NVDAD trade ideas
NVDA Q1 Earnings: Strong Fundamentals Amid Geopolitical NoiseDespite recent trade restrictions, Nvidia has shown remarkable operational strength, beating expectations with $44.1 billion in revenue and a 73% YoY growth in its data center segment, fueled by rising demand for artificial intelligence. While international tensions led to a projected $8 billion loss, the market responded with confidence—viewing it as a temporary adjustment rather than a structural threat. This strong financial position supports our CALL contract entry, which is already gaining value. If tomorrow’s GDP data confirms economic stability, we could see another bullish move, and if our technical target is reached, we’ll exit as planned.
NVDA will drop this yearUnless we witness a breakout or signs of one, we will head down. Next year, we will head back up higher than ever, which will increase our chances of breaking out and potentially spiking up 50-200% . For now, I anticipate a significant drop, but ensure your stop-loss is ready in case of a breakout. If that’s the case, I’d buy a long. For now there are no signs of such so I am shorting.
This analysis is solely from charts
Good luck traders
NVDA roadmap of Support / Resistance levels going into Earnings
NVDA earnings soon that the entire world will be watching.
Plotted are key levels mapped by its Genesis and Covid fibs.
Look for the move to stop and rebound at one of these zones.
$ 140.35-141.09 is the first resistance above.
$ 148.64-150.04 is the All Time High resistance.
$ 122.25 is a Golden Covid fib for bulls to hold.
$ 111.63-113.56 is pretty much Bulls' Last Stand
See "Related Publications" links to the right ----------->>>>
for previous plots that played out EXACTLY.
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Nvidia (NVDA) Elliott Wave Analysis: Wave 5 Nearing Its EndThe short-term Elliott Wave analysis for NVIDIA (NVDA) indicates a bullish trend unfolding as an impulse structure since the low on April 21, 2025. From that low, the stock completed wave 1 at $111.92. The stock then followed by a corrective pullback in wave 2, which bottomed at $104.08. The subsequent rally in wave 3 displayed strong momentum, characterized by a nested impulse structure in a lesser degree. Within wave 3, the first sub-wave, wave ((i)), peaked at $115.40, with a brief dip in wave ((ii)) to $110.82. The powerful wave ((iii)) surged to $136.89, followed by a shallow pullback in wave ((iv)) to $132.65. The final leg, wave ((v)), concluded at $137.40, completing wave 3 on a higher degree.
The corrective wave 4 unfolded as a zigzag pattern. From the wave 3 peak, wave ((a)) declined to $130.59, wave ((b)) rebounded to $134.23, and wave ((c)) completed the pullback at $127.80, finalizing wave 4. NVIDIA has since resumed its upward trajectory in wave 5. As long as the pivot low at $104.08 holds, the stock is expected to extend higher in wave 5, completing the cycle from the April 21 low. Following this, a larger-degree three-wave pullback is anticipated, offering a potential pause in the bullish trend.
SunsetToday the stock tried again to get a new top - successfully. But the top has been sold immediately! This week we have seen 3 windows. All of them are still open.
This jumping from window to window shows an overaware market, perhaps artificial(AI!) pumping.
The sale of the recent top is confirming my view.
I am selling.
Nvidia Stock 5-Day Consolidation Breakout - Uptrend or Pullback?Trade Duration: Intraday
Trade Type: Breakout
- Nvidia is currently consolidating tightly between $132 and $136, forming a narrow range that reflects a balance between buyers and sellers unwilling to relinquish control. This range-bound action signals indecision, but it won’t last indefinitely.
- Typically, the longer the consolidation, the more significant the subsequent move. As new participants enter the market, a breakout—whether upward or downward—can trigger a powerful surge.
- This move is often amplified by breakout buyers joining in and stop-loss orders of trapped traders being triggered, creating an ideal setup for an intraday breakout trade.
- I plan to initiate either a buy or sell position depending on the breakout direction, capitalizing on the momentum generated by this tight consolidation phase.
Upside Targets : 138$ and 141$
Downside Targets : 128$ and 126$
SHORT | NVDANASDAQ:NVDA
Key Observations:
Current Price Action:
Price: $131.80
Recent Drop: -2.58 (-1.92%)
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $134.70 to $138.83
This red zone represents a strong supply area where the price has historically faced selling pressure.
Immediate Support: $122.74 (Target Price 1)
Further Supports:
Target Price 2: $116.65 (Aligned with 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement)
Target Price 3: $108.38 (Previous structural low)
Trendlines:
Red Uptrend Line: Recently broken, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
Green Downtrend Line: Long-term resistance trendline from the previous Lower Highs (LH) is still intact and respected.
The break below the minor trendline suggests a corrective wave (4) might be in motion.
Fibonacci Levels:
0.382 Fib Retracement: $121.22
0.5 Fib Retracement: $116.22
These levels align with potential targets in a wave (4) corrective phase according to Elliott Wave theory.
Target Prices:
Target Price 1: $122.74
This is the closest demand zone and aligns with the 0.382 retracement—high-probability support.
Target Price 2: $116.65
Aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci level and previous consolidation.
Target Price 3: $108.38
A major structural support and potential wave (4) bottom if market turns sharply bearish.
Summary:
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is showing early signs of a corrective phase after failing to break through strong resistance in the $134–$138 range. The price rejected the resistance zone and is likely entering wave (4) correction. Key support levels to monitor are $122.74, $116.65, and $108.38, corresponding with Fibonacci retracement levels and historical price structure. A break below the short-term trendline increases the probability of a continued pullback before potentially resuming the uptrend in wave (5).
NVDA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-25NVDA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-25)
Model Summaries Grok/xAI: Mixed technical signals—bullish on daily, bearish on 5-minute; neutral overall; no trade recommended (55% confidence). Claude/Anthropic: Moderately bearish; recommends buying the $128 put at ~$3.60 for a 50–100% profit target; confidence 72%. Llama/Meta: Moderately bearish but views premium/risk as unfavorable for buying; instead suggests selling the $130 put; confidence 70%. Gemini/Google: Strong intraday bearish technicals and negative sentiment; recommends buying the $120 put at ~$1.24 as a day trade; confidence 65%. DeepSeek: Moderately bearish but sees premiums >$1 as too rich; no trade recommended (55% confidence). Areas of Agreement and Disagreement Agreement: • Overall moderately bearish bias for NVDA into weekly expiry. • Rising VIX, max-pain near $126, and negative news support downside. Disagreement: • Trade/no-trade: Grok and DeepSeek pass, Claude, Gemini and Llama propose trades. • Strike selection: Claude prefers $128 put; Gemini $120 put; Llama sells $130 put. • Strategy type: All bearish ideas are buy puts except Llama, which suggests naked put selling. Conclusion Overall Market Direction: Moderately Bearish for the week ending 2025-05-30. Recommended Trade: Buy a weekly put to capture the expected pull toward the $126 max-pain level. • Instrument: NVDA 2025-05-30 $128 Put • Entry Timing: At market open • Entry Price: $3.65 (ask) • Profit Target: $5.48 (≈50% gain ⇒ midpoint sell or scale) • Stop Loss: $2.56 (≈30% loss) • Size: 1 contract Confidence Level: 70% Key Risks and Considerations: • Intraday oversold conditions could trigger a short-term bounce. • Theta decay accelerates late in the week—need timely exit. • Holiday-shortened week may damp momentum. • Liquidity is good at the $128 strike but bid-ask spread and slippage can impact execution.
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": "NVDA", "direction": "put", "strike": 128.0, "expiry": "2025-05-30", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 5.48, "stop_loss": 2.56, "size": 1, "entry_price": 3.65, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-25 10:57:51 UTC-04:00" } 📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: NVDA 🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT) 🎯 Strike: 128.00 💵 Entry Price: 3.65 🎯 Profit Target: 5.48 🛑 Stop Loss: 2.56 📅 Expiry: 2025-05-30 📏 Size: 1 📈 Confidence: 70% ⏰ Entry Timing: open 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-05-25 10:58:05 EDT
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$NVDA Breaks Out of Ascending Triangle – 140 Next?NVDA just broke and retested an ascending triangle on the 4H chart — a textbook bullish continuation pattern.
After plunging more than 40% from its highs, NVDA is now pressing higher, setting its sights on the $140 resistance zone — which also lines up closely with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level drawn from the all-time high to the swing low at $86.
🟢 Bullish case: We’re seeing clean structure, breakout volume, and a successful retest of prior resistance as new support.
🔴 Bearish divergence: RSI is flashing a potential warning — price is climbing, but momentum is cooling off.
With earnings on the 28th and $140 looming above, this is a must-watch chart. NVDA was the media darling of 2023–2024, and now it’s quietly building steam while most aren’t paying attention.
Could we be setting up for a run back to all-time highs — while the herd sleeps?
📊 Watchlist this one. This move could impact the entire semiconductor sector. NASDAQ:NVDA
NVIDIA The 1W MA100 rebound is targeting $225 at least.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) broke last week above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2.5 months and all this is generated by April's bottom rebound on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line).
The 1W MA100 has been intact since January 23 2023, so this rebound technically initiates a new Bullish Leg. Since the December 2018 bottom (previous U.S. - China Trade War), the minimum rise on such a Bullish Leg has been +156.11%. As a result, NVIDIA can now target $225 at least before the end of 2025.
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Nvidia Maintains Bearish Bias After EarningsNvidia released its quarterly earnings yesterday, and since then, market confidence triggered a significant bullish gap that pushed the stock price up by nearly 5%. However, in recent hours, a new bearish bias has started to emerge, steadily closing the gap as the market digests the company’s latest report.
Nvidia reported $44 billion in revenue, slightly above the $43 billion expected, while earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.77, below the $0.87 forecast. Nevertheless, the most notable aspect of the report was the announcement of an estimated $8 billion revenue loss due to U.S. export restrictions. In response, CEO Jensen Huang strongly criticized these measures, warning that they could negatively impact the company’s performance in the coming months.
Uptrend Channel Remains Intact
Since early April, Nvidia has maintained a steady upward channel. Although a slight bearish bias has emerged recently, it is not yet strong enough to pose a threat to the broader bullish trend seen in recent months. Therefore, this technical structure remains the most important pattern for the upcoming sessions.
Technical Indicators:
RSI: The Relative Strength Index has begun to show signs of a possible bearish divergence, as lower highs on the RSI contrast with higher highs in the stock price. This mismatch could signal short-term corrective movements.
MACD: The MACD, meanwhile, continues to oscillate around the zero line, indicating a balance between buying and selling pressure. As long as the histogram remains near this level, it suggests neutral momentum in price direction.
Key Levels to Watch:
$140 USD: Current resistance level where short-term selling pressure may emerge.
$150 USD: Distant resistance around January highs. A breakout toward this level could support a stronger bullish channel.
$125 USD: Important support that coincides with the 200-period moving average. A bearish move toward this level could break the current bullish formation.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
$140 NVDA to the downside?I am seeing a previous ORD Block to be tested at $139/140 after that I might expect some sort of "news" to break and start a selling to fill both Gaps on the downside before it continues.
It might happen or not, but my experience shows me manipulation is quite real. And we got to account for that guy that saw the market collapse before anyone you know that famous housing problem that even made a movie about it? He is shorting NVDA as well. I do not believe in any of them, but I would be careful. Unless NVDA doesn't break strongly above $140 and retest without problems. I would bet going down eventually too.
For now going up.
NVIDIA Pre-Earnings – Why is it rising already?First of all — thank you all for the support on the previous analysis: over 900 views and 36 boosts! 🙏
A common question came up:
"Why is NVDA rising if earnings haven’t been released yet?"
Simple: the market is anticipating.
There’s strong expectation that NVIDIA will once again outperform when it reports on May 28. That alone has brought in early buying pressure — both institutional and retail — and we’re seeing that reflected in the current price action.
🧠 This is what we often call "buy the rumor".
NVDA is also benefiting from:
Renewed strength in the tech sector
High demand for AI infrastructure
Clear leadership in its industry
I entered the position ahead of the move, based on fundamentals and a strict risk management plan. If earnings deliver, the CALL option should accelerate significantly. If not, I already have a defined stop-loss strategy in place.
This is not about guessing — it’s about staying disciplined.
Let’s see how the next 48 hours unfold. 🚀📈
What to Watch in Nvidia Earnings and Key Technical LevelsStock markets around the globe are turning their focus to one key earnings report: Nvidia. AI has been the primary driver of the U.S. stock market over the past few years, and Nvidia’s earnings are widely viewed as the best indicator of growth in the AI sector. The correlation between Nvidia and broader U.S. stock performance as well as its influence on global equities, crypto, and FX is strong enough for the world to fixate on this report.
Nvidia is expected to report $0.88 EPS for the first quarter of FY2026, representing a 43.36% year-over-year increase, but a slight decline quarter-over-quarter. The company previously guided revenue between $42.14 billion and $43.86 billion, with market consensus currently at $43.317 billion, in line with that range.
The key revenue stream, Data Center, is expected to generate $39.357 billion, reflecting 74.44% growth. Some analysts are forecasting as high as $42.051 billion for this segment alone.
At a forward P/E ratio of 27.6x, Nvidia is trading well below its 1-year (32.1x), 2-year (33.7x), and 5-year (40.1x) historical averages. This more favorable valuation, coupled with strong AI tailwinds, could present a solid medium- to long-term buying opportunity if earnings and guidance support the growth narrative.
After breaking out of the downtrend, NVDA approached the 140 resistance level but failed to break through. Following the upcoming earnings release, if Nvidia pulls back to either 118 or 110, those levels could present buying opportunities, assuming the report isn’t significantly negative.
It’s worth noting that sometimes real market expectations run much higher than the analyst consensus, which can lead to a selloff even after a strong earnings report.
The 154 level remains the key resistance for now, and in our view, a breakout this week carries a relatively low probability. If the report tomorrow exceeds expectations, 154 could still act as a barrier and trigger some profit-taking by Nvidia bulls.
NVDA ..The nvidia levels of interesting worthiness
^^See my other idea on how the lines work and how I use them to see about the worthiness or V-bounces or to determine if flags are forming...
only addition i will put here...is the application of a basic Fib retrace from the top start of the trend in descending pattern to the first breach of the line, after the second pivot point. So the yellow markers show the retrace and the green show the trend line of two worth pivots.
A nice X forms on that candle between the lines and the fib retrace...
Options Trade Idea: NVDA $135 PUT – Exp. May 23, 2025 -SwingI'm entering a NVDA $135 PUT expiring May 23, 2025, as a short-term swing trade based on my technical analysis.
Type: Put Option (ITM)
Strike Price: $135
Expiration: May 23, 2025 (this Friday)
Rationale:
I see signs of a potential downside move in NVDA: bearish RSI divergence, weakening momentum, and rejection at key resistance. I chose the in-the-money (ITM) $135 strike PUT because it has higher delta and holds value better, especially with strong theta decay favoring fast profits ahead of expiration this Friday.