A to 236 or B killing A to 420Tesla is one of those stocks that is heavily manipulated algorithmically. When we were in an uptrend and needed a little push, a large fractal was created that could break a previously formed structure which should have taken us to $236(A). Interestingly, a very strong symmetrical triangle has emerged, influencing this upward movement, and the final price—due to some mystical reason—seems to be $420(B). It’s also worth noting that this whole move is being influenced by another similar structure whose target is above $600. So, if we analyze everything that’s happening, a 12% drop in sales means nothing compared to what Tesla will gain from robots, restaurants, and robotaxis, which I call RRR
TSLA trade ideas
CUP AND HANDLE $TSLA TO $515 MINIMUMThe cup and handle is a bullish chart pattern commonly used by traders to spot potential buying opportunities. It features a rounded "cup" formation followed by a slight downward drift forming the "handle." This pattern typically signals a continuation of an upward trend once the handle completes its consolidation phase.
ROBOTAXI BOOM
BUY NOW NASDAQ:TSLL NASDAQ:TSLA
TESLA and the Elliott Wave Theory.This Chart shows a large Flat correction with Wave A and B(Black) completed. Wave B(Black) expressed itself in 3 waves namely A,B,C and are shown in Red. After B(Black) completed, a Wave C(Black) began so as to round off the Flat correction. A Wave 1(Green) formed, followed by a Zigzag correction and this meant a Flat for Wave 4(Green) was expected. After the Zigzag at Wave 2(Green), our Wave 3(Green) expressed itself in 5 Waves and are shown in Black. Wave 2(Black) was a Zigzag correction and Wave 4(Black) as expected, was a Flat. Wave 4(Black) completed recently meaning we are headed for a Wave 5(Black) which is also our Wave 3(Green). A confirmation at its current price location would trigger a sell.
Please note that Wave 5's(Black) location on the chart is purely for demonstration and price could move beyond or around this point.
@fantasyste
$TSLA: Multi-Scale DensityResearch Notes
Identified structural compressions happening within two periods:
This set has provided a perfect opportunity to study exponential fibs with growth rate starting from phi^1/4 applied to area of expression of squeeze.
Geometrically, gives a better sense of a continuity than regular fibs.
TSLA - LONG Swing Entry Plan NASDAQ:META - LONG Swing Entry Plan
Entry Zone 1: $307.00 – $302.00
→ Open initial position targeting +8% from entry level.
Entry Zone 2: $294.00 – $288.00
→ If price dips further, average down with a second equal-sized entry.
→ New target becomes +8% from the average of Entry 1 and Entry 2.
Edit Zone (Aggressive Demand): $247.00 – $243.00
→ If reached, enter with double the initial size to lower the overall cost basis.
→ Profit target remains +8% from the new average across all three entries.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss:
Risk is capped at 12% below the average entry price (calculated across all executed positions including the Edit Zone).
Position Sizing Approach:
Entry 1: 1x
Entry 2: 1x
Edit Zone: 2x
→ Total exposure: 4x
→ Weighted average determines final TP and SL calculations.
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Tesla Stock Returns to the $300 ZoneShortly after reporting earnings, Tesla stock fell more than 9% in the final hours of trading. This new bearish move is mainly due to the company’s earnings per share (EPS) of $0.40, which missed expectations of $0.43, and revenue of $22.5 billion, below the projected $22.74 billion. These figures indicate that Tesla failed to meet market expectations, triggering a sustained downward trend in the stock. This move could extend further unless new catalysts emerge to restore investor confidence.
Downtrend Remains Intact
Recent price action has been clearly bearish and continues to reinforce a downtrend that began forming in late December. So far, there has been no significant bullish correction to challenge this structure, making the bearish pattern the dominant technical setup in the short term.
Technical Indicators
RSI: The indicator remains below the neutral 50 level, suggesting that selling momentum continues to build. If the downward path persists, bearish pressure may grow stronger in upcoming sessions.
MACD: The MACD histogram is currently hovering around the zero line, showing signs of technical indecision. However, if it crosses clearly below zero, it would confirm a more sustained bearish momentum.
Key Levels to Watch:
$356 – Major Resistance:
This level corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci retracement. A break above this zone could threaten the current downtrend.
$320 – Nearby Resistance:
Aligned with the 200-period simple moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci level, a close above this point could reignite bullish sentiment and trigger a short-term upward move.
$280 – Key Support:
This is a critical support level, aligned with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A breakdown here could extend the ongoing bearish trend.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
TSLA 24 JULY 2025I have marked 2 levels in green boxes. Price is inside this box pre market and TSLA is down -8.5% from the highs of $338 post market till $310 & -7.5% down from yesterday's close
A better level is the lower demand zone but its not the best. Price has not hit any major resistance.
My job is to read the data & trade. I am still bullish & 10% up down move is normal for Tesla &
This could be a "BEAR TRAP".
TSLA Earnings Play (Bearish Bias)
🚨 TSLA Earnings Play (Bearish Bias) 🚨
Earnings Date: July 23, 2025 (AMC)
🧠 Confidence: 75% Bearish | 🎯 Target Move: -10%
⸻
🔍 Key Takeaways:
• 📉 TTM Revenue Growth: -9.2% → EV demand weakness
• 🧾 Margins Under Pressure: Gross 17.7%, Operating 2.5%, Net 6.4%
• ❌ EPS Beat Rate: Only 25% in last 8 quarters
• 🐻 Options Flow: High put volume at $330 strike
• 🧊 Low Volume Drift: Trading above 20/50MA but losing steam
• 📉 Sector Macro: EV competition + cyclical headwinds
⸻
🧨 Earnings Trade Setup:
{
"instrument": "TSLA",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 300,
"expiry": "2025-07-25",
"entry_price": 2.02,
"confidence": 75,
"profit_target": 6.06,
"stop_loss": 1.01,
"entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close",
"expected_move": 7.1,
"iv_rank": 0.75
}
⸻
🛠️ Trade Details:
Parameter Value
🎯 Strike Price $300 PUT
💰 Premium Paid $2.02
📅 Expiry Date 2025-07-25
🛑 Stop Loss $1.01
🚀 Profit Target $6.06
📏 Size 1 Contract
⏱ Entry Timing Pre-Earnings
📊 IV Rank 75%
🕒 Signal Time 7/23 @ 14:14 EDT
⸻
📈 Strategy Notes:
• 🧯 IV Crush Risk: Exit within 2 hours post-earnings
• 🎲 Risk/Reward: 1:3 setup | Max Loss: $202 | Max Gain: $606+
• 🧭 Volume Weakness & put/call skew signal downside
• 🧩 Macro + Tech + Flow Alignment = Tactical bearish play
⸻
🧠 “Not all dips are worth buying — this might be one to short.”
📢 Drop your thoughts — would you take the trade or fade it?
Bitcoin, SPX, Ethereum, Tesla: Whats Next? BTC appears to be showing distribution signs.
I do believe BTC local top is in, but alt coins like Ethereum can still push a bit higher.
Ethereum short around 3900-4000 looks promising
Tesla fell sharply on the back of cash flow burn and expenditures.
Investors are also fearful of sales decline and loss of EV credits.
SPX hit major long term resistance today. Coupling this with a depressed Vix we are likely setting up for a pullback in the market.
Small caps saw distribution today on the back of rising yields. A failed breakout observed on IWM chart.
7/24/25 - $tsla - Duh 7/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TSLA
Duh
- ppl focused on ST FCF (all over X!) is 100% of the reason why when you put the pieces together, you realize that while ST this might not behave like anyone expects... LT, TSLA is v likely going to in, elon's own words, be the largest cap in the history of capital markets
- two leading robots with leadership position in IRL AI
- profitable, is all that matters
- have not yet hit the S-curve
was super lucky to trim some of this last week
now i'm back to sizing into a full position, not yet there like on that silly political dump, but i'm nearly 10% (20% is my max size).
V
TSLA VolanX Earnings Strategy: Short-Term Bearish Bias (TEST)🧠 VolanX Earnings Strategy: Short-Term Bearish Bias
🎯 Goal:
Capitalize on downside or neutral reaction to earnings with defined risk and IV crush protection.
🔻 Primary Trade: Bear Put Spread
Strategy: Buy Put at ATM, Sell Put at lower strike
Expiration: July 25, 2025
Structure:
Buy 330 Put
Sell 315 Put
Max Risk: Premium paid (e.g., $5–6 per spread)
Max Profit: ~$15 if TSLA closes ≤ 315
Breakeven: ~$325
📈 Why This Works:
Aligns with DSS projection ($317.74 30-day)
Short expiry captures earnings move + IV crush
Profits if stock stays below ~325 post-earnings
🟨 Alternative Trade: Neutral-to-Bearish Iron Condor
If expecting rangebound post-earnings:
Sell 340 Call / Buy 345 Call
Sell 315 Put / Buy 310 Put
Credit: ~$3.50–4.00
Max Risk: ~$1.50–2.00
Profit Zone: 315–340
Best if TSLA volatility collapses and price stays in a channel.
🧨 High-Risk, High-Reward: Put Ratio Backspread
Buy 2x 320 Puts
Sell 1x 330 Put
Cost: Small debit or credit
Profit: If TSLA tanks → big delta gain
Risk: Small near expiry if TSLA closes near 320–330
Use this only if expecting a big bearish surprise.
🔧 Risk Management:
Position size = max 1–2% of account
Avoid holding spreads past Jul 25 if IV collapses
Use alerts around 330 / 325 / 317.5 for exits
🧠 DSS-Backed Tagline:
"With DSS projecting a controlled pullback and flow confirming overhead hedging, we favor bearish verticals and vol crush plays going into earnings."
tsla heading higherWith the expansion of robo taxi we will be heading higher soon, don't miss this move. If we pull back a little at earnings that's ok. I don't believe it will go any lower then 315. It should be upside from here. Tsla is not just a car company, its AI, energy, autonomous driving. Its a engineering company that changing the way the world does everything. It will be one of the top stocks for a long time. Easily going to 1000 by next year. That my prediction.
Next Volatility Period: Around August 21
Hello, traders.
Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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#TSLA
We need to see if it is rising along the rising channel.
The key is whether it can rise with support near 311.48 to break out of the downtrend line.
The key is whether it can rise along the short-term uptrend line and break through the short-term downtrend line after passing through this volatility period around July 25.
Therefore, we need to see whether it can rise above the 347.21-382.40 range with support near 311.48.
The next volatility period is expected to be around August 21.
-
The important thing is to maintain the price above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If not, there is a possibility of a long-term downtrend.
Therefore, if it shows support in the 268.07-311.48 range, it is a time to buy.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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TSLA: 305.30
This idea is supported by entry price and institutional rebound.
Strong institutional breakout. Bullish Entry 2 — Institutional breakout + momentum.
Entrada: 310.00/317.00
SL: 308.00
TP1: 314.00
TP2: 316.00
Bearish Entry 2 — Strong institutional breakout
Entry: 300.00
SL: 302.00
TP1: 296.00
TP2: 292.00
TSLA squeezes into resistance ahead of earnings Tesla is set to report Q2 earnings after the closing bell on Wednesday, covering the quarter ending June 2025.
The stock has been highly volatile this year, amid concerns about tariffs, Elon Musk’s politics (and nazi salutes), and his public clashes with President Donald Trump.
Tesla bulls Wedbush think, “We are at a 'positive crossroads' in the Tesla story,” suggesting that investors will look past the current numbers and focus on Tesla’s long-term AI potential.
Technically, Tesla is now testing a major descending trendline that’s capped every rally since December. The current price action resembles an ascending triangle pattern — a bullish structure — with resistance around $356 and a series of higher lows from May through July. This tightening formation suggests building pressure ahead of the earnings release.