TSLA 4H Update
The continued grind to the downside led me to a count change. I'm now considering we're in green IV, and still expect a new ATH before any major reversal.
TSLA trade ideas
TSLA FALLING WEDGE LT TARGETFalling wedge's target coincides with 1.414 fib extension level considering we have already reached the lowest point in tesla's recent dip.
Are we going to see this play out during 2025 ?
That is the million dollar question !
TSLA: What Happened?After reaching all time high of $488.50 on 18 Dec '24, Tesla has been systematically dropping making lower lows. So far it made a local low at $325.10 which is -33% from ATH.
One might intuitively assume that Tesla’s CEO, with significant administrative resources at his disposal, would drive the stock to outperform on a longer period. This narrative held true, particularly after it became evident that the Republican candidate had won the U.S. election. Traders saw Musk’s association with that political circle as a strong buy signal, believing that many others would definitely jump in as well. As a result, price broke out of the resistance driving demand and pushing the stock higher. However, this effect did not last very long as many would have expected.
WHAT HAPPENED?
Tesla was once the dominant force in the electric vehicle market, both in the United States and abroad. However, its sales are now collapsing, driven by a combination of political and technological factors — many of which are tied to Elon Musk’s increasingly unusual behavior.
The Sales Decline
Since January 2024 Tesla’s sales have plummeted, particularly in Europe. Recent figures paint a bleak picture:
Germany: 60% drop
France: 63% drop
Norway: 38% drop
Sweden: 44% drop
In the U.S., while the decline hasn’t been as drastic, Tesla’s share of the EV market is shrinking.
What’s Causing Tesla’s Troubles?
Several key factors contribute to Tesla’s struggles.
Increased Competition
Tesla’s early-mover advantage is disappearing. Established automakers like BMW, Mercedes, Hyundai and Kia, as well as newer EV startups like Rivian — now offer electric vehicles with longer range, faster charging, and more luxurious features. As a result, consumers have more choices, and Tesla is no longer the default option for EV buyers.
A Cooling EV Market
Some of the decline can be attributed to a broader slowdown in EV sales, particularly in Europe, where government subsidies have been scaled back. However, this alone does not explain Tesla’s sharp losses, especially compared to its competitors, many of whom are still seeing growth.
For what Europeans could not forgive Elon?
Musk's increasingly polarizing political stance like aligning with far-right figures or engaging with controversial accounts online — has alienated large segments of Tesla’s customer base in Europe and other liberal democracies. For a brand once associated with innovation and sustainability, Musk’s actions have tarnished Tesla’s reputation, particularly among progressive and tech-savvy buyers who once formed its core audience.
Investor Confidence is Fading
Tesla’s stock has been highly volatile, with investors growing uneasy about the company’s future. Over the past month, the stock price has declined, reflecting broader concerns about the company’s leadership and strategic direction.
The Cybertruck’s Underwhelming Launch
The Cybertruck, once hyped as a revolutionary product, has failed to live up to expectations. Instead of broad appeal, it has become a niche product, often associated with Musk’s most fervent and politically charged supporters. Rather than expanding Tesla’s customer base, the Cybertruck seems to have further divided it.
The Bigger Issue: Musk’s Brand Overshadowing Tesla
Tesla’s current crisis highlights a broader problem: when a CEO’s personal brand becomes larger than the company itself, it can have devastating consequences. Musk’s antics — once seen as part of his “genius entrepreneur” image — are now actively harming Tesla’s sales and market position.
Many people who previously invested in Tesla stock and even owned a Tesla vehicle, they've since distanced themselves, not only due to concerns over vehicle quality but also because they no longer want to be associated with Elon. And while some of Musk’s supporters claim that Tesla will be just fine, the numbers tell a different story. Sales are falling, stock prices are shaky, and confidence in the brand is slipping. The 33% drop from ATH might be just the beginning of a larger cycle of selloff.
Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis for TeslaMarket Overview:
Trend: Tesla is in a corrective phase after a strong rally, attempting a rebound.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $365 - $375
Support: $340 - $343 (weak), $333 (stronger)
Indicators:
MACD: Weak bullish crossover, suggesting a potential short-term recovery.
EMA: TSLA is below the 200 EMA ($376.98), signaling bearish pressure.
RSI: At 55.87, showing neutral momentum with room for further upside.
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Range Scalping (Short-Term Play)
Why? Price is consolidating below resistance but showing recovery signs.
How?
Buy near $350 - $352, aiming for a scalp to $365 - $370.
Sell near $370, as resistance remains strong.
Stop-loss below $348, in case of a breakdown.
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If Momentum Increases)
Trigger: A breakout above $375 or breakdown below $343.
Execution:
If TSLA breaks $375, scalp long targeting $385 - $390.
If TSLA drops below $343, scalp short to $333 - $325.
🩸 3. EMA Scalping
Why? TSLA is testing the 9 EMA ($352), meaning a breakout could provide a short-term push.
Execution:
Buy on EMA bounce (~$350 - $352) for a quick move higher.
Short if price rejects resistance (~$370 - $375).
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
Bias: Neutral → Slightly Bullish
Why?
Recovery attempt underway, but must reclaim $375+ to confirm bullish continuation.
MACD turning positive, suggesting momentum is shifting in favor of buyers.
If TSLA fails to reclaim $375, expect a pullback to $343 - $333 before another move up.
Only a break above $385 confirms further bullish extension.
🔥 News & Market Context:
Tech stocks showing strength, supporting TSLA’s recovery.
EV demand trends remain a key factor in mid-term direction.
Watch overall Nasdaq sentiment, as TSLA often moves in sync with market risk appetite.
🔥 Decision: Enter or Stay Out?
🩸 Short-term: Scalping is viable, but watch resistance at $365 - $375.
🩸 Mid-term: Bullish unless TSLA fails to hold above $343.
🩸 Ideal Play: Scalp long on dips but lock profits near resistance.
👑 Final Verdict:
Tesla is recovering, but a pullback to $343 - $333 is possible before a breakout. Above $375, expect $385+ next. 🔥
Are you a TESLA bull? If so check this out!NASDAQ:TSLA
and just like that Tesla has most likely bottomed...
- Bull Flag
- Volume shelf with GAP
- Wr% downtrend breakout
A bullish cross and green H5 indicator means we will more than likely breakout and head higher!
Short term we retest $400 🎯
Breakout = 🎯$488 🎯 $581
Not financial advice
Wait wait so you are trying to tell me….…that a car company led by absolute best genius of the world who
created the bigest digital money transfer payment, most efficient EV ever, most efficient internet satelite worldwide network, Neuralink, most efficient new rockets, most free speech social platform and government cleanup from fraudulent tax eating politics… you are saying that company will crash ? The company first ever to introduce self driving car and robots who will work 24/7? Will crash? You either took more pills that needed or stoped taking your pills. Just stay hydrated and do reality checks more often.
Tsla super bullish.
TESLA looks ready on the daily. Still some risk that it's a trapTesla looks good on the Daily, great on the weekly and monthly
Stochastic Momentum Index just triggered a buy
Trend Trader still shows bearish momentum, yet Trend Trader is bullish on the Weekly, which matters even more
Great that this week was just a huge wick
TSLA - Selling Volume still activeDaily Chart : Up almost 100% before sell signal triggers on 31 Dec.
Currently all parameter still bearish.
- MCDX Sell volume still strong but reducing.
- MCDX Buy volume still weak.
- FiFT -ve indicating Bear relatively strong.
Need to stay above 350 (EMA100) and break above 384 to turn Bullish.
Otherwise next support zone is 300 and 250
Weekly chart still Bullish closing with indecisive Doji candle. Might see weekly Reversal Candle if next weekly candle close above 384
The TSLA weekly forecast."TSLA has been identified with a falling wedge pattern. Following an aggressive buying surge, selling pressure emerged. I now predict a continuation of the bullish trend from this point."
Key facts
Falling Wedge pattern.
It's my take. What you think about "TSLA" write in the comment section.
You can buy now or you can do even bettermanipulation divided by manipulation gives you clear signals. hope more people get exposure.
Long Trade Setup Breakdown for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) - 30-Min Chart📊 Long Trade Setup Breakdown for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) - 30-Min Chart
🔹 Asset: Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)
🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
🔹 Setup Type: Falling Wedge Breakout
🚀 Trade Plan (Long Position):
✅ Entry Zone: $352.76 (Breakout Confirmation)
✅ Stop-Loss (SL): $342.34 (Below Support)
🎯 Take Profit Targets (Long Trade):
📌 TP1: $365.41 (First Resistance)
📌 TP2: $380.59 (Extended Bullish Target)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation:
📈 Risk (Stop-Loss Distance):
$352.76 - $342.34 = $10.42
📈 Reward to TP1:
$365.41 - $352.76 = $12.65
💰 Risk-Reward Ratio to TP1: 1:1.21
📈 Reward to TP2:
$380.59 - $352.76 = $27.83
💰 Risk-Reward Ratio to TP2: 1:2.67
🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy:
📌 Breakout Confirmation: Strong buying momentum above $352.76 signals continuation.
📌 Pattern Formation: Falling Wedge Breakout, a bullish reversal signal.
📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels:
🟢 $342.34 (Strong Support / SL Level)
🟡 $352.76 (Breakout Zone / Entry)
🔴 $365.41 (First Profit Target / Resistance)
🟢 $380.59 (Final Target for Momentum Extension)
🚀 Momentum Shift Expected:
If price stays above $352.76, it could push towards $365.41 and $380.59.
A higher volume breakout would confirm strength in the trend.
🔥 Trade Execution & Risk Management:
📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure buying volume remains strong after breakout.
📈 Trailing Stop Strategy: If price reaches TP1 ($365.41), move SL to entry ($352.76) to lock in profits.
💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy:
✔ Take 50% profits at $365.41, let the rest run to $380.59.
✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($352.76) after TP1 is hit.
⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk:
If price drops below $352.76, be cautious and watch for a retest before re-entering.
🚀 Final Thoughts:
✔ Bullish Setup – If price holds above $352.76, higher targets are expected.
✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation.
✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:1.21 to TP1, 1:2.67 to TP2.
💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀🏆
🔗 #StockTrading #TSLA #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketTrends #ProfittoPath
TESLA ($TSLA) – PRICE CUTS, NEW MODELS & SHRINKING MARGINSTESLA ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) – PRICE CUTS, NEW MODELS & SHRINKING MARGINS
(1/8)
Tesla’s Q4 2024 revenue came in at $25.17B (+1% YoY), missing estimates of $25.87B. Full-year revenue hit $97.69B, only slightly above 2023. Let’s break down the numbers! 🚗⚡️
(2/8) – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Q4 non-GAAP EPS: $0.71 (vs. $0.74 est.)
• Net income slipped from $2.51B (Q1 ‘23) to $1.13B (Q1 ‘24) → margin pressures
• Full-year EPS: $2.04. Investors are edgy over slowing profit growth 😬
(3/8) – NEW AFFORDABLE EV
• Tesla plans to launch a lower-priced EV mid-2025—could spark future growth 🚀
• However, concerns linger about declining margins due to recent price cuts & softening EV demand 🔻
(4/8) – SECTOR SNAPSHOT
• P/E trailing: 177.26, forward P/E: 124.35 → major premium vs. Toyota (~8.5) & GM (~8.7) 🔎
• EV/EBITDA: 87.53—again, quite high
• Analyst avg. PT: $307.62 vs. current ~$355 → Some see overvaluation 📈
(5/8) – PERFORMANCE & COMPETITION
• Tesla’s revenue growth lags behind EV rivals like BYD (especially in China) 🇨🇳
• High valuation is tough to justify if margins keep slipping & demand cools
• Others note the potential for a “market correction” if Tesla doesn’t re-accelerate growth 🔻
(6/8) – RISK FACTORS
• EV Demand Slowdown: Price cuts & fierce competition in China
• Production Delays: Cybertruck & new affordable EV might take time to ramp
• Regulatory: Shifts in incentives or rules could slow sales 📉
• Economic Pressure: High interest rates = less consumer cash for big-ticket items
• Elon Musk: Diverted focus (X, SpaceX) + polarizing behavior 🌀
(7/8) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Leading EV brand & loyal customer base 🔥
Diversified streams (storage, solar) → less auto reliance
Massive market cap at $1.16T shows confidence
Weaknesses:
Shrinking margins (~17.86% in 2024)
Production hiccups → scaling issues
Sky-high valuations vulnerable to correction
Opportunities:
2025 mass-market EV could open huge demand 🚗💨
AI & autonomy (FSD, robotaxis) for new revenue
Energy storage growth offsetting auto slowdowns 🔋
Threats:
Competition from BYD, GM, etc.
Lawsuits & regulatory scrutiny (discrimination, product defects)
Global economic uncertainty → lower vehicle sales
(8/8) – With Tesla trading around $355 & a P/E near 177, is it still worth the premium?
1️⃣ Bullish—Musk’s vision & new EV model = unstoppable 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Waiting to see if margins recover 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Overvalued, competition is heating up 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
TSLA: Buy ideaHigh probability of a continuation of the upward trend on TSLA if all the analysis conditions are met as you can see on the chart.
Tesla: I will buy some Call options, todayWill buy some call options today.
Read my signuture, I am not responsible for your losses. Do your own analysis. This is my point of view.
Tesla (TSLA) Investment Opportunity – Bullish Reversal Setup 📉 Tesla has pulled back ~32% from December highs, now testing a key demand zone.
With RSI in oversold territory and strong AI & EV expansion ahead, this could be a prime entry point!
📊 Trade Setup:
🔹 Entry Price: $337 ( now )
✅ Take Profit 1: $359.45 (Previous short-term bounce from demand zone)
✅ Take Profit 2: $374.41 (Former support, now resistance)
✅ Take Profit 3: $420.33 (Strong supply zone)
🔹 RSI: Extremely oversold – signaling a potential reversal
📈 Why Tesla?
🚀 AI + EV + Robotics = Future Growth
Morgan Stanley Price Target: $430, Bull Case: $800
Benchmark Price Target: $475
Robotaxi service launch (Austin, June 2025) + Optimus humanoid robot scaling in 2026
Strong financials: $36.5B in cash supports aggressive expansion
📌 Key Level to Watch:
Support holds at $325? This setup could trigger a major upside move
If Tesla breaks above $359, momentum could accelerate toward $420+
📢 Tesla is more than an EV company—it’s an AI, robotics, and automation leader. With strong support & upcoming catalysts, this could be a prime accumulation zone!
What Is a San-Ku (Three Gaps) Pattern?What Is a San-Ku (Three Gaps) Pattern?
The intriguing and captivating San-Ku, or Three Gaps, pattern draws the curiosity of traders within financial markets. Its distinctive form and strategic placement on price charts make it a compelling subject for observation and analysis. This article aims to explore the intricacies of the San-Ku pattern, highlighting its importance and providing insights into how traders can incorporate it into their trading strategies.
What Is a Three Gaps (San-Ku) Pattern?
The San-Ku, or Three Gaps, pattern is a distinctive technical analysis formation characterised by three consecutive upward or downward price gaps. This pattern often signifies a significant shift in market sentiment and a potential trend reversal. Traders keen on spotting trend changes find the formation intriguing due to its clear visual representation on price charts.
Identifying the setup involves recognising three successive gaps in the price movement, whether upward or downward. These gaps indicate abrupt shifts in market sentiment and are typically accompanied by increased trading volume. The pattern manifests itself as a series of price jumps, creating a visual sequence that stands out on a chart.
How to Trade the San-Ku Three Spaces
Traders may enter a position based on the assumption of a trend reversal. In a bullish formation, you may consider entering a long position after the third gap down, signalling a potential bullish trend. Conversely, in a bearish pattern, you may initiate a short position after the third gap, anticipating a bearish trend.
To establish a take-profit level, you may assess the historical price behaviour around the formation. Look for significant support or resistance levels, trendlines, or Fibonacci retracement levels to gauge potential reversal points. Adjust your take profit accordingly, aiming for a favourable risk-to-reward ratio.
Implementing a well-placed stop loss is crucial to manage risk. You may position the stop loss below the setup in an upward pattern and above the setup in a downward pattern. This may help mitigate potential losses if the market does not follow the expected reversal.
Live Market Example
Let's explore a live market example. In this scenario, we observe the setup, indicating a potential reversal of a bullish trend.
A trader could enter a short position after the third candle closes, anticipating a bearish trend, setting the take-profit level at a support level based on historical price action. As the trader used a daily chart, the stop-loss level was supposed to be calculated based on the risk/reward ratio and placed above the Triple Gap.
Final Thoughts
Although San-Ku is an effective pattern, it can’t guarantee a trend reversal. As with any technical analysis tool, it's crucial to consider the broader market context and use risk management strategies to improve overall trading performance. Remember, no pattern guarantees success, and thorough analysis remains paramount in making informed trading decisions. If you want to test different trading approaches, you can open an FXOpen account.
FAQ
Is the Three Gaps Setup Suitable for All Types of Assets?
This formation can be applied to various financial instruments, including stocks, currencies, commodities, and indices. However, it's essential to adapt your strategy to the specific characteristics of the asset you are trading and consider factors like liquidity and market behaviour.
How Can Traders Stay Updated on Potential Three Gaps Formations?
Traders can use charting platforms, technical analysis tools, and market scanners to stay informed about potential Three Gaps formations. Setting up alerts for specific price movements and gap occurrences can also help traders promptly identify opportunities as they arise.
Are There Any Common Mistakes Traders Make When Interpreting the Three Gaps?
One common mistake is relying solely on the setup without considering broader market conditions. Traders shouldn’t neglect the overall trend, market sentiment, and potential catalysts that could influence price movements. Additionally, thorough backtesting and analysis are crucial to validating the reliability of the pattern in different market conditions.
Can I Find the Three Gaps Pattern on the NVDA Candlestick Chart?
You can find this pattern in different markets, but remember that its effectiveness will depend on the timeframe you use and the strategy you implement. Keep in mind that the presence of the Three Gaps Pattern on a stock's chart does not guarantee future price movements. It's essential to conduct thorough technical and fundamental analysis and practise risk management when making trading decisions.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
TSLA at a Key Reversal Point! Is This the Start of a Major Rally 🚀 📊 Market Overview:
Tesla (TSLA) has been in a sustained downtrend but has recently broken out of a descending channel. With increased volume and positive momentum, traders are watching for confirmation of a trend reversal.
📈 Key Technical Analysis:
* Trend Structure: TSLA broke out of a falling wedge pattern, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
* Support & Resistance:
* Support Levels: $342.50, $330.00 (major put walls).
* Resistance Levels: $370.00, $400.00 (major call walls).
* Indicators:
* MACD: Just crossed bullish, showing increasing momentum.
* Stochastic RSI: Recovered from oversold and moving higher.
* Volume: Strong buying volume on breakout.
🚀 Trade Setups:
* Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Above $356 for confirmation.
* Targets: $370 → $400.
* Stop Loss: Below $342.
* Bearish Scenario (Rejection Play):
* Short Entry: If it fails to hold $356.
* Targets: $342 → $330.
* Stop Loss: Above $365.
📊 Options & GEX Insights:
* Gamma Exposure (GEX): Positive GEX suggests a push towards $370+.
* Options Data:
* Call Wall Resistance: $400.
* Put Wall Support: $330.
* IV Rank (IVR): 39.6 - indicating moderate options activity.
⚡️ Final Thoughts:
Tesla is at a critical breakout zone. If momentum sustains, the next leg could be toward $370 and beyond. However, a rejection at resistance may lead to a pullback. Watch for volume confirmation before making a move!
🔔 Stay sharp and trade smart!
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your research and trade at your own risk.
Fractals dictate the futureIf you learn from this lesson, then you will know what happens to tesla stock going for the next two years. We will be getting a magnificent buying opportunity one day, like no other.
Tesla LongHere is the level to hold on tesla. going long here. Levels pulled from yearly fibs. major levels to hold for higher here. if we start losing here its going way lower.
TSLA Scenarios These are the most likely scenarios for TSLA. Really needs to hold here to go higher. But if it doesn't we have potential for my second option. It might bounce of the red level in option 2 and go to all time highs or it will fail on support lost. I expect lower if that happens. Just a couple ideas. Ill post more ideas as this develops. Not taking option 1 as it is more risky and I already missed getting in lower so its not worth it for me now from a risk management standpoint. Thanks for reading.
TSLA Long based on Technicals TSLA longs with good RR inplace.
Boost the idea if you like it.
Best wishes
