handle"
Key Events:
The market started the day with a choppy, range-bound movement before breaking out from the cup-and-handle pattern.
Breakout (No Retest): The breakout from the handle of the pattern did not experience a retest, which implies strong momentum.
Support: A solid support level formed at $106.98, providing a base for the day’s upward movement.
Key Indicators:
EMA (9) aligned with the breakout and confirmed the upward momentum after the handle formation.
VWAP played a significant role in supporting price action throughout the day.
Wednesday, September 11th
Market Character: Strong Bullish Momentum
Key Events:
Open Range High: After the morning range, the price broke out from the open range high, initiating a strong upward trend for the rest of the day.
Retest: The price successfully retested the breakout level, confirming the bullish continuation.
The session ended with clear strength as price closed near its highs, showing little to no retracement.
Key Indicators:
EMA (9) and VWAP were well below the price, suggesting that bulls controlled the session.
Key Level: $111.92 was an important level that aligned with the breakout and acted as a major support during the day.
Thursday, September 12th
Pattern Identified: Failed "Double Top" and Change in Plan
Key Events:
The initial session featured a failed double-top pattern, leading to a plan adjustment towards the "Open Range Break & Retest" strategy.
Retest: The price retested the open range high after breaking out and found support, confirming continuation.
Candle Confirmation: A strong bullish candle after the retest confirmed the reversal from the earlier failed double top.
Key Indicators:
EMA (9) supported the price action throughout the day.
VWAP indicated market consensus, confirming the bullish trend after the retest.
Friday, September 13th
Market Behavior: Consolidation with Key Levels
Key Events:
The market remained confined within the pre-market high (PMH) and pre-market low (PML) levels, trading in a tight range.
There was an overall consolidation pattern, with price respecting these levels but showing no clear breakout.
Caution: Trading within pre-market range levels usually suggests indecision or range-bound conditions.
Key Indicators:
EMA (9) and VWAP both fluctuated closely with price, indicating a neutral bias for the day.
Key Levels: PMH and PML levels played a significant role as support and resistance.
General Feedback & Analysis:
EMA (9) and VWAP: These two indicators were crucial throughout the week, often acting as dynamic support or resistance, particularly on trending days like Wednesday and Thursday. VWAP was also reliable during choppy or range-bound sessions.
Chart Patterns: Key patterns such as the rising wedge on Monday, the cup and handle on Tuesday, and the failed double top on Thursday were pivotal in signaling market direction. These patterns, paired with confirmation indicators like retests or candle patterns, provided excellent trade setups.
Breakouts and Retests:
The retest on Wednesday confirmed a strong bullish day, showing that waiting for a retest can significantly improve trade outcomes.
The lack of retest on Tuesday's breakout indicates that when breakouts occur without a retest, they often signal strong momentum.
Key Levels: Premarket highs and lows, as well as open-range levels, were critical throughout the week. Maintaining an eye on these levels and observing how price reacts around them provides high-probability trade setups.
Friday's Range: The price action remained contained between pre-market high and low, suggesting a non-trending or indecisive day. Such days call for caution and perhaps a range-bound strategy rather than breakout strategies.
Inverse Head & Shoulders on the 1HR and the 15We can see a pretty prominent Head & Shoulders that has formed on the 1HR as well the 15MIN. A breakout of this and the Cup & and Handle could bring a really nice leg up to NVDA. Keep in mind these are hourly candles...
NVDA Weekly Crossover SwingNASDAQ:NVDA
I posted my NVDA daily crossover idea (see below), this one is the weekly (they have both triggered)
Additional Trigger:
No additional trigger needed here, although the daily swing triggers could be used for a better r/r.
SL: 100.29 (1.4 weekly ATR multiplier)
TP: 160.00 (3.2 weekly ATR multiplier)
Max Date: Week end on Friday, November 8th (yes, 8 full weeks!)
^^As always, which ever hits first
Additional levels to consider trims/rolls:
131.26 - Previous strong high, possible liquidity grab
136.15 - Previous high
137.90 - Supply zone touch just before ATHs
140.76 - ATH
150.00 - Possible psychological level
What I'm targeting to purchase:
Personally, I will be employing a deep ITM option strategy, where I look to roll UP at key levels, which is just another way of taking money off the table while remaining in the trade.
There are a variety of ways to play this trade, as it could take up to 8 full weeks before targets get hit (if they do).
I will be targeting the Nov contract with roughly an .80 delta (currently the 100c), and will look to roll up 5 dollars worth in strike prices (from 100c to 105c then to 110c, etc) each time the rollup would be a credit of 4.00 or more.
Like I said, many other ways of taking this trade, including just buying a further dated contract, ITM, ATM, or OTM and staying parked in it.
NVDA Daily Crossover Idea for further reference:
NVDA Daily Crossover SwingNASDAQ:NVDA
NVDA has triggered both the daily and the weekly crossover. Both can be approached as separate trades, this is just the daily outline.
Additional Trigger:
Only to try and get a better R/R based on the S&D zones, I would aim for an entry around Thursday's LOD (115.38).
A more safer approach would be the 114.11 test, which would be a .5 fib retracement from the previous Strong Low
SL: 106.60 (1.4 ATR multiplier, and just inside heavy demand zone)
TP: 135.57 (3.2 ATR multiplier and just below a possible liquidity grab)
Max Date: Market Open Thursday, 9/26
^^As always, which ever hits first
Additional levels to consider trims/rolls:
125.61 - Supply zone touch
131.26 - Previous strong high, possible liquidity grab
134.14 - Supply zone touch
What I'm targeting to purchase:
If we get the pullback to 115.38, I'd like the Oct18 115c for around 6.65 per con.
At max date, the con is expected to lose 3.89 or gain 15.10, based on original SL and TP levels.
NVDA Long Idea - September 16, 2024Hi all,
I was having some fun adding graphics to my chart this morning & thought I would share with the community. Some may or may not agree with me, but this is what I am seeing.
I didn't outline how I arrived at this, but just sharing my overall thoughts on the short/mid term movement of the NVDA Stock.
Also if my fun graphics make some laugh it is worth while.
ibb.co
Chart View:
NVDA: Weekly to 4 hour: How low are we going: Correction ? Good morning Traders
Hope everyone had a great weekend of trading:
I created a video to give you a gauge on where NVDA is going. We have an correction but is it true correction is the question.
Let me know what you think of the video, comments are always welcome.
Happy hunting
MB Trader
Nvidia's Symmetrical Triangle: Preparing for the Next Big MoveNvidia's share price has taken a breather over recent months, forming a symmetrical triangle pattern. This technical setup often signals a potential breakout—let’s delve into what this could mean for the stock and explore some strategies for trading it.
Financial Performance: Strong Fundamentals Amidst Consolidation
While Nvidia's share price has been consolidating, its financial performance remains impressive. In Q2 2024, Nvidia reported $30 billion in revenue, reflecting a 122% year-over-year increase, with net income reaching $16.6 billion. These numbers highlight Nvidia’s leading position in the AI, data centre, and gaming sectors, driven by its critical role in advanced technology applications.
Despite these solid figures, Nvidia’s share price has faced some selling pressure. This is due to tempered investor expectations and production delays for its next-generation Blackwell AI chips. The company’s revenue guidance of $32.5 billion for the next quarter, though slightly above estimates, was not enough to stave off a pullback. Nvidia’s high valuation, with a forward PE ratio of 33.3 and an EV/EBITDA ratio of 47.32, has also added to investor caution. However, Nvidia's long-term growth outlook remains strong, bolstered by a 61.87% operating margin and a 60% forecasted EPS growth for the upcoming year.
Technical Analysis: The Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
Nvidia’s price action on the daily candle chart during the last three months has shown a series of higher swing lows and lower swing highs, forming a symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern. This pattern reflects a market in equilibrium, where both bullish and bearish forces are evenly matched. The convergence of these trendlines—the rising support and falling resistance—indicates that neither side is in full control, resulting in a narrowing trading range.
While a symmetrical triangle suggests balance between buyers and sellers, it also signals price compression. As the range tightens, volatility diminishes, creating a buildup of potential energy. This compression is often a precursor to a significant breakout, as the market eventually resolves this tension. The breakout can occur in either direction, but once it does, it’s usually sharp and decisive.
The key takeaway is that the longer the consolidation persists, the more substantial the breakout is likely to be when the market finally moves. Traders and investors should closely monitor Nvidia's price action as the apex of the triangle nears, preparing for a breakout that could define the next phase of Nvidia’s trend.
NVDA Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
NVDA Weekly Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Trading Strategies: Approaching the Breakout
Whilst the symmetrical triangle pattern itself can resolve in either direction, probabilities favour alignment with Nvidia’s long-term uptrend. Here are three strategies to consider:
1. Bullish Reversal Strategy: Some traders might watch out for a potential bullish reversal near the lower boundary of the triangle. If Nvidia’s share price pulls back to this support level and shows signs of bouncing—such as a bullish candlestick pattern or increased volume—it could suggest a possible trading opportunity.
2. Momentum-Based Strategy: Alternatively, traders can wait for a decisive breakout above the upper boundary of the triangle. A breakout with strong volume might suggest the start of a new trend leg higher, though this is not guaranteed.
3. Counter-Trend Downside Breakout: If Nvidia break below the lower boundary of the triangle with heavy volume, it could signal the start of a prolonged pullback. In this case, traders may consider short positions, using the breakdown as confirmation.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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