SE trade ideas
watch 155.49 support level for SEIt has dropped more than 65% from its peak and is not resting barely above the support level at 155.49. It is in the process of retracement and if it stays above this support level, it may be worthwhile to go nibble some of its shares.
As part of the Tech stocks (e-commerce players) community, if the big boys fall , it also follow suit. So, be patient and wait for more bullish signals to form first before deciding to enter.
SE Possible Bullish pattern under-construction Good for options Again same as previous setup - Bearish candlesticks pattern with raising volume suggesting further decline before earning report on 17th MAY - Closed at 76 and indicators at low levels - The idea is strangle options combo between 70 and 80 for coming weeks as i expect the next move will be in range of 20% at least from current price 76 - logically 65 is bearish target and 95 is bullish one but the move can be extended much further to 110-130 on bullish side and 52 on bearish one so it should pay good for these options. Note: the entry should be at good spot where oversold or overbought condition on small time frame. this is important for nice entry. worth to note that i checked options prices and profit probabilities of these combo and its lower than normal conditions may be due to fear raising put prices but lets see how its goes!
SE Short2022 will continue to be unkind to the tech-industry, with a possible rebound and a return to fundamental valuations sometime in the next 12-18 months.
SE unlimited is no exception, and SaaS companies will continue their decline. It would be wise to hold a cash position, and begin accumulating at the zones below.
Thoughts?
Sea Limited: More Pain Ahead Before ReversingSea Limited is slated to release its Q1 earnings card on May 17. Investors eagerly anticipate a reassuring card, given SE stock's massive 85% drop from its highs.
We believe the market has been pricing in regional headwinds in Southeast Asia. The region has also been hampered by growth, inflation, and recession fears.
Sea Limited's revenue and EPS estimates have also been downgraded markedly. As a result, its path to profitability could be impacted by weaker discretionary spending.
We revise our rating from Buy to Hold. We urge investors to first watch for a strong consolidation before adding more exposure.
Investment Thesis
Sea Limited (NYSE:SE) is scheduled to report its FQ1'22 earnings card on May 17. Its stock has collapsed dramatically over the six months, to the dismay of its investors. After a massive run-up over the past two years, SE stock was hammered, falling almost 85% from its highs in October.
Despite providing more clarity on its underlying metrics, with guidance on a path to profitability in its FQ4 card, the market was not convinced. Instead, investors have battered e-commerce and gaming/entertainment stocks as the reopening themes gained momentum. Given Sea's significant exposure to these two segments, we could hardly fault early investors for bailing out of SE stock in droves as they sought to lock in gains.
Our price action analysis also indicated a series of traps over the past few months. Furthermore, sellers have recently overwhelmed SE stock, breaking below a critical support level, pointing to potentially more downside ahead.
While we remain long-term investors in SE stock, we believe it's prudent not to catch the falling knives from here. Given Sea Limited's unprofitability, investors need to recognize why the market has brutally digested its growth premium. The macro headwinds that have impacted the US economy have headed to Southeast Asia. The global inflationary pressures have also percolated into their economies. Such forces could significantly impact consumer discretionary spending, hampering Sea Limited's ability to continue growing rapidly.
As a result, we believe the time has come to revise our rating on SE stock from Buy to Hold. We urge investors to let the stock consolidate and find a robust consolidation level first (which we have not observed any).
- S.A.
$SE Wild swing +/- 30$ up to earning report. now at 120Recent 3 peaks rejected from the red cloud as expected. now if it can go up thru that cloud and close above 135-136 again then targets will be 140-156-175 and can be extended to 210-230 if earning report surprised investors. ER will be at 22-5 ... from other side, support at 110-104-95 gap closing will works good as bounce levels. If break below 95 then possible to make lower low between 65-70 which is wild bearish target and will give investor very strong entry point for long term investment but unless market melt down this is not probable . more likely its for uptrend but could take sometime.
SE Ready for ReliefWith all the recent sell offs there are a lot of value plays in the market right now. One of those looks to be Sea Limited (SE). SE is down 70% from ATH and judging by the flattening resistance curve, that sell off appears to be losing steam. In addition, I'm seeing Bullish Divergence and price entering into my Strong Buy Zone. Value investors may want to consider DCA at these prices.
Good Luck
----------------------------------------------------------------
These are my personal views and not financial advice. Please do your own research before investing.
I'd love to hear your thoughts, ideas and feedback. Feel free to Comment and I'll try and get back to you quickly.
If you appreciated this analysis, consider Liking or Following . Thanks!
SEA (SE 1D) - short term LONG setup Hi traders,
You probably know SEA limited, many says it could be next Amazon of Asia.
But are the conditions good right now for such claims and expectations of High returns? (Amazon also had several HUGE drops during early years).
In my opinion SEA same like entire ecommerce / fintech companies formed first corrective wave down !! (A)
Right now this speculative stocks are forming some retracement correlating to SaP500. But more likely to Chinese Stock market (what is interesting considering ideas of Ray Dalio - The Changing of world order).
Check this previous China analysis where SEA was also included:
Afterwards there should come another blowout for bagholders with another huge drop (maybe around -80%) // Similar to Crypto winters.
Dont be greedy and take profits if you are allredy in LONG positions from local lows.
I will notify you with EW counts of subwaves at small TF.
Companies which will survive those drops will most likely bring HUGE profits (could be 20-100x baggers) in next 10 years.
Right now do your homework, create a list of interesting companies which will bring the future of internet and could survive Recession of US market (and big growth of Asia / china). ;)
SE- Watching For a BreakoutSE has seemingly found a bottom here as buyers step in. SE is currently sitting right on a big RSI-Based supply level after reclaiming its 20-day EMA. Will be watching SE closely for a breakout here as it has also formed a bullish ABCD harmonic pattern formed on the daily timeframe (Not Pictured). Additionally, SE is holding quite a large falling wedge on the Weekly Timeframe along with some bullish hidden divergence on the RSI and a Bullish Gartley harmonic pattern (See Attached Chart Below). Bollinger bands are squeezing as well on the 4-Hour timeframe accompanied by more bullish hidden divergence. Bullish & will be watching closely for a breakout if buyers continue to step in (broader market conditions permitting)- Just some FIB levels along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime-
- Falling Wedge on the Weekly Timeframe
- Bullish Gartley Harmonic Pattern on the Weekly Timeframe
- Bullish ABCD Harmonic Pattern formed on both the Daily and 4-Hour Timeframes
- Bollinger Bands Squeezing on the 4-Hour Timeframe
- Reclaimed the 20-day EMA
- Buyer Volume Picking up relative to seller volume
PT1- $128.57
PT2- $130.62
PT3- $132.74
PT4- $134.86+
--Weekly Timeframe--
--4-Hour Timeframe--
Sea Limited LT investmentThis is a Singaporean company that operates in 3 segments: Digital Entertainment, E-Commerce, and Digital Financial Services.
Sea ltd offers and develops mobile and PC online games, manages a third-party marketplace through the Shopee platform that connects buyers and sellers and also provides a variety of payment services and loans to individuals and businesses through SeaMoney.
I like it already.
The drop from ATH (372) to relatively recent local low (85) is - 77% which is seen by regular TA as an opportunity. To justify an entry we must look at financials to see what is actually happening.
The Balance sheet looks healthy.
A negative net debt means a company has little debt and more cash.
A negative return on assets implies that the company isn't able to acquire or utilize its assets sufficiently enough to generate a profitable return.
Return on equity (ROE) is measured as net income divided by shareholders' equity. When a company incurs a loss, hence no net income, return on equity is negative. A negative ROE is not necessarily bad, mainly when costs are a result of improving the business, such as through restructuring.
Also worth to note that Total Assets = 18.756B with Total Debt of 4.25B whereas Enterprise Value = 116.422B
Income statement has some negative figures, let's dive deeper.
Earnings per share is negative when a company's income is negative, which means that the company is losing money, or spending more than it is earning. A negative EPS does not necessarily mean that a stock is a sell. Probably going through a trasnformation to be able to adjust to the market and world trends.
A negative net income means a company has a loss, and not a profit, over a given accounting period. Which is not very good! While a company may have positive sales, its expenses and other costs will have exceeded the amount of money taken in as revenue. This probably confirms the assumption that there are some structural changes are actually undergoing to be able to enhance company's overall operating efficiency.
Gross profit is almost 4B in frames of Total revenue of almost 10B.
TA in this case suggests accumulation of the stock for LT investment purposes as well as for trading execution.
Fib Channel is steep in respect to healthy fundamentals. A situation where price drops to dark blue is seen as a chance of buying followed by immediate pullback.
Whereas price engagement with green levels will shake off the last bears out of the market.
High average volumes confirms the momentum, hence the approach.
SE Weekly lotto SE is the type of horse that when she moves, she moves... calls can 10x in a day.
I like the support here at the 120/125 zone so far and looks to be a good entry point for some weekly lottos (meaning I'm okay if they go to zero)
For less risk, an idea would be to go long shares.
I picked up weekly 140 and 145 calls looking for a move back to 150 zone .
High Risk trade idea , careful here