Deal valuing Time Warner at $100 for now.Get cheap $T calls while you can. This pops on deal approval, driving $TWX value higher.
T trade ideas
Expected volatility in AT&T The final ruling in the anti-trust case against the proposed AT&T-Time Warner merger is expected on June 12. Either way the decision goes, price movement is likely. Current prices suggest a recovery from the recent decline. Options strategies that hedge against movement in any direction may be profitable.
AT&T is in a BUY ZONE - but a drop below $30.50 could mean $26I am long T. I hold a 5% position in my retirement account as a blue chip dividend stock with potential growth (pending merger). I bought in two troughs, at $34 and $32.
I have a mental stop loss at a close under $30.00, because a close under the buy zone likely means a break down to the bottom of my long-term channel.
I don't see that happening and I expect additional consolidation between $30-$34 while the lawsuit with the US Government takes its course to allow the merger to proceed.
I see the merger being allowed, AT&T will benefit substantially long-term, and my investment will continue to pay huge dividends moving into the long-term future.
For the time being, look to see if 30.50 holds and if so, we could get back into the upper trend channel and back to $40. A lot has to happen for this to be so, and the 20-day is acting as HEAVY resistance to breaking out of this bearish downtrend. I see the risk/reward to buying at these levels about 3 to 1, with a higher probability of the upside hitting before my mental stop... and in the meantime, pay me my 5%.
THIS IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL - THIS IS JUST MY OPINION BASED ON MY REVIEW OF THE CHART. I AM LONG T
AT&T prediction by a rookiePosting this idea here to get input from seasoned chartists and for me to look back to see if my prediction is correct.. This chart is an hourly chart. This move is part of a wave 3 correction. Shortterm LONG, longterm NEUTRAL.
Elliott wave for $T AT& TI'm a rookie, so do not follow my chart. I'm only posting this here to get inputs and comments from seasoned Elliott wave chartists. I am also posting this year so I can check back on it a few months from now to see if my chart/prediction is correct.
$T $TWX AT&T needs 15% gains to reach full offer price$T current price valuing $TWX about $100.5. $T June calls active. #RISKARB
T- Making a bounce off the trendline.I made this trendline pattern in November 2017 when one of my clients wanted to buy T and we bought and I advised on the trade to sell in late January when T touched the top of the trend line. Once again, T has given a golden opportunity for a 4% to 6% run between the current level to the top of the trend line. A 6% div that pays you to wait on the trade form is not a bad incentive either.
Cheers!
TD 9 on the weekley reversal CandleHuge bottom wick reversal candle on a TD 9. anything above the weekly high is a good buy for a swing. Or if you are like me a good buy point to add to a long term position.
T posed for potential bounce to back fill the gapSince it's last earnings, T has been taken to the wood shack and was beaten the crap out. But today's price action suggests that it may have seen a near term bottom should SPY behave "normally" in the coming days. I'm expecting it to go up to around 34 to test the bottom or top level of the gap, before deciding its further direction.
Position: initiated at 32.07, added at 31.83 and 31.73.
AT&T going even lowerAs we see T it looks going even lower to an old trend line since 1984. The average price of 2012.
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Significant Support for TDividend yield not seen since the 2008 recession.
A higher 10 year might limit the upward potential of the stock in the short term.
It's not clear how much technicals will help during T's giant M&A.
T is extending its wide balance area to find a buyerIf the volume profile of T tells the story, then it is developing a D shaped profile in the decline.
Which means the point of control is remaining up high and in the middle.
So it is then initiating downward to find a Buyer.
That buyer should be found where the last set of buyers initated before at the Pink lines.
Ideally, it checks out with growth model proportions downward from the current decline... And it does at the red Fib symmetry line for 200% at 30.00
Then there's that strong leg down from the all time highs to contend with.
The grey box could represent that same range extension at the top, projected into the future at the bottom.... COULD.
In any case, 30 is a great place to own T from for a few reasons.
1) it's where buyers last acted aggressively as fact - there was a huge rally last time price accumulated volume there, not a decline obviously - so must've been buyers.
2) the dividend payout would be pretty good down there
3) The decline D shaped profile is pure statistical distribution and price is likely to be pulled back up into recent fair value as lower prices apparently are not being as accepted as higher prices were. In 2017-18 anyways.
$T AT&T Buy at Long Term Support$T AT&T a buy at $32 long term support.
Note: This is a longer term trade - $T is a slow mover with low volatility beta of 0.4
T, 10 A.M. ETA IS KNOWN STOCK REVERSAL TIME1)Don't fight the charts...
You can you tube or read more about the NYSE 10 a.m. reversal that happens, you should take advantage of it....
Looking at A T &TThere has been a 50% correction of T from the the rise since 2009. Is it over? It currently has a 6% dividend rate which could bring in support. There has been an upturn in volume which is encouraging. And the weekly RSI 14 looks encouraging. So I've taken a small position in my IRA account. But the time length for the correction is fairly short for the time it took for the rise so I would not be surprised to see one more drop to the .62 level. Process your way.
Here is some fundamental stuff for those who like that.
seekingalpha.com
seekingalpha.com
T - Complex Head and Shoulders BottomLooks like a Complex Head and Shoulders Bottom pattern forming. I'm not sure if it has broken the pattern in the last couple of weeks due to market volatility but it may be worth to go long at the neckline.
$T $TWX 104 discounted dealExpect $T pop on positive ruling, moving $TWX deal price back into collar for full value.
T - Do You Love Dividends and going Long?Time to buy T stock and/or options (sell puts and/or sell calls), only one way AT&T is going at this time. Chart has why I am Bullish at this time.
AT&T (T) Moving up through dividend.Despite a normal small drop preceding AT&T's normal dividend day the upswing appears to be heading right through the dividend week where it's usually just behind a peak.
